Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/4)-(7/6/9/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(7/6/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(7/6/9/4/1)-(6/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/6/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/4/1)-(7/6/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/4/1)-(7/6/9/4/1)-(7/6/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/9/4/1)-(6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/4/1)-(6/2/3)-(2/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/1/4)-(2/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/4/7)-(5/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS BELL Feb08 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
2  NO EASY ANSWER Sep06 Jun30 May06 Mar16 Feb24 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  MORGANS COVE Jan24 Nov29 Nov03 Sep15 Aug25 (geist )SMITH DANIEL 115 15.00    
4  GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Jan26 Jan10 Dec22 Oct20 Oct09 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
5  TERPEYE Jan26 Dec29 Dec13 Nov15 Aug17 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
6  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Jan31 Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 (stites f)DAVIS A 120 8.00 7% 13.70    
7  SEEKING THE DREAM Jan31 May25 May06 Mar24 Mar02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
8  MOONSAFE Feb01 Dec31 Nov22 Nov03 Jul14 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-2   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL MONARCH Jan24 Dec06 Oct26 Jun29   (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
2  THENAME OF THEGAME Feb10 Jan07 Dec09 Nov07 Oct21 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
3  TAPACHILL Jan26 Dec15 Nov15 Sep06   (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
4  JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 Dec03 Jun11 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 6% 16.50    
5  TAPORICAL Feb14 Jan19 Dec15 Nov30 Nov01 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 40% 1.50    
6  CHUCK ADAMS Dec06 Nov15 Nov03     (kravets )DAVIS A 120 10.00    
7  OPENING HOURS Jan26 Dec20 Dec02 Oct26   (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
8  BOLD FORCE Feb01 Dec30 Nov21 Oct30 Oct09 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
 
PEN-3   02/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORECLOSURE Jan26 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEVOTED KITTEN Feb08 Jan24 Dec29 Dec07 Nov02 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
3  ESPRESSO LUNGO Jan31 Jan02 Dec13 Nov20 Oct19 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
4  LAKE NAKURU Jan18 Dec29 Nov01 Sep21 Sep07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 18.10    
5  TEXTPECTATION Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 Dec13 Dec05 (morzan e)CORA D 120 12.00    
6  CLOUD MUSIC Jan31 Dec16 Dec02 Oct28 Sep27 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  MOON WARRIOR Feb01 Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 Jul06 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  MORE THAN A DANCE Feb06 Jan03 Dec26 Dec11 Nov14 (rodrig)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 8.00    
9  TEMPESTUOUS Feb06 Jan18 Dec29 Dec21 Nov17 (salvaggio mar)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
PEN-4   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LORD IT'S CHILLY         (schoentha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
2  TAKE THE PLEDGE         (lynch cathal)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  MAT MATTERS         (kravets )DAVIS A 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
4  TACTICAL HUMOR Feb02         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
5  MALIBU'S BOSS MAN Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov24   (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50    
6  NIGHTSCAPE Jan25 Aug16       (lynch cathal)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
7  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Feb07         (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PEN-5   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA SPRINGS Jan24 Dec29       (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  SISTER COUSIN Feb08 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Oct28 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  NORMANDY LIFE Jan24 Jan10 Nov22 Oct16 Sep23 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 6.00    
4  LAVINIA SPIRIT Feb01         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 4.50 10% 9.10    
5  PAULA'S SURPRISE Jan24 Nov22 Nov09 Oct09   (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50    
6  DWELLING LEGACY Jan14 Dec16 Oct26     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00    
 
PEN-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODLAND GLADE         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of SILVER GLADE by BELONG TO ME)
2  CANDY REWARD Oct25 Oct16       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Jan19 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct07 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 ★    
  (by ENTICED out of J AND J O'SHEA by SKY MESA)
4  STORMEY MONDAY Feb09         (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ISLAND BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  PYROTECHNICS Jan19 Dec29       (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FIVE GRAND GIRL by FIVE STAR DAY)
6  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Dec13         (beattie )DAVIS A 122 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
7  COMBAT HOOFS         (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of FOUR INCH HEELS by AFLEET ALEX)
 
PEN-7   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARISTOCAT Jan11 Dec29 Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
2  POCOPSON STATION Feb02 Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov15 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 50.00    
SCR  SANTO Feb01 Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
4  SAMURAI SAINT Jan03 Dec12 Nov29 Nov01 Sep30 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SECRETARY AT WAR Jan24 Dec29 Dec07 Nov15 Oct11 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
6  CARTE BLANCHE Jan24 Dec20 Nov16 Nov02 Sep21 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 ★    
7  FEDERAL CASE Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 Oct26 (kravets )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
8  SHANGHAI CANDY Jan10 Dec22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.