The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
BAQ-3   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
BAQ-4   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
BAQ-5   Win (4/8/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 -3.70
BAQ-6   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.70 -6.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 12.00
BAQ-8   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
BAQ-9   Win (4/2/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 -1.50
BAQ-10   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $51.00 -6.00
BAQ-11   Win (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/04/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:142 1:384   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPALIDAY 1 7 7 69 67 52 1 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 1.60 26% 2.80 1.50 W
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) 2 5 5 48 4 1½ 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 39% 1.50 1.45 P
JUST THE SKY 6 2 4 58 34 3½ 3 (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 12% 7.30 5.50 S
PAST TENSE 5 6 67 7 78 65 4 (dutrow w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
GASPARILLA 3 3 3 37 24 2½ 56 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 13.90  
THE TACO LADY 7 1 1 16 14 41 6 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 14.50  
COQUITO 4 4 2 26 5 76 7 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 69.25  
 
BAQ-2   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:101 1:231   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN EVENING 4 1 3 3 1nk 1 1 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 33% 2.00 2.20 W
CAMERA 3 2 21 21 2nk 2 2 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.40 43% 1.30 1.65 P
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 2 3 11 11 3½ 3 37 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 7.80  
EXPERIMENTAL 5 5 4 44 47 410½ 418¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
PATRICIA ANN 1 4 5100 5100 5100 5100 5100 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 2.60  
 
BAQ-3   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:103 1:231   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENTLEMAN JOE 4 3 31 2 2nk 11 1 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 40% 1.50 2.30 W
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 2 6 1½ 1 1nk 21 2 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.05 P
LORD CAPTAIN 6 2 2½ 42 4 3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 4.10  
MARKET ALERT 1 4 4 32 5 5 4 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6% 14.60 3.70  
1A  CENTAVO 5 1 53 53 3 4 5 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00 22.40  
GRANDPA'S KID 3 5 6 68 6 6 6 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 7.60  
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY               (chatterpaul n)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60    
 
BAQ-4   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY ATLAS 2 5 5 42 42 22 1nk (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 42% 1.40 0.90 W
LUCENCY 1 1 2 21 1 12 2nk (sells rach)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.00 26% 2.90 3.25 P
DEBATE 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 2.25  
MEMPHIS 4 2 4 53 57 47 4 (noda orl)GRISALES DANILO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
TEPEU 5 3 1 11 3 58 511½ (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 10.40  
SCR  NINETEEN OYSTERS               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/04/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:14 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE MIKE 4 6 6 52 42 2½ 1hd (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 39% 1.50 2.15 W
VICTORS VALIANT 9 3 3 3½ 3½ 31 2hd (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 6.90  
ADDICTED TO YOU 5 8 7 7 7 5 3¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 22.70  
INTO IT 6 2 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 4¾ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 4.00 11% 8.20 3.20  
SHADIZAAR 3 9 910 89 8 84 52 (nevin michelle)USKE S 124 6.00 16.60  
MY FRIEND LOUIE 7 5 43 4 5 63 6 (murphy conor)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
LORD FLINTSHIRE 8 4 5 6 6 74 7 (brion ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 25% 2.90 3.65  
WHAT A BLAST 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 4 8 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 126 10.00 10.60  
DISAPPEARANCE 2 7 8 9 9 98 9 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 126 20.00 5% 19.00 61.50  
SCR  HARVARD               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:101 1:22   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASCAIS 5 1 1½ 11 1 12 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 1.85  
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 3 2 2½ 21 2 22 21 (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 40% 1.50 1.15 P
HERO'S MEDAL 1 5 3 31 45 36 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
MR. RIPPLE 2 6 52 42 3 4 410 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 24% 3.20 4.70  
COMPLETE AGENDA 6 3 63 6 59 510½ 512¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 23.60  
MOORE'S LAW 4 4 4 5 6 614½ 629 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 8.60  
SCR  AZTEC               (levine bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/04/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY'S PRIDE 4 3 2½ 2nk   1 1 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00 W
HEIR PORT 7 1 3½ 1nk   2 2 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 26% 2.80 9.10 P
PREDICTED 5 6 5 4   47 37 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 23.40  
BUSTIN SHOUT 3 4 6 5   59 4 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 31% 2.20 2.80  
HOT ROD RUMBLE 1 2 1½ 3.2   33 5 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 1.80  
BEACH BOY AL 2 7 7 7   612 69 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.35  
KENNY HAD A NOTION 6 5 42 6   715 716 (jones mi)GRISALES DANILO 115 15.00 14% 6.20 23.70  
SCR  CLEM LABINE               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50    
SCR  GOOD JUJU               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 2.50    
SCR  RED D G P               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
 
