Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/7/4)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(1/6/2)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/3/5)-(10/9/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(10/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(10/9/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (10/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/5/2)-(10/9/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/5/2)-(10/9/5/6/2)-(10/9/5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/9/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(10/5/8/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(10/5/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(10/5/8/11)-(6/4/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (10/5/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/11)-(10/5/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/11)-(10/5/8/11)-(10/5/8/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/8/11)-(6/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/5/8/11)-(6/4/3/2)-(3/1/11/4/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2)-(3/1/11/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (3/1/11/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/11/4/12)-(3/1/11/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/11/4/12)-(3/1/11/4/12)-(3/1/11/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTORIUS Apr20 Jul21 Jun17 Oct22 Aug27 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 22% 3.50    
2  ALTERNATE REALITY Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb25 Jan27 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AGGREGATION Mar30 Jan28 Dec29 Nov19 Oct04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
4  PERFORM Jul21 May20 Apr15 Mar11 Jan28 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
5  POWER SEEKER Apr20 Mar30 Feb23 Feb02 Dec29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCO AUGUSTA May10 Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 Feb04 (begg ben)LUZZI J 118 4.00 ★    
2  SOLO RYE'D Apr11 Nov03 Oct14 Sep04   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
3  JANSSEN Apr19 Apr11 Mar08 Jan18 Nov18 (lakeman an)RIVERA R 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  COMPUTE IT Apr11 Mar21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan06 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT Apr11 Mar16 Jan06 Nov04 Oct04 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
6  WAFLR Mar09 Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 125 4.50    
7  WATCH HILL Apr19 Mar09 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
8  TRIPLE WORD SCORE May10 Apr19 Apr11 Mar16 Mar08 (bernardi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) Apr06 Dec23 Nov11 Jul22   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 59% 0.70    
2  MASTEROF THE TUNES Apr27 Nov09 Oct13 Sep17 Aug31 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINO ROUGE Dec02 Nov05 Oct01 Aug13   (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
4  SWEET DUTCHESS Apr20 Mar23 Feb07 Oct12 Aug25 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
5  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) Jun24 May12       (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
6  LADY BETH Oct19 Sep15 May27 Feb05   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  RUN DEVIL Apr21 Mar30 Mar01 Feb09 Jan14 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU May11 Mar28 Feb19 Jan07 Dec08 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 1.60    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Apr18 Apr07 Mar24 Feb17 Jan26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   05/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING UNITY Apr27 Mar29 Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00    
2  GRANDPA'S KID May04 Mar29 Mar15 Feb29 Feb11 (persaud ran)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
3  REDDINGTON Apr06 Jan27 Jan01 Nov23 Jun24 (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
4  MISTICAL CURLIN Apr06 Mar09 Nov30 Nov05 Oct06 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.20 55% 0.80    
5  PADDINGTON Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLESS AMERICA Apr26 Feb24 Jan27 Dec23   (garber owen)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEARNING TO FLY Oct29 Oct01       (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
2  MY KINDA MISCHIEF Apr06 Oct21 Sep01 Aug09   (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUR REWARD Apr18 Mar29 Feb17 Jan07 Jan01 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
4  JUSTHEART Apr14         (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
5  MY CARA MIA MINE Jul23 Jun23 May18 Apr08 Sep30 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
6  SUPERSTARSUSAN Nov19 Sep15 Aug10     (duggan p)LUZZI J 118 4.00 ★    
7  REALTA Aug10         (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 118 15.00    
8  OUTTA THE CLOUD Oct16 Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 Aug04 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
9  LUMINATE         (terranova )RIVERA R 118 8.00 29% 2.50    
10  STARLIGHT DANCER Oct29         (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jun29   (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE Feb16 Jan12 Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 10.00    
