Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (4/8/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (4/2/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-10   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-11   Win (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   05/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPALIDAY Apr13 Feb16       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Mar24 Feb14 Jan07 Sep30 Aug31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
GASPARILLA         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
COQUITO Apr06 Dec27       (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
PAST TENSE Mar31 Mar10 Nov18 Oct20   (dutrow w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
JUST THE SKY Mar21 Mar12 Jan22     (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 12% 7.30    
THE TACO LADY Mar10 Feb11       (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRICIA ANN Mar28 Feb24 Dec30     (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Apr05 Feb23 Jan20 Dec14 Oct05 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
CAMERA Apr07 Mar09 Jul23     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
AUTUMN EVENING Mar09 Dec20       (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
EXPERIMENTAL Mar05 Jan19 Oct05     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CENTAVO Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 Mar01 Feb11 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb25 Jan27 (chatterpaul n)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
MARKET ALERT Apr11 Mar08 Feb16 Jan04 Dec10 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6% 14.60    
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Mar30 Feb02 Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
GRANDPA'S KID Mar29 Mar15 Feb29 Feb11 Dec29 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
GENTLEMAN JOE Apr28 Mar30 Mar16 Jan12 Dec10 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
LORD CAPTAIN Apr28 Apr05 Feb25 Feb02 Aug02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR Jan27 Dec29 Nov26 Oct26 Oct01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60    
 
BAQ-4   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCENCY Apr25 Apr06 Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 (sells rach)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
MIGHTY ATLAS Apr13 Mar15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul09 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
DEBATE Apr13 Mar24 Oct07 Sep16 May28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
MEMPHIS Apr27 Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 (noda orl)GRISALES DANILO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NINETEEN OYSTERS Apr20 Mar21 Feb03 Jul15 May06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
TEPEU Feb28 Feb15 Jan14 Dec26 Nov08 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A BLAST Mar29 Mar16 Jan26 Jan12 Nov02 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
DISAPPEARANCE Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 Mar08 Feb18 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHADIZAAR Sep10 May04 Feb03 Jan01 Sep11 (nevin michelle)USKE S 124 6.00    
MIRACLE MIKE Oct13 Sep17 Aug27 Aug10 Jul01 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
ADDICTED TO YOU Nov02 Jul26 Jun25 May26 Apr22 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00    
INTO IT Apr05 Feb11 Jan14 Oct06 Aug23 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 4.00 11% 8.20    
MY FRIEND LOUIE Apr12 Mar13 Feb08 Jan12 Dec29 (murphy conor)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
LORD FLINTSHIRE Nov16 Oct13 Sep03 Aug16 Jun10 (brion ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 25% 2.90    
VICTORS VALIANT Apr14 Mar29 Feb18 Dec29 Dec10 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
SCR  HARVARD Apr28 Apr04 Feb23 Jul02 Apr30 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO'S MEDAL Apr06 Mar02 Feb09 Jan06 Nov01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. RIPPLE Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 Apr01 Mar02 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
DRAKE'S PASSAGE Dec17 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul03 (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
MOORE'S LAW Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Mar25 Feb11 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
CASCAIS Apr06 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 Nov06 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80    
SCR  AZTEC Apr05 Mar02 Dec04 Nov08 Aug28 (levine bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
COMPLETE AGENDA Mar30 Mar08 Feb29 Jan13 Jan01 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLEM LABINE Apr27 Apr11 Feb19 Feb09 Nov30 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50    
SCR  GOOD JUJU Feb18 Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Oct06 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 2.50    
SCR  RED D G P Apr05 Mar21 Feb29 Feb17 Nov24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
HOT ROD RUMBLE Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 Jan05 Nov14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
BEACH BOY AL Mar29 Mar10 Jan27 Dec30 Nov21 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
BUSTIN SHOUT Apr11 Mar21 Feb04 Jan04 Dec30 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
POPPY'S PRIDE Apr27 Mar30 Feb04 Dec29 Dec07 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PREDICTED Apr07 Mar29 Mar15 Mar08 Jan13 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
KENNY HAD A NOTION Apr12 Mar16 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 (jones micha)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 14% 6.20    
HEIR PORT Apr13 Mar01 Jan06 Nov26 Jul14 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 26% 2.80    
 
BAQ-8   05/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC13 FIRM Fort Marcy Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER PIECE (CHI) Apr06 Jan27 Nov11 Aug12 Jul04 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ATONE Mar23 Mar02 Jan27 Dec02 Oct07 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
LIMITED LIABILITY Apr11 Nov11 Oct13 Jul22 May20 (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXACT ESTIMATE Mar02 Jan27 Nov12 Sep21 Jul20 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) Jun10 May06       (appleby charle)MULLEN RICHARD 122 1.20 67% 0.50    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Apr20 Nov12 Oct20 Oct07 Sep04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00    
OLYMPIC DREAMS Mar30 Mar21 Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON Mar02 Feb03 Nov11 Sep03 Aug06 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Elusive Quality Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES AND YES Oct07 Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 Jul04 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
OUR SHOT Apr06 Mar09 Nov18 Oct07 Sep02 (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
BRING ME A CHECK Apr20 Jan07 Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 (reynolds patrick )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
NOTHING BETTER Nov18 Sep22 Jul22 Jun10 May20 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
DANCING BUCK Mar09 Dec30 Nov18 Oct07 Sep02 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
AMERICAN MONARCH Feb09 Dec31 Nov11 Apr30 Mar27 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
ALOGON Nov18 Oct07 Sep09 Aug22 Jul22 (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
DURANTE Jan27 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 Oct14 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00    
THIN WHITE DUKE Nov18 Oct29 Oct07 Sep02 Aug23 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-10   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC13 FAST Ruffian Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDOMIZED Nov04 Oct08 Aug19 Jul14 Jun09 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.60 38% 1.60    
GREEN UP Mar09 Nov05 Apr21 Sep24 Aug23 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
FINGAL'S CAVE Apr06 Dec28 Oct22 Aug26 Jul29 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 21% 3.80    
SOUL OF AN ANGEL Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan13 Dec03 (joseph saffie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
AIN'T BROKE Apr06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec14 Nov26 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SHIDABHUTI Apr06 Jul29 Jul02 Apr08 Mar04 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRAVERSE Mar30 Feb03 May27 Apr21 Mar17 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-11   05/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAMPLONA RED Apr06         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
BOXED WINE Nov02 Sep15 Aug17     (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
ALETTE D'ORO Apr20 Feb25 Oct01     (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 7% 14.30    
SHEHANAH Apr06         (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
LUNA PATINA Mar22 Mar02       (duggan david)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 17.90    
DUBAWI WOWIE Apr06         (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
LAURANA Sep14         (clement chr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
SAVING MEMORIES Dec09 Nov16 Oct29     (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
ADDAGIRL ADDIE Apr06 Mar07       (davis g)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
10  LU'S REDEMPTION Oct29 Oct01 Aug30     (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
11  SAVANNAH DANCER Feb24         (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
12  MISS LAO Apr06 Jan28 Dec16 Oct22   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  LA FIERE Apr13         (donk dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Nov02 Sep15       (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
SCR  SPLASHY Oct26 Jul29 Jul03 May21 Apr06 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
SCR  LIL' HAYADOIN Mar29 Oct29       (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.