Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(4/2/1)-(5/7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(5/7/1/2)-(1/6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(1/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(4/6/9/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2/4)-(1/6/5/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(4/6/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/2)-(4/6/9/8/3)-(7/4/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/8/3)-(4/6/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/8/3)-(4/6/9/8/3)-(4/6/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/9/8/3)-(7/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/8/3)-(7/4/5/10)-(7/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/10)-(7/4/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/10)-(7/4/5/10)-(7/4/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/10)-(7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/10)-(7/4/8)-(4/1/9/13) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/8)-(7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/8)-(4/1/9/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/1/9/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/13)-(4/1/9/13/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/13)-(4/1/9/13/2)-(4/1/9/13/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J D FACTOR Jan28 Nov24 Oct21     (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  COWBOY CACHE         (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GOLDEN FLAIR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  REMEMBER THE CHIEF         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of PLEASANT POINT by PLEASANT COLONY)
4  GLINT Mar09         (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
SCR  MITOLE'S DIAMOND         (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TRUCKSTOP DIAMOND by FLAT OUT)
6  FIRST TRUMPET Mar09 Feb18 Jan27 Dec16 Oct15 (delauro edward )RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
7  FOXHOLE Jul21         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELABORATE by GILDED TIME)
SCR  ARMOR OF CATCLAW Feb25         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of PUTTIN ON MY ARMOR by VERRAZANO)
9  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Mar03 Jan27 Nov09     (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
 
AQU-2   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBATE Oct07 Sep16 May28 Apr28 Jan08 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 13% 7.00    
2  CLUBHOUSE Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct21 Sep15 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 17% 4.90    
3  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Mar09 Jan27 Jan06 Dec07   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
4  M B'S MUNNING Mar09 Feb10 Feb04 Jan05 Dec10 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  INDEPENDENT PAUL Mar16 Feb10 Jan18 Jul09   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 5.00    
6  PERSISTENT DANGER Feb23 Jan25 Dec08 Nov14 Oct10 (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 123 15.00    
 
AQU-3   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY MISS JILL Feb24 Feb17 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  SHELLY Jan13 Nov17 Aug27 Jul03   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BELLE OF THE BALL Feb17 Jan26 Jan19 Dec15 Oct22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
4  MY GIRL JAL Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Dec14 Nov18 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 8.00    
5  DUCKPHAT Mar02 Dec30 Dec08 Nov03 Aug18 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  MERAVIGLIOSO Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
7  WILL BE FAMOUS Feb17 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Nov03 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  LA GROTTE Feb19 Dec30 Nov09 Oct06 Mar17 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
 
AQU-4   03/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE B. Feb09 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
1A  PIT BOSS Mar09 Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 ★    
2  GOLDINI Mar02 Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 Nov25 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  WILD BANKER Feb23 Jan26 Dec01 Nov04 Oct05 (metivier ri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
4  DURKIN'S CALL Jan27 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 ★    
5  FUNKENSTEIN Jan11 Dec09 Nov03 Oct12 Jan23 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 10% 9.30    
6  DADDY KNOWS Mar07 Feb18 Jan26 Dec17 Nov19 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
7  PRINCE OF JOY Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00    
8  FOREVER WICKED Feb23 Feb09 Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
9  PHOEBE'S FROSTY Mar17 Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Nov25 (arenas mar)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
 
AQU-5   03/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Feb21 Feb07       (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  KAZ CREED Dec27 Dec07       (synnefias)CAMACHO JR 122 30.00    
2  KING FREUD Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
3  BROWN DON'T STOP Feb25 Jan19 Dec17 Nov03 Oct14 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  THAT'S MONEY Feb17         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  RETAIL MAN Mar07 Jan06 Dec08 Oct22 Oct04 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
6  SAINT GAUDENS Feb11 Jan18       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
7  LIBERTY CENTRAL Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
8  THE BIG TORPEDO Feb25 Jan13 Dec16 Nov12   (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  JUST STEP ON IT Mar05 Feb19 Jan13 Dec27 Dec01 (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASCHAL MOON Mar09 Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TRUTH Feb29 Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 Sep04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
3  KENTUCKY JOKER Mar09 Feb04 Dec28 Nov10 Oct21 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
4  QUICK TO ACCUSE Jan13 Nov18 Oct01 Aug05 Dec03 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
5  CALDO CANDY Jan28 Dec09 Nov16 Apr01   (bond harol)RIVERA R 123 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  DOC ADVANTAGE Feb29 Jan13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
7  DR. KRAFT Feb11 Dec16 Dec01 Aug15 Jun26 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  ROCK THE WEEKEND Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Dec10 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
SCR  REFUAH Feb29 Feb04 Dec14 Oct28 Aug27 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00    
10  PLEASE BE NICE Feb11 Jan13 Feb20 Jan07   (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 9% 9.80    
 
AQU-7   03/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Biogio's Rose Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECURITY CODE Feb17 Jan05 Dec10 Nov05 Oct07 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
2  SWEETEST PRINCESS Feb17 Feb02 Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 Oct05 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of FANFIRE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  BUSTIN BAY Mar14 Feb19 Dec28 Dec03 Nov25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LADY MINE Feb29 Jan19 Dec29 Jun16 Apr29 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of LADY MOYNE by DIALED IN)
SCR  BON ADIEU Feb19 Jan07 Dec08 Oct07 Sep22 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
7  VENTI VALENTINE Feb17 Dec28 Dec02 Oct29 Oct02 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  STONEWALL STAR Feb19 Jan11 Nov24 Apr16 Feb18 (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by FLATTER out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
AQU-8   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG EGO Feb11         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
1A  RUSSIAN REALM         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUPER MARINA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  FINAL DENILE         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of IN DENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2B  LAND D'ORO Feb11         (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAND MINE by MINESHAFT)
3  TOMACON         (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of LADY CONSTANCE by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  SILVER SATIN Feb17         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MITOLE out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  ROAD SODA         (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of AUNTIE'S THE ONE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  SCHLOMO         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
  (by FREUD out of IDIDN'TTELLAIMEE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
7  PERNO Feb17 Jan07 Dec02     (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
8  INONIT Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Oct13 Aug11 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 15.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
9  LAST DRINK Jan18         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of I DRINK ALONE by INTIDAB)
SCR  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Feb25         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE EYED by FRIENDLY LOVER)
11  VIN SANTO Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Nov03 Sep17 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
12  HAGRID'S FLAME         (terranova )RIVERA R 120 20.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of LIGHT THE CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
13  YO BANANA BOY Nov19 Oct16 Sep14     (heath g)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.