Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Friday - March 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (9/12/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Mar07 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct03 (d'alessandr)CAMACHO JR 123 15.00    
2  FACE ABARRIO Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 Jan01 Dec17 (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00    
3  MOVING PICTURES Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 123 4.00 11% 7.70    
4  FIGHT FIERCELY Mar15 Feb10 Jan05 Nov26 Nov02 (arenas marcel)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOT ROD RUMBLE Mar14 Feb25 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 0.60 57% 0.80    
 
AQU-2   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY'S SMILE Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Nov21 Dec03 (barrow paul)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
2  AUTUMN Jul29 May27 Apr08     (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  ECHO IN ETERNITY Jan27 Jun16 Apr29     (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
4  EASTERN STAR Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 (donk david)RIVERA R 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
5  SHE'S A NATURAL Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Mar10 Feb09 Apr14 Mar24 Jan22 (tessore bruno)LUZZI J 122 4.00    
 
AQU-3   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATEAU Feb19 Jan31 Dec30 Nov18 Oct14 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 1.40 14% 6.00    
2  TALKIN PHAROAH Mar07 Feb02 Aug26 Jul15 May27 (noda orl)GRISALES DANILO 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  HORN OF PLENTY Mar03 Feb04 Jan01 Dec15 Oct17 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
4  CAN'T BEAT ME Mar03 Jan06 Nov21 Nov06 Oct09 (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
5  GRAYWING Feb24 Jan25 Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 (englehart jeff)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  HIGH HEAT Feb10 Jan06 Dec17 May30 May15 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   03/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS HAYLEY May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 (englehart jeffr)OLVER MADISON 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  PROPER GRAMMAR Mar14 Feb18 Dec10 Nov30 Jul28 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00    
3  PAUCILOQUENT Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 Aug16 Jun24 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 10.00 5% 17.90    
4  DANCE WITH ME BABE Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 Jul23 (barrera oscar)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 10.00 22% 3.60    
5  SHASI Feb19 Jan07 Dec10 Nov25 Nov03 (donk david)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
6  TWO REDHEADS Oct26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 Nov05 (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20 29% 2.50    
7  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Feb18 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
 
AQU-5   03/22/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEEKY TICO Mar02 Feb18 Feb10 Dec31 Dec01 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 120 4.00    
1A  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Mar09 Jan27 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
2  MACALLAN Mar01 Jan27 Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  MAGICAL WAYS Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Nov09 Oct21 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
4  CENTAVO Mar01 Feb11 Jan27 Jan12 Jan01 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
5  SHIPSATIONAL Mar09 Dec16 Jul01 Jun10 Apr14 (barker edwa)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
6  MR. RIPPLE Feb18 Jan19 Apr01 Mar02 Jan08 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-6   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE Feb02 Dec31 Nov30 Aug28 Jul30 (reynolds patric)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  TRADE SECRET Mar08 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07 Nov24 (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
3  SISTER LINDA Mar08 Feb02 Jan14 Dec07 Nov30 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  KILLY START Jan11 Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 (contessa gar)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
5  MORE MANGO Feb19 Nov24 Oct28 Sep22 Aug31 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
6  GRINGOTTS Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 Nov09 Oct15 (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
SCR  SWEET AS SUGAR Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov30 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
8  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
 
AQU-7   03/22/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTOBER BLISS Feb29 Jan26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLEVER FOREVER Feb29 Feb04 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 53% 0.90    
3  PROVISION Feb29 Feb10 Jan01 Dec07 Nov02 (shivmangal lolit)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
4  HORSE BE WITH YOU Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov20 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  WANNA WINNA Mar08 Feb18 Jan05 Apr21 Mar26 (chichakly amira)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
6  AULA Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec15 Dec02 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
7  SUPREME BEING Feb04 Dec17 Nov18 Oct31 Oct18 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 20.00    
8  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov16 (friedman mit)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 5:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROUBLED LUCK Mar01 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 (delauro edw)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
2  TOUGH LOVE TORRES         (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 ★    
3  WELCOME BACK BABE Feb10         (nevin michell)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
SCR  GEOPOLITICS Feb10         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
5  INFLAMMABELLE Feb10         (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
6  DOLCE VELOCE Feb10 Jan05 Dec09 Nov09   (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  BETTER BE SMART Mar02         (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
8  AUNT YOLA Feb10         (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  PEONY Feb10         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
10  BROOKLYN DANTZ Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov19   (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
11  ADULT ENTERTAINER         (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00    
12  LUNA PATINA Mar02         (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 8.00 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.