BAQ-8   05/04/2024 5940ft TURF FIRM Fort Marcy Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:134 1:371   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER PIECE (CHI) 1 3 32 3 31 1nk 1¼ (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.50 W
OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) 3 4 43 43 42 2nk 2¼ (appleby charle)MULLEN RICHARD 122 1.20 67% 0.50 0.50 P
PIONEERING SPIRIT 4 1 1 1 11 31 33 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 6.30  
LIMITED LIABILITY 2 5 5 5 53 44 4 (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
OLYMPIC DREAMS 5 2 2 2 21 514 515¾ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 22.60  
SCR  ATONE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SCR  EXACT ESTIMATE               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/04/2024 3960ft TURF FIRM Elusive Quality Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:222 :443 :554     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING BUCK 5 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 12% 7.50 3.25 W
AMERICAN MONARCH 6 4 5 6   42 2 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 4.00  
ALOGON 7 2 6 4   2 3 (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 18% 4.50 8.40 S
YES AND YES 1 7 4 5   5 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 41.75  
THIN WHITE DUKE 9 5 8 8   6 5 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 19.70  
DURANTE 8 3 3½ 2½   32 6 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00 29.00  
NOTHING BETTER 4 9 9 9   9 7 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 27% 2.70 2.10  
OUR SHOT 2 8 7 7   8 8 (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.00 18% 4.40 4.30  
BRING ME A CHECK 3 6 2½ 3½   75 98 (reynolds patrick )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
 
BAQ-10   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Ruffian Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:103 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL OF AN ANGEL 4 4 5 5 3 1nk 1 (joseph saffie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 24.50  
RANDOMIZED 1 2 11 1½ 1 2nk 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 38% 1.60 0.55 P
SHIDABHUTI 6 1 4 6 44 34 3 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
FINGAL'S CAVE 3 5 35 34 2 4 4 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 21% 3.80 24.00  
AIN'T BROKE 5 6 6 44 55 56 512½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 8.70  
GREEN UP 2 3 21 2½ 69 621 651 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 2.95  
SCR  TRAVERSE               (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-11   05/04/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:142 1:39   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOXED WINE 2 2 75 7 53 4 1 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 18% 4.70 2.80 W
ADDAGIRL ADDIE 9 12 1111¾ 9 9 67 2 (davis g)LUZZI J 118 50.00 42.00  
10  LU'S REDEMPTION 10 6 4 3 32 21 3 (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 9.90  
ALETTE D'ORO 3 4 52 4 2 31 4 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 7% 14.30 4.20  
12  MISS LAO 12 5 1nk 12 1 11 55 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 4.60  
LAURANA 7 10 8 8 8 5 6 (clement chr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 3.00 48% 1.10 2.85  
PAMPLONA RED 1 9 1011½ 11 11 9 7 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 20.20  
LUNA PATINA 5 8 9 10 107 8 8 (duggan david)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 17.90 19.10  
DUBAWI WOWIE 6 3 3½ 64 7 10 9 (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 32.75  
SAVING MEMORIES 8 11 1214¾ 1213¼ 1210½ 1110¼ 109 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 47.75  
SHEHANAH 4 1 2nk 22 43 7 11 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 40.00  
11  SAVANNAH DANCER 11 7 6 5 64 1210½ 1211½ (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 52.50  
SCR  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY               (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
SCR  LA FIERE               (donk dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  LIL' HAYADOIN               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  SPLASHY               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.