The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -3.10
BAQ-2   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -0.50
BAQ-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.80 -6.00
BAQ-4   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
BAQ-5   Win (10/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $18.20 $18.20 10.20
BAQ-6   Win (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
BAQ-7   Win (10/5/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $5.50 -8.00
BAQ-8   Win (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $15.00 -8.00
BAQ-9   Win (3/1/11/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -4.50

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTORIUS 1 2 4 3 41 3.2 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 22% 3.50 0.45 W
POWER SEEKER 5 4 5 53 52 4¾ 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 7.60  
PERFORM 4 3 31 4 3½ 5¾ 33 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 11.40  
ALTERNATE REALITY 2 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 4 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
AGGREGATION 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 39% 1.50 2.65  
 
BAQ-2   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH HILL 7 4 1nk 2nk 1½ 11 1 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00 30% 2.30 1.75 W
ARCO AUGUSTA 1 6 2nk 1nk 2½ 21 2 (begg bentl)LUZZI J 118 4.00 4.50 P
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 8 5 7 7 611½ 5 3 (bernardini)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 39.25  
JANSSEN 3 8 4 3 3 3 4 (lakeman andr)RIVERA R 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.90  
WAFLR 6 1 5 4 4 45 5 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 125 4.50 7.80  
COMPUTE IT 4 3 3.2 5 510½ 613½ 617¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
SOLO RYE'D 2 7 8 814¼ 823½ 826½ 731¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 13.40  
SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 2 6 6 715½ 721½ 832 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 6.80  
 
BAQ-3   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:13 1:243   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) 5 5 58 512 46 22 1¼ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 4.40  
LADY BETH 6 4 12 12 1 12 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30 3.70 P
VINO ROUGE 3 2 35 310 3 3 3 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 10.90  
STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) 1 6 69 613½ 69 5 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 59% 0.70 0.55  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 3 22 22 2 4 5 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
SWEET DUTCHESS 4 1 46 410½ 5 6 66 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00 24.50  
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodriguez )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 1.60    
SCR  RUN DEVIL               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/19/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:131 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTICAL CURLIN 4 5 32 3 4 2½ 1 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.20 55% 0.80 0.85 W
PADDINGTON 5 3 4 42 31 1½ 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 5% 19.00 6.20 P
SEEKING UNITY 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 3½ 35 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 3.95  
REDDINGTON 3 4 2½ 2½ 21 45 4 (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 14% 6.10 11.00  
GRANDPA'S KID 2 6 5 64 6 57 5 (persaud randi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
BLESS AMERICA 6 2 6 54 54 613 616¼ (garber owen)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 7.30  
 
BAQ-5   05/19/2024 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CARA MIA MINE 5 5 57 42   2nk 1 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 12% 7.20 8.10 W
JUSTHEART 4 10 810 8   5¾ 2 (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 17.90  
REALTA 7 7 68 65   6 3 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 118 15.00 21.10  
10  STARLIGHT DANCER 10 8 1011½ 9   8 4 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 38% 1.60 2.15  
SUPERSTARSUSAN 6 9 7 5   1nk 5 (duggan p)LUZZI J 118 4.00 3.15  
OUR REWARD 3 2 3½ 3   3.2 65 (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 16.80  
MY KINDA MISCHIEF 2 1 2nk 1½   4¼ 7 (martin c)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
OUTTA THE CLOUD 8 3 4 7   95 812½ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 14.80  
LUMINATE 9 6 911 1010½   109 913½ (terranova jo)RIVERA R 118 8.00 29% 2.50 14.50  
LEARNING TO FLY 1 4 1nk 2½   7 1014½ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 4.50  
SCR  ADULT ENTERTAINER               (ferraro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00    
SCR  FIT AS A FIDDLE               (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE               (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
SCR  PLAY FREE BIRD               (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  STRONG PLAY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME CITY 1 5 42 4   31 1¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 18% 4.60 1.70 W
PLAY 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 1.40  
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 7 3 32 5   5 3 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.50 33% 2.00 4.80 S
GIANT'S FIRE 2 4 53 3   42 4 (terranova p)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
1A  HIGH HEAT 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 5 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 1.70  
GOOD REUNION 5 7 65 7   77 6 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00 13% 6.70 8.10  
LOOKIN' SUPER 3 6 7 6   66 7 (nevin michel)RIVERA R 123 8.00 15.00  
SCR  RIDER'S SPECIAL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN ROME 4 2 2 2½   1½ 13 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 1.75  
SECRET RULES 3 1 1 1½   2½ 23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 15% 5.80 3.50 P
NOLO CONTESTO 6 6 4 33   3 3 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 11% 7.70 8.50 S
JOKING WAY 1 8 6 4   44 4 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 12.00 9.90  
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 2 7 8 8   8 510 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 26.75  
11  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 8 3 3 6   56 610¼ (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
10  VICTORIOUS WAVE 7 4 7 54   66 710¾ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 44% 1.30 2.65  
VALENZAN DAY 5 5 5 7   79 811 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 24.00  
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)               (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
SCR  COWAN               (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
SCR  I GOT NO MUNNY               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/19/2024 3960ft TURF FIRM Paradise Creek Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:222 :451 :562     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY SMOKEY 7 3 2½ 2½   2½ 1¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 6.50  
MATTINGLY 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (orseno joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 12.10 4.60 P
FELTRINELLI 1 5 53 5   43 3 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
SKETCH (IRE) 3 2 3 4   3 4 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 19% 4.10 1.15  
SUMMER IN ADRIANE 6 7 64 63   5 5 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 8.30  
DEVIL IN DISGUISE 4 4 42 3   6 6 (friedman mitche)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 52% 0.90 4.90  
LASER SHARP 5 6 77 74   77 76 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 118 20.00 24.75  
SCR  APOLLO TEN               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/19/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:121 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN THE BEER MAN 2 8 6 54 5 1nk 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.75 W
STORM READY 8 9 8 9 10 8 2¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 7.40  
THEN 6 12 10 10 8 3 32 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 17.30  
EGYPT 9 3 4 4 6 5 4 (de horacio)VAZQUEZ A 125 30.00 55.50  
VESTING (IRE) 3 7 7 76 75 6 5 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 16% 5.30 5.50  
CUANDO 4 6 3.2 11 11 2nk 64 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 6% 16.80 9.50  
10  PARKWAY 10 4 9 87 9 10 74 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00 20.50  
VINTAGE VINO 1 10 1216¾ 1216½ 1210¾ 12 8 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 52.00  
11  FLY RIGHT 11 2 2nk 3 32 4 9 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 9% 10.50 12.00  
GARDEN LEAVE 7 11 1114¾ 1113½ 11 94 106 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 37.00  
12  JOHN THE BAPTIST 12 1 5 6 42 116 1111¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
COAST ALONG 5 5 1nk 21 21 7 1213½ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00 4.90  
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL               (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
SCR  GLINT               (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 125 3.00    
SCR  SEQUENTIAL               (brown c)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.