The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
MVR-1   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
MVR-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $6.20 -4.00
MVR-3   Win (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20
MVR-4   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $5.60 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.80 -6.00
MVR-6   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $19.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
MVR-8   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.00 -6.00
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUNNER GABRIEL 7 3 31 1nk   1nk 1½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 57% 0.80 0.40 W
4  ROMANIAN PRINCE 4 4 21 2nk   2nk 2½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 2.00 14% 6.00 3.10 P
1  ONE STEP ASIDE 1 7 712 611   57 310½ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 40.70 S
6  ATLAS FALLS 6 6 69 711½   67¼ 412 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00 ★ 5.30  
5  A VAN ON THE RUN 5 2 56 59   79¼ 513¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 17.30  
2  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 2 5 42 43   46½ 616½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00 26.70  
3  NOAH MY BABY 3 1 11 3½   36 717½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 26.60  
 
MVR-2   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 5 5 42 3.2   11½ 11½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 ★ 2.10  
6  KARAMEL CORN 6 4 64½ 42¼   52½ 21½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★ 7.40 P
3  TIDE RISING 3 7 52½ 53¼   42 32½ (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.90 S
2  JACK BE FAST 2 2 2nk 2nk   21½ 43 (hernandez rica)HALDAR J 126 8.00 27.70  
7  RED HOT POWER 7 1 31½ 63¼   63 54 (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 44.10  
1  OL' L B 1 6 1nk 1nk   32 67 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 1.20 70% 0.40 0.70  
4  JOES A ROCKIN 4 3 79½ 7100   7100 7100 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00 53.80  
 
MVR-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ESTILO FAVORITO 7 1 1nk 11½   14 14 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 10% 9.20 2.90 W
2  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 2 5 42¾ 43   34½ 24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 8.00 6.70  
5  STREET MAX 5 4 85 65½   55½ 35¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 21% 3.70 3.10 S
6  ARCHARCH CAT 6 2 32½ 21½   24 46¾ (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
8  DOMI 8 6 54¼ 53½   45½ 58¼ (mahan p)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 17.90 8.50  
1  MINDSHIP Q 1 8 64¾ 77½   710½ 613 (londono odin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 18.00  
4  MAS ORO 4 3 2nk 33   68 713¾ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 123 3.50 5.60  
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 7 74¾ 87¾   813½ 822 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.50  
 
MVR-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CROSSED UP 6 1 2nk 2½   2½ 1¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 1.80  
1  HIGH FIRE 1 6 66½ 45   34 2¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 4.70  
6  DIVA POWER 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 31¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.80 62% 0.60 1.20 S
3  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 3 32 32   44½ 45¾ (huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 26.90  
7  TWERK 5 2 43 55½   56½ 58¼ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 6.00 7% 12.80 5.80  
2  APPEALING SENORITA 2 5 53½ 67   610½ 617 (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  DANZA MAGIC               (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
SCR  POWER BANKER               (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACCURATE 3 6 52¾ 53   2½ 11 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 3.90  
6  MUCHO PRIMO 6 3 1nk 11   1½ 21 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 ★ 2.00 P
4  THE MAN CAN 4 4 2nk 31   3½ 31¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 3.40  
8  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 8 2 42½ 42½   43½ 42½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.50 40% 1.50 6.00  
1  TIZ A RUSH 1 8 812¼ 811½   66 54¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 29% 2.40 3.50  
5  PLATE IT UP 5 7 66¾ 69   86¾ 66 (tumbl)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 59.00  
2  BLUE MONARCH 2 5 77¼ 711   76¼ 76¾ (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
7  JUST CHESTER 7 1 31 21   54 87½ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 126 15.00 28.40  
 
MVR-6   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SICILIAN STYLE TWO 6 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 8.70  
5  WANDA SUSIE DOOZY 5 4 21½ 52¼   4¼ 2nk (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 16% 5.50 4.20 P
3  CATCHAFALLNSTAR 3 7 712¼ 76¼   62¾ 3¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★ 0.90 S
4  SHE HAD A SECRET 4 5 64¼ 41¾   51¼ 42¾ (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 36.10  
7  MY DANCING QUEEN 7 1 53¼ 3.2   1nk 53 (urieta johan)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
2  SILVER CANDICE 2 3 11½ 1nk   3.2 64¼ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 5.60  
1  THEODOROPOULOS 1 6 41¾ 63¼   77¾ 713½ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 47% 1.10 5.40  
 
MVR-7   12/19/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAY ROYALITY 4 2 21 21 2nk 1nk 11¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.90 W
1  SHE'S CRAFTY 1 4 76½ 66½ 53¼ 41¾ 21¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 11.80  
6  LIBERTY BELLE 6 3 11 11 1nk 2nk 33¼ (londono j)BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80 1.40 S
3  LOST BIKINI 3 7 33 31½ 3.2 3.2 44½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 16% 5.20 8.30  
5  LIAM'S LASS 5 1 44 53½ 42¾ 53¾ 59¼ (reed r)HALDAR J 124 4.00 ★ 3.90  
7  JEN'S BATTLE 7 6 64½ 43 63¼ 66¾ 617 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 16.00  
2  QUARANTINA 2 5 54½ 79½ 718¼ 726¾ 744½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 48.30  
 
MVR-8   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ITSABLINGTHING 4 2 2nk 1nk   11½ 12¾ (barrett roddin)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 ★ 1.50  
1  TRICKED OUT 1 6 41¾ 4¾   21½ 22¾ (cowans d)MOJICA JR 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 P
3  FAITHFUL STEPS 3 7 75¼ 75¼   59 311½ (preston randy)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00 25.40  
6  SISTER CODE 6 1 51¾ 3.2   36½ 412¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 125 20.00 30.30  
5  LOVE MY CANDY 5 4 3.2 2nk   47 516 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 24% 3.10 4.10  
7  LINDSY'S SHADOW 7 5 63¼ 63¾   616 627½ (reed r)HALDAR J 126 6.00 16% 5.20 8.60  
2  SKI SLOPE 2 3 1nk 51¾   725 753 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 125 20.00 49.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.