Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (3/2/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (11/9/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (4/6/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (9/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE Mar07 Feb08 Jan10 Nov22 Oct27 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 10.00    
2  SINGSATIONAL Apr14 Jan21 Dec15 Oct12 Sep22 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
3  MITOLE'S LEGACY Mar28 Jul21 Jul02     (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  ANSWER THE CALL Mar13 Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 Oct28 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
5  JANUARY JUBILEE Apr14 Mar21 Jan12 Dec31 Nov24 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  BALLADRY Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 Aug29 Aug08 (pitts helen)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANAJULIAFOREVER Jan04 Dec07 Nov05 Jul14 Jun16 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
 
CD-2   05/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING SING         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  INDIGO WIND Apr05         (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
3  JOHNNY COME LATELY         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  B GRAYSON         (brinkerhoff v)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MITWAJID         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
6  PREDECESSOR         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 9% 9.90    
7  COMPLEX MUSIC         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
8  CHARLIE TOLU Apr17         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
9  MISCHIEF HUMOR         (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00    
10  CUPID'S THUNDER Apr10         (hancock l)KRIGGER K 119 20.00    
 
CD-3   05/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNS SON Mar02 Feb09 Dec29 Nov29 Nov01 (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.00 18% 4.40    
2  TIVERTON (GB) Mar29 Mar03 Oct19 Sep30   (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00    
3  AVAILABILITY Apr06 Mar23       (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  MASTER OF THE NITE Apr12 Dec09 Nov23 Oct26   (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00    
5  ZAPTASTIC Mar24 Feb25       (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PUCKSTER Feb29 Oct29       (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
7  CURLINS INCHARGE Apr10 Mar02 Feb17 Jan26 Aug31 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
8  QUIET RUSH Apr10 Mar08 Nov01 Oct01 Aug27 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORGE IN FIRE Apr14 Feb21 Jun01 Apr20 Mar17 (medina robert)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
2  SUPERCOOL Jun16 May21 May30 Mar11 Jan23 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRONZE BEAST Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 123 20.00    
4  PERLIANO Apr12 Mar21 Jan28 Dec15 Nov18 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
5  CAMPTON Mar22 Mar03 Jan27 Jan06 Apr13 (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  LAZARUS Sep27 Sep07 Jun18 Jun03 May11 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 20.00    
7  FLASH OF GENIUS Mar09 Jun25 May28 Mar04 Feb16 (pino v)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
8  CHITWOOD Mar08 Feb09 Jan05 Nov18 Sep24 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 ★    
 
CD-5   05/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL QUARTET Jan05 Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
2  ATKINS Apr07 Mar07 Jan12 Dec17 Nov11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
3  GREY STREAK Mar22 Feb01 Dec01 Oct25 Sep27 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
4  FERRYBOAT Mar13 Feb07 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 (miller f)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
5  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 Jun03 (camejo m)TORRES A 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
6  BOITANO Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS Mar30 Mar01 Jan28 Dec07 Nov02 (newton troy)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
8  CLASSIC KING Apr21 Mar10 Feb17 Dec29 Oct12 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
CD-6   05/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILANTHROPY Nov03 Sep03 Aug06     (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
2  CANDY CRAZE         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
SCR  CLAIRE'S JETE Apr07         (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
4  TONALITE Apr05 Oct27 Aug18     (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
5  BOLT'S BROAD Apr05 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 Oct06 (ruis sr)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEDAZZLE 'EM Apr05 Jan14 Nov18 Oct21   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
7  CARNANE (IRE) Mar23 Feb24       (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
8  KISS ME AGAIN Apr05 Feb28       (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PENDULUM Mar31 Jan07 Dec10 Oct11 Sep03 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.80    
10  SARANAC LAKE Mar23 Feb24       (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
11  LEO TORO Mar31         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
12  EMBARK Apr13 Mar13       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  MYIYLA Mar22 Mar03       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  LEMON LATTE Apr05 Mar02       (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  MER SOLEIL Feb11         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  ARGENTINIDAD Apr13 Mar06       (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   05/01/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MADISON Nov26 Dec21 Nov23 Oct20 Sep25 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50    
2  ROSWELL Feb14 Jan14       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  TAKE SHAPE Apr11 Mar20 Feb07 Dec22 Nov23 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
SCR  THESE APPLES Apr19 Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 Dec20 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
5  STUNNINGLY Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 Apr07 Sep04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jun23 May13 May02 Apr19 Apr01 (king l)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
7  KLIMT'S MUSE Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 May20 Apr23 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MYSTIC PLEASURE Mar27 May04 Mar31     (brisset rodolph)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
 
