Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/2/6)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/6/3)-(6/3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/3/1/2)-(4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(4/6/5)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(2/4/5)-(9/1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(9/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(9/1/6/7)-(6/8/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (9/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/7)-(9/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/7)-(9/1/6/7)-(9/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/6/7)-(6/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/3)-(6/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/3)-(6/8/9/3)-(6/8/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUMENIQUE Feb11         (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of FILM IDOL by BERNARDINI)
2  BEST IMPRESSION Jan27         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 44% 1.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DELICATE LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
3  AUTUMN'S TURN Feb18 Feb04       (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
4  STAMP OF APPROVAL Feb11         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of THIS IS MAGIC by BERNARDINI)
5  THE TACO LADY Feb11         (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
AQU-2   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD BANKER Feb19 Jan05 Dec08 Nov11 Oct04 (pot)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00    
2  ALLIED ATTACK Jan18 Dec29 Nov18 Aug05   (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  BRICK AMBUSH Jan19 Dec16 Nov17 Oct05   (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 58% 0.70    
4  SOLO IN PARIS Feb19 Dec16 Nov30 Nov02 Oct04 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
5  LOTSA TROUBLE Jan19 Dec10 Nov12     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
6  ALWAYS A WARRIOR Jan28 Dec15 Nov18 Sep24 Aug27 (david carl)RIVERA R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   03/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLONEL VARGO Jan18 Jan08 Dec15 Nov24 Nov09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80    
2  CO CONSPIRATOR Mar02 Feb23 Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00    
3  HONORARY DEGREE Mar01 Jan31 Nov08 Oct18 Oct02 (persaud ra)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SKI PATROL Feb10 Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
5  WINNING DRIVE Feb25 Dec09 Nov30 Nov25 Nov11 (sells ra)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
6  LAFITTE'S FLEET Mar01 Feb03 Dec29 Nov04 Oct07 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-4   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY SWEET TOOTH         (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
  (by BLAME out of ANIMAL APPEAL by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
1A  BOSS THREE O TWO         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 10% 8.60    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ROSE AGAIN by CURLIN)
2  SHORE TIME Feb25 Feb03 Jan07 Dec29 Dec10 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
3  BARRON'S BOUNCE Feb25         (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  AELFGAR Feb25 Feb03       (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 4.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  WITHIN VIEW Feb02         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  IRISH TENOR Feb17 Jan18       (kimmel john)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 1.40 49% 1.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-5   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERAVIGLIOSO Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Nov18 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
2  EROS'S GIRL Feb19 Feb03 Jan05 Dec07 Nov14 (ferraro antho)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
3  MAGGIE Mar02 Feb16 Dec03 Oct26 Sep15 (goberdhan)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00    
4  TEMPERMENTAL Feb03 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.50 44% 1.30    
5  RUVIES IN TIME Feb29 Feb03 Sep09 Aug12 Jul20 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DARN THAT SONG Feb23 Jan28 Jan07 May09 Apr06 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 12.00 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-6   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH BOY AL Jan27 Dec30 Nov21 Nov08 Sep20 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
2  PERFECT MUNNINGS Sep21 Aug23 Dec17 Oct30 Aug26 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  DISCO DEANO Nov15 Sep01 Jul12 May29 Oct10 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 15.00    
4  BE THE BOSS Feb16 Dec03 Nov10 Oct01 Sep04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  WRITER'S REGRET Feb04 Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 Aug16 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXCELLENT TIMING May19 Apr21 Mar12 Feb17 Jan21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
 
AQU-7   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUPP Feb19 Jan14 Jan01 Dec16 Nov02 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  AUTHORIZE Feb09 Jan07 Dec08 Nov11   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  GIANT'S FIRE Feb09 Jun09 Apr07 Feb11 Nov11 (terranova john)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
4  DREAMS SHE DREAMS         (brown bruc)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
5  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Feb09 Jan14 Nov24 Oct22 Sep02 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
6  GOT THUNDER Mar02 Feb09 Nov12 Oct26 Aug05 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 7% 13.10    
7  RYAN'S CAT Feb03 Jan07 Dec30 Dec07 Oct14 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  NARCISO DALI Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Nov02 Oct04 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
9  WHAT'S UP BRO Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 Oct19 Oct05 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-8   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNIVING Mar03 Feb16 Sep29 Sep11   (chapman james )LUZZI J 120 4.50    
SCR  ARTETA Sep01 Jul15       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
3  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Feb16 Jan12 Nov30     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLASSIC KINGDOM Mar01         (friedman mit)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
SCR  VIEJO VERDE         (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 30.00    
6  MUAZARAH Jan27 Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 Aug27 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
7  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Feb02 Nov02 Sep22 Aug26   (davis )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
8  MR. GEORGIE         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 19% 4.30    
9  MY MAN WOODY Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 6% 14.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.