Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $7.85 $1.85 31%
KEE-4   WIN (1/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.10 $2.10 26%
KEE-6   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.82 $1.82 30%
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $12.43 $6.43 107%
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-7 $10.00 $7.00 233%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIAM'S JOURNEY   (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 67% 0.50 1.03 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LOUGH DERG by LEMON DROP KID)
2  GLENBROOK GERRY   (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.61 P
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
5  BRICKLAYER   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 13.90  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HAAS by TIZNOW)
1  MONEYSHOT   (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.20 2.02  
  (by FROSTED out of COOL BEANS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  COASTING BY   (cannon st)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 49.00  
  (by WEST COAST out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
7  PRIORITY LANE   (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 7% 12.80 6.67  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LUTETIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
 
KEE-2   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMA GRACE   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.20 42% 1.40 0.19 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ULTIMA D by SCAT DADDY)
8  KISS CAM   (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 14.30  
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
7  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU   (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 11.69  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DARK STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  CALCETINES   (fernandez kell)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 ★ 27.94  
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
2  HAVEN'T A RED CENT   (ennis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 19% 4.20 4.80  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of INDY DREAMING by A.P. INDY)
SCR  HEY SCOOTER   (ginter ra)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE   (demeritte )MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 30.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICK SOSO by POTEEN)
SCR  BIV   (hancock john )GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BIVIAN B by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  BELMONTIS   (chap)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of GRACEFUL LIGHT by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  RUNSWEETLY   (o'donnell mar)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PLEASANTLY SWEET by PLEASANT COLONY)
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
KEE-3   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABRINA   (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 4.43  
9  BABY SASSICAIA   (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 14.70 7.33 P
6  UP THE CREEK   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5.01  
11  GRAYTON   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 14.86  
7  CANDY LOVER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 22% 3.60 3.23  
10  HEDGE THESE BETS   (seglin e)CEDILLO ABEL 125 30.00 74.38  
12  STAGFLATION   (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.89  
4  LIFE ADVICE   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.76  
8  EVERMORE   (correas i)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 28.22  
2  BEAUTY OF THE NILE   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 17% 4.80 15.00  
SCR  MONARCH   (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN   (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
 
KEE-4   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUR DREAM RYE'D   (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 29% 2.40 4.05 W
3  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY   (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 1.09  
1  SMILE MON   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 2.00 31% 2.30 2.30 S
8  WHAT'S UP DOC   (ginter ra)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 5% 19.00 27.42  
4  JOINT VENTURE   (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 125 8.00 13.30  
5  POOL GUY   (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.14  
2  PRESIDER   (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 9% 10.00 13.27  
SCR  KOLOMIO   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00    
SCR  ROUTE RUNNER   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVES OF MISCHIEF   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 2.63  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEARL RIVER by QUALITY ROAD)
9  DEEP SATIN   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.34  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
3  BEYOND LUCKY   (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 ★ 3.89 S
  (by NYQUIST out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
2  KIMBER SPICE   (lovell mich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 35% 1.80 7.83  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
4  CENTURIA (IRE)   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 23% 3.30 6.53  
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  DON'T LOOK BACK   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 17.62  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELOPE by GONE WEST)
8  FOR LOVE AND HONOR   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 30.00 45.02  
  (by SKY MESA out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
7  FIGGY   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00 6.36  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
12  ALWAYS WANTING   (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 19% 4.20 15.06  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PEACE OPPORTUNITY by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  BLUE HAIRDO   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 51.32  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of HAIRDO by MILLENNIUM WIND)
5  FUN LOVING   (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 26.34  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
SCR  ADRASTEIA   (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CARNANE (IRE)   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of JABHAAT by HARD SPUN)
SCR  OFF THE LAM   (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of KAZEERA by DUBAWI (IRE))
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
 
KEE-6   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20 2.91 W
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHAMPAGNE ICE by ROMAN RULER)
4  REYNOLDS CHANNEL   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 17% 4.90 2.82 P
  (by WEST COAST out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  SECRET CRUSH   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 34% 1.90 0.93 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of ELAROSE by STORM CAT)
6  SARDIS   (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 20.11  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
2  CROSSING   (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 119 8.00 10.42  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
3  AXED AVENGER   (acevedo israe)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 45.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of YOU AXED ME by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  TAPIT'S TALE   (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 126 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of VERVE'S TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
 
KEE-7   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AWESOME TREAT   (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 51.89  
14  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 20% 4.00 2.03 P
3  L J'S EMMA   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 9% 9.80 3.83 S
9  YOUR SO SILLEA   (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.82  
8  DARING DO   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00 ★ 5.85  
13  MISS ARLINGTON   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 25.60  
1  MARISSA'S LADY   (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 44% 1.30 3.22  
2  BENEDICT CANYON   (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 8.81  
10  JILL JITTERBUG   (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.98  
SCR  BLING   (oliver victori)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB)   (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SCR  CURRENT CLIMATE   (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE)   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  RUSTY MY BROTHER   (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  TIME FOR AN ANGEL   (bourke jo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE DISTRACTOR   (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 8.84  
9  KNEEDEEPINSNOW   (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90 1.73 P
8  ZIPPIN GIGI   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.68  
2  SECRET RULES   (falcone rober)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.70 3.65  
1  FITZPATRICK   (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 20.30  
6  BORN FLAWLESS   (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.75  
5  AWESOME AARON   (green troy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 31.29  
7  VULCAN   (sims matth)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
4  UNRAPTURED   (morey william)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★ 5.39  
 
KEE-9   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NIKI NINE DOORS   (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 25.39  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
5  LA SALVADORENA   (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LADY ASTOLA by LONHRO (AUS))
2  SHORE WAR   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6% 16.20 3.28 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
7  RILEY JEAN   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 11% 8.30 11.89  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  VICKI ROSE   (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 7% 13.70 12.39  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  MO LANTERN   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.50 41% 1.50 3.55  
  (by MO TOWN out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
4  MAMBO MASTER   (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 10.94  
  (by MASTERY out of GENERAL CONSENSUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  GAL CAPONE   (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 85.81  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PRINCESS ROCKET by CURLIN)
1  BOUGIE NOT BASIC   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.00 2.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
3  MOONLIT MISCHIEF   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00 20.54  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIANO by RUBIANO)
12  NOW HIRING   (fields christo)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 83.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SAUCY SYMPHONY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  DAY DAWNING   (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DEAR TO ALL by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  FROM SCRATCH   (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND   (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ISLAND LOVE SONG by DEHERE)
SCR  SATIN BLUE   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MACKENZIE CAPRI by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  TOTAL CLASS   (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.