Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-7   EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-3 $26.80 $8.80 49%
MVR-8   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $24.00 $18.00 300%
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-8 $54.40 $36.40 202%
    PK3 (2/5)-(7/4/5)-(1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-4-8 $27.65 $18.65 207%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME THE AVENGER 2 5 1nk 1nk   1 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 1.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGRY OCEAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GLOBAL PRIDE 6 2 6 5   34 2 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 126 15.00 13% 6.50 12.80 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
SHORTLY 3 1 2nk 2nk   2 3 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.50 43% 1.30 2.10 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
QUICK QUICK WHIT 7 4 5 31   44 4 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 10.00 8.60  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
FINISTERE 5 7 7 6   57 5 (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 13% 6.40 3.90  
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
HIJACK THE PARTY 1 6 3 4   610 613½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.80 9.10  
  (by JACK MILTON out of HAPPY PARTY GIRL by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
DARK BARON 4 3 4 7   716 719 (tumblin andr)ROSARIO L 126 12.00 46.40  
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MVR-2   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUANTUM THEORY 5 3 21 2½   1nk 1 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.20 28% 2.60 0.30 W
UNCLEJACKOMO 2 2 32 32   3½ 2 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 19.60  
UPTOWN GUY 4 1 11 1½   2nk 3 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 3.50  
DUEL FUEL 1 5 5 5   4 4 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 9.10  
GREENSFELDER 3 4 45 4   54 5 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 4.00 25% 3.00 7.40  
SCR  HOUSEBUILDER               (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   01/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:152 1:29   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEND ME ON 2 7 21 1½ 11 15 1 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 126 1.20 63% 0.60 0.40 W
KARAMEL CORN 4 6 7 5 4 46 2 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 10.70 P
MARVIN'S EXPRESS 8 5 42 43 3 3 3 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 12.80  
NAMBITI 7 3 3 3 21 25 49 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 5.90 3.50  
TIDE RISING 1 8 85 65 6 5 513 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
RED COMET 5 4 6 8 8 714½ 620 (bailey ric)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 29.60  
JACK BE FAST 3 1 11 2½ 5 613½ 723¼ (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 20.00 29.20  
PLATE IT UP 6 2 53 75 7 816½ 825½ (tum)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 70.50  
 
MVR-4   01/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:143 1:29   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERPA 3 5 6 611 5 31 1 (alessi james)HALDAR J 126 15.00 11.00  
STEP AHEAD 4 2 23 23 1½ 1½ 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 P
ROYAL AIR FORCE 2 7 7 4 2½ 2½ 3 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 4.10  
MOON OVER DUBAI 6 6 57 5 43 46 4 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 14% 6.00 18.50  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 5 3 45 3 66 514 519¾ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 24.40  
ELEGGUA 1 4 35 711½ 716 722 627¾ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 126 3.50 9.90  
RANSAM PAYNTER 7 1 13 13 3 617 729¼ (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 10.00 10% 8.80 2.60  
SCR  REMASTERED               (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-5   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MARRO 6 3 3 2nk   1 1hd (romero a)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 6.60  
THAT'S THE WAY 4 8 8 6   42 2hd (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 19.80  
HOPPY GILMORE 2 5 6 32   3 3 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 43% 1.30 1.10 S
MISTER MOBIL 5 1 5 4   5 4 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 11.10  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 8 7 9 8   7 5 (romero jos)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 12.60  
OHIO MUNNY 9 2 1 1nk   2 6 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10% 8.80 6.50  
SERENDIPITOUS 3 4 2 5   63 78 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 15.80  
WEEKEND BUZZ 1 6 4 9   8 814¼ (trevino step)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 8% 11.00 7.40  
SERVE REVENGE COLD 7 9 7 7   9 915½ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 13% 6.80 8.90  
 
MVR-6   01/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:15 1:281   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JASPER 2 5 11 11 1½ 1 1 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 65% 0.50 0.90 W
OAXACA 1 1 21 21 2½ 2 2 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 2.00  
THINK IT THRU 4 3 3 3 3 3 38 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50 5.00  
LINE DANCER 3 2 4 43 43 4 410½ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 6.20  
EXPRESS FASHION 5 4 5 58 58 511½ 517¾ (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
CAUSE OF LOVE 6 6 6 68 611 615½ 622½ (haehn r)DIAZ R 124 30.00 38.10  
 
MVR-7   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLANET FROLIC 4 7 6 33   2nk 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.00 W
SHE HAD A SECRET 3 2 1 1   1nk 2 (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 9.90 P
HOT SUMMER DREAM 7 4 4 2   3 3 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 12.60  
SHEWEARSMYRING 5 5 2 43   43 48 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 21% 3.80 6.40  
FRACING LUCKY 6 1 3 5   5 5 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 28% 2.50 2.30  
MY DANCING QUEEN 2 3 5 6   6 616¼ (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 7.50  
TOTAL SMOKESHOW 1 6 7 715½   720½ 732¼ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 38.50  
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE               (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:011     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEKING FREEDOM 7 3 31 2nk   1nk 1¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 5.00 25% 3.00 11.00 W
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
KELLEHER 5 1 52 5¾   31 2¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 1.30  
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
VERNON'S BEST 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3¾ (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 5.40  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
GHOST OF LONDYN 6 5 6 4¾   4 43 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 13% 6.40 10.20  
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
ONE STEP ASIDE 2 4 2nk 3½   52 5 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 4.00 9.80  
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
OLLIE'S FOLLY 3 7 4 6   66 6 (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50 2.70  
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL 1 6 7 714¾   721 734¼ (rone penny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 25% 3.00 8.40  
  (by KENNEDY out of TYLAN by SKIP AWAY)
SCR  LUCKY VICTOR               (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 6.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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