Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.10  
CD-2   Win (3/2/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.74 $3.74  
CD-3   Win (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $38.48  
CD-4   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $8.46  
CD-5   Win (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $11.74  
CD-6   Win (11/9/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.96 $7.96  
CD-7   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $11.26  
CD-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.94 $3.94  
CD-9   Win (4/6/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $61.06  
CD-10   Win (9/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $10.10  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANSWER THE CALL 3 5 41½ 2½   11 11¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 2.05  
3  MITOLE'S LEGACY 2 4 31½ 52   32½ 21¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 31% 2.20 4.16 P
2  SINGSATIONAL 1 6 52½ 62¼   42½ 35¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 6.92  
6  BALLADRY 5 1 1½ 1½   21 45¾ (pitts helen)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.27  
5  JANUARY JUBILEE 4 3 63½ 41½   54½ 58 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 16% 5.20 2.50  
7  ANAJULIAFOREVER 6 2 2½ 3½   67 611 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5.28  
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE               (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 10.00    
 
CD-2   05/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:224 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOHNNY COME LATELY 3 1 1½     11 1½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 40% 1.50 0.87 W
8  CHARLIE TOLU 7 3 2½     21 2½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 30.05  
1  SING SING 1 6 87½     55½ 36½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.05 S
6  PREDECESSOR 5 9 64½     65¾ 47¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 9% 9.90 4.99  
2  INDIGO WIND 2 2 32     34½ 59½ (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 16% 5.10 10.20  
4  B GRAYSON 4 8 97¾     911¾ 610¼ (brinkerhoff v)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.15  
7  COMPLEX MUSIC 6 4 42     45½ 712 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 6.15  
10  CUPID'S THUNDER 9 5 76     710¼ 814¾ (hancock l)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00 44.28  
9  MISCHIEF HUMOR 8 7 53     810¼ 922 (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 44.90  
SCR  MITWAJID               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
 
CD-3   05/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:13 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIVERTON (GB) 2 2 32 31 42 2nk 1½ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 18.24  
8  QUIET RUSH 7 1 42 41¼ 31½ 3.2 2½ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 7.29  
3  AVAILABILITY 3 4 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 34¼ (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 19% 4.40 0.80 S
7  CURLINS INCHARGE 6 7 74¼ 62¼ 65 63¼ 45 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.00 36% 1.80 2.71  
5  ZAPTASTIC 5 5 63¼ 51¼ 53 53¼ 56½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
4  MASTER OF THE NITE 4 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 41¼ 69 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00 15.16  
1  SPUNS SON 1 6 53 73¼ 76 75¼ 79¾ (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.00 18% 4.40 12.37  
SCR  PUCKSTER               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
CD-4   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:213 :441 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHITWOOD 7 1 11 11   12½ 14½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 ★ 3.23  
7  FLASH OF GENIUS 6 4 21 21   22½ 24½ (pino v)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 23% 3.40 3.11 P
1  FORGE IN FIRE 1 3 78½ 713½   512 310½ (medina robert)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 9.21  
4  PERLIANO 3 5 44 48   412 416½ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 4.47  
6  LAZARUS 5 2 32 36   39½ 519 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 20.00 4.98  
5  CAMPTON 4 7 67 612½   614½ 622½ (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 40% 1.50 5.24  
2  SUPERCOOL 2 6 54½ 512   715 724¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.95  
SCR  BRONZE BEAST               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 123 20.00    
 
