Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/8/7/5)-(2/9/6/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-2   WIN (1/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/5)-(1/8/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/5)-(1/8/7/5/6)-(1/8/7/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/7/5)-(2/9/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/5)-(2/9/6/7/8)-(7/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-3   WIN (2/9/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/7/8)-(2/9/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/7/8)-(2/9/6/7/8)-(2/9/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/6/7/8)-(7/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/7/8)-(7/8/5)-(5/6/11/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-4   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-5   WIN (5/6/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/11/1)-(5/6/11/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/11/1)-(5/6/11/1/7)-(5/6/11/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/11/1)-(2/5/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/11/1)-(2/5/3/10)-(3/8/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
KEE-6   WIN (2/5/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/10)-(2/5/3/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/10)-(2/5/3/4/10)-(2/5/3/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/10)-(3/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/10)-(3/8/1/4)-(9/10/5/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
KEE-7   WIN (3/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/4)-(3/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/4)-(3/8/1/4)-(3/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/4)-(9/10/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
KEE-8   WIN (9/10/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/6/2)-(9/10/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/6/2)-(9/10/5/6/2)-(9/10/5/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY Mar22 Feb10 Jan02 Nov24 Oct27 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
2  SHOGUN BE FAST Mar24 Feb13 Sep17     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 1.60 58% 0.70    
3  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Mar29 Mar01 Feb04 Jan12   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 7% 14.20    
4  ENJOYMENT Mar27 Mar14 Feb17 Dec28 Nov15 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00    
5  NAK NAK BOLT Mar30 Feb17 Jun09 Aug18 Jul02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
6  FAMILY FACTOR Mar08 Feb03 Jan12 Dec20 Nov15 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Oct02 Sep10 (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
8  MIDWAY MIRACLE Mar29 Dec13 Nov15 Sep14 Jun15 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
 
KEE-2   04/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARIBBEAN WIND         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 35% 1.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ANTILLIA by SLEW OF ANGELS)
2  VODKA WITH A TWIST         (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BOURBON AND A KISS by SKY MESA)
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM Apr11         (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
4  VOODOO PRINCESS         (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of AMALUNA by CONGRATS)
5  FLEET STREET         (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SUMMERS HOPE by SUMMER FRONT)
6  GOOD LOOKING         (leitch daniel)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOWN FLIRT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  WHATINTHELITERAL Apr07         (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 17% 4.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of LILIKOI by FREUD)
8  TAPIT FIRST         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by TAPIT out of LOUISVILLE FIRST by GIROLAMO)
SCR  STREET LASS Apr07         (chapman jame)TORRES A 119 30.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  LITTLE ALEXA         (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LEAD ME NOT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MO PICS PLEASE         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of NO PICTURES PLEASE by CONGRATS)
12  CLOUD ANGEL         (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SHESCHARLIE'SANGEL by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  FLAMING GLORY         (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BEAUTIFUL MEMORIES by HARD SPUN)
SCR  MARIPOSA DE PISTA         (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
15  RABBLE         (caramori cai)MONCADA IRVING 109 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MYSTERY TALE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SPUN LOVIN         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ROSE PEDALS by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
KEE-3   04/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK LIGHT Mar08 Nov23 Oct18     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
2  DRURY LANE Feb23 Jan26       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
3  MO RHODES Mar02 Oct29 Aug11     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
4  FEAR OF UNION Mar24 Mar01 Sep15 Aug26 Jul16 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 3.50    
5  VINCITA Apr07 Mar09 Feb11 Dec14   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
6  ICE TIME Nov29 Nov16 Sep28 Aug31 Aug05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.00 13% 6.80    
7  DU MONDE Feb23 Jan18       (hill f)KRIGGER K 118 12.00 12% 7.10    
8  ROUSSETTE Mar07 Feb04 Dec15     (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Feb22 Jan25 Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 (stewart dall)TORRES A 126 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
KEE-4   04/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIVE STAR G MAN Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 (gowan william)MACHADO LUAN 126 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FIVE STAR RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
2  RELAMPAGO VERDE Mar21 Feb22 Oct13     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of COLINA VERDE by KNOW HEIGHTS)
3  UNO MAS BOURBON Sep24 Aug05 Jul01     (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 ★    
  (by MACHO UNO out of CAMIELEE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  FRENCH BREAD Mar16 Feb17 Dec28 Dec09   (bicknell whitney )HESS SARA 119 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  ACCIDENT Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 Feb17 Feb03 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
6  GAMBLIN GEORGE Feb09 Jan26 Dec29 Dec01 Oct12 (kelley james )CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
