The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - April 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $26.08 -6.00
KEE-2   Win (1/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $21.72 $21.72 13.72
KEE-3   Win (2/9/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $17.22 -10.00
KEE-4   Win (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $55.74 -6.00
KEE-5   Win (5/6/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $14.70 -8.00
KEE-6   Win (2/5/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $11.26 -8.00
KEE-7   Win (3/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $5.56 -8.00
KEE-8   Win (9/10/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $27.76 $27.76 17.76

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENJOYMENT 3 5 5 56   2 1nk (gorostieta ciri)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 12.04  
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND 2 1 11 11   1 2nk (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 7% 14.20 2.66 P
NAK NAK BOLT 4 3 46 4   56 3 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 4.00 13% 6.70 10.21 S
FAMILY FACTOR 5 4 21 21   33 44 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.43  
MIDWAY MIRACLE 6 6 6 610   68 5 (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 124 15.00 10.44  
SHOGUN BE FAST 1 2 32 32   4 6 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 1.60 58% 0.70 1.08  
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB)               (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
 
KEE-2   04/24/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT FIRST 7 1 5     33 1hd (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 27% 2.80 9.86 W
CARIBBEAN WIND 1 3 1     12 2hd (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 35% 1.80 0.25 P
WHATINTHELITERAL 6 2 42     5 3¾ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 17% 4.90 8.38 S
VODKA WITH A TWIST 2 9 3     22 42 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 21.52  
FLEET STREET 4 4 2     44 53 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00 5% 19.00 28.55  
GOOD LOOKING 5 5 64     6 69 (leitch daniel)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 13.88  
15  RABBLE 9 7 810     813½ 712½ (caramori caio)MONCADA IRVING 109 20.00 60.02  
12  CLOUD ANGEL 8 8 910¼     914 817 (hancock l)KRIGGER K 119 30.00 54.62  
VOODOO PRINCESS 3 6 77     711½ 920 (wojczy)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 53.36  
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM               (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
SCR  FLAMING GLORY               (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE ALEXA               (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  MARIPOSA DE PISTA               (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
SCR  MO PICS PLEASE               (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
SCR  SPUN LOVIN               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
SCR  STREET LASS               (chapman james )TORRES A 119 30.00    
 
KEE-3   04/24/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO RHODES 3 8 5 6 66 6 1¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 7.61  
ROUSSETTE 8 5 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 2¼ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.91 P
FEAR OF UNION 4 6 42 31 3½ 31 3¼ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 3.50 7.21  
VINCITA 5 2 7 75 8 5 4¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 13.21  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 9 1 6 53 4 4 5 (stewart dallas)TORRES A 126 4.00 15% 5.60 4.62  
ICE TIME 6 7 9 85 7 8 6 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.00 13% 6.80 4.19  
TRACK LIGHT 1 4 31 4 55 7 77 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 28.63  
DRURY LANE 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 810 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 36% 1.80 2.22  
DU MONDE 7 9 8 9 925¼ 939¾ 989½ (hill f)KRIGGER K 118 12.00 12% 7.10 22.97  
 
