Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Sunday - March 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-7   WIN (9/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    DD (2/4/5)-(9/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $16.50 $4.50 38%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:124 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST IMPRESSION 2 2 3 3 2 2nk 1 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 44% 1.20 0.85 W
  (by UNION RAGS out of DELICATE LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
STAMP OF APPROVAL 4 1 11 11 1 1nk 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 2.25  
  (by NYQUIST out of THIS IS MAGIC by BERNARDINI)
AUTUMN'S TURN 3 3 4 4 45 35 3 (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00 5% 19.00 22.20 S
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
THE TACO LADY 5 4 21 21 3 4 47 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 8.80  
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
LUMENIQUE 1 5 510 56 5 510¾ 514¼ (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 20% 3.90 3.95  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of FILM IDOL by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-2   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA TROUBLE 5 5 6 53   4¾ 12 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 4.50  
BRICK AMBUSH 3 6 54 42   1½ 22 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 58% 0.70 0.50 P
MAD BANKER 1 4 32 3   2½ 32 (pot)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 13.60  
ALWAYS A WARRIOR 6 1 2½ 2nk   3½ 4 (david carl)RIVERA R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
ALLIED ATTACK 2 2 1½ 1nk   5 515¼ (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 13% 6.50 5.20  
SOLO IN PARIS 4 3 4 6   612¼ 625¼ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 17.40  
 
AQU-3   03/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKI PATROL 3 1 2nk 11   13 1 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 54% 0.90 0.80 W
LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 4 32 3   23 2 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.65 P
CO CONSPIRATOR 1 2 1nk 21   3 3 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00 15.30  
WINNING DRIVE 4 3 4 42   44 4 (sells ra)DAVIS A 118 15.00 24.75  
HONORARY DEGREE 2 5 54 54   5 515½ (persaud ra)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
SCR  COLONEL VARGO               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80    
 
AQU-4   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOSS THREE O TWO 5 4 4 59   46 11 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 10% 8.60 1.75 W
  (by STREET BOSS out of ROSE AGAIN by CURLIN)
IRISH TENOR 7 1 1 1   15 21 (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 1.40 49% 1.00 1.45 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SANDY SWEET TOOTH 4 3 32 36   36 3 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 1.75 S
  (by BLAME out of ANIMAL APPEAL by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
AELFGAR 3 2 2 2   25 44 (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 4.00 3.40  
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
BARRON'S BOUNCE 2 6 613 613   6 5 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 17% 5.00 14.20  
  (by FLATTER out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WITHIN VIEW 6 5 5 4   5 6 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 8.50  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SHORE TIME 1 7 714½ 713½   711½ 7 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
 
AQU-5   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERAVIGLIOSO 1 3 2nk 1nk   1 1 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 4.00  
RUVIES IN TIME 5 2 4 4   3 2 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.80 P
TEMPERMENTAL 4 6 31 31   2 3 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.50 44% 1.30 0.40 S
EROS'S GIRL 2 4 6 6   6 4 (ferraro antho)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00 8.30  
DARN THAT SONG 6 1 1nk 2nk   4 58 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 12.00 23% 3.40 22.40  
MAGGIE 3 5 5 53   55 6 (goberdhan)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00 9.60  
 
AQU-6   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE THE BOSS 4 3 43 22   22 11 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 28% 2.60 1.55 W
EXCELLENT TIMING 6 2 1 12   12 21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 2.95  
WRITER'S REGRET 5 1 2 3   3 3 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
BEACH BOY AL 1 6 54 44   47 4 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 4.20  
DISCO DEANO 3 4 33 55   59 513 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 15.00 23.40  
PERFECT MUNNINGS 2 5 68 615   617 626¾ (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 41% 1.50 3.50  
 
AQU-7   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUPP 1 2 1 1   13 1 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 35% 1.90 3.80 W
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 4 1 2 34   35 2 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 8.00  
WHAT'S UP BRO 8 3 3 2   23 3 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 37% 1.70 2.20 S
NARCISO DALI 7 7 7 77   5 4 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 5.50  
GOT THUNDER 5 8 6 56   6 5 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 7% 13.10 9.70  
RYAN'S CAT 6 5 54 4   46 6 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
AUTHORIZE 2 4 8 8   78 7 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 3.85  
DREAMS SHE DREAMS 3 6 4 6   89 814¾ (brown bruc)RIVERA R 115 15.00 24.50  
SCR  GIANT'S FIRE               (terranova john)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUAZARAH 4 3 1 1½   1 1 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 46% 1.20 0.85 W
CONNIVING 1 6 75 5   4 2 (chapman james )LUZZI J 120 4.50 4.60  
PICCOLO DIAVOLO 2 4 32 34   3 3 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
MY MAN WOODY 7 2 2 2½   2 46 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 6% 14.80 13.40  
MR. GEORGIE 6 5 42 45   5 57 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 19% 4.30 3.60  
CLASSIC KINGDOM 3 7 64 6   67 6 (friedman mit)HARKIE K 120 15.00 16.50  
CASTLECOVE SPIRIT 5 1 53 7   711 712½ (davis)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 46.50  
SCR  ARTETA               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  VIEJO VERDE               (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.