7  UNIT ECONOMICS (GB) Mar20 Feb15       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CHERUBIC by HAT TRICK (JPN))
8  COINVEST Feb29 Jan20       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NUMERO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  SATURDAY LONG LEGS Jan27 Dec28 Dec02 Nov14 Oct12 (frazier mat)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 30.00 ★    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
10  SURF CITY Nov25 Nov04 Oct07     (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EVASIVE STORM by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
11  SAN MARTIN         (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOPTALKINGMARIA by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  MOHTAFIL Mar16         (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FAWAAREK by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TALBINGO         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of NORTHERN PASSION by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  DROBNY Mar07 Feb12 Jan12 Dec09 Nov04 (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  BOAT HOUSE Apr06 Mar21 Dec08     (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 113 50.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HERON WATCH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  MADDON Mar22 Mar01 May15 Apr14   (upton m)MOJICA JR 126 30.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MISS HETTY by CONGRATS)
 
KEE-5   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN WITH THE MOVES Mar30 Mar07 Jul01 Apr01   (swin)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ON TAP         (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
3  STAR OF CAESAREA Mar13 Feb23       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
4  AL AMEEQ Mar13         (mckeever a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
5  HERO WORSHIP Mar13 Feb08 Dec30 Nov24   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.60 35% 1.80    
6  GRAND RAPIDS         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  TIGER'S LEGACY Mar16 Apr20 Mar12 Feb01   (davis christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 ★    
SCR  AIR FORCE CRUISING Feb08         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
9  COWBOY LUKE Oct07 Aug10       (quartarolo ant)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
10  ONE SHARP TIZ Mar15 Jul23       (kubinova eliska)NAVAS YOEL 113 30.00    
11  OY VEY Mar23 Feb23 Jan12 Nov18 Oct20 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
KEE-6   04/24/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S DUET Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Dec29 Nov16 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
2  VIVA LA RED Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Dec26 Oct27 (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
3  CONDONE Apr07 Feb14 Nov15 Oct18 Sep09 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 6% 14.60    
4  AWASEF         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
5  I'M A SURE THING Feb21 Jan14 Dec17 Nov05 Oct12 (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  MARIA'S REVENGE Mar09 Feb10 Dec31 Oct20 Sep23 (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
7  CALL ME TONI Mar13 Feb14 Jan25 Nov30 Nov09 (hughes g)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
8  MINT EDITION Mar21 Mar09 Dec28 Dec02 Oct18 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
9  HOLY FOLEY Apr07 Mar09 Oct18 Sep09 Aug05 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
10  BOLTORO Apr07 Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 Oct14 (vanden bri)COHEN DAVID 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-7   04/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSUNG MELODY Sep17 Sep02 Jul14 Jun18 May05 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 6% 16.30    
2  ACCEDE Oct14 Sep02 Jul14 Jun09 May05 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  HOWL Dec26 Nov25 Oct28     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
4  YES DAY Feb24 Jan25 Dec14 Nov29 Oct06 (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARRIERE Mar23 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 Oct14 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
6  LURE'EM IN Jan06 Dec10 Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 (meah m)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
7  ERVADEAN Mar02 Dec31 Nov10 Sep21 Aug01 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
8  AMARETTI Feb24 May20 Apr12 Jun05   (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
KEE-8   04/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THERMOSCOPE         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FROSTY by ATTILA'S STORM)
2  DOOLGAROUX Mar22 Mar08       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TENSAS IDEA by IDE)
3  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Mar08 Feb09 Jan06 Dec09   (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  PILKINGTON Mar24 Nov08 Oct13 Sep09 Jul28 (catalano m)RUIZ JORGE 126 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
5  REBEL RED (GB)         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by FRANKEL out of WITHOUT YOU BABE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  DECANTED Mar23 Jul07 May28 Apr08 Feb10 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 126 12.00 5% 18.20    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
7  HAMILTON'S WAY Mar09 Jan21 Dec15 Nov11 Oct06 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GO NONI GO by GET STORMY)
8  MARINA GAMBA         (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 121 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FAIRYTALE ENDING by GALILEO)
9  ST. NEOTS Mar16 Jun22 May21 Apr20 Mar15 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 126 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
10  JOHN THE BEER MAN Jan28         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TROPHY WIFE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  VESTURE Apr06 Nov26 Oct07 Sep01   (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ATHENA'S AEGIS by ACCLAMATION)
12  SPECIAL DISPATCH Mar20 Mar01 Feb03 Jan05   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JOHANSSON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
13  AGAPEE MOU Feb29 Dec29 Dec01 Oct12 Aug05 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MY BOY TONY Mar02 Jan27 Jul23 Apr08 Mar10 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 126 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
SCR  BRIO Mar21 Mar02 Jan26     (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of VIGOR by WAR FRONT)
SCR  TEN BITS Mar07 Feb23 Jan18 Dec21   (short tho)BEALMEAR C 111 50.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.