KEE-4   04/24/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:122 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELAMPAGO VERDE 1 3 1½ 11 1nk 11 1hd (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00 26.87  
UNIT ECONOMICS (GB) 6 10 9 9 8 3 2hd (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.80 52% 0.90 0.98 P
UNO MAS BOURBON 2 9 4 3 3 43 33 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 11.02 S
ACCIDENT 4 2 2½ 21 2nk 21 4 (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 126 15.00 5% 19.00 34.98  
COINVEST 7 5 7 84 6 55 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.47  
FRENCH BREAD 3 7 52 5 54 65 67 (bicknell a)HESS SARA 119 30.00 81.39  
10  SURF CITY 9 4 63 6 7 7 79 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.47  
SATURDAY LONG LEGS 8 6 8 74 96 87 8 (frazier matt)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 30.00 82.73  
GAMBLIN GEORGE 5 1 3 42 4 9 910¾ (kelley a)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 75.83  
11  SAN MARTIN 10 8 10 107 108 10 1014¼ (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 30.59  
SCR  BOAT HOUSE               (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 113 50.00    
SCR  DROBNY               (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  FIVE STAR G MAN               (gowan william)MACHADO LUAN 126 8.00    
SCR  MADDON               (upton m)MOJICA JR 126 30.00    
SCR  MOHTAFIL               (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 8.00    
SCR  TALBINGO               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER'S LEGACY 7 1 1½ 11   1 1 (davis christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 6.35  
GRAND RAPIDS 6 5 3½ 21   2 2 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 25% 3.00 3.28 P
AL AMEEQ 4 3 9 812½   510½ 310¼ (mckeever andrew)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 19.18  
11  OY VEY 10 2 41 3   3 412 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.60 3.33  
10  ONE SHARP TIZ 9 7 8 710½   711½ 514¼ (kubinova eliska)NAVAS YOEL 113 30.00 46.69  
HERO WORSHIP 5 6 5 57   410 615¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.60 35% 1.80 2.55  
STAR OF CAESAREA 3 10 6 69   611 719½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 16.79  
ON TAP 2 9 1013¾ 1013½   915½ 820¼ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 12.14  
COWBOY LUKE 8 4 2½ 46   813 927½ (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 18.30  
MAN WITH THE MOVES 1 8 7 913½   1017 1031¾ (swingl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 12.00 5% 19.00 17.24  
SCR  AIR FORCE CRUISING               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
KEE-6   04/24/2024 7920ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:143 1:402 2:05 2:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY FOLEY 8 79 7 53 3 2nk 1 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 4.63  
VIVA LA RED 1 4 4 31 2 1nk 2 (biancone pat)ASMUSSEN J 118 1.40 36% 1.80 3.03 P
MINT EDITION 7 13 15 11 1 3.2 32 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 36.13  
CALL ME TONI 6 8 810 8 65 4 4 (hughes g)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 36.30  
MARIA'S REVENGE 5 911 910½ 7 5 5 512 (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 13.34  
I'M A SURE THING 4 5 5 4 4 6 616¼ (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 32% 2.10 2.32  
CONDONE 2 6 68 64 7 7 716½ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 6% 14.60 13.68  
10  BOLTORO 9 34 3 21 8 811¾ 827¾ (vanden britt)COHEN DAVID 118 50.00 5% 19.00 17.49  
AWASEF 3 23 25 912 9100 9100 9100 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 3.57  
SCR  LET'S DUET               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
 
KEE-7   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEDE 2 4 3 31   1nk 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 1.78  
AMARETTI 6 1 21 1nk   2nk 2 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 13% 6.70 1.32 P
ERVADEAN 5 2 4 4   33 3 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5.49  
UNSUNG MELODY 1 3 11 2nk   4 410¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 6% 16.30 4.56  
YES DAY 3 5 6 6   5 511 (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00 28.28  
LURE'EM IN 4 6 55 5   612¾ 626½ (meah m)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 28.25  
SCR  CHARRIERE               (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  HOWL               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
KEE-8   04/24/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:113 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECANTED 5 1 1 1 11 1 1½ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 126 12.00 5% 18.20 12.88 W
10  JOHN THE BEER MAN 9 4 5 54 5 32 2½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.35 P
ST. NEOTS 8 3 3 3 32 2 3 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 126 3.50 25% 3.00 6.51 S
11  VESTURE 10 5 2 2 21 42 4 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 10.53  
CLOUDY HOLIDAY 2 10 86 86 7 6 5 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 30.00 60.73  
REBEL RED (GB) 4 8 10 107 9 9 6 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 19% 4.20 2.59  
HAMILTON'S WAY 6 2 9 9 86 87 7 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 11.51  
12  SPECIAL DISPATCH 11 6 43 43 42 55 87 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.82  
PILKINGTON 3 12 11 11 10 10 9 (catalano m)RUIZ JORGE 126 20.00 31.04  
MARINA GAMBA 7 11 12 12 1211½ 1112¼ 10 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 30.00 53.41  
13  AGAPEE MOU 12 7 65 6 64 7 119 (correas ignacio )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 20.99  
DOOLGAROUX 1 9 7 7 1111 1212¾ 1214¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 56.14  
SCR  BRIO               (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 126 6.00    
SCR  TEN BITS               (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 111 50.00    
SCR  THERMOSCOPE               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.