Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/1/2)-(1/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/2/4)-(2/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(2/4/3)-(5/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(5/7/3)-(1/2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(1/2/4/5)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/5)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/5)-(3/5/1)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/4/9)-(6/1/3/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAND D'ORO Feb11         (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAND MINE by MINESHAFT)
2  MAMA'S DREAM Feb18 Feb02 Nov12 Sep21   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
  (by FREUD out of MAMA THERESA by CARSON CITY)
3  JUDGE RULES Feb18 Dec29 Nov17     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
4  QUIET WISDOM Feb11 Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 Sep14 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 61% 0.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  MALIBU MARGARITA Jan13 Dec17 Nov04     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FROSTY MARGARITA by FROST GIANT)
6  DILLON Jan13 Nov03 Sep17 Aug03   (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
 
AQU-2   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPER GRAMMAR Feb18 Dec10 Nov30 Jul28 May12 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 6% 14.70    
2  STRANGE FRUIT Feb19 Dec30 Nov26 Oct26 Sep15 (reynolds pa)PAREDES JHOVANY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JULIANA'S ROSE Jan19 Jun23 May11 Apr13 Feb09 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 1.80    
4  AFILADA Feb19 Jan07 Nov25 Apr27 Apr13 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  ROSEMARY POTATOES Feb18 Dec31 Nov25 Aug20 Jul13 (arenas)GRISALES DANILO 120 12.00    
6  BRAVO REGINA Feb19 Jan09 Nov13 Aug22 Aug02 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
 
AQU-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR BOB Feb25 Dec29 Dec09 Nov23 Oct15 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  BIG SAVE Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 (jones eduardo)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 16% 5.30    
3  HOT ROD RUMBLE Feb25 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct01 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
4  DEVIL'S CAY Feb03 Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 Oct08 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  STREET SWAGG Feb02 Jan04 Dec16 Nov26 Nov02 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
SCR  KOOL KATHMANDU Jan01 Nov22 Oct22 Sep16 Feb11 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
 
AQU-4   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARONESS BOURBON Feb18 Jan19 Dec10 Oct29 Oct01 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
2  PRINCESS VINO Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Dec01   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 53% 0.90    
3  HANDLE ON YOU Feb29 Jan19 Dec28 Dec01 Oct29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUNNY GRAB Feb18 Dec30 Nov16 Oct22 Sep01 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 17% 4.80    
5  FAST AND FRISKY Feb09 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Aug27 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00    
6  ALLEY'S SONG Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 Nov18 Oct01 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
 
AQU-5   03/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S BANK Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Nov19 (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00    
2  ALPHA SONNY Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 Jul21 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 125 20.00    
3  WAR CHROME Feb03         (giangiulio)RIVERA R 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROAD SODA         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
5  THE MIGHTY DON Jan04 Dec09 Nov10 May19   (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 1.80 52% 0.90    
6  SOMAMA BEACH Feb24 Dec07 Nov10 Sep21 Aug19 (jerkens st)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 30.00    
7  FLYING IN STYLE Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  GENTLE JACK FROST Jul10         (persaud rand)HARKIE K 125 30.00    
 
AQU-6   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS FASHIONISTA Feb16 Dec30 Nov17 Dec16 Nov18 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  MISS KRISTY Jan01 Dec08 Oct28 Sep03 Aug06 (rodriguez gu)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  ANILEATE Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 Nov26 Oct12 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
4  GRACEFUL ROSE Feb23 Dec31 Nov24 Oct11 Jul30 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  ARGENTINA GIRL Feb19 Jan09 Nov26 Aug21 May03 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  IRISH JACKSON Dec30 Nov30 Apr30     (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 10.00    
7  OCEAN GATEWAY Jan18 Dec16 Jul13 Jun02 Apr30 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.00    
 
AQU-7   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN BAY Feb19 Dec28 Dec03 Nov25 Oct27 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPIKED Feb10 Apr21 Feb24 Jan12 Nov25 (terranova )RIVERA R 120 3.50    
3  COPPA GIRL Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 Nov26 Sep04 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
4  TOWHEAD Feb19 May19 Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
5  TOUGH STREET Feb19 Oct29 Oct04 Aug30 Jul29 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  CRYPTO MAMA Feb04 Dec28 Nov25 Oct06 Sep17 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  GIVE ME KISSES Feb19 Dec14 Nov05 Dec30 Nov20 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON VINO VICI Feb16 Dec14 Oct13 Sep14 Aug10 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 12.50    
2  CONFLICTED Jan28         (mcpeek kenne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
3  ALLEGRINI Feb18 Dec08 Nov17     (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  NICOLE'S KING         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 ★    
5  STRATEGIC DECISION Jan28         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
6  APURO Feb10 Nov04       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 67% 0.50    
7  UNCLE EDDIE Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 Sep03 Aug26 (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
8  CROWN THAT SAINT Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Oct07 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 8.00    
9  INDIANQUEST         (johnso)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.