The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $29.60 $29.60 23.60
AQU-2   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.60 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
AQU-4   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
AQU-5   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.40 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.50 $7.50 1.50
AQU-7   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
AQU-8   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
AQU-9   Win (7/9/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKED BY GOLD 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 1nk (quick patri)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 20% 4.00 13.80 W
PEACHY WEACHY 6 6 3½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (diprima gregory)LUZZI J 110 8.00 23% 3.30 4.90 P
TRADE SECRET 2 3 4 4   41 32 (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 2.85  
1A  HYDRA 5 1 2nk 3.2   3½ 45 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 29% 2.40 0.60  
DIVA BANKER 1 5 5 5   53 56 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 1.00 0.60  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 4 6 6   66 67 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 6.00 10.10  
SCR  KILLY START               (contessa gar)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
 
AQU-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE ABANAKEE 3 3 3 3   2nk 1 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00 6.80  
MULKEY 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 37% 1.70 0.50 P
EASTERN STAR 5 2 2½ 2nk   32 36 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 4.50 12% 7.10 4.90 S
MOMMASGOTTAGUN 1 5 510 4   49 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 27% 2.70 4.10  
LA FIERE 2 4 4 512½   517 521¼ (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 38.00  
HIDDEN WAR DANCE 6 6 615½ 622½   629 644½ (winney melvi)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 30.00 67.25  
 
AQU-3   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSUME NOTHING 4 2 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 1hd (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.50 W
MIGHTY ATLAS 6 5 4 31 3½ 3½ 2hd (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 2.35  
DEBATE 3 4 53 6 6 4 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 3.65  
NIGHT EFFECT 2 3 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 4 (samsundar )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 16% 5.40 3.65  
CAPITAL CONQUEST 1 1 32 4 4 5 5 (lake scott )VARGAS A 120 10.00 20.40  
FIGHTING BACK 5 6 64 5 5 6 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 24% 3.20 4.00  
 
AQU-4   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE BE WITH YOU 1 4 1½ 11 1½ 1 1 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 127 2.50 17% 4.80 3.70 W
JACKSON HEIGHTS 5 5 54 5 44 36 2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 14% 5.90 1.95 P
SAFALOW'S MISSION 2 6 4 3 3 4 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 41% 1.40 1.75 S
FINANCIAL DISTRICT 3 3 6 66 5 510 4 (sanchez-pinero an)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 51.25  
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 4 2 2½ 21 2½ 2 510¼ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 10.30  
FLIP'S DREAM 6 1 31 42 69 620 637¼ (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 127 4.00 4.70  
 
AQU-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU SPIRIT 2 2 11 1½   11 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 3.20  
DEVIL'S CAY 4 3 3 31   21 2¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6% 17.20 2.10 P
TWELTH MAN 3 4 21 2½   3 32 (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50 42% 1.40 3.00 S
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 5 5 511 5   5 4 (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 122 5.00 2.65  
ANTHRACITE 1 1 42 4   43 53 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 15% 5.70 7.80  
SCR  BAD LARRY               (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50    
 
AQU-6   04/13/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:111     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLINT RIDGE 3 3 1½ 1nk   1 13 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 37% 1.70 2.75 W
MR BOB 4 2 2½ 2nk   2 23 (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 15% 5.60 1.90 P
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 2 5 32 42   4 33 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 4.00  
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 5 1 42 3½   33 45 (rodriguez g)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00 2.75  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 6 4 5 5   5 5 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 15% 5.70 2.60  
SCILLY CAY 1 6 64 68   69 6 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 8.10  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
 
AQU-7   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOB JOHN RAY 4 4 42 5 6 3½ 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 63% 0.60 2.55 W
PALACE BOSS 3 2 2½ 21 21 2nk 2¾ (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 16.90  
SORORITY PRANK 1 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 33 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 7.10 S
HAGRID'S FLAME 6 5 64 6 54 42 45 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
METATRON 8 6 31 3 4 6 510½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 1.75  
AELFGAR 2 3 52 42 3 5 611¼ (sells rache)CAMACHO JR 118 3.50 7% 13.60 5.80  
VIN SANTO 7 7 8 7 7 7 715¾ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 10.40  
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY 5 8 7 88 814¾ 812¼ 821 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 42.25  
SCR  DILLON               (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL VARGO 1 2 1½ 1nk   12 1 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 0.80 59% 0.70 0.50 W
HEIR PORT 6 4 5 5   22 2 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00 5% 19.00 31.25 P
MR PHIL 7 1 2½ 2nk   3 3 (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
MOTION TO STRIKE 4 5 31 4   54 45 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
BREAKING STONES 8 3 4 3½   4 5 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 118 12.00 22.40  
JOKER BOY 9 7 6 6   6 6 (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 65.25  
F F ROCKET 2 6 8 711¼   7 7 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 10.60  
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 3 9 911½ 812¾   814 811¾ (jones eduard)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00 54.75  
HORN OF PLENTY 5 8 7 914¼   922 930¾ (barrera oscar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 10.00 45.25  
 
AQU-9   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:114 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S MOMENT 7 4 6 6 43 2 1 (bond harold )RIVERA R 118 3.00 36% 1.80 5.70 W
IRON MAN IRA 5 1 1nk 22 1½ 1 2 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5.40  
JUDGE RULES 2 2 5 5 5 5 3 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
INONIT 6 3 3 33 33 4 44 (lugovich lisa)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
MUGSY FURY 1 5 9 87 6 6 5 (davis g)LUZZI J 126 20.00 30.50  
BERNING BEAUTY 3 6 7 76 7 7 6 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7% 13.60 6.20  
HE HAS IT ALL 9 9 2nk 12 2½ 34 79 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 2.50 26% 2.80 2.10  
UNAFFECTED 4 7 42 43 8 810 811¼ (sanchez-pinero an)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00 71.00  
SIR MAGIC 8 8 8 913 922¾ 930 945 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 4.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.