The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
PEN-2   Win (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
PEN-3   Win (7/6/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -6.40
PEN-4   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $50.20 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.40 -6.00
PEN-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.20 -6.00
PEN-7   Win (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSAFE 8 3 31 3   21 1¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 13% 6.60 3.20 W
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN 4 2 21 4   43 2¾ (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 3.50  
SEEKING THE DREAM 7 1 11 1½   11 3(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 32% 2.10 1.10 S
NO EASY ANSWER 2 4 42 5   55 43 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 4.00 23% 3.30 10.10  
TERPEYE 5 7 813 812   79 5(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 21.80  
MORGANS COVE 3 6 77 7   865 (geist da)SMITH DANIEL 115 15.00 68.50  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 6 8 6 2½   37(stites fli)DAVIS A 120 8.00 7% 13.70 8.20  
MRS BELL 1 5 5 6   68(lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 27.50  
 
PEN-2   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL MONARCH 1 6 1½ 11 2nk 2nk 1hd (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 14% 6.00 2.10 W
CHUCK ADAMS 6 2 2½ 21 1nk 1nk 2hd (kravets br)DAVIS A 120 10.00 13.70  
TAPORICAL 5 7 8 8 8 63(o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 40% 1.50 3.60 S
OPENING HOURS 7 1 4 42 44 447 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 17.90  
THENAME OF THEGAME 2 8 7 7 7 75(mancilla ca)CARRASCO R 120 3.50 14% 6.10 2.80  
JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH 4 3 6 6 3 3612¾ (salzman e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 6% 16.50 5.90  
BOLD FORCE 8 4 31 5 6 810½ 715¾ (grusmark karl)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 6.30  
TAPACHILL 3 5 5 32 5 5820½ (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 50.40  
 
PEN-3   02/21/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:133 1:392   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD MUSIC 6 1 11 11 12 1½ 1(ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 19% 4.20 0.80 W
LAKE NAKURU 4 3 4 3 22 2½ 2(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 18.10 10.30 P
MOON WARRIOR 7 2 54 5 45 37 3(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 40% 1.50 4.10 S
MORE THAN A DANCE 8 9 7 7 7 48 410 (rodriguez migue)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 10.20  
TEMPESTUOUS 9 5 6 6 57 5517¾ (salvaggio mark )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 12% 7.60 10.70  
ESPRESSO LUNGO 3 4 21 21 3 610½ 619¼ (rodriguez mig)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 15.50  
DEVOTED KITTEN 2 6 87 8 810½ 816 720 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 15.00 69.80  
FORECLOSURE 1 7 3 43 67 713½ 821¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
TEXTPECTATION 5 8 910½ 913½ 914½ 921 930 (morzan e)CORA D 120 12.00 45.00  
 
PEN-4   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR'S LAST HOPE 6 3 31 2nk   1½ 1¼ (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 24.10  
NIGHTSCAPE 5 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 2¼ (lynch cathal)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 30% 2.30 1.50 P
TAKE THE PLEDGE 1 6 610 5   31 3(lynch cathal)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 21% 3.80 2.10 S
MAT MATTERS 2 4 47 4   43 44 (kravets br)DAVIS A 122 5.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
MALIBU'S BOSS MAN 4 5 59 6   559 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 5.10  
TACTICAL HUMOR 3 2 2nk 31   611½ 627 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 8.10  
SCR  LORD IT'S CHILLY               (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DWELLING LEGACY 6 3 2nk 12   11(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00 5.70  
PAULA'S SURPRISE 5 1 1nk 32   32(kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 3.60  
NORMANDY LIFE 3 5 53 22   234 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 6.00 6.10  
SISTER COUSIN 2 2 4 6   58 49 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 34% 1.90 3.20  
LAVINIA SPIRIT 4 4 3½ 5   4511¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 4.50 10% 9.10 2.20  
DAKOTA SPRINGS 1 6 64 44   611½ 623½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 32% 2.10 5.10  
 
PEN-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS 3 6 64 5   3½ 13 (grusmark karl)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 0.60  
COMBAT HOOFS 7 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 23 (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
CANDY REWARD 2 4 42 4   42 3(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 49% 1.00 2.60 S
LITTLE LAMB CHOP 6 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 4(beattie co)DAVIS A 122 12.00 18.50  
PYROTECHNICS 5 3 3½ 32   5510¾ (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 15.50  
STORMEY MONDAY 4 5 76 6   6611¾ (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 29% 2.50 23.30  
WOODLAND GLADE 1 7 5 710¾   720½ 735¼ (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 6.00 23.30  
 
PEN-7   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:141 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETARY AT WAR 4 1 1nk 1nk 14 11(synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 62% 0.60 0.80 W
SAMURAI SAINT 3 6 5 4 24 22(flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
FEDERAL CASE 6 2 76 6 59 3311¼ (kravets br)DAVIS A 122 6.00 7.40  
CARTE BLANCHE 5 4 3 3 4 59 413¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 6.50  
SHANGHAI CANDY 7 5 6 7 611½ 610½ 513¾ (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 8% 11.60 4.10  
ARISTOCAT 1 3 2nk 2nk 3 4618 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 8.00 10.00  
POCOPSON STATION 2 7 4 5 711½ 715½ 729 (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 50.00 54.20  
SCR  SANTO               (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.