The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $4.90 -8.00
BAQ-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $17.80 -6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
BAQ-4   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
BAQ-5   Win (1/9/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $8.20 -10.00
BAQ-6   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 7.80
BAQ-7   Win (9/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
BAQ-8   Win (4/3/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $49.00 $49.00 39.00
BAQ-9   Win (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
BAQ-10   Win (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $22.60 $22.60 14.60
BAQ-11   Win (5/16/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $30.40 $30.40 22.40

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE B. 1 1 4¾ 3½ 1 16 1 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 1.45  
1A  FUNKENSTEIN 8 6 7 7 54 36 2 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.50  
CHEEKY TICO 6 4 3½ 4¾ 2 26 310¾ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 3.50 8% 12.10 4.90 S
CO CONSPIRATOR 2 2 1nk 1nk 43 5 411½ (jones ed)GRISALES DANILO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
JAKE ROCKS 4 3 2nk 2nk 3 4 513 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 9.10  
HANG TIGHT 3 8 810¼ 810¼ 710¼ 711¼ 615¼ (sciacca gary)RIVERA R 118 15.00 26.00  
GOLDINI 5 7 6 6 6 6 716½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.00 2.50  
O'TROUBLE 7 5 5 5 8100 8100 8100 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 20% 4.10 5.20  
 
BAQ-2   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Beaugay Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:113 1:361   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEECIE MARIE 2 4 510½ 513 512½ 47 1¼ (reid e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7.90  
WHITEBEAM (GB) 5 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00 43% 1.30 0.55 P
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 3 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 3¼ (falcone n)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 5% 19.00 6.70 S
QUARREL 1 1 35 3 38 36 4 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 31.75  
ASPRAY 4 5 49 412 410½ 58 53 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 34% 1.90 2.60  
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
SCR  OCEAN GATEWAY               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:112 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN REALM 5 3 7 7 5 42 1 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 118 3.00 65% 0.50 1.60 W
IRON MAN IRA 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 2 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 11% 8.30 2.80 P
SORORITY PRANK 10 7 44 3 2½ 2nk 32 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 21.60  
ROMANTIC CHARMER 2 1 2½ 4 3 31 4 (ferraro w)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 21.80  
PALACE BOSS 8 9 9 8 65 6 5 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 5.10  
1A  BIG EGO 9 4 65 63 44 55 6 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 1.60  
FORGONE 3 6 3 21 7 7 7 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 5.40  
BREAK THE FALL 7 8 8 9 86 8 8 (de horac)RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
JUDGE RULES 1 5 5 5 97 9 98 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 17.50  
MUGSY FURY 6 10 1011½ 10 1011 1016¼ 1026½ (davis g)LUZZI J 125 30.00 54.00  
 
BAQ-4   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Runhappy Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY FRESHWATER 5 2 3 2   2nk 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 20% 4.10 2.90 W
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE 3 3 42 53   5 2¼ (reid e)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 4 1 53 42   3 3 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 18.80  
STRAIGHT NO CHASER 1 5 1½ 1   1nk 43 (landeros juan)VELAZQUEZ R 124 1.00 46% 1.20 0.70  
DURANTE 2 4 2½ 32   42 5 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 6.90  
SCR  STAGE LEFT               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/11/2024 3960ft TURF GOOD Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  POWER ATTACK 9 2 11 11   1nk 1¼ (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 3.10  
BORLETTI (IRE) 1 6 43 3   2nk 2¼ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 39% 1.60 1.90 P
KANT BEAT THE ROCK 4 8 65 5   42 31 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 8.00 8% 12.00 14.50 S
DEVIL'S CAY 8 10 8 66   65 4 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 17% 4.90 12.30  
HOLDING THE LINE (IRE) 2 7 21 21   31 5 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 7% 13.50 6.20  
11  SCREW LOOSE 10 5 7 8   76 6 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 39.00  
WARRIOR RICHARD 6 4 10 9   9 74 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
STREET SWAGG 3 1 5 7   8 85 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 40.50  
P MONEY 5 3 3 4   5 9 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 5.00  
SHOWDOWN KING 7 9 98 1011¼   10 10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 15.40  
SCR  GIANT'S FIRE               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  GOOD REUNION               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 4.50    
SCR  HIGH HEAT               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  LOOKIN' SUPER               (nevin michel)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
SCR  MARATHONER               (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/11/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Peter Pan Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:113 1:361   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIQUARIAN 4 4 3 31 31 3½ 1¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
THE WINE STEWARD 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 2¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20 P
PROTECTIVE 1 5 42 4 4 4 32 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 6.60  
UNIQUE INSIGHT 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 4 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6.40  
DETERMINISTIC 5 6 6 66 6 66 5 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 36% 1.70 2.70  
NATIVE LAND 6 3 5 5 5 54 68 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 14.60  
SCR  LONESOME BOY               (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00    
SCR  TUSCAN GOLD               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/11/2024 7260ft TURF GOOD Man Purse ($400K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:132 1:38 2:02 2:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER KNOTT (GB) 8 3 36 34 34 12 1 (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 14% 6.20 4.10 W
OHANA HONOR 1 47 410 4 4 34 2 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 11.50  
NATIONS PRIDE (IRE) 9 22 2 22 2 22 3 (appleby cha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 1.60 44% 1.30 0.90 S
TAWNY PORT 5 5 512½ 5 56 46 4 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.10  
KERTEZ (GB) 2 714 722½ 719 711½ 610 510½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 21% 3.80 5.40  
SO HIGH (GB) 3 12 1 12 1 5 616½ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 43.00  
GREEK ORDER (GB) 6 815½ 824 820 812 716 719½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
HARRY HOOD 4 612 619½ 616½ 611 918 822¼ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 26.50  
ROCKET AND ROLL 7 916 924½ 921 913 817½ 922½ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 50.00 72.75  
 
