Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $7.85 $1.85 31%
KEE-4   WIN (1/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.10 $2.10 26%
KEE-6   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.82 $1.82 30%
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $12.43 $6.43 107%
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-7 $10.00 $7.00 233%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:131 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIAM'S JOURNEY 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 12 11¾ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 67% 0.50 1.03 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LOUGH DERG by LEMON DROP KID)
2  GLENBROOK GERRY 2 4 43 31 33 33 21¾ (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.61 P
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
5  BRICKLAYER 4 6 57 53½ 55¼ 44 31¾ (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 13.90  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HAAS by TIZNOW)
1  MONEYSHOT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 22 46¾ (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.20 2.02  
  (by FROSTED out of COOL BEANS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  COASTING BY 3 5 610½ 69 611¼ 612 514¾ (cannon st)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 49.00  
  (by WEST COAST out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
7  PRIORITY LANE 6 3 31½ 41 43¼ 512 639¼ (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 7% 12.80 6.67  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LUTETIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
 
KEE-2   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMA GRACE 1 1 1nk     13 13¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.20 42% 1.40 0.19 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ULTIMA D by SCAT DADDY)
8  KISS CAM 5 4 35     23 23¾ (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 14.30  
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
7  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU 4 3 46½     47½ 38¾ (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00 11.69  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DARK STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  CALCETINES 3 5 511½     511 410½ (fernandez kell)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 ★ 27.94  
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
2  HAVEN'T A RED CENT 2 2 2nk     35½ 514 (ennis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 19% 4.20 4.80  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of INDY DREAMING by A.P. INDY)
SCR  HEY SCOOTER               (ginter ra)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE               (demeritte )MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 30.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICK SOSO by POTEEN)
SCR  BIV               (hancock john )GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BIVIAN B by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  BELMONTIS               (chap)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of GRACEFUL LIGHT by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  RUNSWEETLY               (o'donnell mar)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PLEASANTLY SWEET by PLEASANT COLONY)
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY               (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
KEE-3   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABRINA 1 7 77 74¼   31 12 (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 4.43  
9  BABY SASSICAIA 7 6 66 84½   41 22 (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 14.70 7.33 P
6  UP THE CREEK 4 8 52½ 42   1½ 32 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5.01  
11  GRAYTON 9 2 2½ 2nk   51¼ 48 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 14.86  
7  CANDY LOVER 5 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 510 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 22% 3.60 3.23  
10  HEDGE THESE BETS 8 10 109¼ 96½   96¾ 612¼ (seglin e)CEDILLO ABEL 125 30.00 74.38  
12  STAGFLATION 10 1 97¾ 106½   65¼ 712½ (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.89  
4  LIFE ADVICE 3 4 42½ 31½   75¾ 813½ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30 3.76  
8  EVERMORE 6 9 87¼ 64¼   106¾ 915¾ (correas i)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 28.22  
2  BEAUTY OF THE NILE 2 5 31 52¼   86¼ 1016¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 17% 4.80 15.00  
SCR  MONARCH               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN               (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
 
KEE-4   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:382   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUR DREAM RYE'D 6 5 43½ 41½ 1½ 13½ 14¾ (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 29% 2.40 4.05 W
3  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 3 3 2½ 21 2½ 23½ 24¾ (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 1.09  
1  SMILE MON 1 4 67 64¾ 34 36½ 39½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 2.00 31% 2.30 2.30 S
8  WHAT'S UP DOC 7 7 77½ 78¾ 712 411½ 414¼ (ginter ra)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 5% 19.00 27.42  
4  JOINT VENTURE 4 1 32½ 31½ 58½ 513½ 520¾ (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 125 8.00 13.30  
5  POOL GUY 5 6 55 54½ 69½ 718 633 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.14  
2  PRESIDER 2 2 1½ 11 46 618 737 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 9% 10.00 13.27  
SCR  KOLOMIO               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00    
SCR  ROUTE RUNNER               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:121 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVES OF MISCHIEF 1 3 31½ 31½ 41½ 1nk 11 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 2.63  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEARL RIVER by QUALITY ROAD)
9  DEEP SATIN 9 9 96¾ 104¾ 105 42½ 21 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.34  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
3  BEYOND LUCKY 3 5 11½ 11 1½ 2nk 32¾ (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 ★ 3.89 S
  (by NYQUIST out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
2  KIMBER SPICE 2 1 42 42 52½ 64 43¾ (lovell mich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 35% 1.80 7.83  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
4  CENTURIA (IRE) 4 8 85¼ 94¼ 63 32 54¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 23% 3.30 6.53  
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  DON'T LOOK BACK 10 6 75 83¾ 83½ 85½ 65¾ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 17.62  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELOPE by GONE WEST)
8  FOR LOVE AND HONOR 8 7 64 73¼ 94½ 75 76¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 30.00 45.02  
  (by SKY MESA out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
7  FIGGY 7 2 53 52 31 53 86¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00 6.36  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
12  ALWAYS WANTING 11 4 21½ 21 2½ 97 915 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 19% 4.20 15.06  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PEACE OPPORTUNITY by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  BLUE HAIRDO 6 11 1110¾ 116¾ 115½ 1015 1026 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 51.32  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of HAIRDO by MILLENNIUM WIND)
5  FUN LOVING 5 10 107¼ 63 73 1120 1142¾ (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 26.34  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CARNANE (IRE)               (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of JABHAAT by HARD SPUN)
SCR  OFF THE LAM               (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of KAZEERA by DUBAWI (IRE))
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
 
