Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/5/4/8)-(1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/8)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/8)-(1/2/7)-(7/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(7/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(7/4/8)-(3/4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/8)-(7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/8)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8)-(3/4/7/2)-(2/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/2)-(2/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/2)-(2/4/7/1)-(6/8/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(6/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(6/8/3/7)-(1/3/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/7)-(1/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/7)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4/2/10)-(1/8/4/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONOFRIO Mar28 Aug19       (giglio gina)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
2  STANLEY ROUGH         (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  QOROKWE Apr11 Mar28 Mar09 Feb24 Feb03 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
4  ALPHA SONNY Apr11 Mar14 Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MONTAUK SURF Mar08         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
6  MAMA'S DREAM Mar14 Feb18 Feb02 Nov12 Sep21 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.60 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-2   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUDVILLE NINE Mar21 Jan14 Jan11 Dec28 Nov16 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
2  MORNING CUP Oct21 Sep01 Jul01 May04 Apr21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  MOVING PICTURES Mar22 Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 120 12.00    
4  BIG SAVE Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 Nov16 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 12% 7.30    
5  BAD LARRY Feb25 Feb02 Jan06 Nov17 Oct15 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  SOUTH STREET Apr18 Mar29 Mar16 Feb29 Feb17 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00    
7  FIGHT FIERCELY Apr12 Mar22 Mar15 Feb10 Jan05 (arenas ma)BOCACHICA J 117 20.00    
8  FLASH KISS Mar08 Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Oct14 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   04/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENDOOG Apr06 Nov19       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
2  LEADING CONTENDER Mar01 Feb03 Dec30 Nov30 Oct22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  GOOD SKATE Mar21 Feb03 Jan07 Nov12 Oct13 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00    
SCR  IRON WORKS Mar02 Feb03 Jan01 Nov26 Nov11 (goberdhan ch)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
5  HARVARD Apr04 Feb23 Jul02 Apr30 Mar18 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
6  LORD CAPTAIN Apr05 Feb25 Feb02 Aug02 Jul23 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
7  ROCCO STRONG Mar30 Mar01 Jan27 Dec17 Dec02 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMUNDSON Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 Jan18 Nov30 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
2  LITTLE LUCA Apr06 Feb02 Jan05 Jun11 May14 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
3  WRITER'S REGRET Mar10 Feb04 Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 (garber owen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
4  GENTLEMAN JOE Mar30 Mar16 Jan12 Dec10 May04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  LIFE CHANGER Mar16 Mar01 Feb19 Feb02 Dec29 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
6  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Apr13 Jan26 Mar24 Feb18 Feb10 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
7  M B'S MUNNING Mar24 Mar09 Feb10 Feb04 Jan05 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Nov24 Oct28 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVILLY Apr05 Mar16 Feb18 Jan19 Dec31 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00    
2  MON PETIT CHOU Jul04 Jun02 May07 Apr06 Feb24 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EVERLYS GIRL Mar15 Jan19 Dec03 Oct22 Aug10 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  TIMED OUT Feb10 Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Sep28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 14% 6.00    
5  STARRY MIDNIGHT Apr04 Mar28 Mar03 Jan07 Jan01 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
6  SWEET AS SUGAR Apr21 Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 (shivmangal lo)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00    
7  CAPITAL GAL Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 Nov20 Oct30 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  CUPIDS GIRL Apr04 Mar01 Feb23 Jan11 Nov19 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 10.00    
9  PEACHY WEACHY Apr13 Apr04 Mar04 Feb06 Jan29 (diprima )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 5.00    
 
AQU-6   04/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Memories Of Silver Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S GIRL Mar24 Feb25 Jan04 Dec01 Nov05 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of QUALITY ROCKS by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  SWEET REBECCA Mar10         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWEET N DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
3  FAITH UNDERSTOOD Apr05 Mar06       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of ZIA by MUNNINGS)
4  MISS MOTTLEY Mar15         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KASBACH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  LIVING MAGIC Apr06 Mar01 Oct27 Sep25 Aug20 (schoenthal phil)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MOST OF ALL Feb17 Jan13 Dec02 Oct20 Sep03 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INDULGENT by BERNARDINI)
7  YOUKNOWNOTHING Mar23 Jan03 Nov19     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of YGRITTE by TAPIT)
8  MUNNY GRAB Apr06 Mar14 Feb18 Dec30 Nov16 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
SCR  CAMERA Apr07 Mar09 Jul23     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60    
  (by CURLIN out of CASSIES DREAMER by FLATTER)
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 Feb09 Jan28 (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
 
AQU-7   04/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEONIDS Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr20 Mar11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
2  NOTAH Apr05 Mar09 Feb24 Jan26 Jan01 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00    
3  CHARLIE FIVE O Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan31 Jan01 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PASCHAL MOON Mar30 Mar24 Mar09 Feb23 Jan28 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
5  G MUNNING Apr18 Mar29 Feb16 Jan26 Dec09 (goberdhan ch)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
6  CLUBHOUSE Apr20 Mar24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50 63% 0.60    
7  STORMING CHROME Mar30 Mar08 Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOLDEN REIGN Mar21 Feb22 Jan27 Dec30 Nov29 (miller-saul be)LUZZI J 122 12.00 10% 8.80    
9  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Mar15 Mar09 Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/28/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 Oct13 Sep04 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 126 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  FAMOUS GENT Mar28 Feb29 Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00 14% 6.40    
3  ACOUSTIC AVE Aug26 Jul16 Jun26 Nov25 Oct17 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
4  YARROW Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 Nov20 Oct22 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00    
5  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 Jan14 Nov24 (rodriguez)BOCACHICA J 121 30.00    
SCR  UPSIDE POTENTIAL Apr20 Mar01       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
7  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Mar24 Jan18 Dec15 Nov09   (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
8  KING MOONRACER Oct29 Sep01 Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAVINGS RATE Mar06 Jan14 Dec16 Nov12   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00    
10  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Aug11 Jun17       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME Apr27 Feb16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct08 (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Mar29 Mar02 Feb09 Jan14 Dec29 (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
SCR  VESPUCCI Apr06 Mar09 Jun11     (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO Mar29 Mar10 Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.60    
 
AQU-9   04/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Nov03         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  GEM MINT TEN Oct26 Aug27 Aug03 Jun18 May14 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 ★    
3  OCTOBER BLISS Mar22 Feb29 Jan26 Jul01 May19 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00    
4  BE OF COURAGE Dec17 Nov16 Oct28 Oct04 Sep17 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 10% 9.30    
5  ZAPRUDER Apr07 Jan13 Dec03 Nov16 Oct13 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
6  KING FREUD Mar24 Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
7  PROVISION Mar22 Feb29 Feb10 Jan01 Dec07 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 30.00    
8  INDIAN MISCHIEF Oct26 Sep03 Jul26 Mar26   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
9  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 (friedman m)RIVERA R 125 20.00    
10  EZ ROLL Nov03 Sep17 Aug23 Jul28   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★    
11  AMERICAN GRANT Apr05 Aug27 Jul13 Jun25 May14 (brown r)LUZZI J 125 50.00    
12  SKELLIG ISLAND Sep30 Sep09 Jul27     (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR Jan21 Sep17 Aug27 Jul02 Jul15 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Feb08 Jan18 Dec22 Oct13 Sep22 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Mar16 Feb15 Jan10 Dec16 Oct13 (walder pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
SCR  CABLE READY Apr14 Nov07 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.