The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -0.10
BAQ-2   Win (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
BAQ-3   Win (6/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $15.00 -8.00
BAQ-4   Win (10) 1 $2.00 $2.00 9 1 0 $3.20 -2.00
BAQ-5   Win (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.30 -6.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/3/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 -2.70
BAQ-7   Win (5/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 7.40
BAQ-8   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $5.10 -6.00
BAQ-9   Win (10/3/15/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOEBEINWONDERLAND 5 3 21 21   2 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 1.60 41% 1.40 0.95 W
OUT ON BAIL 1 2 11 11   1 2¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 6.50  
SOONTOBEKING 2 1 5 610   4 3 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 7.70 S
VAMONOS VAMONOS 4 4 6 5   58 4 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 14.50  
MAN FROM MALTA 3 6 3 34   3 59 (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00 41.75  
RICHARD AVE 6 5 43 4   6 611¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 17% 4.90 1.80  
 
BAQ-2   05/10/2024 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEAH ALEAH 3 1 11 11   1 1 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
DARK DEVIL 4 3 3 32   33 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 P
MR. PAPAGIORGIO 1 4 4 4   4 3 (martin f)LUZZI J 118 8.00 4.00  
BETTA GO GO GO 5 2 21 21   2 4 (barker edwar)RIVERA R 124 4.50 31% 2.20 1.30  
LCGOLUCKY 2 5 5 513½   518½ 518½ (ferraro w)ESCOBAR E 118 30.00 40.25  
SCR  BRAVE BUCK               (barker edwa)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
SCR  CAGE MATCH               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 0.80    
 
BAQ-3   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 2 7 6 511 5 3 1 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00 6.50  
JOEY THE FISH 5 6 712¼ 616 610½ 5 2 (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60 P
MERAVIGLIOSO 7 1 1nk 22 2½ 2½ 3 (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 2.50 10% 8.80 2.60 S
SISTER LINDA 1 4 3.2 12 1½ 1½ 4 (schettino domini)LUZZI J 118 2.00 19% 4.40 2.20  
GRINGOTTS 4 5 5 4 4 46 5 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 38.25  
JOLLY MISS JILL 6 2 4 3 36 67 6 (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 38% 1.60 2.25  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 3 2nk 7100 7100 7100 7100 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 16.60  
 
BAQ-4   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN GATEWAY 2 3 1½ 11 13 14 14 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.80 0.60  
TOWHEAD 1 1 2½ 21 23 24 24 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 2.50 P
10  AMANDA'S FOLLY 3 2 32 34 35 3 319 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 30% 2.30 2.30 S
SCR  MALLEYMOO               (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  QUARREL               (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ELYSIAN FIELD               (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  TAMING THE TIGRESS               (toscano )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  BREATH AWAY (GB)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL DENILE 5 6 64 3   1nk 1 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 3.65  
Z DANCER 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (sanchez-piner)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
CLANCY FANCY 1 4 4 4   4 32 (englehart chris)LUZZI J 124 10.00 5.80  
BOOM BOOM THUNDER 4 2 3½ 2½   3.2 4 (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 21.70  
BOSUN 6 5 53 6   5 56 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 118 1.20 67% 0.50 0.50  
FREE FOLK 3 1 2½ 52   6 613¾ (englehart jeffr)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
SCR  ROYAL BROWNE               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUALLY CORRECT 4 1 21 21   1nk 13 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 1.65 W
10  LOOMS BOLDLY 5 2 11 11   2nk 23 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 9.40  
1A  LET IT RIDE 3 6 4 3   4 3 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50 50% 1.00 4.90 S
RUN CURTIS RUN 1 3 32 4   3 4 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 16% 5.20 9.30  
11  LIFE CHANGER 6 7 6 68   6 5 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 3.35  
12  EMERALD FOREST 7 4 7 710   7 6 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 6% 15.20 4.60  
PAROS 2 5 53 54   5 712¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 19.60  
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR               (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
SCR  IKIGAI               (follett norman)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 12.00    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  STAGE LEFT               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNMATCHED WISDOM 8 1 2½ 21 11 1 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 23% 3.40 6.70 W
MILITARY ROAD 6 2 4 42 43 3 2 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 21% 3.80 0.80 P
COMMANDER OF TRUTH 3 4 31 32 3 2 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 8.20  
FOXHOLE 4 3 1½ 11 21 49 413¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 33% 2.10 3.70  
STILL A SOLDIER 2 7 7 5 59 514 515 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 21.40  
TRUE CONNECTION 7 8 8 810¼ 6 615 617¾ (ryerson t)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 13.90  
REMEMBER THE CHIEF 5 5 53 6 710 716½ 718¾ (baker charlton)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
FIRST TRUMPET 1 6 63 7 815 824½ 839¼ (delauro )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 45.50  
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL               (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOHANA 6 2 1½ 1   1 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 1.55  
TOUGH LOVE TORRES 5 6 53 43   2 2 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 56% 0.80 1.60 P
FIVE TO TWO 4 3 6 68   5 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 10.40  
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 2 5 4 5   35 4 (chichakly amir)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 17.90  
WALK WITH ME 1 1 2½ 3   46 5 (duggan dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 14% 5.90 4.10  
MEL'S BABY SISTER 3 4 31 2   610½ 627½ (giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  P MUTTER PICKLE               (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:132 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VIN SANTO 4 5 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 48% 1.10 2.80 W
11  ARCO AUGUSTA 5 4 7 6 6 3½ 2nk (begg bentl)LUZZI J 118 15.00 9.90  
16  IRIE MAN 8 1 6 76 32 2½ 3 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 9.50  
SWEET TONE 2 6 4 43 42 4 4 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 12.00 16.70  
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 3 8 811¾ 814 811½ 6 5 (bernard)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 44.25  
15  WISECRACKER 7 3 5 5 7 59 620¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 11% 8.50 2.15  
WO HOP 1 7 3 33 5 810¾ 721½ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 17% 4.90 4.40  
13  KID KREESA 6 2 1 1 2½ 710¼ 824¼ (dixon lind)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
SCR  AZ U CHASE ME               (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  BALLYHEIGUE               (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  FLUORESCENT BAY               (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
SCR  FROZEN FOUR               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  JHIRSCH               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE               (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  UNAFFECTED               (sanchez-piner)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.