The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - April 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.70 $2.70 -3.30
AQU-2   Win (2/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
AQU-3   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
AQU-4   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
AQU-5   Win (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 -2.30
AQU-6   Win (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
AQU-7   Win (6/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $21.00 $21.00 13.00
AQU-8   Win (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $5.70 -8.00
AQU-9   Win (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/28/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:114     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S DREAM 6 3 12 1   15 1 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.60 43% 1.30 0.35 W
ALPHA SONNY 4 4 22 2   25 2 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 125 5.00 5% 19.00 9.60 P
STANLEY ROUGH 2 5 6 68   411½ 310¼ (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.50 32% 2.10 3.65 S
MONTAUK SURF 5 6 4 3   311 413½ (miceli michael)LUZZI J 118 15.00 28.75  
QOROKWE 3 2 57 46   515 525¾ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00 8.60  
ONOFRIO 1 1 3 5   623 639¼ (giglio )HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 20.00 41.00  
 
AQU-2   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:232 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING CUP 2 3 1nk 1½   11 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.90 W
MUDVILLE NINE 1 1 4¾ 3   3 2 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 5.60  
BAD LARRY 5 4 2nk 2½   21 33 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 4.00 21% 3.80 2.60 S
SOUTH STREET 6 7 8 64   53 43 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 6.50  
MOVING PICTURES 3 2 3½ 53   4 5 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 120 12.00 10.60  
BIG SAVE 4 8 7 74   63 6 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 12% 7.30 9.90  
FLASH KISS 8 5 6 8   8 7 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
FIGHT FIERCELY 7 6 5¾ 4   7 8 (arenas marc)BOCACHICA J 117 20.00 61.00  
 
AQU-3   04/28/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:111 1:353   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENDOOG 1 2 1nk 1½ 1 15 14 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 42% 1.40 1.00 W
GOOD SKATE 3 6 6 53 32 25 24 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 16.20 DQ↓3
LEADING CONTENDER 2 3 54 63 63 36 34 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 26% 2.80 2.00 P
HARVARD 4 1 2nk 2½ 2 5 414¾ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00 21.90  
ROCCO STRONG 6 5 4 4 53 49 516 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
LORD CAPTAIN 5 4 32 3 4 617½ 635¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.40  
SCR  IRON WORKS               (goberdhan chan)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
 
AQU-4   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M B'S MUNNING 5 2 2½ 2nk   11 1nk (noda orlando)LUZZI J 120 4.00 29% 2.40 1.20 W
GENTLEMAN JOE 3 6 63 4   4 2nk (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 25% 2.90 4.00 P
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 6 4 42 33   33 3 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.00 S
LITTLE LUCA 1 1 1½ 1nk   21 4 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 2.35  
WRITER'S REGRET 2 5 31 6   68 5 (garber owen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 6.00  
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 4 3 52 5   58 69 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 16.60  
SCR  AMUNDSON               (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  LIFE CHANGER               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
 
AQU-5   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMED OUT 4 4 31 32   21 1hd (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 14% 6.00 1.85 W
PEACHY WEACHY 8 7 64 44   43 2hd (diprima gr)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 5.00 3.90  
SWEET AS SUGAR 6 1 2½ 1½   11 31 (shivmangal loli)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00 20.10  
EVERLYS GIRL 3 5 1½ 2½   3 45 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.85  
CAPITAL GAL 7 6 5 77   57 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 10% 8.80 17.20  
MON PETIT CHOU 2 3 4 6   6 6 (baker charlton)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
DEVILLY 1 8 7 56   7 7 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 58.25  
STARRY MIDNIGHT 5 2 85 89   89 8 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 120 15.00 11.20  
SCR  CUPIDS GIRL               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00    
 
AQU-6   04/28/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Memories Of Silver Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:13 1:243   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET REBECCA 2 3 4 4 42 1nk 1 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 34% 2.00 0.50 W
FAITH UNDERSTOOD 3 2 1½ 11 11 2nk 2 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 18.30  
CURLIN'S GIRL 1 4 6 74 7 73 3 (dutrow anthony)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10 S
LIVING MAGIC 5 6 5 53 53 4 4 (schoenthal phil)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 5.80  
MUNNY GRAB 7 7 7 63 6 63 5 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 34.25  
YOUKNOWNOTHING 6 5 3 3 32 3 6 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 18% 4.40 12.00  
MISS MOTTLEY 4 1 2½ 21 21 5 7 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 22% 3.50 6.60  
SCR  CAMERA               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60    
SCR  MOST OF ALL               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS               (chichakly amir)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
 
AQU-7   04/28/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE FIVE O 2 3 5 46   1nk 1 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50 W
NOTAH 1 6 32 3   3.2 2 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 2.50  
STORMING CHROME 6 4 7 78   5 3 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50 S
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 8 8 6 67   6 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 3.75  
CLUBHOUSE 5 2 22 22   2nk 5 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50 63% 0.60 1.95  
GOLDEN REIGN 7 5 12 12   4¾ 6 (miller-saul beth)LUZZI J 122 12.00 10% 8.80 11.00  
G MUNNING 4 7 8 810   7 7 (goberdhan chan)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 34.75  
PASCHAL MOON 3 1 4 57   8 826¾ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 12.80  
SCR  LEONIDS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
 
AQU-8   04/28/2024 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :44 :552     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL 8 7 6 6   3 1nk (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 1.85  
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 1 5 11 11   1 2nk (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 126 4.00 39% 1.60 2.35 P
YARROW 4 3 4 21   2 3¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 3.95  
SUMMER IN ADRIANE 6 8 8 54   44 4 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 25.25  
ACOUSTIC AVE 3 2 31 44   5 54 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 15% 5.70 5.50  
KING MOONRACER 7 6 7 7   6 6 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 12.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
FAMOUS GENT 2 1 5 8   8 76 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00 14% 6.40 9.90  
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 5 4 21 3   7 8 (rodriguez r)BOCACHICA J 121 30.00 49.00  
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
SCR  SAVINGS RATE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00    
SCR  UPSIDE POTENTIAL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
SCR  VESPUCCI               (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.60    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   04/28/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:13 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE OF COURAGE 4 2 10 10 41 2nk 1hd (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 10% 9.30 2.80 W
GEM MINT TEN 2 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 2hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 10.70 P
10  EZ ROLL 10 6 6 6 7 5 3 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7.20 S
THE PADDOCK PASTOR 1 10 5 42 52 3 4 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.60  
KING FREUD 6 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 6 57 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 83.00  
INDIAN MISCHIEF 8 4 3½ 3 3½ 44 6 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 30% 2.30 3.60  
11  AMERICAN GRANT 11 8 7 7 63 7 7 (brown r)LUZZI J 125 50.00 27.25  
PROVISION 7 9 9 9 10 118 8 (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 30.00 87.00  
OCTOBER BLISS 3 5 8 85 9 98 98 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00 58.25  
ZAPRUDER 5 11 11 12 11 108 10 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00 60.50  
12  SKELLIG ISLAND 12 7 4 5 8 86 11 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00 67.50  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 9 12 12 11 12 1210 1210½ (friedman mit)RIVERA R 125 20.00 65.25  
SCR  CABLE READY               (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY               (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.