Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $16.60 $10.60 177%
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-1 $34.00 $25.00 278%
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-6 $23.30 $14.30 159%
AQU-3   TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-3-1 $16.25 $4.25 35%
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $22.70 $10.70 89%
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-6-5 $57.25 $21.25 59%
AQU-4   PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00  6-5-6 $66.75 $30.75 85%
AQU-5   PK4 (3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/6/4)-(4/5/3) 108 $0.50 $54.00  6-5-6-4/7 $101.87 $47.87 89%
    PK5 (2/4/5)-(3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/6/4)-(4/5/3) 324 $0.50 $162  2/3-6-5-6-4/7 $319.75 $157.75 97%
AQU-6   EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-6-3 $13.50 $10.50 350%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PROPRIETARY TRADE 2 3 11 12   16 14¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 39% 1.60 1.40 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO'S SONG by UNCLE MO)
4  LASER SHARP 3 5 42½ 45   26 24¾ (terranova )RIVERA R 120 1.60 34% 1.90 1.85 P
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
6  ROMANTIC CHARMER 5 1 21 22   36½ 310¾ (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 9.40  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
5  TWO TONS OF FUN 4 4 53 56½   59½ 411¼ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
  (by NYQUIST out of O' MAGGI by PADDY O'PRADO)
1  ALEAH ALEAH 1 2 31½ 33   48 513¾ (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 6.40  
  (by MASTERY out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO               (martin carlos )LUZZI J 120 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of AVERYBLAKE by CURLIN)
 
AQU-2   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLLECT DATTT 6 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 5% 19.00 7.30 W
1A  VOLEUSE 5 7 61¾ 42   31 2¼ (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 118 3.50 21% 3.80 2.70 P
7  FRANNIE LEW 7 2 3½ 31   2½ 33½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 9.50  
3  ROMAN GODDESS 2 5 41 53   54 44 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 48% 1.10 2.10  
5  STOP GIGGLING 3 3 2nk 2nk   41½ 55¼ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 ★ 3.10  
1  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 4 4 51½ 74¾   76 66½ (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.50 2.70  
2  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH 1 6 72¾ 64½   66 714 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 5.80  
SCR  WILL BE FAMOUS               (toscano jo)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
 
AQU-3   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TALKIN PHAROAH 4 1 1nk 1nk   14½ 13 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.00 39% 1.60 0.75 W
3  BIG SAVE 2 7 73¼ 74¾   46½ 23 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 26% 2.80 4.10 P
1A  FACE ABARRIO 6 2 2nk 2nk   24½ 34½ (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
4  MOVING PICTURES 3 5 41½ 53¾   57 45¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 7.60  
2  MIDNIGHT WORKER 1 4 31 33   36 56 (chichakly ami)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 33.25  
7  NEWPORT BRIDGE 7 3 62¼ 43¼   69 613¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 10% 9.10 4.90  
6  GOLD IN THEM HILLS 5 6 51¾ 63¾   714 721 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 123 30.00 69.00  
SCR  NORGAY               (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 120 6.00    
 
AQU-4   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:142     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RETAIL MAN 4 2 21½ 2nk   11½ 12 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 30% 2.30 2.05 W
7  MASTER FREUD 5 5 52¾ 31½   21½ 22 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 15.00 14.00  
5  COMPUTE IT 3 1 31½ 43½   46½ 38¾ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 36% 1.80 1.05 S
4  UPTOMYKNEESINIT 2 4 42½ 54½   57 410¾ (donk david)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
3  SOLO EMPIRE 1 3 11½ 1nk   36½ 513¾ (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5.30  
SCR  JAXIMUS               (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  THE DELAWARE BOYZ               (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
 
AQU-5   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:142 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STRESS RELIEVER 4 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 1hd (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 36% 1.80 1.00 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
6  CALLING AN AUDIBLE 6 2 2nk 2½ 2nk 2nk 2hd (barker edw)RIVERA R 120 4.50 4.30  
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
5  APOLLONIA C 5 1 31 41½ 35½ 35 33¾ (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 26% 2.80 5.90 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
3  TURNUPTHEMUSIC 3 4 41¼ 31½ 48½ 48½ 49 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
1  CALL HER BLUFF 1 6 62¼ 53½ 512½ 514½ 514 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 2.85  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
2  ADDAGIRL ADDIE 2 5 52¼ 64 619½ 622½ 624¾ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 34.00  
  (by DESTIN out of DASH DOT DASH by NORTH TOWER)
SCR  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS               (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GET GORGEOUS by FREUD)
 
AQU-6   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWIFTSURE 1 1 1½ 11   12½ 13½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20 1.45 W
6  NOVA RAGS 4 4 2½ 21   22½ 23½ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 5% 19.00 3.15 P
3  WINIT 2 3 42 32   34 34 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 30% 2.30 2.90 S
4  STOLEN BASE 3 2 52½ 42½   44 46¼ (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 3.50  
1A  SYNTHESIS 5 5 31 52½   57 510½ (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 12.30  
SCR  DIVINE ARMOR               (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
SCR  KINETIC SKY               ( )TBA null      
SCR  PETULANTE               (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80    
 
AQU-7   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FRAU DIABLO 5 2 11½ 11½   15 11¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 2.50  
3  VIRTUAL REALITY 2 3 21½ 21½   25 21¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 27% 2.70 2.70 P
1  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 1 5 63 44   38 36 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
8  VIENNA CODE 6 1 42 55   515 413¼ (williams an)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 30.00 53.75  
5  TIMELY CONQUEST 4 4 31½ 33   415 524¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.60 28% 2.60 1.40  
4  TRIPLE P 3 6 52½ 65½   621½ 624¾ (jones )GRISALES DANILO 120 50.00 57.50  
SCR  BABA               (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 30.00    
SCR  DAME CINCO               (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
 
AQU-8   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BAR FOURTEEN 2 2 11 11 11 12½ 15½ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 8.30  
5  KHAFRE 4 4 21 21 21 22½ 25½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 4.80  
4  FIRST GLIMPSE 3 3 32½ 53 33½ 34 36 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 31% 2.20 2.35 S
7  BOURBON CALLING 5 6 66½ 43 45½ 46 48 (garber owen)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 24% 3.20 3.45  
2  DADDY KNOWS 1 1 43 67½ 617 619½ 521¾ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 3.00 2.40  
8  MAJESTIC EAGLE 6 5 53 32 58 519 628½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
SCR  BLAKE B.               (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 20.00    
SCR  CANDY TYCOON               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC FRONTIER               (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.