The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
AQU-2   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
AQU-3   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
AQU-4   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 -0.70
AQU-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $83.50 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
AQU-7   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
AQU-8   Win (7/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 -1.90

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:103 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCENCY 5 1 31 3 2nk 1½ 1 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 46% 1.20 1.00 W
ANDY CANT 2 3 11 1 1nk 2½ 2 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 5.90  
BARNSTORMING 4 2 21 2 42 45 36 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 10% 8.80 5.70 S
WANNA WINNA 1 5 5 5 56 5 4 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 3.85  
MASTERWORK 3 4 4 4 3½ 3 510 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 23% 3.40 4.10  
SCR  CHALKY CAT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-2   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYONELOVESLINDA 4 1 1nk 1½   1 1½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 28% 2.60 2.60 W
PROUD FOOT 3 3 2nk 2½   2 2½ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 38% 1.70 1.50 P
I'M BUZZY 5 5 4 4   34 3 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 120 5.00 6% 15.50 2.40 S
SWEETEST PRINCESS 2 2 5 5   45 4 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 123 8.00 4.50  
ICY REPLY 1 4 3 3   5 5 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 12.00 22.00  
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50    
 
AQU-3   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CLASS CAT 5 2 5 31   1½ 1 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 W
LADY BANKER 6 1 3½ 21   3½ 2 (miceli michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
KAREN'S HONOR 3 6 610¼ 610   55 3 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 18.70  
FRANNIE LEW 4 4 1nk 11   2½ 4 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50 3.30  
MOONLIT WEEKEND 1 5 42 4   44 5 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 7.90  
LEADERSHIP ABILITY 2 3 2nk 57   612 621¾ (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.35  
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
 
AQU-4   04/25/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:13 1:383   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET AND ROLL 5 4 1½ 1½ 11 12 1 (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 48% 1.10 1.65 W
DIGITAL 1 1 3 32 3 22 2 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 1.80 24% 3.20 2.10 P
LIFE AND LIGHT 2 2 42 5 5 5 3 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00 27.50  
CO CONSPIRATOR 6 6 2½ 2½ 21 3 44 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00 37.75  
CANDY TYCOON 4 5 5 42 4 4 5 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 5.00 7% 13.00 3.25  
HIGHER QUALITY 3 3 6 6 66 6 6 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 3.90  
SCR  GOLDINI               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.80    
SCR  GUT FEELING               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
 
AQU-5   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAVON 6 2 21 21 1½ 1 14 (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 40.75  
ECHO IN ETERNITY 5 1 11 11 2½ 2 24 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 4.40  
SCORING CHANCE 1 4 64 54 5 57 3 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 16% 5.20 3.20 S
SMOKIE EYES 4 6 43 4 3 3 46 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 46% 1.20 0.80  
SHIGEKO 3 3 3 3 42 43 56 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 9% 10.30 10.80  
REIGNING CHICK 2 5 53 64 610 610½ 612½ (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 6.00 8.00  
 
AQU-6   04/25/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:141 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHOMBIQUE 2 5 54 55 53 3 1¼ (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 6% 14.60 4.00 W
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 6 3 4 4 3 1nk 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 38% 1.60 0.90 P
SPOOKY LADY 4 2 12 1 11 2nk 3 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 127 15.00 23.30  
SILVER SKILLET 3 4 66 6 6 5 4 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 127 2.50 34% 1.90 2.15  
IN TIME (FR) 1 6 3 3 4 4 5 (clement )MARAGH RAMSAY 127 12.00 16.50  
SNOWY EVENING 5 1 22 2 21 64 66 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 127 10.00 13.20  
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 127 15.00    
SCR  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT               (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
SCR  REVALITA (FR)               (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00    
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY               (quick j)RIDER TBA 127 1.60    
 
AQU-7   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE ABANAKEE 6 3 11 1nk   1½ 1½ (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.60 34% 1.90 2.20 W
EASY PLAY 7 2 21 2nk   2½ 2½ (d'alessandro ra)FRANCO MANUEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00 3.00 P
GEORGE'S VICE 5 1 3 42   3 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 10.20  
WEEKEND RAGS 2 6 63 55   5 4 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 40% 1.50 2.05  
BIG HAZEL 1 7 86 8   7 55 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 126 20.00 41.50  
PHOTO FINISH 8 5 42 3½   4 65 (cruz jesus)LUZZI J 120 10.00 15.10  
CITY BLOCKS 3 8 75 76   6 75 (barker edwar)RIVERA R 120 6.00 6.50  
1A  HIGHWAY HARMONY 4 4 52 6   8 810¼ (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.80 2.05  
 
AQU-8   04/25/2024 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT CALL IT 5 1 1 1   1 1¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 2.05 W
AUTUMN 2 6 7 8   7 2¼ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00 13.60 P
10  CERRETTA 9 9 86 53   2 3¾ (bond kevin)RIVERA R 125 12.00 23.10  
CAPITAL SPENDING 1 5 4 43   33 4 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 7.70  
TURRIGA 4 4 53 6   54 5 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 28% 2.60 3.50  
HEAVENLY GIRL 6 2 2 2   43 64 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 28% 2.60 4.50  
TONGUE TWISTER 8 3 3 32   6 7 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 19% 4.20 8.20  
FIT AS A FIDDLE 7 7 64 7   8 810 (morley thomas)LUZZI J 118 12.00 32.00  
11  SPIRANAC 10 10 1016 1016¼   920¼ 922¼ (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 56.25  
ROOKIE LEAGUE 3 8 97 910¼   10100 10100 (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 11.20  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL THIEF               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN DANTZ               (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 50.00    
SCR  LEARNING TO FLY               (brion ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  LU'S REDEMPTION               (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50    
SCR  TOSSED               (duarte jr)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.