Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-2   EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-1 $12.30 $3.30 37%
BAQ-5   WIN (10/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $18.20 $10.20 128%
    DD (4/3/5)-(10/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $15.00 $3.00 25%
BAQ-6   DD (10/9/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $31.00 $15.00 94%
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(10/9/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-5-1 $58.00 $10.00 21%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTORIUS 1 2 4 3 41 3.2 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 22% 3.50 0.45 W
POWER SEEKER 5 4 5 53 52 4¾ 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 7.60  
PERFORM 4 3 31 4 3½ 5¾ 33 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 11.40  
ALTERNATE REALITY 2 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 4 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
AGGREGATION 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 39% 1.50 2.65  
 
BAQ-2   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH HILL 7 4 1nk 2nk 1½ 11 1 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00 30% 2.30 1.75 W
ARCO AUGUSTA 1 6 2nk 1nk 2½ 21 2 (begg ben)LUZZI J 118 4.00 4.50 P
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 8 5 7 7 611½ 5 3 (bernardi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 39.25  
JANSSEN 3 8 4 3 3 3 4 (lakeman an)RIVERA R 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.90  
WAFLR 6 1 5 4 4 45 5 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 125 4.50 7.80  
COMPUTE IT 4 3 3.2 5 510½ 613½ 617¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
SOLO RYE'D 2 7 8 814¼ 823½ 826½ 731¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 13.40  
SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 2 6 6 715½ 721½ 832 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 6.80  
 
BAQ-3   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:13 1:243   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) 5 5 58 512 46 22 1¼ (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 4.40  
LADY BETH 6 4 12 12 1 12 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30 3.70 P
VINO ROUGE 3 2 35 310 3 3 3 (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 10.90  
STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) 1 6 69 613½ 69 5 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 59% 0.70 0.55  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 3 22 22 2 4 5 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
SWEET DUTCHESS 4 1 46 410½ 5 6 66 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00 24.50  
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 1.60    
SCR  RUN DEVIL               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:131 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTICAL CURLIN 4 5 32 3 4 2½ 1 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.20 55% 0.80 0.85 W
PADDINGTON 5 3 4 42 31 1½ 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 5% 19.00 6.20 P
SEEKING UNITY 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 3½ 35 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 3.95  
REDDINGTON 3 4 2½ 2½ 21 45 4 (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 14% 6.10 11.00  
GRANDPA'S KID 2 6 5 64 6 57 5 (persaud ran)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
BLESS AMERICA 6 2 6 54 54 613 616¼ (garber owen)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 7.30  
 
BAQ-5   05/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CARA MIA MINE 5 5 57 42   2nk 1 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 12% 7.20 8.10 W
JUSTHEART 4 10 810 8   5¾ 2 (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 17.90  
REALTA 7 7 68 65   6 3 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 118 15.00 21.10  
10  STARLIGHT DANCER 10 8 1011½ 9   8 4 (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 38% 1.60 2.15  
SUPERSTARSUSAN 6 9 7 5   1nk 5 (duggan p)LUZZI J 118 4.00 3.15  
OUR REWARD 3 2 3½ 3   3.2 65 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 16.80  
MY KINDA MISCHIEF 2 1 2nk 1½   4¼ 7 (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
OUTTA THE CLOUD 8 3 4 7   95 812½ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 14.80  
LUMINATE 9 6 911 1010½   109 913½ (terranova )RIVERA R 118 8.00 29% 2.50 14.50  
LEARNING TO FLY 1 4 1nk 2½   7 1014½ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 4.50  
SCR  ADULT ENTERTAINER               (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00    
SCR  FIT AS A FIDDLE               (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE               (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 10.00    
SCR  PLAY FREE BIRD               (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  STRONG PLAY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME CITY 1 5 42 4   31 1¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 18% 4.60 1.70 W
PLAY 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 1.40  
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 7 3 32 5   5 3 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.50 33% 2.00 4.80 S
GIANT'S FIRE 2 4 53 3   42 4 (terranova john)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
1A  HIGH HEAT 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 5 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 1.70  
GOOD REUNION 5 7 65 7   77 6 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00 13% 6.70 8.10  
LOOKIN' SUPER 3 6 7 6   66 7 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 123 8.00 15.00  
SCR  RIDER'S SPECIAL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN ROME 4 2 2 2½   1½ 13 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 1.75  
SECRET RULES 3 1 1 1½   2½ 23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 15% 5.80 3.50 P
NOLO CONTESTO 6 6 4 33   3 3 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 11% 7.70 8.50 S
JOKING WAY 1 8 6 4   44 4 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 12.00 9.90  
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 2 7 8 8   8 510 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 26.75  
11  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 8 3 3 6   56 610¼ (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
10  VICTORIOUS WAVE 7 4 7 54   66 710¾ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 44% 1.30 2.65  
VALENZAN DAY 5 5 5 7   79 811 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 24.00  
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
SCR  COWAN               (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
SCR  I GOT NO MUNNY               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Paradise Creek Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:222 :451 :562     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY SMOKEY 7 3 2½ 2½   2½ 1¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 6.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEAPONRY by WAR FRONT)
MATTINGLY 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (orseno jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 12.10 4.60 P
  (by BUCCHERO out of BATTINGSTAR by GRAND SLAM)
FELTRINELLI 1 5 53 5   43 3 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
SKETCH (IRE) 3 2 3 4   3 4 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 19% 4.10 1.15  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SUMMER IN ADRIANE 6 7 64 63   5 5 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 8.30  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
DEVIL IN DISGUISE 4 4 42 3   6 6 (friedman mitc)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 52% 0.90 4.90  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LASER SHARP 5 6 77 74   77 76 (terranova )RIVERA R 118 20.00 24.75  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  APOLLO TEN               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
 
BAQ-9   05/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:121 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN THE BEER MAN 2 8 6 54 5 1nk 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.75 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TROPHY WIFE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
STORM READY 8 9 8 9 10 8 2¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 7.40  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
THEN 6 12 10 10 8 3 32 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 17.30  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
EGYPT 9 3 4 4 6 5 4 (de horacio)VAZQUEZ A 125 30.00 55.50  
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
VESTING (IRE) 3 7 7 76 75 6 5 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 16% 5.30 5.50  
  (by BLUE POINT out of WILD CHILD by FREE AT LAST (GB))
CUANDO 4 6 3.2 11 11 2nk 64 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 6% 16.80 9.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
10  PARKWAY 10 4 9 87 9 10 74 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00 20.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LULL by WAR FRONT)
VINTAGE VINO 1 10 1216¾ 1216½ 1210¾ 12 8 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 52.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MOLLY O'SHEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
11  FLY RIGHT 11 2 2nk 3 32 4 9 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 9% 10.50 12.00  
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
GARDEN LEAVE 7 11 1114¾ 1113½ 11 94 106 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 37.00  
  (by CURLIN out of ON LEAVE by WAR FRONT)
12  JOHN THE BAPTIST 12 1 5 6 42 116 1111¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANGEL STAR by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
COAST ALONG 5 5 1nk 21 21 7 1213½ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00 4.90  
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL               (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
SCR  GLINT               (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 125 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TORRENT by BLAME)
SCR  SEQUENTIAL               (brown c)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.