Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(7/6/3)-(6/1/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(6/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(6/1/7/5)-(10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/5)-(10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/5)-(10)-(7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (10) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (10)-(10/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (10)-(7/3/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (10)-(7/3/2)-(1/3/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(1/3/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(1/3/12/7)-(5/9/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/3/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/12/7)-(1/3/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/12/7)-(1/3/12/7)-(1/3/12/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/12/7)-(5/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/12/7)-(5/9/7/6)-(5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (5/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/6)-(5/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/6)-(5/9/7/6)-(5/9/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/7/6)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/6)-(5/1/3)-(10/3/15/13) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(10/3/15/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (10/3/15/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/15/13)-(10/3/15/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/15/13)-(10/3/15/13)-(10/3/15/13) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT ON BAIL         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
2  SOONTOBEKING         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 ★    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
3  MAN FROM MALTA         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of LATE FOR CHURCH by FOREFATHERS)
4  VAMONOS VAMONOS         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of BRISTOL'S BROOKE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  PHOEBEINWONDERLAND         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of NOMINATE by PALACE MALICE)
6  RICHARD AVE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DISTORTED NEWS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
BAQ-2   05/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Apr19         (martin carlos )LUZZI J 118 8.00    
2  LCGOLUCKY         (ferraro w)ESCOBAR E 118 30.00    
3  ALEAH ALEAH Apr20 Apr06 Mar07 Oct21 Sep14 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRAVE BUCK         (barker ed)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
SCR  CAGE MATCH Apr20 Mar09       (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80    
6  DARK DEVIL Apr26         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  BETTA GO GO GO Apr19 Mar08 Jan17 Dec21 Nov19 (barker edw)RIVERA R 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
BAQ-3   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER LINDA Mar22 Mar08 Feb02 Jan14 Dec07 (schettino domi)LUZZI J 118 2.00 19% 4.40    
2  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Apr21 Mar30 Mar01 Feb02 Jan14 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00    
3  FREDDYMO FACTOR Apr13 Mar28 Mar03 Feb19 Feb09 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00    
4  GRINGOTTS Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 Feb02 Jan07 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
5  JOEY THE FISH Apr21 Apr04 Mar08 Feb24 Feb16 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOLLY MISS JILL Apr21 Apr04 Mar24 Feb24 Feb17 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 38% 1.60    
7  MERAVIGLIOSO Apr18 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 2.50 10% 8.80    
 
BAQ-4   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALLEYMOO Oct15 Sep02 Jun02 Apr14 Mar04 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  QUARREL Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH Jan27 Dec30 Nov12 Sep01 Jul04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  TAMING THE TIGRESS Apr14 Mar15 Feb29 Feb19 Feb04 (toscan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
5  TOWHEAD Apr14 Mar14 Feb19 May19 Apr01 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  ELYSIAN FIELD Mar03 Oct01 Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  BREATH AWAY (GB) Dec23 Nov05 Jun24 May19 Apr01 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Mar03 Dec26 Nov04 Oct14 Aug19 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
9  OCEAN GATEWAY Mar28 Mar14 Jan18 Dec16 Jul13 (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 124 0.80    
10  AMANDA'S FOLLY Dec28 Oct29 Sep04 Aug27 Jul26 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-5   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLANCY FANCY Apr12 Nov16 Oct28     (englehart chri)LUZZI J 124 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ALTO BELLE by TRAPPE SHOT)
2  Z DANCER Apr12 Mar21 Feb23 Jan28 Nov26 (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
3  FREE FOLK Feb06         (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPRING ELUSION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  ROYAL BROWNE         (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MOM'S KISSES by WILLCOX INN)
5  BOOM BOOM THUNDER Apr29 Apr12       (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  FINAL DENILE Mar24         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of IN DENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  BOSUN Apr04         (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 118 1.20 67% 0.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
 
BAQ-6   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LET IT RIDE Mar02 Jan20 Nov25 Nov04 Apr08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  SENBEI Oct29 Aug24 Jul07 May29 Nov12 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE Apr28 Nov16 Oct12 Aug23 Aug05 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 12.00    
SCR  STAGE LEFT Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 Dec23 Dec08 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
3  RUN CURTIS RUN Apr05 Feb04 Jan05 Nov18 Oct27 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  WAKE SURF Mar30 Feb23 Dec31 Nov12 Oct06 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH Mar24 Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 Aug13 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
6  PAROS Jul07 May13 Apr27 Mar31 Mar05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
7  FACTUALLY CORRECT Apr05 Mar02 Feb09 Dec07 Oct29 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IKIGAI Jan12 Dec02 Sep22 Aug05 Jul07 (follett norm)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR Apr21 Mar30 Feb23 Feb09 Dec16 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
10  LOOMS BOLDLY Apr05 Aug13 Jun26 May29 Apr15 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
11  LIFE CHANGER Mar16 Mar01 Feb19 Feb02 Dec29 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
12  EMERALD FOREST Apr05 Mar29 Feb23 Dec31 Nov30 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 6% 15.20    
 
BAQ-7   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST TRUMPET Apr21 Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL         (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
3  STILL A SOLDIER Mar31         (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAPARRI by TAPIT)
4  COMMANDER OF TRUTH Sep16         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JUNGLE TALE by LION HEART)
5  FOXHOLE Mar24 Jul21       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 33% 2.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELABORATE by GILDED TIME)
6  REMEMBER THE CHIEF Mar24         (baker charlt)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of PLEASANT POINT by PLEASANT COLONY)
7  MILITARY ROAD Mar31 Feb17 Jan13     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PRIVATE ENSIGN by A.P. INDY)
8  TRUE CONNECTION Apr05 Mar09 Jan13     (ryerson t)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TIPPANY by TAPIT)
9  UNMATCHED WISDOM         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
 
BAQ-8   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALK WITH ME Apr07 Feb18 Dec16 Nov09   (duggan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
2  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 Feb09 Jan28 (chichakly am)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
3  MEL'S BABY SISTER Jan28 Dec31 Nov19 Oct22   (giddings me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIVE TO TWO Apr21 Apr06 Feb24 Jan28 Dec17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
5  TOUGH LOVE TORRES Mar22         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  P MUTTER PICKLE Dec14 Nov19       (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
7  SOHANA Apr14 Mar03 Feb09 Dec31   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AZ U CHASE ME Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 Dec23 Nov18 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  BALLYHEIGUE         (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
3  WO HOP Apr12         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  SWEET TONE Apr27 Nov17 Nov03 Oct14   (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 12.00    
SCR  JHIRSCH Apr06 Mar02 Feb03 Nov03 Oct14 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
SCR  FLUORESCENT BAY Feb18 Feb10 Jan04 Aug23 Jul07 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
SCR  FROZEN FOUR Nov03 Sep17 Aug18 Aug03   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE Mar07 Feb11 Jan18 Dec16 Dec02 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 20.00    
9  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Apr19 Apr11 Mar16 Mar08 Feb18 (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
10  VIN SANTO Apr13 Mar24 Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 48% 1.10    
11  ARCO AUGUSTA Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 (begg ben)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON Oct14 Aug03 Jul07     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
13  KID KREESA Nov19 Oct27 Sep04 Aug09 Jul14 (dixon li)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNAFFECTED Apr13 Sep04 Aug06 Jun23 Jun01 (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
15  WISECRACKER Oct13 Sep04       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 11% 8.50    
16  IRIE MAN Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 Dec29 (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.