Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.82  
KEE-2   Win (4/2/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.04 $3.04  
KEE-3   Win (3/7/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.52 $6.52  
KEE-4   Win (7/4/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $60.92 $60.92 50.92
KEE-5   Win (12/7/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $51.18 $51.18 43.18
KEE-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.34 $3.34  
KEE-7   Win (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $14.12  
KEE-8   Win (1/9/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $8.06  
KEE-9   Win (4/15/14/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $14.14 $14.14 4.14
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:123 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SITTIN ON GO 5 6 31 21 2nk 21 1hd (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 1.41  
7  P H FACTOR 6 1 11 11 1nk 11 2hd (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.40 4.37 P
3  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 2 5 41½ 42½ 32 44 32¼ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 22% 3.50 3.73 S
4  HOODLUM 3 3 63 54 43 33 42¼ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.40  
5  FAITHFUL KING 4 2 21 32½ 53¼ 57 513¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 16.87  
2  Q BOND 1 4 52½ 64¼ 67¼ 610 617¾ (alvarez nery)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 30.00 33.54  
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT               (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :462       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DREAMAWAY 1 4 1nk     1nk 1nk (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 2.00 22% 3.50 0.52 W
4  CLEVER AGAIN 3 1 2nk     2nk 2nk (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80 3.86 P
5  MO HAIR SAM 4 6 44½     46 34¾ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 8.00 21% 3.70 8.41 S
11  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE 7 5 31½     34½ 45 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 7.61  
3  SACKETT 2 3 65¼     68 57½ (mccutchen jason)CEDILLO ABEL 119 30.00 57.15  
12  MONEYLINE 8 2 55     57½ 67¾ (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 39.31  
6  BAYTOWN BEATLE 5 8 78¼     711 712 (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 26.43  
7  MENDELLO 6 7 813¾     814 816¾ (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 30.00 33.98  
SCR  HAPPYFLYER               (o'donnell mar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  JOHNNY COME LATELY               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  SERGEANT CAPPS               (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00    
SCR  TAPIRS VALOR               (hancock john )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  THE TONER               (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:11 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SEGESTA 8 2 31½ 32½ 31 11½ 1½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 13% 7.00 2.26 W
3  TIMELESS ELEGANCE 3 9 108¼ 98 74 43 2½ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 126 8.00 33% 2.00 2.74 P
11  CLARET BERET 10 5 43½ 53½ 52 21½ 31 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.91 S
10  PISCIOTTA (GB) 9 11 129¾ 119½ 106¼ 96¼ 43 (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.45  
2  BIG DIG 2 1 65 65 42 33 53¾ (bahena is)DE CRUZ 126 20.00 42.69  
12  GLO GLO 11 8 53½ 43½ 63 84¾ 65½ (damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 32.62  
7  SPEAK UP 6 6 76½ 87 84¼ 74¾ 75¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 15% 5.80 6.23  
13  MS. LILIBET 12 7 2½ 2½ 1½ 53¼ 88 (williamson brian)ASHTON GAVIN 126 20.00 68.27  
1  STAR ANISE 1 12 86¾ 76 94¼ 107¼ 99¾ (brinkman bret)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 26.80  
5  LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) 4 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 64¼ 109¾ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 12% 7.00 11.69  
6  TOFFEE APPLE 5 4 118¼ 1211 128¾ 119¾ 1110¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 33.06  
8  EXHILARATE 7 10 97¼ 109 117¼ 1210 1212¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 16.71  
SCR  CHOATE               (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
SCR  DREAM ON STORMY               (winston d)OUZTS W 126 30.00    
SCR  MYIYLA               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SENSIBLE CHOICE 8 8 64¼ 75 66½ 46 1hd (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 29.46 W
7  MATURITY DATE 7 9 85¾ 65 34 34½ 2hd (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 48% 1.10 2.67 P
9  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 9 3 11½ 1½ 22 22½ 33 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8% 11.80 5.30 S
11  ELLIPTIC (IRE) 11 7 31½ 2½ 12 12½ 43¼ (vaccarezza carl)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00 5.27  
3  GHEE FOR THE WIN 3 5 41¾ 31½ 44 58½ 57 (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.55  
2  MISS HARMONIC 2 1 98¾ 98 77½ 68½ 67¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 6.00 10.78  
1  NO SHOW 1 2 75¾ 86½ 810 814¾ 722¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.59  
10  QUEEN RHAENYRA 10 11 109¾ 109½ 910½ 714½ 824½ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00 10.00  
4  COLETTE'S JOY 4 6 21½ 42 55½ 916¼ 926¼ (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 16% 5.40 4.44  
6  SOLVENT 6 10 1110¾ 1117½ 1131½ 1144¼ 1086¼ (chavez manuel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 84.35  
5  SONG BRIDGE 5 4 53¾ 54½ 1018½ 1034¼ 1186¾ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 126 15.00 17.80  
 
KEE-5   04/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:21 :432 :55     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLEAR THE AIR 10 4 43¼ 42½   1nk 11½ (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 24.59 W
3  DEMOLITION DUKE 3 9 109¼ 109½   75¼ 21½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 9% 10.80 1.63 P