BAQ-8   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL T 7 6 69 5   1nk 1 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.50 W
GRANADILLA 3 3 2½ 2½   2nk 2 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 22% 3.50 1.80 P
MULKEY 4 2 3 32   3½ 3 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 47% 1.10 1.25 S
EASTERN STAR 8 1 55 66   53 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 6% 15.80 8.60  
SPIRIT OF ESTHER 5 5 44 44   4 5 (martin f)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 19.20  
MARY UNION AVE 1 8 712½ 78   75 6 (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 13.40  
KAATERSKILL 9 9 813 812   8 711 (dunham g)LUZZI J 118 20.00 78.00  
INFLAMMABELLE 2 4 1½ 1½   64 815 (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SECESSIONIST 6 7 916 924   922½ 933½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 124 15.00 50.00  
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:131 1:372   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINGWSCISSORS 2 7 6 53 5 31 1 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 31% 2.20 5.40 W
BELOUNI (FR) 8 1 4 42 31 1½ 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 41% 1.40 0.90 P
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 5 4 3½ 3 4 4 32 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 5% 19.00 3.15 S
BODE'S MAKER 7 6 9 9 95 8 42 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 19.90  
DANCIN IN DA'NILE 3 8 8 8 8 73 5 (cox gail)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
MAGICAL WAYS 4 3 5 63 7 63 6 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 38.75  
1A  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 9 2 7 74 63 5 75 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 0.90  
CONMAN 1 9 1nk 1½ 1½ 2½ 8 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 10.10  
AMERICAN LAW 6 5 2nk 2½ 2½ 9 9 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 45.25  
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY               (chatterpaul n)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  OPTIC WAY               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 122 15.00    
SCR  POWER SEEKER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
 
BAQ-10   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:11 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 6 1 31 2nk 1nk 1 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30 W
BRODERIE 5 3 4 5 41 3 2 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 35% 1.80 4.80 P
PATTY CAKES 7 5 7 4 3½ 2 3 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00 9% 10.30 10.00 S
SWEET MYSTERY 3 7 6 6 54 55 4 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 5.00  
MY GIRL JAL 4 2 53 7 6 6 57 (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 25.50  
WHISTLER'S STYLE 1 8 8 8 8 78 6 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 124 12.00 25.00  
BON ADIEU 8 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 4 713¼ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 126 5.00 4.40  
PITCH CLOCK 2 6 2nk 31 77 89 819½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.40  
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-11   05/11/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BROOKLYN DANTZ 4 4 41 1nk 1½ 1nk 12 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 14.20 W
11  RAININGATTHEBEACH 5 7 7 6 4 32 22 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 3.25  
16  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS 7 6 5 5¾ 2½ 2nk 3 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00 29% 2.40 3.60 S
SENDERA 1 2 2½ 2nk 56 58 412½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7% 12.40 3.90  
13  THE SPLENDID ONE 6 3 31 3.2 31 46 513 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00 5.50  
ONCE AN EAGLE 3 5 6 7 710½ 615 625½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 39% 1.60 2.40  
DELL ARTE 2 1 1½ 4¼ 6 715¼ 727 (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 33.00  
SCR  ROZAY SUMMER               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80    
SCR  PRACTICAL ROYALTY               (bernardini j)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)VAZQUEZ A 125 8.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE               (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT               (ibrahim emro)RIVERA R 125 8.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  ALOTTA JAYS               (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  ADULT ENTERTAINER               (ferraro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.