Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-2   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $17.40 $11.40 190%
    DD (5/6)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $15.30 $9.30 155%
BAQ-7   WIN (5/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $15.40 $7.40 93%
    EXA (5/9/7/6)-(5/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-7 $16.40 $4.40 37%
    DD (1/3/12/7)-(5/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-9 $16.60 $0.60 4%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOEBEINWONDERLAND 5 3 21 21   2 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 1.60 41% 1.40 0.95 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of NOMINATE by PALACE MALICE)
OUT ON BAIL 1 2 11 11   1 2¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 6.50  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
SOONTOBEKING 2 1 5 610   4 3 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 7.70 S
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
VAMONOS VAMONOS 4 4 6 5   58 4 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 14.50  
  (by VOLATILE out of BRISTOL'S BROOKE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MAN FROM MALTA 3 6 3 34   3 59 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00 41.75  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of LATE FOR CHURCH by FOREFATHERS)
RICHARD AVE 6 5 43 4   6 611¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 17% 4.90 1.80  
  (by MCKINZIE out of DISTORTED NEWS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
BAQ-2   05/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEAH ALEAH 3 1 11 11   1 1 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
DARK DEVIL 4 3 3 32   33 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 P
MR. PAPAGIORGIO 1 4 4 4   4 3 (martin carlos )LUZZI J 118 8.00 4.00  
BETTA GO GO GO 5 2 21 21   2 4 (barker edw)RIVERA R 124 4.50 31% 2.20 1.30  
LCGOLUCKY 2 5 5 513½   518½ 518½ (ferraro w)ESCOBAR E 118 30.00 40.25  
SCR  BRAVE BUCK               (barker ed)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
SCR  CAGE MATCH               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80    
 
BAQ-3   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 2 7 6 511 5 3 1 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00 6.50  
JOEY THE FISH 5 6 712¼ 616 610½ 5 2 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60 P
MERAVIGLIOSO 7 1 1nk 22 2½ 2½ 3 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 2.50 10% 8.80 2.60 S
SISTER LINDA 1 4 3.2 12 1½ 1½ 4 (schettino domi)LUZZI J 118 2.00 19% 4.40 2.20  
GRINGOTTS 4 5 5 4 4 46 5 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 38.25  
JOLLY MISS JILL 6 2 4 3 36 67 6 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 38% 1.60 2.25  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 3 2nk 7100 7100 7100 7100 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 16.60  
 
BAQ-4   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN GATEWAY 2 3 1½ 11 13 14 14 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.80 0.60  
TOWHEAD 1 1 2½ 21 23 24 24 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 2.50 P
10  AMANDA'S FOLLY 3 2 32 34 35 3 319 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 30% 2.30 2.30 S
SCR  MALLEYMOO               (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  QUARREL               (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ELYSIAN FIELD               (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  TAMING THE TIGRESS               (toscan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  BREATH AWAY (GB)               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL DENILE 5 6 64 3   1nk 1 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 3.65  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of IN DENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
Z DANCER 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
CLANCY FANCY 1 4 4 4   4 32 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 124 10.00 5.80  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ALTO BELLE by TRAPPE SHOT)
BOOM BOOM THUNDER 4 2 3½ 2½   3.2 4 (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 21.70  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
BOSUN 6 5 53 6   5 56 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 118 1.20 67% 0.50 0.50  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
FREE FOLK 3 1 2½ 52   6 613¾ (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPRING ELUSION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  ROYAL BROWNE               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MOM'S KISSES by WILLCOX INN)
 
BAQ-6   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUALLY CORRECT 4 1 21 21   1nk 13 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 1.65 W
10  LOOMS BOLDLY 5 2 11 11   2nk 23 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 9.40  
1A  LET IT RIDE 3 6 4 3   4 3 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50 50% 1.00 4.90 S
RUN CURTIS RUN 1 3 32 4   3 4 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 16% 5.20 9.30  
11  LIFE CHANGER 6 7 6 68   6 5 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 3.35  
12  EMERALD FOREST 7 4 7 710   7 6 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 6% 15.20 4.60  
PAROS 2 5 53 54   5 712¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 19.60  
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR               (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
SCR  IKIGAI               (follett norm)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 12.00    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  STAGE LEFT               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNMATCHED WISDOM 8 1 2½ 21 11 1 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 23% 3.40 6.70 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
MILITARY ROAD 6 2 4 42 43 3 2 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 21% 3.80 0.80 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PRIVATE ENSIGN by A.P. INDY)
COMMANDER OF TRUTH 3 4 31 32 3 2 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 8.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JUNGLE TALE by LION HEART)
FOXHOLE 4 3 1½ 11 21 49 413¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 33% 2.10 3.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELABORATE by GILDED TIME)
STILL A SOLDIER 2 7 7 5 59 514 515 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 21.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAPARRI by TAPIT)
TRUE CONNECTION 7 8 8 810¼ 6 615 617¾ (ryerson t)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 13.90  
  (by CONNECT out of TIPPANY by TAPIT)
REMEMBER THE CHIEF 5 5 53 6 710 716½ 718¾ (baker charlt)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
  (by ARMY MULE out of PLEASANT POINT by PLEASANT COLONY)
FIRST TRUMPET 1 6 63 7 815 824½ 839¼ (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 45.50  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL               (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
 
BAQ-8   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOHANA 6 2 1½ 1   1 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 1.55  
TOUGH LOVE TORRES 5 6 53 43   2 2 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 56% 0.80 1.60 P
FIVE TO TWO 4 3 6 68   5 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 10.40  
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 2 5 4 5   35 4 (chichakly am)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 17.90  
WALK WITH ME 1 1 2½ 3   46 5 (duggan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 14% 5.90 4.10  
MEL'S BABY SISTER 3 4 31 2   610½ 627½ (giddings me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  P MUTTER PICKLE               (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:132 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VIN SANTO 4 5 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 48% 1.10 2.80 W
11  ARCO AUGUSTA 5 4 7 6 6 3½ 2nk (begg ben)LUZZI J 118 15.00 9.90  
16  IRIE MAN 8 1 6 76 32 2½ 3 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 9.50  
SWEET TONE 2 6 4 43 42 4 4 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 12.00 16.70  
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 3 8 811¾ 814 811½ 6 5 (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 44.25  
15  WISECRACKER 7 3 5 5 7 59 620¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 11% 8.50 2.15  
WO HOP 1 7 3 33 5 810¾ 721½ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 17% 4.90 4.40  
13  KID KREESA 6 2 1 1 2½ 710¼ 824¼ (dixon li)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
SCR  AZ U CHASE ME               (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  BALLYHEIGUE               (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  FLUORESCENT BAY               (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
SCR  FROZEN FOUR               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  JHIRSCH               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE               (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  UNAFFECTED               (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.