Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $35.00 $29.00 483%
    DD (4/5)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $13.20 $7.20 120%
AQU-3   EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $12.90 $6.90 115%
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-1 $17.40 $8.40 93%
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/1/2)-(1/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-2-1 $42.25 $24.25 135%
AQU-4   PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/2/4)-(2/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00  2-1-4 $48.50 $21.50 80%
AQU-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $21.80 $15.80 263%
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $38.75 $32.75 546%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUIET WISDOM 3 1 2½ 2½ 11½ 15 110¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 61% 0.70 1.00 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  JUDGE RULES 2 3 42 41½ 34 25 210¾ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★ 2.80 P
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
6  DILLON 5 2 31 31½ 47½ 515½ 321½ (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 32.25  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
2  MAMA'S DREAM 1 4 1½ 1½ 21½ 37½ 422½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 2.30  
  (by FREUD out of MAMA THERESA by CARSON CITY)
5  MALIBU MARGARITA 4 5 52½ 51¾ 58 415½ 523½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FROSTY MARGARITA by FROST GIANT)
SCR  LAND D'ORO               (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAND MINE by MINESHAFT)
 
AQU-2   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STRANGE FRUIT 2 4 1½ 11 11½ 11 12½ (reynolds pa)PAREDES JHOVANY 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
1  PROPER GRAMMAR 1 1 2½ 31 21½ 21 22½ (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 6% 14.70 8.20 P
6  BRAVO REGINA 5 2 42½ 42½ 45 46½ 36½ (sanchez-pinero)LUZZI J 120 3.50 2.20  
4  AFILADA 3 5 31½ 21 34 36½ 48 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60 62% 0.60 0.95  
5  ROSEMARY POTATOES 4 3 56½ 56½ 511 514½ 519¾ (arenas)GRISALES DANILO 120 12.00 16.40  
SCR  JULIANA'S ROSE               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 1.80    
 
AQU-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR BOB 1 2 32 32   21 12 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 45% 1.20 1.90 W
4  DEVIL'S CAY 3 1 2½ 2½   11 22 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 115 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
5  STREET SWAGG 4 4 42½ 43½   41¼ 33¼ (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 4.60  
3  HOT ROD RUMBLE 2 3 1½ 1½   31 45¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 0.75  
SCR  BIG SAVE               (jones edua)RIVERA R 123 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  KOOL KATHMANDU               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
 
AQU-4   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112 1:243   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MUNNY GRAB 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 12¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 17% 4.80 1.00 W
5  FAST AND FRISKY 5 1 2½ 4¾ 2nk 2nk 22¼ (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 3.90  
2  PRINCESS VINO 2 5 61¾ 51¾ 42¼ 33½ 35½ (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 53% 0.90 1.90 S
3  HANDLE ON YOU 3 4 3½ 2½ 32 45 46¾ (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
1  BARONESS BOURBON 1 6 41 3½ 52¾ 57½ 57½ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 12.20  
6  ALLEY'S SONG 6 2 51½ 62¼ 612¾ 619½ 629¼ (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 28.75  
 
AQU-5   03/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S BANK 1 5 43 42   3½ 11¾ (coffey maria)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 6.00 3.10  
2  ALPHA SONNY 2 3 32 32   2½ 21¾ (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 125 20.00 37.25  
3  WAR CHROME 3 6 63¾ 52½   1½ 32¼ (giangiulio)RIVERA R 125 5.00 5% 19.00 3.00 S
7  FLYING IN STYLE 6 4 53½ 65½   64½ 48¼ (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50 24% 3.10 2.30  
5  THE MIGHTY DON 4 2 1nk 1½   53½ 515½ (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 1.80 52% 0.90 2.20  
6  SOMAMA BEACH 5 1 2nk 2½   43 616½ (jerkens st)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 30.00 14.30  
SCR  GENTLE JACK FROST               (persaud rand)HARKIE K 125 30.00    
SCR  ROAD SODA               (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
 
AQU-6   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OCEAN GATEWAY 7 4 2nk 2½ 1½ 13 14¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.00 0.40  
4  GRACEFUL ROSE 4 2 31 31½ 32 33 24¾ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 17% 4.80 10.00 P
6  IRISH JACKSON 6 3 42 52 42 23 35 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 10.00 21.40  
1  MISS FASHIONISTA 1 5 52½ 41½ 52½ 55 46½ (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
3  ANILEATE 3 6 64 63½ 66½ 67 58¼ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 8.00 15.70  
5  ARGENTINA GIRL 5 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 44½ 614½ (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00 32.75  
2  MISS KRISTY 2 7 714 713½ 718½ 722 727¼ (rodriguez gu)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 17% 4.80 10.40  
 
AQU-7   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN BAY 1 1 2nk 1½ 12 13 11¾ (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90 W
5  TOUGH STREET 5 2 43¾ 45 33 23 21¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 21% 3.80 2.00 P
4  TOWHEAD 4 3 3.2 2½ 22 49½ 312 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 11.30  
3  COPPA GIRL 3 6 612¼ 68 56 59½ 412¼ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 49% 1.00 1.15  
6  CRYPTO MAMA 6 5 1nk 3½ 43 39 513 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 13.10  
2  SPIKED 2 4 54¼ 55½ 66¼ 612 622¾ (terranova )RIVERA R 120 3.50 5.30  
SCR  GIVE ME KISSES               (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STRATEGIC DECISION 5 5 1½ 2nk 2½ 1½ 1¼ (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 5.20 DQ↓3
9  INDIANQUEST 9 2 72¼ 62¼ 52¼ 3½ 2¼ (johnso)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 ★ 43.50  
1  DON VINO VICI 1 8 41 42 42 4¾ 3½ (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 12.50 1.95 P
3  ALLEGRINI 3 6 2½ 1nk 1½ 2½ 43 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
6  APURO 6 4 3½ 3½ 3½ 51¼ 55½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 67% 0.50 1.45  
7  UNCLE EDDIE 7 3 82¾ 87¼ 87¾ 65¾ 67 (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 20.80  
8  CROWN THAT SAINT 8 1 51½ 52¼ 66¼ 76¼ 710½ (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 8.00 23.90  
4  NICOLE'S KING 4 9 95¾ 97½ 77¼ 87¾ 812¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 ★ 21.70  
2  CONFLICTED 2 7 61¾ 74¼ 914¼ 915¾ 925½ (mcpeek kenne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 15.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.