Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/4/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/2/1)-(6/1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/1/4/3)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/3)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/3)-(2/6/5)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/3/2)-(2/4/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/4/6/1)-(9/12/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(9/12/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/12/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/6/8)-(9/12/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/12/6/8)-(9/12/6/8/2)-(9/12/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Mar07 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct03 (d'alessan)CAMACHO JR 123 15.00    
2  FACE ABARRIO Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 Jan01 Dec17 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00    
3  MOVING PICTURES Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 123 4.00 11% 7.70    
4  FIGHT FIERCELY Mar15 Feb10 Jan05 Nov26 Nov02 (arenas marc)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOT ROD RUMBLE Mar14 Feb25 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 0.60 57% 0.80    
 
AQU-2   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY'S SMILE Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Nov21 Dec03 (barrow paul)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
2  AUTUMN Jul29 May27 Apr08     (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SAMSATIONAL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  ECHO IN ETERNITY Jan27 Jun16 Apr29     (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  EASTERN STAR Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 (donk david)RIVERA R 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
5  SHE'S A NATURAL Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Mar10 Feb09 Apr14 Mar24 Jan22 (tessore bruno)LUZZI J 122 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-3   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATEAU Feb19 Jan31 Dec30 Nov18 Oct14 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 1.40 14% 6.00    
2  TALKIN PHAROAH Mar07 Feb02 Aug26 Jul15 May27 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  HORN OF PLENTY Mar03 Feb04 Jan01 Dec15 Oct17 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
4  CAN'T BEAT ME Mar03 Jan06 Nov21 Nov06 Oct09 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
5  GRAYWING Feb24 Jan25 Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 (englehart je)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  HIGH HEAT Feb10 Jan06 Dec17 May30 May15 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   03/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS HAYLEY May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  PROPER GRAMMAR Mar14 Feb18 Dec10 Nov30 Jul28 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00    
3  PAUCILOQUENT Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 Aug16 Jun24 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 10.00 5% 17.90    
4  DANCE WITH ME BABE Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 Jul23 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 10.00 22% 3.60    
5  SHASI Feb19 Jan07 Dec10 Nov25 Nov03 (donk david)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
6  TWO REDHEADS Oct26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 Nov05 (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20 29% 2.50    
7  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Feb18 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
 
AQU-5   03/22/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEEKY TICO Mar02 Feb18 Feb10 Dec31 Dec01 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 120 4.00    
1A  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Mar09 Jan27 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
2  MACALLAN Mar01 Jan27 Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  MAGICAL WAYS Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Nov09 Oct21 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
4  CENTAVO Mar01 Feb11 Jan27 Jan12 Jan01 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
5  SHIPSATIONAL Mar09 Dec16 Jul01 Jun10 Apr14 (barker ed)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
6  MR. RIPPLE Feb18 Jan19 Apr01 Mar02 Jan08 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-6   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE Feb02 Dec31 Nov30 Aug28 Jul30 (reynolds patr)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  TRADE SECRET Mar08 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07 Nov24 (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
3  SISTER LINDA Mar08 Feb02 Jan14 Dec07 Nov30 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  KILLY START Jan11 Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 (contessa g)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
5  MORE MANGO Feb19 Nov24 Oct28 Sep22 Aug31 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
6  GRINGOTTS Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 Nov09 Oct15 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
SCR  SWEET AS SUGAR Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov30 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
8  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
 
AQU-7   03/22/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTOBER BLISS Feb29 Jan26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLEVER FOREVER Feb29 Feb04 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 53% 0.90    
3  PROVISION Feb29 Feb10 Jan01 Dec07 Nov02 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
4  HORSE BE WITH YOU Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov20 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  WANNA WINNA Mar08 Feb18 Jan05 Apr21 Mar26 (chichakly ami)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
6  AULA Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec15 Dec02 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
7  SUPREME BEING Feb04 Dec17 Nov18 Oct31 Oct18 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 20.00    
8  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov16 (friedman m)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLED LUCK Mar01 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 (delauro e)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  TOUGH LOVE TORRES         (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MOMENT OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  WELCOME BACK BABE Feb10         (nevin miche)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  GEOPOLITICS Feb10         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
5  INFLAMMABELLE Feb10         (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SNICKER BELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  DOLCE VELOCE Feb10 Jan05 Dec09 Nov09   (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  BETTER BE SMART Mar02         (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
8  AUNT YOLA Feb10         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  PEONY Feb10         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLOWER MART by STREET SENSE)
10  BROOKLYN DANTZ Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov19   (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
11  ADULT ENTERTAINER         (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of STEEL SHED by THEATRICAL (IRE))
12  LUNA PATINA Mar02         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 8.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SOLO SURVIVOR by PLEASANT TAP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.