Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/5/6)-(6/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(6/3/7)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(6/1/4)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(4/1/3)-(8/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(8/6/5)-(1/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5)-(1/5/6)-(7/4/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(7/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/6)-(7/4/9/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/6)-(7/4/9/6/2)-(7/4/9/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHALKY CAT Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
2  WANNA WINNA Apr05 Mar08 Feb18 Jan05 Apr21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
3  ANDY CANT Mar28 Feb09 Jun02 Apr22 Mar02 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
4  MASTERWORK Mar02 Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  BARNSTORMING Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Jan01 Nov01 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
6  LUCENCY Apr06 Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-2   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY REPLY Mar30 Mar15 Feb29 Feb09 Jan05 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 12.00    
2  SWEETEST PRINCESS Mar24 Feb17 Feb02 Dec31 Dec10 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Apr14 Mar17 Mar09 Jan28 Jan11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50    
4  PROUD FOOT Mar17 Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 Oct22 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
5  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Apr07 Feb29 Dec14 Oct27 Oct13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  I'M BUZZY Mar30 Feb29 Feb09 Jan19 Jan11 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 120 5.00 6% 15.50    
 
AQU-3   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT WEEKEND Mar21 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec07 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Mar22 Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
3  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Jan18 Dec08 Aug19 Sep30   (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
4  KAREN'S HONOR Jan24 Dec28 Nov03 Jul29 Jun23 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
5  FRANNIE LEW Apr07 Mar07 Feb17 Jan07 Jan20 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50    
6  FIRST CLASS CAT Mar15 Feb17 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  LADY BANKER Apr07 Feb18 Jan18 Dec31 Nov25 (miceli micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   04/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL Apr06 Jan26 Dec09 Nov10 Jul23 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
SCR  GOLDINI Mar24 Mar02 Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.80    
2  LIFE AND LIGHT Apr06 Feb18 Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
3  HIGHER QUALITY Jan04 Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
4  CANDY TYCOON Apr06 Mar17 Feb03 Aug13 Jul02 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 5.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  GUT FEELING Apr06 Mar29 Mar02 Jan12 Dec29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
6  ROCKET AND ROLL Apr07 Jan18 Dec16 Nov16 Oct01 (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  CO CONSPIRATOR Mar30 Mar10 Mar02 Feb23 Jan28 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
 
AQU-5   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORING CHANCE Dec29 Nov19       (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  REIGNING CHICK Mar28 Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 Nov25 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 6.00    
3  SHIGEKO Mar16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 9% 10.30    
4  SMOKIE EYES Dec14 Oct27 Sep04 Aug16 May29 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 46% 1.20    
5  ECHO IN ETERNITY Mar22 Jan27 Jun16 Apr29   (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
6  LAVON Apr07 Mar03 Jan12 Dec15 Nov25 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
 
AQU-6   04/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY LADY Nov19 Oct06 Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 127 15.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU Mar28 Feb19 Jan07 Dec08 Oct07 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 127 15.00    
SCR  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 Nov09 Nov02 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
SCR  REVALITA (FR) Jul21 Jun11 May05 Mar04   (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00    
4  IN TIME (FR) Nov12         (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 127 12.00    
5  RHOMBIQUE Nov12 Sep22 Sep01 Jul26 Jul04 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 6% 14.60    
6  SILVER SKILLET Nov11 Oct29 Sep15 Aug16 Jul15 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 127 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  SNOWY EVENING Nov09 Oct27 Sep04 Aug16 Jul15 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 127 10.00    
8  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Sep15 Aug19 Jul21 Jun24 Oct28 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY Apr14 Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 (quick j)RIDER TBA 127 1.60    
 
AQU-7   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND RAGS Oct26 Sep24 Aug27 Jul08 Jun10 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 40% 1.50    
1A  HIGHWAY HARMONY Mar02 Jan26 Dec29 Nov21 Dec04 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.80    
2  BIG HAZEL Jan19 Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 Aug11 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 126 20.00    
3  CITY BLOCKS Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 Dec31 Oct01 (barker edw)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
4  GEORGE'S VICE Mar16 Jan26 Dec31 Dec08 May13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
5  LAKE ABANAKEE Apr13         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
6  EASY PLAY Apr18 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Dec29 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  PHOTO FINISH Mar01 Jan03 Dec09 Oct21   (cruz jesus)LUZZI J 120 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   04/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL SPENDING         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDY BELLE by MORE THAN READY)
2  AUTUMN Mar22 Jul29 May27 Apr08   (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SAMSATIONAL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  ROOKIE LEAGUE         (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FROLIC'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  TURRIGA Jan05 Nov17 Oct26     (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
SCR  LEARNING TO FLY Oct29 Oct01       (brion )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HENNYVILLE by HENNY HUGHES)
6  KANT CALL IT Jul27         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CALL IT A TRUCE by FRIEND OR FOE)
7  HEAVENLY GIRL Jul26         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
8  FIT AS A FIDDLE         (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SECOND FIDDLE by PAYNTER)
9  TONGUE TWISTER Oct29         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GET STORMY out of BISOU FRANCAIS by CURLIN)
10  CERRETTA Oct26 Sep14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun03 (bond kevin)RIVERA R 125 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
11  SPIRANAC         (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
  (by SUPERESTRELLA out of COURT OF DREAMS by POWERSCOURT (GB))
SCR  BEAUTIFUL THIEF         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of COURAGEOUS ANGEL by CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS (IRE))
SCR  LU'S REDEMPTION Oct29 Oct01 Aug30     (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of BAJAN BEACH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO Oct26 Jul03 May27 Apr08 Jan08 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50    
  (by ASTERN out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
SCR  TOSSED         (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of BRIDE TO BE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  BROOKLYN DANTZ Mar22 Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov19 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 50.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.