12  SALT SPRAY (IRE) 12 3 3.2 1½   2nk 31½ (ward a)LANERIE J 124 4.00 41% 1.40 8.07 S
6  DOUBLE CLUTCH 6 7 76¾ 75½   44 43¼ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 ★ 5.92  
11  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 11 8 53¾ 53   54¼ 55¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 48.55  
4  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 4 11 119¾ 1110   128½ 65½ (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 30.00 75.22  
7  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) 7 10 98¼ 99   118½ 75¾ (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.50 27% 2.70 4.81  
8  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 8 12 1211¼ 1210½   96 86¼ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 13.21  
2  RANSOMWARE 2 5 65¾ 65½   85½ 96½ (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00 7.45  
1  CHAPLIN 1 2 1nk 32   64¼ 107¼ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 12.90  
5  RIGEL 5 6 87¾ 88   107½ 117¼ (sancal murat)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00 60.82  
9  MACKVILLE 9 1 2nk 2½   33 127¼ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 27.08  
 
KEE-6   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DRAGOON GUARD 6 4 2½ 2nk   13½ 13¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 38% 1.60 0.67 W
3  TERM 2 6 56 58½   35½ 23¾ (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 24% 3.10 4.26 P
1  ROCK N ROLL BOLT 1 1 1½ 1nk   23½ 311½ (camejo m)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 12% 7.00 3.62 S
6  MAP TO THE STARS 5 5 44 44½   47 414 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 23.12  
5  SESAME STREEK 4 3 33 33   58½ 516½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 23.70  
4  TEMECULA 3 2 611 6100   6100 6100 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 8.43  
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113 1:351   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 7 1 21½ 22½ 21½ 2nk 11¼ (schultz lindsa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 6.06  
3  BLISSFUL 3 3 11½ 12½ 11½ 1nk 21¼ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9% 9.70 13.95 P
4  IMMENSITUDE (FR) 4 4 43 44½ 43 32 32 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.20 33% 2.00 2.47 S
7  HEAVENLY APPOINTED 6 5 54½ 56 54½ 43½ 42¾ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 26% 2.90 2.61  
2  FLATTER ME SILLY 2 2 75¾ 67 75¾ 55 55¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 10.00 27.27  
1  VALENTINA DAY 1 8 87¾ 88 87¼ 65½ 66 (toye li)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 20.84  
10  CANISY 8 6 33 34 33 76 710½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5.34  
6  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 5 7 65½ 77 65½ 88 814½ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 8% 11.80 4.58  
SCR  QUEEN OF MISSOULA               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  TIC TIC TIC BOOM               (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:213 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAFFA'S DAY 5 4 52 42½   41¼ 1½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 3.03  
10  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 10 7 75¼ 76   75¼ 2½ (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 118 12.00 31.53  
6  SWOT ANALYSIS 6 2 3½ 31½   2nk 31 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 18% 4.60 9.68 S
8  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 8 8 65 65   53¼ 41½ (brown paul )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 84.44  
9  CHAMPLIN 9 3 1½ 21   1nk 52¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 25% 3.00 2.61  
12  INSOLITO 11 1 2½ 11   3.2 64½ (estvanko ri)CORREA L 118 15.00 36.84  
1  LUDWIG 1 5 41½ 55   64¾ 75 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 26% 2.80 4.17  
4  READY TO POUNCE 4 9 1110½ 1010½   99¼ 86¼ (pessin l)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 14.80  
3  HIGHER STANDARD 3 10 97¾ 87½   86¼ 96¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 7% 13.70 6.20  
7  POWERFUL 7 6 85¼ 98½   109¼ 106½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 9.54  
2  BAYTOWN BEAR 2 11 108 1111½   1113¼ 1116 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 74.41  
SCR  BUSHIDO               (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:113 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  COCO CRUSH 8 7 43 53 23 22 1¾ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 13% 6.50 6.07 W
4  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) 3 1 11½ 11 13 12 2¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.20 41% 1.40 0.66 P
15  STAY LOST 9 9 96¼ 95¾ 87¾ 56½ 31½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 126 6.00 18% 4.70 15.44 S
6  LIPOCHROME 4 5 21½ 21 33 33 43¼ (torres concep)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 10.00 26.75  
7  SEMANTICS 5 6 53½ 42½ 45 44½ 53½ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 126 20.00 5% 19.00 7.37  
2  MUNEERA 1 2 76 84¾ 77¾ 67½ 65¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9.22  
8  SISTER HONEY 6 3 64½ 64½ 67½ 79 76¾ (antonucci m)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 7% 14.10 19.03  
3  HAMPTON YARD 2 8 86¼ 74½ 98¼ 99½ 87¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 32.52  
16  WHY WASTE WORDS 10 10 108¾ 105¾ 109¼ 1010½ 98¼ (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 22.88  
9  I'M A COOKIE LOVER 7 4 31½ 31½ 56½ 89 108½ (kerrick lacy)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 74.37  
SCR  DAY DAWNING               (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  DONA WITCH               (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 126 15.00    
SCR  MISS LOVEY DOVEY               (lestingi mary)RIQUELME J 118 50.00    
SCR  MO DIVINE               (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 126 12.00    
SCR  MY SEXY BLONDE               (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
SCR  TIDAL TACTICS               (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 126 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.