Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $14.40 $8.40 140%
AQU-3   EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $10.50 $4.50 75%
    DD (5/2/4)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-7 $17.00 $8.00 89%
AQU-4   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-4 $138.25 $129.25 1436%
    DD (7/1/3)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-7 $17.30 $8.30 92%
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(7/1/3)-(2/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-7-7 $100.00 $73.00 270%
AQU-5   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    DD (2/7/4)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $37.25 $25.25 210%
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(2/7/4)-(4/1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-7-1 $154.75 $118.75 330%
    PK4 (5/2/4)-(7/1/3)-(2/7/4)-(4/1/5/3) 108 $0.50 $54.00  4-2/4/7-7-1 $372.25 $318.25 589%
AQU-8   EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $21.90 $9.90 83%
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-2-5 $47.25 $35.25 294%
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $12.50 $0.50 4%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:121 1:252   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVA'S UNCLE BILLY 2 4 1nk 11 12 13 1¾ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.15  
SORORITY PRANK 6 1 2nk 21 22 23 2¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 25% 3.00 3.10 P
AIR FORCE CROSS 1 5 31 3 4 35 3 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
COMPUTE IT 4 2 6 69 611 58 4 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 50% 1.00 2.50  
LANDAUER 5 6 4 42 5 6 5 (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00 23.70  
THE DELAWARE BOYZ 3 3 5 53 33 4 6 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 3.90  
 
AQU-2   03/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED D G P 4 2 3½ 31   1½ 1 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 123 3.50 10% 9.00 6.20 W
NINETEEN OYSTERS 6 3 5 6   63 2 (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00 2.40  
ANTHRACITE 5 4 42 5   41 3 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 52% 0.90 1.70 S
STOP THE SPREAD 3 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 42 (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5.10  
UNION LIGHTS 2 6 63 4   5 5 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 13% 6.40 4.80  
NEWPORT BRIDGE 1 1 2nk 2nk   31 6 (ferraro jam)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 8.00 15.00  
 
AQU-3   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:002     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIT WEEKEND 5 2 3 33   22 1 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.40 28% 2.60 1.50 W
STEPPIN' HAWK 2 1 11 13   12 2 (hosang oliver)OLVER MADISON 122 10.00 9% 9.70 5.20 P
TERESA 3 4 21 23   3 3 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 8.00 4.70  
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 4 5 5 4   43 45 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 1.55  
UKRAINIAN PRINCESS 1 3 44 56   58 516¼ (barrow paul)HARKIE K 122 15.00 25% 2.90 13.40  
SCR  DEBBIE DARLING               (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK               (parker jos)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00    
 
AQU-4   03/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:123 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIP'S DREAM 7 7 43 3 2nk 13 1 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 33% 2.00 4.90 W
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAURA CAN DISCO by DISCO RICO)
MUGSY FURY 4 5 710½ 710½ 6 44 2 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50 P
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
A LISTER 3 2 6 6 7 67 3 (pringle edmund)LUZZI J 122 30.00 51.25 DH
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of CITY VICE by CITY ZIP)
CALL BOB 6 3 1½ 2½ 3½ 23 3 (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 2.75 DH
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of POWHATAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
TWIRLING VINE 1 1 55 5 53 34 510½ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00 4.80  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
Z DANCER 5 4 2½ 1½ 1nk 5 610½ (sanchez-pin)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 5.00 9.60  
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
SAKA SHOCKA 2 6 33 4 4 7 719¼ (brown c)OLVER MADISON 122 2.00 38% 1.60 1.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
 
AQU-5   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTED SPECIAL 1 3 1½ 1nk   1 11 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 120 4.00 31% 2.30 5.30 W
IN A MINUTE 2 5 41 4   2 21 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 18.10  
LI'L LANG 6 2 31 3½   45 34 (abreu r)LUZZI J 120 6.00 8.80  
BLACK ALMIGHTY 5 1 2½ 2nk   34 4 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 10% 8.70 2.30  
BADLANDS RULER 4 4 5 5   5 56 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 38% 1.60 1.85  
SOLO IN PARIS 7 7 7 710   6 6 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 18.90  
PERLIANO 3 6 6 6   711 725½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
 
AQU-6   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUDVILLE NINE 6 3 42 32   1½ 1 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5.10  
SIN NOMBRE 3 6 6 4   41 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5.50 P
UNCLE GEORGE 5 2 21 2   2½ 3 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60 63% 0.60 1.15 S
ROYAL KING 1 5 11 1   3½ 4 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.40 2.25  
BARGAINING POWER 2 4 53 55   5 5 (potts wayne)HARKIE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
FLASHY ALEX 7 7 711½ 715½   610½ 612 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 120 30.00 55.75  
GRAND AGAIN 4 1 3 615   713 716 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 40.75  
SCR  G MUNNING               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
 
AQU-7   03/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:132 1:373   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLYMPIC DREAMS 1 3 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 27% 2.70 1.75 W
TABEGUACHE 4 1 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 3.85  
GUNTOWN 5 4 52 4 3½ 31 3¾ (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 14% 5.90 6.70 S
QUALITY CHIC 2 5 3 31 4 4 4 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80 31% 2.20 3.05  
GOOD SKATE 6 6 63 6 54 5 514¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 4.40  
CURLIN'S WISDOM 3 2 42 5 6 615½ 627¼ (maker )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 13.80  
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.80    
 
AQU-8   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIOUS WAVE 3 4 4 4   1nk 1 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 34% 1.90 2.55 W
BUSTIN SHOUT 2 6 5 6   5 2 (potts wayne)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 4.50 19% 4.30 4.50 P
SEVEN NATION ARMY 4 5 31 3.2   2nk 33 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 7 2 2nk 1nk   3.2 44 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 12.70  
AMUNDSON 6 3 6 5   6 5 (kantarmaci m)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 26% 2.90 6.40  
MISTER J T 1 1 1nk 2nk   4¾ 6 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 3.45  
JEMOGRAPHY 5 7 7 7   714¾ 727 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 5.30  
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.