Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $29.60 $23.60 393%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $76.00 $70.00 1167%
AQU-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $20.10 $14.10 235%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-5-2 $20.50 $17.50 583%
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-1 $24.30 $15.30 170%
AQU-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $13.50 $7.50 125%
AQU-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $19.50 $10.50 117%
AQU-8   SFT (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7/2)-(1/4/6/7/2)-(1/4/6/7/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  1-6-7-4 $15.85 $6.25 65%
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/2/6)-(1/4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-4-1 $40.00 $4.00 11%
AQU-9   WIN (7/9/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $13.40 $3.40 34%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKED BY GOLD 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 1nk (quick pat)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 20% 4.00 13.80 W
PEACHY WEACHY 6 6 3½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 110 8.00 23% 3.30 4.90 P
TRADE SECRET 2 3 4 4   41 32 (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 2.85  
1A  HYDRA 5 1 2nk 3.2   3½ 45 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 29% 2.40 0.60  
DIVA BANKER 1 5 5 5   53 56 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 1.00 0.60  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 4 6 6   66 67 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 6.00 10.10  
SCR  KILLY START               (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
 
AQU-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE ABANAKEE 3 3 3 3   2nk 1 (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00 6.80  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SABAEL by HOOK AND LADDER)
MULKEY 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 37% 1.70 0.50 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROCKY POLICY by ROCK SLIDE)
EASTERN STAR 5 2 2½ 2nk   32 36 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 4.50 12% 7.10 4.90 S
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
MOMMASGOTTAGUN 1 5 510 4   49 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 27% 2.70 4.10  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DRAFT by DIALED IN)
LA FIERE 2 4 4 512½   517 521¼ (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 38.00  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAY ISLAND by BLUEGRASS CAT)
HIDDEN WAR DANCE 6 6 615½ 622½   629 644½ (winney mel)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 30.00 67.25  
  (by WAR DANCER out of FUNKY MUNKY MAMA by LION HEARTED)
 
AQU-3   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSUME NOTHING 4 2 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 1hd (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.50 W
MIGHTY ATLAS 6 5 4 31 3½ 3½ 2hd (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 2.35  
DEBATE 3 4 53 6 6 4 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 3.65  
NIGHT EFFECT 2 3 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 4 (samsunda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 16% 5.40 3.65  
CAPITAL CONQUEST 1 1 32 4 4 5 5 (lake scot)VARGAS A 120 10.00 20.40  
FIGHTING BACK 5 6 64 5 5 6 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 24% 3.20 4.00  
 
AQU-4   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE BE WITH YOU 1 4 1½ 11 1½ 1 1 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 127 2.50 17% 4.80 3.70 W
JACKSON HEIGHTS 5 5 54 5 44 36 2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 14% 5.90 1.95 P
SAFALOW'S MISSION 2 6 4 3 3 4 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 41% 1.40 1.75 S
FINANCIAL DISTRICT 3 3 6 66 5 510 4 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 51.25  
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 4 2 2½ 21 2½ 2 510¼ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 10.30  
FLIP'S DREAM 6 1 31 42 69 620 637¼ (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 127 4.00 4.70  
 
AQU-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU SPIRIT 2 2 11 1½   11 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 3.20  
DEVIL'S CAY 4 3 3 31   21 2¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6% 17.20 2.10 P
TWELTH MAN 3 4 21 2½   3 32 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50 42% 1.40 3.00 S
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 5 5 511 5   5 4 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 122 5.00 2.65  
ANTHRACITE 1 1 42 4   43 53 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 15% 5.70 7.80  
SCR  BAD LARRY               (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50    
 
AQU-6   04/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:111     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLINT RIDGE 3 3 1½ 1nk   1 13 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 37% 1.70 2.75 W
MR BOB 4 2 2½ 2nk   2 23 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 15% 5.60 1.90 P
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 2 5 32 42   4 33 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 4.00  
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 5 1 42 3½   33 45 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00 2.75  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 6 4 5 5   5 5 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 15% 5.70 2.60  
SCILLY CAY 1 6 64 68   69 6 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 8.10  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
 
AQU-7   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOB JOHN RAY 4 4 42 5 6 3½ 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 63% 0.60 2.55 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MARCELLINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
PALACE BOSS 3 2 2½ 21 21 2nk 2¾ (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 16.90  
  (by LAOBAN out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
SORORITY PRANK 1 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 33 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 7.10 S
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
HAGRID'S FLAME 6 5 64 6 54 42 45 (terranova )RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
  (by LEOFRIC out of LIGHT THE CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
METATRON 8 6 31 3 4 6 510½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 1.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ANGELS TRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
AELFGAR 2 3 52 42 3 5 611¼ (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 118 3.50 7% 13.60 5.80  
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
VIN SANTO 7 7 8 7 7 7 715¾ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 10.40  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY 5 8 7 88 814¾ 812¼ 821 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 42.25  
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE EYED by FRIENDLY LOVER)
SCR  DILLON               (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
 
AQU-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL VARGO 1 2 1½ 1nk   12 1 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 0.80 59% 0.70 0.50 W
HEIR PORT 6 4 5 5   22 2 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00 5% 19.00 31.25 P
MR PHIL 7 1 2½ 2nk   3 3 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
MOTION TO STRIKE 4 5 31 4   54 45 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
BREAKING STONES 8 3 4 3½   4 5 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 118 12.00 22.40  
JOKER BOY 9 7 6 6   6 6 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 65.25  
F F ROCKET 2 6 8 711¼   7 7 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 10.60  
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 3 9 911½ 812¾   814 811¾ (jones edua)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00 54.75  
HORN OF PLENTY 5 8 7 914¼   922 930¾ (barrera osc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 10.00 45.25  
 
AQU-9   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:114 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S MOMENT 7 4 6 6 43 2 1 (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 3.00 36% 1.80 5.70 W
  (by HONOR CODE out of JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT by CITY ZIP)
IRON MAN IRA 5 1 1nk 22 1½ 1 2 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of SAINTLY ROSE by GRAEME HALL)
JUDGE RULES 2 2 5 5 5 5 3 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
INONIT 6 3 3 33 33 4 44 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
MUGSY FURY 1 5 9 87 6 6 5 (davis g)LUZZI J 126 20.00 30.50  
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
BERNING BEAUTY 3 6 7 76 7 7 6 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7% 13.60 6.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE GIANT'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HE HAS IT ALL 9 9 2nk 12 2½ 34 79 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 2.50 26% 2.80 2.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
UNAFFECTED 4 7 42 43 8 810 811¼ (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00 71.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SIR MAGIC 8 8 8 913 922¾ 930 945 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 4.20  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LADY IN SHADES by CONGRATS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.