Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-2 $5.35 $2.35 78%
AQU-3   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $19.20 $11.20 140%
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $33.75 $21.75 181%
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-7-6 $94.25 $82.25 685%
AQU-5   WIN (3/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $17.60 $9.60 120%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102 1:223   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALARCHUK 6 1 1½ 11 1 1 1 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 35% 1.80 0.60 W
  (by NYQUIST out of SEIZE THE RING by TIZNOW)
CUANDO 5 2 2½ 21 2 2 2 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 40% 1.50 3.75 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
BOLT D'PLATA 2 6 56 510½ 5 312 314¾ (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00 10.70 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HEKAAYAAT by MR. GREELEY)
PARTY WITH SMARTY 1 5 3 4 36 412 415¼ (gutierrez j)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 20.00 44.25  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SEQUENTIAL 4 4 43 32 47 512½ 515¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 4.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
WELL SCHOOLED 3 3 6 616½ 619½ 624½ 630 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 16.20  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SCARY SMART by SMART STRIKE)
 
AQU-2   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUNDSON 6 5 31 3   11 1½ (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 5.50  
MARKET ALERT 1 4 4 42   4 2½ (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 2.00  
BRONX BOMBER 2 3 1½ 11   21 3 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 18% 4.60 12.20 S
BUSTIN SHOUT 5 6 52 5   5 45 (potts wayne)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 5.00 14% 5.90 5.00  
BIG ENGINE 3 1 6 6   6 5 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 29% 2.40 4.20  
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 4 2 2½ 21   3 66 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 2.60  
 
AQU-3   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD REUNION 2 7 5 5   1 1 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00 17% 4.90 8.60 W
GIANT'S FIRE 7 3 3 31   33 2 (terranova john)LUZZI J 124 1.20 35% 1.80 1.75 P
MUAZARAH 6 2 21 1nk   2 3 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 10% 8.90 6.30 S
SIN NOMBRE 3 5 6 6   6 4 (romero jes)RIVERA R 126 10.00 10.20  
BOBBY THE TANK 1 4 11 2nk   44 5 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 8% 11.90 3.15  
XCELLENT MEN 4 1 4 4   54 6 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 5.00 4.50  
DOLLY'S BANK 8 8 8 712¼   8 7 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 15.00 26.50  
SOLO IN PARIS 5 6 7 812¾   79 89 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 23.40  
 
AQU-4   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPONE 5 2 12 11   2nk 1hd (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00 1.30  
DOT'S DOLLAR 4 1 22 21   1nk 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 38% 1.60 1.80 P
HATCH (GB) 3 3 33 3   33 3 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 12.00 11.30  
O'TROUBLE 6 5 46 47   49 4 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 19% 4.20 6.40  
CLEM LABINE 1 6 611 615½   614 59 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 6.40  
CAJUN CASANOVA 2 4 5 515   513 6 (garber owen)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
SCR  DONTBELATE               (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
 
AQU-5   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINGOOD TO KNOWYA 7 1 32 2½   1 1 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80 W
RING ME 4 3 21 3   2 2 (terranova john)LUZZI J 125 5.00 9.70  
WITHIN VIEW 5 4 75 55   47 36 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 13% 6.50 1.20 S
SOLO RYE'D 2 7 54 65   5 4 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 13.10  
NEPTUNE BEACH 1 6 4 43   3 5 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 8% 11.20 4.60  
UPTOMYKNEESINIT 6 2 11 1½   613½ 617¼ (donk david)RIVERA R 118 8.00 12.60  
COMPUTE IT 3 5 6 7   715½ 718¾ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 54% 0.90 3.65  
SCR  GENTLE JACK FROST               (persaud rand)HARKIE K 125 30.00    
 
AQU-6   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROLLED TEMPER 7 6 6 4   31 1¼ (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 2.30  
SNAPPIN BUTTONS 6 5 31 2nk   1½ 2¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 41% 1.50 2.30 P
DON'T LISTEN 2 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 3 (duarte jorg)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 36% 1.80 3.80 S
STATUS SEEKER 3 7 5 3   52 4 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 117 5.00 4.20  
SIX PACK SENORITA 4 4 4 5   4 5 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 21.10  
YOU'RE FOREVER 5 2 74 7   65 6 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
GRAB THE GLORY 1 1 1½ 6   713 725 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 7.90  
 
AQU-7   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:112 1:24   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 4 6 21 2½ 1nk 1 12 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 31% 2.20 1.10 W
GRACEFUL ROSE 3 2 63 42 3 3 22 (gorham michae)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.20 3.25 P
ANILEATE 2 4 11 1½ 2nk 2 38 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 122 8.00 10.60  
MISS FASHIONISTA 1 7 5 53 5 57 4 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 17% 5.00 3.25  
EMBRACEABLE GAL 5 5 32 31 4 45 511 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 16.00  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 6 1 4 6 6 6 612¼ (klesaris robert)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
MISS KRISTY 7 3 710 710½ 712¼ 713½ 719¼ (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 26.50  
 
AQU-8   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO 3 8 5 3   1½ 1¼ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 6.50  
JANSSEN 4 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 2¼ (lakeman an)RIVERA R 118 4.50 5% 19.00 2.70 P
SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 4 42 4   44 3 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 18% 4.70 2.40 S
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 7 6 7 7   67 4 (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00 73.00  
ALPHA SONNY 6 5 1nk 2nk   31 5 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 125 10.00 7.30  
QOROKWE 1 1 810¼ 8   56 67 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 16.80  
MALIBU MARGARITA 2 3 6 6   77 710½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 43% 1.30 3.20  
POWER TEN 8 7 3½ 5   811 815¼ (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 14% 6.10 12.40  
SCR  FRANKIE R.               (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.