SCR  PLAY FREE BIRD Sep04 Aug09 Jul09 Jun23   (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  ADULT ENTERTAINER Apr26 Mar22       (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  FIT AS A FIDDLE Apr25         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  STRONG PLAY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME CITY Apr03 Mar13 Feb24 Feb02 Oct22 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
1A  HIGH HEAT May02 Apr05 Mar22 Feb10 Jan06 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00    
2  GIANT'S FIRE Apr11 Feb09 Jun09 Apr07 Feb11 (terranova john)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOOKIN' SUPER Apr20 Dec12 Nov20 Oct05 Sep02 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  RIDER'S SPECIAL Nov05 Sep14 Jul31 Jun29 Jun10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
5  GOOD REUNION Apr11 Feb24 Feb18 Jan04 Dec09 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  PLAY Apr19 Mar09 Jan07 Dec09   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50    
7  KANT BEAT THE ROCK May11 Apr28 Mar15 Mar09 Mar01 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Mar30 Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 Nov03 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST May10 Apr05 Mar29 Feb23 Dec31 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
2  JOKING WAY Mar30 Mar16 Feb02 Dec16 Nov02 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
3  NOTABLE BOB (CHI) Aug19         (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
SCR  I GOT NO MUNNY Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 Jul23   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
5  SECRET RULES Apr18 Mar03 Dec17 Aug13 Jul14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  LOST IN ROME Mar29 Feb19 Aug02 Jul02 Jun15 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
7  VALENZAN DAY Jul14 Jul03 Apr23 Mar19 Mar05 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
8  NOLO CONTESTO Mar03 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  COWAN Apr27 Mar03 Feb19 Feb03 Dec23 (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
10  VICTORIOUS WAVE Mar21 Feb04 Dec09 Nov11 Sep16 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 44% 1.30    
11  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Apr28 Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Nov24 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Paradise Creek Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WORKS FOR ME May18 Apr27 Feb16 Nov18 Nov04 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
2  FELTRINELLI May03 Sep22 Aug25     (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
3  MATTINGLY Apr07 Dec02 Oct21 Sep30 Jul16 (orseno jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BATTINGSTAR by GRAND SLAM)
4  SKETCH (IRE) May01         (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 19% 4.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  APOLLO TEN Apr18 Nov04 Sep22 Aug25   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  DEVIL IN DISGUISE Mar31         (friedman mitc)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 52% 0.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  LASER SHARP Apr06 Mar07 Feb10 Dec14   (terranova )RIVERA R 118 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAISIE by STAY THIRSTY)
8  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Apr28 Mar24 Jan18 Dec15 Nov09 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
9  SMOKEY SMOKEY Mar23 Mar08 Dec08 Oct20 Sep24 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEAPONRY by WAR FRONT)
 
BAQ-9   05/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VESTING (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by BLUE POINT out of WILD CHILD by FREE AT LAST (GB))
SCR  SEQUENTIAL Apr11         (brown c)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
2  VINTAGE VINO         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MOLLY O'SHEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
3  JOHN THE BEER MAN Apr24 Jan28       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TROPHY WIFE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  CUANDO Apr11 Mar09 Feb25 Jan27   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 6% 16.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
5  COAST ALONG Apr21 Aug11 Jun17 May14 Apr15 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
6  THEN         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
7  GARDEN LEAVE Apr14         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ON LEAVE by WAR FRONT)
8  STORM READY Apr13         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
9  EGYPT Apr09 Mar08 Dec08 Oct20 Feb18 (de horacio)VAZQUEZ A 125 30.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  PARKWAY Apr13 Dec10 Oct30 Sep03   (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LULL by WAR FRONT)
11  FLY RIGHT Apr13 Mar16 Feb15 Jan11 Jul30 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 9% 10.50    
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
12  JOHN THE BAPTIST Apr17         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANGEL STAR by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL         (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
SCR  GLINT Apr21 Mar24 Mar09     (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES Mar27 Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 Oct01 (mott i)RIDER TBA 125 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TORRENT by BLAME)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.