Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/2/5)-(7/2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/2/6/1)-(5/7/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1)-(5/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/1)-(5/7/8/2)-(3/5/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/2)-(3/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/2)-(3/5/1/8)-(6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/8)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/8)-(6/2/5)-(4/1/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/1/3/6)-(3/6/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/6)-(3/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY WITH SMARTY Mar09 Feb01 Jan19 Nov12 Sep17 (gutierrez j)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 20.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  BOLT D'PLATA Mar08 Feb09 Jan06 Oct22 Sep28 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HEKAAYAAT by MR. GREELEY)
3  WELL SCHOOLED         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SCARY SMART by SMART STRIKE)
4  SEQUENTIAL         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
5  CUANDO Mar09 Feb25 Jan27     (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
6  MALARCHUK Dec08 Sep28       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of SEIZE THE RING by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-2   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET ALERT Mar08 Feb16 Jan04 Dec10 Nov12 (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50    
2  BRONX BOMBER Mar08 Feb04 Jan12 Jan01 Nov03 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  BIG ENGINE Mar30 Mar03 Feb16 Jan12 Jan04 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Feb17 Dec03 Nov04 Aug23 Jul07 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80    
5  BUSTIN SHOUT Mar21 Feb04 Jan04 Dec30 Nov30 (potts wayne)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
6  AMUNDSON Mar21 Mar08 Jan18 Nov30 Oct29 (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY THE TANK Apr05 Feb16 Jan01 Dec01 May21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 8% 11.90    
2  GOOD REUNION Feb24 Feb18 Jan04 Dec09 Nov10 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  SIN NOMBRE Mar21 Feb24 Jan26 Jan04 Dec07 (romero jes)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
4  XCELLENT MEN Mar24 Mar09 Feb09 Jan07 Dec16 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 5.00    
5  SOLO IN PARIS Mar21 Mar10 Feb19 Dec16 Nov30 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
6  MUAZARAH Mar10 Jan27 Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 10% 8.90    
7  GIANT'S FIRE Feb09 Jun09 Apr07 Feb11 Nov11 (terranova john)LUZZI J 124 1.20 35% 1.80    
8  DOLLY'S BANK Mar14 Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 15.00    
 
AQU-4   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEM LABINE Feb19 Feb09 Nov30 Sep09 Aug11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE Nov16 Oct12 Aug23 Aug05 Jul22 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
2  CAJUN CASANOVA Feb19 Jan12 Dec29 Nov18 Oct04 (garber owen)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  HATCH (GB) Mar09 Feb25 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE Mar30 Feb04 Dec29 Dec07 Nov03 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
5  DOT'S DOLLAR Apr05 Feb09 Jan07 Nov18 Oct14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  CAPONE Mar15 Feb09 Jan01 Dec28 Nov24 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00    
7  O'TROUBLE Apr20 Apr07 Mar25 Feb09 Jan21 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  DONTBELATE Feb25 Feb10 Dec30 Dec09 Dec01 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
AQU-5   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPTUNE BEACH Mar09 Feb18 Jan13 Dec02   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 8% 11.20    
2  SOLO RYE'D Nov03 Oct14 Sep04     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
3  COMPUTE IT Mar21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan06   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 54% 0.90    
4  RING ME Mar09 Feb24 Jan18     (terranova john)LUZZI J 125 5.00    
5  WITHIN VIEW Mar10 Feb02       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  GENTLE JACK FROST Jul10         (persaud rand)HARKIE K 125 30.00    
7  UPTOMYKNEESINIT Mar07 Feb17 Jan07 Dec02   (donk david)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
8  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Mar28 Feb24 Jan26 Jan07 Nov18 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAB THE GLORY Mar28 Aug16 Jul27 Jul09 Jun15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
2  DON'T LISTEN Nov24 Oct01 Sep04     (duarte jorg)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  STATUS SEEKER Jun02         (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 117 5.00    
4  SIX PACK SENORITA Jan07 Nov23 Oct13 Aug06   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
5  YOU'RE FOREVER Mar08 Jan27 Nov12     (falcone ro)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SNAPPIN BUTTONS Mar01         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
7  CONTROLLED TEMPER Mar21 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec21 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS FASHIONISTA Mar14 Feb16 Dec30 Nov17 Dec16 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  ANILEATE Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 Nov26 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
3  GRACEFUL ROSE Mar14 Feb23 Dec31 Nov24 Oct11 (gorham michae)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
4  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Mar16 Feb23 Dec28 Dec03 Nov17 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  EMBRACEABLE GAL Mar08 Dec31 Nov30 Nov13 Oct23 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
6  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Mar28 Mar03 Jan26 Dec30 Dec08 (klesaris robert)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISS KRISTY Mar14 Jan01 Dec08 Oct28 Sep03 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRANKIE R. Mar09 Feb23 Dec02 Nov12   (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 20.00    
2  QOROKWE Mar28 Mar09 Feb24 Feb03   (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00    
3  MALIBU MARGARITA Mar14 Jan13 Dec17 Nov04   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO Jan14 Sep04       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00    
5  JANSSEN Mar08 Jan18 Nov18     (lakeman an)RIVERA R 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  SAVAGE SPIRIT Mar16 Jan06 Nov04 Oct04 Aug18 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  ALPHA SONNY Mar14 Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 125 10.00    
8  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Mar16 Mar08 Feb18 Jan13   (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
9  POWER TEN         (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.