CD-8   05/01/2024 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnigh Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAI VERNON Apr14 Feb17 Nov17 Sep24 Jul16 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
2  DONEGAL FOREVER Mar30 Feb18 Jun17     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00    
3  RED RUN Mar29 Jan27 Dec30 Nov11 Oct13 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  O P FIRECRACKER Mar29 Feb24 Jan13 Dec17 Nov10 (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Mar29 Jun03 Apr22 Mar18 Oct29 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★    
6  MASQUEPARADE Mar29 Feb09 Sep21 Aug06 Jul08 (atras rob)TORRES A 118 6.00    
7  NEXT Sep23 Jul27 Jun10 May03 Nov04 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 0.80 61% 0.60    
8  MASTER GAME Mar29 Mar09 Feb12 Dec30 Nov30 (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
 
CD-9   05/01/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANSA MUSA (IRE) Apr07         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY Mar30 Jan12 Dec09 Oct08 Sep09 (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  REEF RUNNER Mar23 Feb07 Jan12 Dec22 Nov11 (fawkes david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
4  REFUEL Apr07 Mar06 Feb02     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
5  DEBT PAID Mar24 Feb13 Jan12 Nov22 Oct13 (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 20.00    
6  NO NAY METS (IRE) Apr07 Nov03 Sep09 Jul30 May13 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  JOE SHIESTY Mar23 Mar08 Jan06 Dec21 Dec08 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
8  BEAR RIVER Mar24 Mar02 Feb13 Jan18 Nov22 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY Mar23 Mar08 Dec08 Oct20 Sep24 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
10  RUNNIN' ROCKET Mar23 Feb10 Dec21 Nov11 Aug20 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
11  SILENT HEART Apr07 Mar02 Jan12 Dec07 Nov10 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  ASPENITE Apr07 Jan19 Dec22 Nov25 Sep10 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00    
13  SKETCH (IRE)         (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
14  THIS IS USCAR Apr05 Mar15       (blair jordan)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  MOLLY'S TOWN Apr16 Dec08 Nov25 Oct04 Sep06 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
 
CD-10   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARRYMEN Mar20 Feb13 Jan06 Dec20 Nov07 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  REDHILL Apr14 Mar13 Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 (pittman bonnie)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00    
3  NOT LISTENING Feb09 Jan07 Nov10 Oct07   (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOD OF WINE Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Nov24 Oct21 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  DUAL MONARCHY Apr11 Feb23 Jan27 Jan06 Nov23 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00 ★    
6  SAINT ROCCO Mar20 Feb09 Jun30 Jun10 Apr27 (delacruz joe)NAVAS YOEL 113 30.00    
7  HIGH HEADED Mar20 Feb01 Jan06 Nov19   (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
8  WRITEITONTHEICE Apr11 Mar15 Feb17 Jul13 May25 (hester hal)RODRIGUEZ A 124 30.00    
9  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Mar16 Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 Nov17 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
10  SUMMER IN AIKEN Feb22 Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Nov26 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
11  TIZZY INDY Apr07 Mar01 Feb17 Jan20 Dec15 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
12  FAN THE FIRE Apr11 Mar09 Feb04 Dec17 Nov02 (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.