Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $2.00  
AQU-2   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
AQU-3   Win (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
AQU-4   Win (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
AQU-5   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
AQU-6   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
AQU-7   Win (6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $39.80  
AQU-8   Win (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:141 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEEP IT SEXY 2 3 2nk 21 21 2½ 1hd (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00    
4  HOT CANDY 3 4 42 41½ 43 42½ 2hd (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 12% 7.40 2.70 P
6  PRUGOVA 5 1 1nk 11 11 1½ 31¾ (contessa c)OLVER MADISON 126 5.00 4.60  
5  JAYLA 4 2 3½ 31½ 31 32 43 (d'alessandro r)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00 8.90  
1  TOOSHAY 1 5 56 54 54½ 55½ 56½ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 126 1.40 37% 1.70 0.55  
SCR  OUR REWARD               (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
 
AQU-2   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:113 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PREDICTED 3 2 1½ 11½ 14 16 14 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 32% 2.10 1.45 W
5  THISTLE 4 1 42 33 35 26 24 (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 28% 2.60 2.15 P
1  DISAPPEARANCE 1 5 511 59½ 512 412½ 311 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 123 3.50 1.85  
6  MIDNIGHT WORKER 5 4 2½ 21½ 24 38 412¾ (chichakly ami)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 22.00  
3  FIGHT FIERCELY 2 3 31½ 43½ 411½ 513½ 513¾ (arena)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
SCR  FLASH KISS               (terranova jo)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
 
AQU-3   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EVERLYS GIRL 7 1 11 12   13 13 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 25% 3.10 2.75 W
1  SLACK TIDE 1 3 32 32½   23 23 (kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 14% 6.40 3.75 P
6  TO A T 5 6 52½ 44½   46½ 34 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 26% 2.80 1.25 S
2B  HYDRA 6 4 21 22   35½ 46½ (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50 5.50  
5  DIVINE CROSS 4 5 73½ 77½   511½ 58 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 8.40  
3  TRIPLE P 3 7 63 66½   613½ 613½ (jones ed)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 47.25  
1A  MIDTOWN ROSE 2 2 42 56   7100 7100 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 3.75  
SCR  DIVA BANKER               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50    
SCR  KILLY START               (contessa gar)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
 
AQU-4   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHESALITTLE EDGY 4 1 1½ 1½   13½ 13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 11% 8.10 1.90 W
1A  ICY REPLY 3 5 43½ 35   35 23 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 1.05 P
3  PRETTI XTREME 2 6 610½ 611½   610 33 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 4.10  
2b  TAMING THE TIGRESS 6 4 54½ 45   46½ 44¾ (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.80 57% 0.70    
6  REMAIN ANONYMOUS 5 3 2½ 2½   23½ 56 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 8% 11.10 4.60  
1  JACKIE THE JOKER 1 2 33 55½   510 66¾ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 1.05  
SCR  ANONYMOUSLY               (corrales jose)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.80 ★    
 
AQU-5   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:124 1:254   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POSEIDON'S MIST 7 2 2nk 1nk 1½ 14 12¾ (david carlo)CAMACHO JR 120 1.40 53% 0.90 1.30 W
6  APOLLONIA VITELLI 6 6 63½ 31 2½ 24 22¾ (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 115 6.00 20% 4.00 4.50 P
2  EAST HARBOR 2 4 31 55½ 47 38 37½ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 11.20  
1  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW 1 5 1nk 2nk 35 411½ 412¾ (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 2.80  
5  DELL ARTE 5 1 53 45 512 515½ 514¾ (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 113 15.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
3  FRANKIE'S ROSE 3 7 713½ 718½ 627 627½ 627 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00 45.50  
4  SONG OF SOLOMINI 4 3 41½ 611½ 747 752½ 789 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 ★ 4.20  
 
AQU-6   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DAZZY 3 4 1½ 12   21½ 1½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 13% 6.80 1.35 W
2  FIRST CLASS CAT 1 1 32 22   11½ 2½ (kimmel c)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 8.00 3.75  
3  DOLCE SERA 2 5 55 55   36 36½ (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 115 5.00 5% 19.00 3.40 S
6  GHOSTLY GIRL 4 2 2½ 32   47 48½ (tosca)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 61% 0.70 2.40  
7  PAUCILOQUENT 5 3 44 44½   513 523½ (chatterpaul )RIVERA R 120 15.00 21.10  
SCR  MARLEY'S GHOST               (corrales jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
SCR  TAKE TIME TO DREAM               (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40    
 
AQU-7   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STJAMES 1 6 68½ 65 64 52¼ 1½ (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 15.00 18.90  
6  ASSUME NOTHING 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 36% 1.80 2.15 P
4  GRANDPA'S KID 4 3 42 42 31½ 2½ 3½ (persaud randi)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 4.90  
8  MIGHTY ATLAS 6 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 3½ 42 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 5.70  
3  PROVEN HOPE 3 4 52 52 42 42 52¼ (barker edward )HARKIE K 123 4.00 21% 3.70 2.05  
2  KANT BEAT THE ROCK 2 5 31½ 31½ 52 63¼ 65¾ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
SCR  CLOUD FOREST               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  GUT FEELING               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDTOWN LIGHTS 1 1 41 31 21 2nk 1½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 43% 1.30 4.40 W
5  RACING COLORS 5 8 810 810½ 78½ 44 2½ (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 10.00 12.00  
4  KHALI MAGIC 4 2 1½ 11 11 1nk 31 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.60 15% 5.50 0.70 S
6  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 6 3 31 53 55 64¾ 45 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 10% 9.10 10.10  
7  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 7 4 63½ 67½ 67½ 54½ 56¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 6.40  
3  MY FIRST LOVE 3 5 52 41½ 32 33½ 67 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
2  AMITY ISLAND 2 7 75 79 811 89¾ 711¼ (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 20.00 63.50  
8  APRIL ANTICS 8 6 2½ 21 44½ 78¾ 818 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 12.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.