Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
MVR-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $6.20  
MVR-3   Win (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
MVR-4   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $5.60  
MVR-5   Win (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.80  
MVR-6   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $19.40  
MVR-7   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
MVR-8   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER GABRIEL 7 3 31 1nk   1nk 1½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 57% 0.80 0.40 W
ROMANIAN PRINCE 4 4 21 2nk   2nk 2½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 2.00 14% 6.00 3.10 P
ONE STEP ASIDE 1 7 712 611   57 310½ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 40.70 S
ATLAS FALLS 6 6 69 711½   6 412 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00 5.30  
A VAN ON THE RUN 5 2 56 59   7 513¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 17.30  
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 2 5 42 43   4 616½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00 26.70  
NOAH MY BABY 3 1 11 3½   36 717½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 26.60  
 
MVR-2   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 5 5 42 3.2   1 1 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 2.10  
KARAMEL CORN 6 4 6 4   5 2 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 5.00 7.40 P
TIDE RISING 3 7 5 5   42 3 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.90 S
JACK BE FAST 2 2 2nk 2nk   2 43 (hernandez rica)HALDAR J 126 8.00 27.70  
RED HOT POWER 7 1 3 6   63 54 (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 44.10  
OL' L B 1 6 1nk 1nk   32 67 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 1.20 70% 0.40 0.70  
JOES A ROCKIN 4 3 7 7100   7100 7100 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00 53.80  
 
MVR-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO FAVORITO 7 1 1nk 1   14 14 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 10% 9.20 2.90 W
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 2 5 4 43   3 24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 8.00 6.70  
STREET MAX 5 4 85 6   5 3 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 21% 3.70 3.10 S
ARCHARCH CAT 6 2 3 2   24 4 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
DOMI 8 6 5 5   4 5 (mahan p)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 17.90 8.50  
MINDSHIP Q 1 8 6 7   710½ 613 (londono odin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 18.00  
MAS ORO 4 3 2nk 33   68 713¾ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 123 3.50 5.60  
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 7 7 8   813½ 822 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.50  
 
MVR-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSED UP 6 1 2nk 2½   2½ 1¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 1.80  
HIGH FIRE 1 6 6 45   34 2¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 4.70  
DIVA POWER 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 3 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.80 62% 0.60 1.20 S
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 3 32 32   4 4 (huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 26.90  
TWERK 5 2 43 5   5 5 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 6.00 7% 12.80 5.80  
APPEALING SENORITA 2 5 5 67   610½ 617 (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  DANZA MAGIC               (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
SCR  POWER BANKER               (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCURATE 3 6 5 53   2½ 11 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 3.90  
MUCHO PRIMO 6 3 1nk 11   1½ 21 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 2.00 P
THE MAN CAN 4 4 2nk 31   3½ 3 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 3.40  
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 8 2 4 4   4 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.50 40% 1.50 6.00  
TIZ A RUSH 1 8 812¼ 811½   66 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 29% 2.40 3.50  
PLATE IT UP 5 7 6 69   8 66 (tumbl)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 59.00  
BLUE MONARCH 2 5 7 711   7 7 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
JUST CHESTER 7 1 31 21   54 8 (schuster robin)RIVERA R 126 15.00 28.40  
 
MVR-6   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN STYLE TWO 6 2 3 2nk   2nk 1nk (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 8.70  
WANDA SUSIE DOOZY 5 4 2 5   4¼ 2nk (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 16% 5.50 4.20 P
CATCHAFALLNSTAR 3 7 712¼ 7   6 3¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 0.90 S
SHE HAD A SECRET 4 5 6 4   5 4 (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 36.10  
MY DANCING QUEEN 7 1 5 3.2   1nk 53 (urieta johan)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
SILVER CANDICE 2 3 1 1nk   3.2 6 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 5.60  
THEODOROPOULOS 1 6 4 6   7 713½ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 47% 1.10 5.40  
 
MVR-7   12/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY 4 2 21 21 2nk 1nk 1 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.90 W
SHE'S CRAFTY 1 4 7 6 5 4 2 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 11.80  
LIBERTY BELLE 6 3 11 11 1nk 2nk 3 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80 1.40 S
LOST BIKINI 3 7 33 3 3.2 3.2 4 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 16% 5.20 8.30  
LIAM'S LASS 5 1 44 5 4 5 5 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 4.00 3.90  
JEN'S BATTLE 7 6 6 43 6 6 617 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 16.00  
QUARANTINA 2 5 5 7 718¼ 726¾ 744½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 48.30  
 
MVR-8   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSABLINGTHING 4 2 2nk 1nk   1 1 (barrett roddin)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 1.50  
TRICKED OUT 1 6 4 4¾   2 2 (cowans d)MOJICA JR 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 P
FAITHFUL STEPS 3 7 7 7   59 311½ (preston randy)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00 25.40  
SISTER CODE 6 1 5 3.2   3 412¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 125 20.00 30.30  
LOVE MY CANDY 5 4 3.2 2nk   47 516 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 24% 3.10 4.10  
LINDSY'S SHADOW 7 5 6 6   616 627½ (reed r)HALDAR J 126 6.00 16% 5.20 8.60  
SKI SLOPE 2 3 1nk 5   725 753 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 125 20.00 49.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.