The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - March 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.50 $2.50 -3.50
AQU-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
AQU-4   Win (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
AQU-5   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $17.80 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
AQU-7   Win (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -1.40
AQU-8   Win (9/12/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ROD RUMBLE 5 1 2½ 1½   1 13 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 0.60 57% 0.80 0.25 W
MOVING PICTURES 3 3 3 44   3 23 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 123 4.00 11% 7.70 5.60 P
FACE ABARRIO 2 2 1½ 2½   2 3 (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 5.90  
FIGHT FIERCELY 4 5 5 57   57 47 (arenas marcel)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 6.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 1 4 43 33   4 57 (d'alessandr)CAMACHO JR 123 15.00 32.25  
 
AQU-2   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO IN ETERNITY 3 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 2.10  
SHE'S A NATURAL 5 2 53 56   45 2 (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.40 P
EASTERN STAR 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (donk david)RIVERA R 122 2.50 15% 5.70 1.50 S
HAPPY'S SMILE 1 3 3 44   34 4 (barrow paul)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 6.80  
AUTUMN 2 5 42 3   57 513½ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 50% 1.00 2.35  
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION               (tessore bruno)LUZZI J 122 4.00    
 
AQU-3   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATEAU 1 1 1½ 1   1 1¾ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 1.40 14% 6.00 0.85 W
TALKIN PHAROAH 2 3 2½ 2   2 2¾ (noda orl)GRISALES DANILO 118 2.50 19% 4.30 7.50 P
GRAYWING 5 4 3 3   3 3 (englehart jeff)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 46% 1.20 5.90 S
HIGH HEAT 6 2 45 4   46 44 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 13.00  
HORN OF PLENTY 3 6 67 6   610 510¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5.70  
CAN'T BEAT ME 4 5 57 5   510 610¼ (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 4.60  
 
AQU-4   03/22/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS HAYLEY 1 6 5 5   25 1 (englehart jeffr)OLVER MADISON 120 2.50 23% 3.40 2.50 W
ARMY OF THOUGHTS 7 1 1½ 1nk   15 2 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 6.00 16.00  
SHASI 5 5 6 613   5 3 (donk david)RIVERA R 120 10.00 10.30  
PROPER GRAMMAR 2 2 4 47   3 4 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00 10.70  
PAUCILOQUENT 3 4 3 32   4 515 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 10.00 5% 17.90 41.50  
DANCE WITH ME BABE 4 3 2½ 2nk   6 619 (barrera oscar)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 10.00 22% 3.60 24.50  
TWO REDHEADS 6 7 710 717   717½ 725½ (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20 29% 2.50 0.60  
 
AQU-5   03/22/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:113 1:364   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS 2 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1½ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 7.90  
MACALLAN 1 6 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 2½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20 1.60 P
1A  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 5 3 5 5 5 31 32 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 3.10 S
MR. RIPPLE 7 1 41 4 3 4 45 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 23% 3.40 2.45  
SHIPSATIONAL 6 2 7 7 6 56 5 (barker edwa)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 16% 5.30 9.70  
CENTAVO 4 7 65 6 7 6 6 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 12.90  
CHEEKY TICO 3 4 3½ 31 4 711½ 729½ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 120 4.00 3.10  
 
AQU-6   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADE SECRET 2 2 2½ 21   2 1nk (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 10% 9.40 4.60 W
SISTER LINDA 3 5 4 4   1 2nk (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00 20% 3.90 2.45 P
VEGAS WEEKEND 6 4 3 32   43 3 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 2.05  
GRINGOTTS 5 1 5 5   5 48 (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 120 15.00 14.10  
VINTAGE 1 3 1½ 11   32 5 (reynolds patric)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50 48% 1.10 2.15  
MORE MANGO 4 6 6 613½   612½ 615½ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00 42.50  
SCR  KILLY START               (contessa gar)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
SCR  SWEET AS SUGAR               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   03/22/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:253 :50 1:142 1:384   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER FOREVER 2 3 3 4 3 1 1 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 53% 0.90 2.30 W
HORSE BE WITH YOU 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2 2 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 13% 6.50 2.85 P
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 7 5 76 54 53 35 38 (friedman mit)RIVERA R 120 15.00 26.75  
AULA 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 5 4 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 12% 7.30 2.10  
OCTOBER BLISS 1 7 4 3 4 45 5 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
PROVISION 3 4 5 65 6 66 610½ (shivmangal lolit)LUZZI J 120 12.00 9.60  
SUPREME BEING 6 6 65 7 74 7 712½ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 20.00 32.25  
SCR  WANNA WINNA               (chichakly amira)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
 
AQU-8   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH LOVE TORRES 2 10 77 7   6 1 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5.50  
AUNT YOLA 6 8 5 5   3 2 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.75 P
PEONY 7 1 4 3½   1nk 32 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 39% 1.60 1.35 S
INFLAMMABELLE 4 2 12 1½   2nk 4 (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 53.75  
DOLCE VELOCE 5 3 22 2½   4 5 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7% 14.20 7.00  
WELCOME BACK BABE 3 6 3 42   55 6 (nevin michell)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 18.90  
TROUBLED LUCK 1 9 65 6   7 7 (delauro edw)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 57.75  
10  BROOKLYN DANTZ 8 5 9 914   915¼ 812½ (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 30.00 58.25  
12  LUNA PATINA 10 4 8 89   812¼ 913¼ (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 8.00 31% 2.20 4.90  
11  ADULT ENTERTAINER 9 7 1010 1022   1030¼ 1036¼ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00 62.75  
SCR  BETTER BE SMART               (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SCR  GEOPOLITICS               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.