Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-3   Win (4/7/2/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (1/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (2/4/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (1/14/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (9/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (6/1/7/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEYSHOT Mar07 Dec15 Nov04 Oct11 Sep21 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.20    
GLENBROOK GERRY Sep24 Sep02 Jul27     (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
COASTING BY Feb15 Jan31 Jan06     (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jan12 Dec15 Nov04 Sep24 Jul15 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
BRICKLAYER Feb17 Dec21       (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
LIAM'S JOURNEY Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 Oct04 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
PRIORITY LANE Mar13         (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
 
KEE-2   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMA GRACE         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.20 42% 1.40    
HAVEN'T A RED CENT         (ennis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE         (demeritte la)MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 30.00    
SCR  HEY SCOOTER         (ginter raym)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
CALCETINES         (fernandez kelly )AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY         (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
BAYTOWN SHINJUKU         (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
KISS CAM         (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  BIV         (hancock a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50    
SCR  BELMONTIS         (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
SCR  RUNSWEETLY         (o'donnell marcu)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABRINA Dec17         (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
BEAUTY OF THE NILE Mar31         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN Mar06 Jan10 Dec13 Nov11 Oct13 (tomlinson mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
LIFE ADVICE Mar23 Oct25 Sep16     (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MONARCH Feb18 Jan14       (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
UP THE CREEK Feb14 Dec14 Nov16     (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
CANDY LOVER Mar13 Feb04 Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
EVERMORE Aug01         (correas iv)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
BABY SASSICAIA Nov10 Sep22 Aug13     (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 14.70    
10  HEDGE THESE BETS         (seglin e)CEDILLO ABEL 125 30.00    
11  GRAYTON         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
12  STAGFLATION Mar14 Feb15 Nov24 Oct22 Oct08 (baker james)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-4   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE MON Feb18 Dec08 Nov17 Sep07 Aug12 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 2.00 31% 2.30    
PRESIDER Mar23 Feb28 Jan25 Dec28 Dec02 (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 9% 10.00    
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Nov05 Sep28 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00    
JOINT VENTURE Mar07 Jan21 Dec15 Nov01 Oct18 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00    
POOL GUY Mar01 Jan31 Dec21     (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  KOLOMIO Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Feb03 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 10.00    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Feb28 Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 Sep03 (walden william)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 29% 2.40    
WHAT'S UP DOC Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Nov16 Oct21 (ginter raym)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROUTE RUNNER Mar23 Sep23 Sep03 Aug02 Jun30 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
 
KEE-5   04/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVES OF MISCHIEF         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
KIMBER SPICE Mar03         (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 35% 1.80    
BEYOND LUCKY Feb28         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
CENTURIA (IRE) Mar24         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
FUN LOVING Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 Sep02 Aug13 (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
BLUE HAIRDO         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
FIGGY Mar01 Dec27 Nov24 Nov02   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
FOR LOVE AND HONOR Mar06 Feb14       (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 30.00    
DEEP SATIN         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  ADRASTEIA Mar28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct27 Sep28 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
11  DON'T LOOK BACK Mar23         (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
12  ALWAYS WANTING Mar23         (elliott m)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  OFF THE LAM Feb24 Feb02       (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  CARNANE (IRE) Mar23 Feb24       (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE Dec09 Nov26 Oct26 Sep20 Aug11 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
 
KEE-6   04/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Mar27 Feb21 Oct16 Aug13   (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
CROSSING Mar21 Feb25 Jan27 Nov22 Nov08 (lauer micha)BEALMEAR C 119 8.00    
AXED AVENGER Jan04         (acevedo israel)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
REYNOLDS CHANNEL Mar16 Aug12       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  TAPIT'S TALE Mar16         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 126 15.00    
SARDIS Feb25 Jan28 Nov17     (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SECRET CRUSH Mar16 Feb10       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 34% 1.90    
 
KEE-7   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARISSA'S LADY Jan27 Dec02 Oct22 Sep18 Aug14 (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
BENEDICT CANYON Mar29 Jan14 Nov03 Oct06 Aug12 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
L J'S EMMA Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 9% 9.80    
AWESOME TREAT Mar16 Jan11 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 (wojczynski j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  CURRENT CLIMATE Mar16 Jan12 Dec07 Nov16 Oct22 (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB) Apr13 Feb13 Jan06 Dec08 Aug11 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SCR  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Dec23 Dec07 Nov11 Sep10 Aug29 (bourke john)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
DARING DO Oct06 Jul16 May28 Apr20 Mar02 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00    
YOUR SO SILLEA Nov11 Oct26 Sep30 Jun30 May13 (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  JILL JITTERBUG Dec02 Nov03 Sep18 Sep02 Aug07 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  RUSTY MY BROTHER Oct26 Sep11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  BLING Apr13 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep02 (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00    
13  MISS ARLINGTON Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
14  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS Oct20 Aug19 Jun16 May03 Apr02 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE) Oct25 Mar17 Feb04     (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FITZPATRICK Oct01 Aug27 May26 Apr16 Feb25 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SECRET RULES Mar03 Dec17 Aug13 Jul14 Jun22 (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
THE DISTRACTOR Mar24 Feb16 Jan17 Dec21 Dec01 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
UNRAPTURED Mar14 Feb24 Dec08 Nov18 Sep03 (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
AWESOME AARON Apr05 Dec08 Nov23 Nov04 Sep16 (green troy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
BORN FLAWLESS Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov22 Oct28 (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
VULCAN Mar03 Dec29 Dec16 Nov17 Oct21 (sims matthew)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPIN GIGI Feb29 Feb03 May03 Mar22 Feb21 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
KNEEDEEPINSNOW Feb19 Feb10 Jun09 May06 Apr08 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
KEE-9   04/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUGIE NOT BASIC         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
SHORE WAR Jan07 Nov11 Oct19 Aug06   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6% 16.20    
MOONLIT MISCHIEF Oct23 Sep17 Nov25 Sep24 Sep04 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00    
MAMBO MASTER         (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
LA SALVADORENA         (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
MO LANTERN Nov30 Nov01       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.50 41% 1.50    
RILEY JEAN Mar06 Feb10 Jan13     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 11% 8.30    
VICKI ROSE Mar29 Feb17 Jan04 Nov16 Mar11 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 7% 13.70    
GAL CAPONE         (pittma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
10  NIKI NINE DOORS Mar13 Jan31       (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  FROM SCRATCH         (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
12  NOW HIRING         (fields christoph)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND Jun16 May11       (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  TOTAL CLASS         (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  DAY DAWNING         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  SATIN BLUE Oct19 Sep13       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.