Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/1)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/1)-(5/6/4)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/5/3)-(2/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/3/6)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/3/1)-(4/7/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEAH ALEAH Oct21 Sep14       (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
2  PROPRIETARY TRADE Feb10         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO'S SONG by UNCLE MO)
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO         (martin carlos )LUZZI J 120 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of AVERYBLAKE by CURLIN)
4  LASER SHARP Feb10 Dec14       (terranova )RIVERA R 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
5  TWO TONS OF FUN         (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of O' MAGGI by PADDY O'PRADO)
6  ROMANTIC CHARMER Feb17         (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
 
AQU-2   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Feb11 Jan26 Nov25 Nov03 Oct07 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.50    
1A  VOLEUSE Feb17 Jan26 Jan12 Dec15 Nov17 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
2  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Feb17 Jan11 Nov16 Oct05 Sep08 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
3  ROMAN GODDESS Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Dec14 Oct26 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  WILL BE FAMOUS Feb17 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Nov03 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
5  STOP GIGGLING Jan26 Jan04 Dec15     (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 ★    
6  COLLECT DATTT Feb16 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  FRANNIE LEW Feb17 Jan07 Jan20 Jan05 Dec16 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FACE ABARRIO Feb25 Feb03 Jan01 Dec17 Dec01 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NORGAY Feb18 Dec31 Dec01 Jul16 Jun18 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 120 6.00    
2  MIDNIGHT WORKER Feb18 Feb03 Jan12 Dec10 Jun18 (chichakly ami)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
3  BIG SAVE Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  MOVING PICTURES Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
5  TALKIN PHAROAH Feb02 Aug26 Jul15 May27 Apr14 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
6  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct03 Sep04 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 123 30.00    
7  NEWPORT BRIDGE Feb11 Jan26 Dec30 Oct15 Sep04 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
AQU-4   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JAXIMUS Feb03         (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Feb04 Jan14 Dec08 Nov11   (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
3  SOLO EMPIRE Feb11 Jan18 Dec16 Dec02   (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
4  UPTOMYKNEESINIT Feb17 Jan07 Dec02     (donk david)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  COMPUTE IT Feb02 Jan06       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
6  RETAIL MAN Jan06 Dec08 Oct22 Oct04   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  MASTER FREUD         (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
 
AQU-5   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL HER BLUFF Feb09 Jan18 Dec17 Dec09 Nov09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
2  ADDAGIRL ADDIE         (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of DASH DOT DASH by NORTH TOWER)
3  TURNUPTHEMUSIC         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  STRESS RELIEVER Feb10         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
5  APOLLONIA C Feb10 Jan14       (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
6  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Feb09 Jan12 Dec17 Nov02 Oct12 (barker edw)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
SCR  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Dec31 Dec02       (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GET GORGEOUS by FREUD)
 
AQU-6   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SYNTHESIS Feb23 Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
SCR  DIVINE ARMOR Feb25 Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 Nov26 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
2  SWIFTSURE Jan12 Nov26 Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  WINIT Jan26 Dec28 Dec02 Nov02 Feb05 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  STOLEN BASE Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 Oct14 Sep09 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
6  NOVA RAGS Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 Nov17 Jun22 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PETULANTE Mar02 Jun17 May06 Jan20 Dec16 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80    
SCR  KINETIC SKY Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 Dec28 Nov17 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-7   03/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Feb24 Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 Nov26 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAME CINCO Feb02 Jan05 Dec31 Nov26 Oct27 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
3  VIRTUAL REALITY Nov26 Sep22 Aug10 Jul13 May28 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  TRIPLE P Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Oct07 Aug24 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 120 50.00    
5  TIMELY CONQUEST Feb03 Nov16 Aug27 Aug11 Jun16 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
SCR  BABA Jan24 Dec13 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 30.00    
7  FRAU DIABLO Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Aug25 Jul30 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
8  VIENNA CODE Jan14 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 (williams an)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 30.00    
 
AQU-8   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Feb18 Jan26 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 5.00    
2  DADDY KNOWS Feb18 Jan26 Dec17 Nov19 Jun11 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 3.00    
3  BAR FOURTEEN Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 Oct18 Sep28 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
4  FIRST GLIMPSE Dec02 Oct13 Aug03 Jul01 May25 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  KHAFRE Feb02 Dec31 Nov16 Sep14 Jun02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  CANDY TYCOON Feb03 Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
7  BOURBON CALLING Feb25 Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 Nov02 (garber owen)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
8  MAJESTIC EAGLE Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 Jul21 Sep14 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLAKE B. Feb09 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.