Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-2   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOSHAY Feb11 Dec15 Nov16 Oct06 Aug16 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 126 1.40 37% 1.70    
KEEP IT SEXY Mar04 Feb07 Dec23 Nov21 Oct26 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 126 4.00    
SCR  OUR REWARD Feb17 Jan07 Jan01     (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
HOT CANDY Feb18 Jan13       (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
JAYLA Feb15 Dec27 Nov30 Nov08 Oct01 (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 121 6.00    
PRUGOVA Jan26         (contessa c)OLVER MADISON 126 5.00    
 
AQU-2   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISAPPEARANCE Mar08 Feb18 Feb10 Jan13 Jan01 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 123 3.50    
SCR  FLASH KISS Mar08 Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Oct14 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
FIGHT FIERCELY Feb10 Jan05 Nov26 Nov02 Oct06 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
PREDICTED Mar08 Jan13 Dec13 Nov17 Oct31 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
THISTLE Dec07 Oct24 Sep04 Aug18 Jan17 (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
MIDNIGHT WORKER Mar07 Feb18 Feb03 Jan12 Dec10 (chichakly ami)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLACK TIDE Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec07 Nov10 (kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 14% 6.40    
1A  MIDTOWN ROSE Feb23 Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Nov17 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
2B  HYDRA Feb23 Jan19 Dec07 Nov25 Oct27 (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50    
SCR  DIVA BANKER Feb10 Jan11 Jan05 Dec08 Nov10 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50    
TRIPLE P Mar07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Oct07 (jones ed)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KILLY START Jan11 Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 (contessa gar)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
DIVINE CROSS Feb24 Jan28 Jan04 Dec28 Dec17 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50    
TO A T Feb10 Feb02 Dec31 Dec14 Oct27 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 26% 2.80    
EVERLYS GIRL Jan19 Dec03 Oct22 Aug10 Jul28 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-4   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE THE JOKER Feb09 Jan11 Jan04 Dec07 Nov10 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
1A  ICY REPLY Feb29 Feb09 Jan05 Dec14 Nov18 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2b  TAMING THE TIGRESS Feb29 Feb19 Feb04 Jan11 Oct28 (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.80 57% 0.70    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Feb25 Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.80    
PRETTI XTREME Feb10 Jan14 Nov25 Oct27 Aug30 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  ANONYMOUSLY Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 Dec16 Nov26 (corrales jose)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50    
SHESALITTLE EDGY Feb16 Dec14 Nov24 Feb24 Jan27 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 11% 8.10    
REMAIN ANONYMOUS Feb16 Dec14 Oct28 Oct01 Aug21 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
 
AQU-5   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Oct12 Jul26       (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
EAST HARBOR Mar03 Feb19       (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
FRANKIE'S ROSE Feb19         (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00    
SONG OF SOLOMINI Jan19 Dec28 Oct20 Oct01   (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50    
DELL ARTE Feb19 Jan06       (quick patric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
APOLLONIA VITELLI Feb21 Jan30 Jan03 Dec20 Nov15 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 20% 4.00    
POSEIDON'S MIST Feb09 Jan28 Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 (david carlo)CAMACHO JR 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-6   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Mar07 Feb11 Jan26 Nov25 Nov03 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40    
FIRST CLASS CAT Feb17 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08   (kimmel c)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 8.00    
DOLCE SERA Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 (delauro j)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
DAZZY Oct20 Sep03 Aug12 Jun12 May15 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MARLEY'S GHOST Feb23 Jan27 Dec16 Nov19 Oct12 (corrales jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Oct26 (tosca)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 61% 0.70    
PAUCILOQUENT Feb18 Jan19 Aug16 Jun24 May18 (chatterpaul )RIVERA R 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STJAMES Feb11 Jan12 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Mar09 Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 Jan01 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PROVEN HOPE Feb24 Feb11 Jan13 Dec28 Oct15 (barker edward )HARKIE K 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
GRANDPA'S KID Feb29 Feb11 Dec29 Dec15 Dec01 (persaud randi)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  GUT FEELING Mar02 Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 Oct07 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
ASSUME NOTHING Feb24 Jan27 Dec29 Nov26 Oct08 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CLOUD FOREST Jan12 Dec02 Oct20 Sep14 Jul19 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
MIGHTY ATLAS Aug26 Aug10 Jul09 Jun10 May05 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
 
AQU-8   03/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDTOWN LIGHTS Feb19 Jan19 Jun18 May29 Apr23 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
AMITY ISLAND Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 Nov16 (persa)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 20.00    
MY FIRST LOVE Feb19 Jul02 Jun01 May04 Apr13 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
KHALI MAGIC Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.60 15% 5.50    
RACING COLORS Feb11 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Oct19 (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
RIBOT'S VALENTINE Feb04 Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 Aug03 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 10% 9.10    
GONE AND FORGOTTEN Feb17 Jan19 Dec31 Nov14 Oct24 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
APRIL ANTICS Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 Oct29 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.