Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/3)-(2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/7/1)-(5/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(5/7/8)-(2/7/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/8/1)-(5/7/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/8)-(2/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8)-(2/7/9/1)-(2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/1)-(2/7/9/1/6)-(2/7/9/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/9/1)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/1)-(2/5)-(7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(7/4/5)-(1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIJACK THE PARTY Nov24 Oct27 Aug28     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.80    
  (by JACK MILTON out of HAPPY PARTY GIRL by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
2  TIME THE AVENGER Dec13 Nov19       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGRY OCEAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SHORTLY Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Sep25 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.50 43% 1.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  DARK BARON Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 Sep01 Sep03 (tumblin andr)ROSARIO L 126 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  FINISTERE Dec05 Nov14 Oct30 Oct05   (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 13% 6.40    
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
6  GLOBAL PRIDE Dec18 Oct25 Sep27 Apr01 Feb01 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 126 15.00 13% 6.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
7  QUICK QUICK WHIT Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct05 Jun21 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 10.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
 
MVR-2   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUEL FUEL Dec27 Dec05 Nov16 Oct31 Oct21 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 ★    
2  UNCLEJACKOMO Dec14 Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 Sep28 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
3  GREENSFELDER Dec10 Nov19 Nov06 Oct06 Sep27 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  HOUSEBUILDER Dec11 Nov21 Nov09 Oct22 Oct09 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 3.00    
5  UPTOWN GUY Dec11 Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 5.00    
6  QUANTUM THEORY Dec11 Nov16 Nov02 Oct03 Sep20 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-3   01/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIDE RISING Dec19 Dec07 Nov15 Oct30 Sep04 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEND ME ON Dec04 Oct09 Sep12 Aug16 Jul11 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 126 1.20 63% 0.60    
3  JACK BE FAST Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
4  KARAMEL CORN Dec19 Dec04 Nov08 Oct13 Sep28 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★    
5  RED COMET Dec26 Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 (bailey ric)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
6  PLATE IT UP Dec19 Dec04 Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 (tum)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
7  NAMBITI Dec12 Nov21 Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
8  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Dec13 Nov06 Sep28 Aug29 Jul15 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   01/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGGUA Dec15 Nov30 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 126 3.50 ★    
SCR  REMASTERED Dec01 Nov10 Oct25 Aug18 Jul21 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00    
3  ROYAL AIR FORCE Dec18 Nov16 Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
4  SERPA Dec15 Nov29 Nov14 Oct27 Sep29 (alessi james)HALDAR J 126 15.00    
5  STEP AHEAD Nov18 Oct27 Oct07 Sep09 Jul14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  TWELVE MINUS ONE Dec18 Dec05 Oct30 Oct13 Sep11 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
7  MOON OVER DUBAI Dec18 Nov21 Nov14 Oct23 Oct03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 14% 6.00    
8  RANSAM PAYNTER Dec18 Dec05 Jul21 Jul10 Jun18 (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
MVR-5   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND BUZZ Dec12 Nov21 Oct11 Sep18 Aug28 (trevino step)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 8% 11.00    
2  HOPPY GILMORE Dec13 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Sep12 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  SERENDIPITOUS Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct28 Sep28 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
4  THAT'S THE WAY Dec12 Nov30 Nov06 Oct09 Jun07 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
5  MISTER MOBIL Dec04 Sep25 Aug21 Jul31 Jun15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
6  EL MARRO Dec13 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Oct13 (romero a)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 ★    
7  SERVE REVENGE COLD Dec04 Nov07 Oct28 Oct09 Sep07 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
8  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Dec12 Nov20 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 (romero jos)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
9  OHIO MUNNY Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct09 Aug19 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
 
MVR-6   01/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAXACA Dec13 Nov20 Nov06 Aug26 Aug06 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
2  LADY JASPER Dec07 Nov28 Oct25 Aug26 Jul17 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 65% 0.50    
3  LINE DANCER Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 Aug01 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 ★    
4  THINK IT THRU Nov20 Oct31 Oct25 Sep06 Aug08 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
5  EXPRESS FASHION Dec21 Nov16 Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAUSE OF LOVE Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 Apr10 Mar20 (haehn r)DIAZ R 124 30.00    
 
MVR-7   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Sep30 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00    
2  MY DANCING QUEEN Dec19 Dec05 Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00    
3  SHE HAD A SECRET Dec19 Dec03 Oct02 Sep09 Jul30 (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
4  PLANET FROLIC Dec15 Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 Sep29 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  SHEWEARSMYRING Dec13 Nov13 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE Dec05 Nov07 Sep19 Aug23 Aug08 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 12.00    
7  FRACING LUCKY Oct24 Feb18       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
8  HOT SUMMER DREAM Dec05 Oct20 Sep24 Sep06 Jul28 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL         (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of TYLAN by SKIP AWAY)
2  ONE STEP ASIDE Dec19 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 4.00 ★    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
3  OLLIE'S FOLLY Dec18 Nov30       (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
SCR  LUCKY VICTOR Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28   (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 6.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
5  VERNON'S BEST Dec18 Nov30 Jun30 Jun16   (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
6  KELLEHER Dec18 Nov15 Oct28     (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 3.50    
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
7  GHOST OF LONDYN         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 13% 6.40    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
8  SEEKING FREEDOM Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.