CD-5   05/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GREY STREAK 3 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 12½ 12 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 4.87  
1  COOL QUARTET 1 3 31 41½ 41¾ 33½ 22 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 1.72  
5  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 22½ 34 (camejo m)TORRES A 118 6.00 19% 4.20 4.70 S
4  FERRYBOAT 4 4 41½ 31½ 31½ 43½ 44¾ (miller f)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00 26.41  
2  ATKINS 2 1 52 53 52¾ 55½ 56¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.00 3.37  
6  BOITANO 6 6 63½ 74½ 63¼ 66 69¾ (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.39  
8  CLASSIC KING 7 7 74 64 74¾ 79½ 723 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 29% 2.40 5.82  
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS               (newton troy)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:131 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PENDULUM 8 1 73¼ 84 84 63¾ 1nk (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.80 2.98 W
6  BEDAZZLE 'EM 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 2nk (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 19% 4.30 4.98 P
7  CARNANE (IRE) 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 31½ 31 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 31.88  
4  TONALITE 3 3 31½ 41½ 42 41¾ 41¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.24  
12  EMBARK 11 7 83¼ 63 62¼ 53¾ 53 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 19.63  
11  LEO TORO 10 5 41½ 31½ 3½ 21½ 63 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 30% 2.30 2.62  
8  KISS ME AGAIN 7 9 105 95 94 75¼ 75 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.61  
5  BOLT'S BROAD 4 10 94¾ 105½ 106 96¾ 85½ (ruis sr)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 6.85  
2  CANDY CRAZE 2 11 52 52 52¼ 85¾ 98½ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 39.78  
10  SARANAC LAKE 9 6 116½ 117 118 119 108½ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 38.05  
1  PHILANTHROPY 1 8 63 73½ 73¾ 107 119½ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 12.75  
SCR  ARGENTINIDAD               (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
SCR  CLAIRE'S JETE               (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
SCR  LEMON LATTE               (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  MER SOLEIL               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  MYIYLA               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/01/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10 1:222   1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MYSTIC PLEASURE 6 2 2½ 2½   1½ 11 (brisset rodolph)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 4.63  
5  STUNNINGLY 4 4 31 31½   31½ 21 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 17% 4.80 3.19 P
2  ROSWELL 2 5 41½ 41½   42 31½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.38 S
1  MIGHTY MADISON 1 1 1½ 1½   2½ 43½ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 3.41  
3  TAKE SHAPE 3 3 52½ 63   66½ 57¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 9.27  
7  KLIMT'S MUSE 5 6 62½ 52   56 611 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.59  
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE               (king l)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
SCR  THESE APPLES               (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/01/2024 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnigh Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132 1:381 2:03 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NEXT 7 2½ 22 21 13½ 16 111¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 0.80 61% 0.60 0.97 W
1  DAI VERNON 1 77 78 75¾ 55 36 211¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 10.80  
6  MASQUEPARADE 6 65 66 65½ 44½ 26 313½ (atras rob)TORRES A 118 6.00 10.55  
3  RED RUN 3 43 44 54 34 47½ 419¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 10% 8.60 6.55  
5  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 5 1½ 12 11 23½ 58½ 519½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★ 3.59  
8  MASTER GAME 8 88 89½ 89¼ 710½ 714½ 639¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 43.53  
4  O P FIRECRACKER 4 54 55 44 67 612½ 743½ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.56  
2  DONEGAL FOREVER 2 32½ 33½ 33 812½ 820½ 858¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00 8.25  
 
CD-9   05/01/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:22 :45 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JOE SHIESTY 6 1 11 1½   12 12¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 29.53  
6  NO NAY METS (IRE) 5 2 43 43   33½ 22¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 28% 2.60 2.65 DQ↓4
11  SILENT HEART 9 3 21 2½   22 32¼ (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.92 P
1  MANSA MUSA (IRE) 1 7 53½ 55   45 42½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 15% 5.80 2.31 S
13  SKETCH (IRE) 11 12 128 129¼   77¼ 53 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 8.41  
8  BEAR RIVER 7 6 85¾ 65½   55 63¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 56.85  
12  ASPENITE 10 11 96¼ 97   67 74¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00 41.45  
5  DEBT PAID 4 10 117¾ 119¼   99¼ 89 (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 20.00 29.92  
4  REFUEL 3 9 75½ 75½   87¼ 99 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 35% 1.80 4.28  
2  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 2 8 107¾ 109   109½ 1011¼ (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 36.98  
14  THIS IS USCAR 12 5 31 31½   119½ 1113½ (blair jordan)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 24.41  
10  RUNNIN' ROCKET 8 4 65 86   1215½ 1226½ (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★ 16.31  
SCR  MOLLY'S TOWN               (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
SCR  REEF RUNNER               (fawkes david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FAN THE FIRE 12 5 3½ 3.2 11 1nk 1¾ (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 4.05  
4  GOD OF WINE 4 1 1nk 1nk 31 2nk 2¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 22% 3.60 6.47 P
11  TIZZY INDY 11 12 127¾ 124½ 65 42 3¾ (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 10.00 3.10  
1  QUARRYMEN 1 10 115¼ 82¾ 53½ 52¼ 41½ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.50 22% 3.60 4.11  
5  DUAL MONARCHY 5 3 52 51¼ 41½ 31½ 53¾ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00 ★ 9.83  
2  REDHILL 2 2 93¾ 93 75¼ 63¾ 66½ (pittman bonnie)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00 56.62  
7  HIGH HEADED 7 8 62½ 61¾ 85¾ 76¾ 79 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 33.87  
8  WRITEITONTHEICE 8 11 104¼ 113½ 117¾ 98¾ 810¾ (hester hal)RODRIGUEZ A 124 30.00 39.31  
9  GAMETIME GLADIATOR 9 7 72¾ 72¼ 107¼ 109¼ 914 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 32% 2.10 5.58  
6  SAINT ROCCO 6 4 2nk 2nk 21 86¾ 1018 (delacruz joe)NAVAS YOEL 113 30.00 38.51  
3  NOT LISTENING 3 9 41½ 41¼ 97¼ 1111¼ 1118¼ (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 15.00 5% 19.00 37.11  
10  SUMMER IN AIKEN 10 6 83¼ 103½ 129¾ 1212¾ 1220¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12.35  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.