KEE-6   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:121 1:38   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 1 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 1nk 1¼ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20 2.91 W
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHAMPAGNE ICE by ROMAN RULER)
4  REYNOLDS CHANNEL 4 3 54 53½ 43 2nk 2¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 17% 4.90 2.82 P
  (by WEST COAST out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  SECRET CRUSH 6 4 32½ 32 32 33½ 35¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 34% 1.90 0.93 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of ELAROSE by STORM CAT)
6  SARDIS 5 6 612 610½ 58 45 45½ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 20.11  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
2  CROSSING 2 2 2½ 2½ 21½ 55½ 510¼ (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 119 8.00 10.42  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
3  AXED AVENGER 3 5 44 43 611 623½ 657½ (acevedo israe)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 45.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of YOU AXED ME by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  TAPIT'S TALE               (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 126 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of VERVE'S TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
 
KEE-7   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AWESOME TREAT 4 9 85¼ 73¼   43 11¼ (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 51.89  
14  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 9 1 11 1½   12 21¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 20% 4.00 2.03 P
3  L J'S EMMA 3 7 96¼ 94¾   64½ 31½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 9% 9.80 3.83 S
9  YOUR SO SILLEA 6 2 31½ 51¾   32½ 41¾ (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.82  
8  DARING DO 5 4 52½ 31½   22 52¼ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00 ★ 5.85  
13  MISS ARLINGTON 8 3 21 2½   53 64 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 25.60  
1  MARISSA'S LADY 1 5 42½ 41½   74¾ 74 (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 44% 1.30 3.22  
2  BENEDICT CANYON 2 8 75 63¼   84¾ 84½ (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 8.81  
10  JILL JITTERBUG 7 6 64½ 83¾   97¼ 96½ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 26.98  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victori)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB)               (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SCR  CURRENT CLIMATE               (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE)               (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  RUSTY MY BROTHER               (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  TIME FOR AN ANGEL               (bourke jo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE DISTRACTOR 3 6 11½ 11   11½ 11¾ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 8.84  
9  KNEEDEEPINSNOW 9 4 31½ 21   21½ 21¾ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90 1.73 P
8  ZIPPIN GIGI 8 1 21½ 32   33½ 36¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.68  
2  SECRET RULES 2 7 63¾ 77   610½ 49½ (falcone rober)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.70 3.65  
1  FITZPATRICK 1 9 84¾ 66   46½ 59¾ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 20.30  
6  BORN FLAWLESS 6 5 95 810   712 614¼ (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.75  
5  AWESOME AARON 5 8 74¾ 56   510 716¾ (green troy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 31.29  
7  VULCAN 7 3 53½ 910¼   913 817¾ (sims matth)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
4  UNRAPTURED 4 2 42½ 45   812 917¾ (morey william)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★ 5.39  
 
KEE-9   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:214 :44 :554     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NIKI NINE DOORS 10 5 12 12   16 13 (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 25.39  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
5  LA SALVADORENA 5 10 107¼ 98¼   58½ 23 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LADY ASTOLA by LONHRO (AUS))
2  SHORE WAR 2 2 42½ 54   47 34¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6% 16.20 3.28 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
7  RILEY JEAN 7 6 53½ 44   37 46 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 11% 8.30 11.89  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  VICKI ROSE 8 3 32 22   26 57½ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 7% 13.70 12.39  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  MO LANTERN 6 8 96¼ 87¼   611 67¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.50 41% 1.50 3.55  
  (by MO TOWN out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
4  MAMBO MASTER 4 7 86 108¾   912¾ 78¾ (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 10.94  
  (by MASTERY out of GENERAL CONSENSUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  GAL CAPONE 9 9 65 77¼   711¼ 810 (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 85.81  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PRINCESS ROCKET by CURLIN)
1  BOUGIE NOT BASIC 1 4 75½ 67   811¼ 911¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.00 2.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
3  MOONLIT MISCHIEF 3 1 22 33½   1014¾ 1017¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00 20.54  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIANO by RUBIANO)
12  NOW HIRING 11 11 1112¼ 1113¾   1120¾ 1127¾ (fields christo)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 83.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SAUCY SYMPHONY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  DAY DAWNING               (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DEAR TO ALL by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  FROM SCRATCH               (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND               (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ISLAND LOVE SONG by DEHERE)
SCR  SATIN BLUE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MACKENZIE CAPRI by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  TOTAL CLASS               (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.