Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/5/2)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/1/5)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/2/6)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/4/6)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/2/6)-(1/4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/4/6/7)-(7/9/3/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7/2)-(1/4/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7)-(7/9/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/9/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/2/6)-(7/9/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/2/6)-(7/9/3/2/6)-(7/9/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA BANKER Apr04 Feb10 Jan11 Jan05 Dec08 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 1.00 ★    
1A  HYDRA Mar15 Feb23 Jan19 Dec07 Nov25 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  KILLY START Mar30 Jan11 Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
3  TRADE SECRET Mar22 Mar08 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07 (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50    
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR Mar28 Mar03 Feb19 Feb09 Jan26 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 6.00    
5  BACKED BY GOLD Aug20 Jul27 Jul07 Mar03 Jan28 (quick pat)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 20% 4.00    
6  PEACHY WEACHY Apr04 Mar04 Feb06 Jan29 Jan03 (diprima )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMASGOTTAGUN         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DRAFT by DIALED IN)
2  LA FIERE         (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAY ISLAND by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  LAKE ABANAKEE         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SABAEL by HOOK AND LADDER)
4  MULKEY         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROCKY POLICY by ROCK SLIDE)
5  EASTERN STAR Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
6  HIDDEN WAR DANCE Apr04         (winney mel)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FUNKY MUNKY MAMA by LION HEARTED)
 
AQU-3   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL CONQUEST Mar27 Mar01 Feb08 Jan30 Jan01 (lake scot)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
2  NIGHT EFFECT Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 (samsunda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  DEBATE Mar24 Oct07 Sep16 May28 Apr28 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
4  ASSUME NOTHING Mar15 Feb24 Jan27 Dec29 Nov26 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  FIGHTING BACK Sep24 Jul09 Jun10     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  MIGHTY ATLAS Mar15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul09 Jun10 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
 
AQU-4   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORSE BE WITH YOU Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 127 2.50 17% 4.80    
2  SAFALOW'S MISSION Feb29 Jan13 Aug05 Jul03 Jun03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  FINANCIAL DISTRICT Mar25 Jan14 Jan03 Nov28 Sep22 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
4  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Mar09 Feb18 Jan06 Dec09 Aug02 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
5  JACKSON HEIGHTS Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 May29 Dec17 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 14% 5.90    
6  FLIP'S DREAM Mar21 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09   (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 127 4.00    
 
AQU-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORNING CUP Oct21 Sep01 Jul01 May04 Apr21 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50    
2  ANTHRACITE Mar21 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Jan01 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  BAD LARRY Feb25 Feb02 Jan06 Nov17 Oct15 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
4  BAYOU SPIRIT Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
5  TWELTH MAN Oct07 Sep28 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  DEVIL'S CAY Mar14 Feb03 Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6% 17.20    
7  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Mar09 Mar01 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 122 5.00    
 
AQU-6   04/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLINT RIDGE Dec29 Oct28 Oct04 Sep04 Jul26 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 37% 1.70    
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Jan26 Mar24 Feb18 Feb10 Dec03 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00    
2  SCILLY CAY Jan26 Jan01 Nov30 Oct28 Sep04 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
3  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Oct23 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
4  MR BOB Mar14 Feb25 Dec29 Dec09 Nov23 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE Mar30 Mar16 Jan12 Dec10 May04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
6  LAFITTE'S FLEET Mar10 Mar01 Feb03 Dec29 Nov04 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE Mar02 Feb11 Jan14 Dec24 Sep13 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
 
AQU-7   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORORITY PRANK Mar21 Feb25 Feb03 Dec29 Nov04 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  AELFGAR Mar17 Mar10 Feb25 Feb03   (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 118 3.50 7% 13.60    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  PALACE BOSS Jan18 Dec16       (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
4  BOB JOHN RAY Feb25         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MARCELLINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Feb25         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE EYED by FRIENDLY LOVER)
6  HAGRID'S FLAME Mar24         (terranova )RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of LIGHT THE CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  DILLON Mar14 Jan13 Nov03 Sep17 Aug03 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
8  VIN SANTO Mar24 Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Nov03 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
9  METATRON         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ANGELS TRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
AQU-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL VARGO Mar30 Mar17 Jan18 Jan08 Dec15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 0.80 59% 0.70    
2  F F ROCKET Mar17 Jan18 Nov11 Nov03 Oct14 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 ★    
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Mar28 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan26 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
4  MOTION TO STRIKE Jan25 Dec30 Nov18 Oct06 Sep03 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
5  HORN OF PLENTY Mar22 Mar03 Feb04 Jan01 Dec15 (barrera osc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 10.00    
6  HEIR PORT Mar01 Jan06 Nov26 Jul14 Jun03 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR PHIL Mar17 Feb19 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BREAKING STONES Feb19 Feb04 Nov22 Oct17 Sep04 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
9  JOKER BOY Mar01 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 Oct12 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
 
AQU-9   04/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGSY FURY Mar21 Feb23 Jan05 Dec14 Nov19 (davis g)LUZZI J 126 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
2  JUDGE RULES Mar14 Feb18 Dec29 Nov17   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
3  BERNING BEAUTY Feb11 Jan13       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7% 13.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE GIANT'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  UNAFFECTED Sep04 Aug06 Jun23 Jun01 Apr21 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
5  IRON MAN IRA Feb24         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAINTLY ROSE by GRAEME HALL)
6  INONIT Mar24 Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Oct13 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
7  MERLIN'S MOMENT Feb11         (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by HONOR CODE out of JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT by CITY ZIP)
8  SIR MAGIC         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LADY IN SHADES by CONGRATS)
9  HE HAS IT ALL Mar09 Feb03       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.