Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-4-1 $27.90 $18.90 210%
    SFT (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-4-1-6 $11.83 $10.03 557%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUNNER GABRIEL 7 3 31 1nk   1nk 1½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 57% 0.80 0.40 W
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  ROMANIAN PRINCE 4 4 21 2nk   2nk 2½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 2.00 14% 6.00 3.10 P
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
1  ONE STEP ASIDE 1 7 712 611   57 310½ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 40.70 S
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
6  ATLAS FALLS 6 6 69 711½   67¼ 412 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00 ★ 5.30  
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN 5 2 56 59   79¼ 513¾ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 17.30  
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
2  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 2 5 42 43   46½ 616½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00 26.70  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
3  NOAH MY BABY 3 1 11 3½   36 717½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 26.60  
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
 
MVR-2   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 5 5 42 3.2   11½ 11½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 ★ 2.10  
6  KARAMEL CORN 6 4 64½ 42¼   52½ 21½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★ 7.40 P
3  TIDE RISING 3 7 52½ 53¼   42 32½ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.90 S
2  JACK BE FAST 2 2 2nk 2nk   21½ 43 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 126 8.00 27.70  
7  RED HOT POWER 7 1 31½ 63¼   63 54 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 44.10  
1  OL' L B 1 6 1nk 1nk   32 67 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 1.20 70% 0.40 0.70  
4  JOES A ROCKIN 4 3 79½ 7100   7100 7100 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00 53.80  
 
MVR-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ESTILO FAVORITO 7 1 1nk 11½   14 14 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 10% 9.20 2.90 W
2  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 2 5 42¾ 43   34½ 24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 8.00 6.70  
5  STREET MAX 5 4 85 65½   55½ 35¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 21% 3.70 3.10 S
6  ARCHARCH CAT 6 2 32½ 21½   24 46¾ (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
8  DOMI 8 6 54¼ 53½   45½ 58¼ (mahan p)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 17.90 8.50  
1  MINDSHIP Q 1 8 64¾ 77½   710½ 613 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 18.00  
4  MAS ORO 4 3 2nk 33   68 713¾ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 123 3.50 5.60  
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 7 74¾ 87¾   813½ 822 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.50  
 
MVR-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CROSSED UP 6 1 2nk 2½   2½ 1¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 1.80  
1  HIGH FIRE 1 6 66½ 45   34 2¾ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 4.70  
6  DIVA POWER 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 31¼ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.80 62% 0.60 1.20 S
3  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 3 32 32   44½ 45¾ (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 26.90  
7  TWERK 5 2 43 55½   56½ 58¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 6.00 7% 12.80 5.80  
2  APPEALING SENORITA 2 5 53½ 67   610½ 617 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  DANZA MAGIC               (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
SCR  POWER BANKER               (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACCURATE 3 6 52¾ 53   2½ 11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 3.90  
6  MUCHO PRIMO 6 3 1nk 11   1½ 21 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 ★ 2.00 P
4  THE MAN CAN 4 4 2nk 31   3½ 31¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 3.40  
8  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 8 2 42½ 42½   43½ 42½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.50 40% 1.50 6.00  
1  TIZ A RUSH 1 8 812¼ 811½   66 54¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 29% 2.40 3.50  
5  PLATE IT UP 5 7 66¾ 69   86¾ 66 (tum)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00 59.00  
2  BLUE MONARCH 2 5 77¼ 711   76¼ 76¾ (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
7  JUST CHESTER 7 1 31 21   54 87½ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 126 15.00 28.40  
 
MVR-6   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SICILIAN STYLE TWO 6 2 31½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 8.70  
5  WANDA SUSIE DOOZY 5 4 21½ 52¼   4¼ 2nk (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 16% 5.50 4.20 P
3  CATCHAFALLNSTAR 3 7 712¼ 76¼   62¾ 3¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★ 0.90 S
4  SHE HAD A SECRET 4 5 64¼ 41¾   51¼ 42¾ (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 36.10  
7  MY DANCING QUEEN 7 1 53¼ 3.2   1nk 53 (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
2  SILVER CANDICE 2 3 11½ 1nk   3.2 64¼ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 5.60  
1  THEODOROPOULOS 1 6 41¾ 63¼   77¾ 713½ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 47% 1.10 5.40  
 
MVR-7   12/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAY ROYALITY 4 2 21 21 2nk 1nk 11¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.90 W
1  SHE'S CRAFTY 1 4 76½ 66½ 53¼ 41¾ 21¼ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 11.80  
6  LIBERTY BELLE 6 3 11 11 1nk 2nk 33¼ (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80 1.40 S
3  LOST BIKINI 3 7 33 31½ 3.2 3.2 44½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 16% 5.20 8.30  
5  LIAM'S LASS 5 1 44 53½ 42¾ 53¾ 59¼ (reed r)HALDAR J 124 4.00 ★ 3.90  
7  JEN'S BATTLE 7 6 64½ 43 63¼ 66¾ 617 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 16.00  
2  QUARANTINA 2 5 54½ 79½ 718¼ 726¾ 744½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 48.30  
 
MVR-8   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ITSABLINGTHING 4 2 2nk 1nk   11½ 12¾ (barrett rodd)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 ★ 1.50  
  (by PONTIFF out of IT'S MY KNIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
1  TRICKED OUT 1 6 41¾ 4¾   21½ 22¾ (cowans william )MOJICA JR 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  FAITHFUL STEPS 3 7 75¼ 75¼   59 311½ (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00 25.40  
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
6  SISTER CODE 6 1 51¾ 3.2   36½ 412¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 125 20.00 30.30  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
5  LOVE MY CANDY 5 4 3.2 2nk   47 516 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 24% 3.10 4.10  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  LINDSY'S SHADOW 7 5 63¼ 63¾   616 627½ (reed r)HALDAR J 126 6.00 16% 5.20 8.60  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of BIG BABY SLEW by CONCORD POINT)
2  SKI SLOPE 2 3 1nk 51¾   725 753 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 125 20.00 49.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.