Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (4/2/5/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (3/7/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (7/4/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (12/7/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (1/9/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (4/15/14/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENSE YOU LEFT Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb04 Dec09 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
Q BOND Mar21 Oct24 Sep22 Sep06 Jul29 (alvarez nery)CORRALES GERARDO 113 30.00    
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Mar07 Feb02 Jan11 Dec22 Nov22 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
HOODLUM Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan05 Dec14 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
FAITHFUL KING Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Dec16 Nov19 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SITTIN ON GO Mar30 Mar07 Jan27 Jan04 Dec22 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60    
P H FACTOR Mar13 Feb09 Dec21 Nov16 Aug18 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SERGEANT CAPPS Apr10         (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00    
DREAMAWAY         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 2.00 22% 3.50    
SACKETT         (mccutchen jason)CEDILLO ABEL 119 30.00    
CLEVER AGAIN         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
MO HAIR SAM Apr10         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
BAYTOWN BEATLE         (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
MENDELLO         (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 30.00    
SCR  JOHNNY COME LATELY         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
SCR  TAPIRS VALOR Apr10         (hancock john )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  HAPPYFLYER Apr10         (o'donnell marcu)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
11  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE         (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
12  MONEYLINE         (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE TONER         (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ANISE Mar03 Jan27 Dec31     (brinkman bret)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
BIG DIG Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 Dec23 Nov12 (bahena is)DE CRUZ 126 20.00    
TIMELESS ELEGANCE Feb22 May24 Apr30     (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 126 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MYIYLA Mar22 Mar03       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) Mar23         (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 12% 7.00    
TOFFEE APPLE Feb21 Jan17 Dec14     (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
SPEAK UP Mar10 Jan28 Jan04 Nov25 Oct29 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
EXHILARATE Mar31 Mar06 Aug13 Jul08   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
SEGESTA Mar09 Jan21       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 13% 7.00    
10  PISCIOTTA (GB)         (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
11  CLARET BERET Mar23         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  GLO GLO Mar23 Feb02 Dec01 Oct28 Sep03 (damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00    
13  MS. LILIBET Mar06 Feb10 Jan01 Dec03 Nov08 (williamson brian)ASHTON GAVIN 126 20.00    
SCR  DREAM ON STORMY Mar28 Nov01 Oct07 Sep15 Sep03 (winston d)OUZTS W 126 30.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Apr05 Mar01 Jan24 Dec13 Nov16 (capps a)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  CHOATE Mar13 Sep02       (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW Mar29 Mar08 Aug04 Jul20 Jun15 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS HARMONIC Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 Oct27 (forster t)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
GHEE FOR THE WIN Mar09 Feb14       (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
COLETTE'S JOY Feb22 Dec07 Oct22 Oct01 Aug31 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 16% 5.40    
SONG BRIDGE Feb18 Jan27 Feb18 Jan21   (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 126 15.00    
SOLVENT Mar07         (chavez manuel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
MATURITY DATE Mar10 Dec30 Oct01 Aug18   (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
SENSIBLE CHOICE Mar30 Mar06 Feb08 Jan10 Nov07 (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Mar23 Feb22 Jan24 Dec31 Dec08 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8% 11.80    
10  QUEEN RHAENYRA Mar07 Jan25 Dec30 Nov09 Oct01 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00    
11  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Mar28 Mar06       (vaccarezza carl)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPLIN Mar14 May14 Apr07 Mar25   (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
RANSOMWARE Jun11 May21 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00    
DEMOLITION DUKE Mar24 Jun17 Apr15 Mar19 Feb05 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 9% 10.80    
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK Mar08 Feb03 Dec23 Oct25 Sep30 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 30.00    
RIGEL Mar06 Feb03 Jan04 Nov05 Aug25 (sancal murat)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH Dec15 Nov18 Oct25 Mar08 Jan28 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) Dec02 Oct26       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Sep16 Aug17 Jul20 Jul15 May28 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
MACKVILLE Mar06 Feb07 Dec24 Nov22   (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
10  CLEAR THE AIR Mar30 Feb23 Feb09 Dec16 Dec01 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Mar15 Feb16 Feb01 Dec07 Oct05 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
12  SALT SPRAY (IRE) Sep14 Dec17       (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
KEE-6   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK N ROLL BOLT Apr11 Mar09 Feb15 Jan13 Dec14 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR Mar24 Feb25 Jan21 Oct15 Sep10 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
TERM Mar23         (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
TEMECULA Mar16         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SESAME STREEK         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
MAP TO THE STARS Mar13 Feb13       (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
DRAGOON GUARD Sep22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINA DAY Mar08 Aug19 Jul23 Jun15 May21 (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
FLATTER ME SILLY Mar23 Feb22 Jul01 Apr26 Mar10 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
BLISSFUL Mar21 Feb22 Jan15 May18 Apr12 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9% 9.70    
IMMENSITUDE (FR)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.20 33% 2.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF MISSOULA Apr19 Feb15 Dec06 Nov16 Oct08 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
WATCH THIS BIRDIE Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov01 Oct07 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 8% 11.80    
HEAVENLY APPOINTED Feb25 Jan21 Dec08 Oct05 Sep07 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Mar23 Feb17 Jan15 Oct07 Sep10 (schultz lindsa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Mar28 Feb29 Feb01 Jan18 Nov04 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
10  CANISY Mar23 Aug11 Jul22 Jun16 May19 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUDWIG Sep02 Aug04 May21 Apr29 May07 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
BAYTOWN BEAR Nov20 Oct25 Oct06 Sep16 Sep02 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHER STANDARD Mar09 Jan16 Dec22 Nov12 Sep25 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 7% 13.70    
READY TO POUNCE Mar16 Feb17 Jun04 May04 Mar18 (pessin l)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SAFFA'S DAY Apr05 Mar03 Jan07 Jul29 Jul07 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
SWOT ANALYSIS Feb24 Jan28 Aug24 Jul20 Jun10 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 18% 4.60    
POWERFUL Feb24 Jan27 Apr22 Apr01 Feb25 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Apr06 Jan19 Dec03 Nov02 Sep29 (brown paul )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
CHAMPLIN Feb29 Jan15       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
10  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Sep07 Aug05 Jun01 May05 Dec16 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 118 12.00    
SCR  BUSHIDO Feb10 Dec23 Jun15 Apr16 Oct08 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
12  INSOLITO Mar14 Feb10 Dec15 Oct23 Sep26 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 118 15.00    
 
KEE-9   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAY DAWNING         (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
MUNEERA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
HAMPTON YARD         (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Feb23         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.20 41% 1.40    
SCR  MO DIVINE Mar21 Feb22 Aug13 Mar09 Feb08 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 126 12.00    
LIPOCHROME Mar28 Dec21 Nov24 Nov01 Oct01 (torres conce)CORRALES GERARDO 126 10.00    
SEMANTICS Mar07         (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SISTER HONEY Mar31 Aug31 Jun11     (antonucci m)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00 7% 14.10    
I'M A COOKIE LOVER Mar13         (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  DONA WITCH Feb29 Feb01       (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 126 15.00    
SCR  MISS LOVEY DOVEY         (lestingi mary)RIQUELME J 118 50.00    
SCR  TIDAL TACTICS Dec21 Nov23 Sep13 Sep02   (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 126 30.00    
SCR  MY SEXY BLONDE Mar07 Feb21 Jan10 Nov25   (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
14  COCO CRUSH         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 13% 6.50    
15  STAY LOST Oct07 Jun24 May13 Apr19 Nov26 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
16  WHY WASTE WORDS Dec15 Nov05 Oct05 Jul15   (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.