Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(1/3)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/5/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/8)-(6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/8)-(6/7/2)-(8/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(8/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(8/1/2)-(1/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(1/5/7)-(6/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(6/4/3)-(1/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE STEP ASIDE Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
2  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Nov16 Oct12       (morales )FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
3  NOAH MY BABY Nov16 Oct31 Oct12     (poole m)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
4  ROMANIAN PRINCE Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 2.00 14% 6.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN Nov16         (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  ATLAS FALLS Nov16         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 5.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
7  GUNNER GABRIEL Nov16         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MVR-2   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' L B Nov21 Oct30 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 1.20 70% 0.40    
2  JACK BE FAST Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 Sep04 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 126 8.00    
3  TIDE RISING Dec07 Nov15 Oct30 Sep04 Aug14 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOES A ROCKIN Dec04 Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 Jun07 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00    
5  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Nov30 Nov07 Oct09 Sep28 Aug28 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 ★    
6  KARAMEL CORN Dec04 Nov08 Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★    
7  RED HOT POWER Dec12 Nov21 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-3   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINDSHIP Q Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Oct09 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
2  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Nov16 Sep28 Sep18 Aug10 Jul19 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
4  MAS ORO Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 (schuster robin)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
5  STREET MAX Dec04 Nov09 Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  ARCHARCH CAT Dec06 Jun06 May24 Apr04 Nov27 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  ESTILO FAVORITO Dec04 Nov09 Oct29 Oct09 Sep13 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
8  DOMI Dec12 Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep21 (mahan p)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 17.90    
 
MVR-4   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FIRE Dec04 Nov02 Oct06 Sep13 Aug17 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
2  APPEALING SENORITA Dec11 Nov20 Nov02 Oct28 Oct06 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Nov20 Nov02 Sep13 Aug22 May22 (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
SCR  POWER BANKER Nov14 Nov02 Jul17 May26 May11 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
SCR  DANZA MAGIC Nov28 Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
6  DIVA POWER Nov16 Oct28 Oct02 Aug16 Aug02 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
7  TWERK Nov28 Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 Aug03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 6.00 7% 12.80    
8  CROSSED UP Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 Aug14 Jul17 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A RUSH Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  BLUE MONARCH Mar08 Feb02 Jan11 Dec20 Nov28 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACCURATE Dec04 Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Sep20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
4  THE MAN CAN Dec04 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 Sep04 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 5.00    
5  PLATE IT UP Dec04 Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 Sep27 (tum)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00    
6  MUCHO PRIMO Dec04 Nov06 Oct30 May16 Mar02 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 ★    
7  JUST CHESTER Jun07 May20 May08 Mar14 Feb21 (schuster robin)RIVERA R 126 15.00    
8  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Nov28 Oct13 Aug21 Jul12 Jun26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-6   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEODOROPOULOS Apr22 Feb12 Jan20 Jul01 May29 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  SILVER CANDICE Dec05 Nov19       (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50    
3  CATCHAFALLNSTAR Dec05 Oct31 Sep19 May29 May09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
4  SHE HAD A SECRET Dec03 Oct02 Sep09 Jul30 Jul23 (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
5  WANDA SUSIE DOOZY Nov01 Oct01 Aug29 Jul30   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 16% 5.50    
6  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Dec07 Nov16 Aug23 Aug01 Jul10 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
7  MY DANCING QUEEN Dec05 Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 Aug10 (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   12/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S CRAFTY Dec04 Sep26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul03 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
2  QUARANTINA Oct31 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Jul25 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
3  LOST BIKINI Nov23 Oct01 Aug22 Jul30 Jun26 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
4  GRAY ROYALITY Nov16 Oct31 Oct10 Sep07 Aug23 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  LIAM'S LASS Nov21 Oct15 Sep12 Aug06 Jul06 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 4.00 ★    
6  LIBERTY BELLE Dec05 Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep06 (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  JEN'S BATTLE Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Sep06 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKED OUT Oct31 Jul01       (cowans william )MOJICA JR 126 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  SKI SLOPE Nov13 Oct31 Oct03 Sep16 Mar25 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 125 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  FAITHFUL STEPS Nov27         (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 125 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
4  ITSABLINGTHING Nov16 Sep15 Aug30 Jul08 May29 (barrett rodd)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 ★    
  (by PONTIFF out of IT'S MY KNIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  LOVE MY CANDY Nov19 Oct31 Sep25 Sep04 Aug09 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  SISTER CODE Oct31 Oct05 Jun14 May25 May11 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 125 20.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
7  LINDSY'S SHADOW         (reed r)HALDAR J 126 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of BIG BABY SLEW by CONCORD POINT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.