The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 -0.90
BAQ-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 -1.70
BAQ-3   Win (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
BAQ-4   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
BAQ-5   Win (11/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $3.70 -4.00
BAQ-6   Win (4/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
BAQ-7   Win (14/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 14 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
BAQ-8   Win (7/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $37.60 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHTFUL FLAME 1 1 1½ 11   1 19 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 33% 2.10 1.55 W
MOONLIGHT PROMISES 5 2 2½ 21   2 29 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 26% 2.90 1.50 P
TRIPLE SWEET 4 3 412 415½   416½ 314 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
THE SUGARS 2 5 37 39   313½ 416¼ (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 4.00 4.40  
LUCKFORYOU 3 4 514 518   520 517¾ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 12.00 10.30  
SCR  BURNER ACCOUNT               (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
SCR  KATERINA RISTOVA               (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLEUSE 1 4 35 3   3½ 13 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 25% 3.00 1.15 W
NEWSDLEY 5 1 1 1½   1½ 23 (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.80 42% 1.40 1.45 P
PERPETUAL PRAISE 2 2 2 2½   2½ 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
FOXY CARA 4 5 59 58   5 4 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 3.75  
BIG HAZEL 3 3 46 4   4 56 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 123 20.00 27.00  
SCR  ASHBURN ALLEY               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:133 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMASGOTTAGUN 1 6 8 7 4 31 13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 14% 6.00 2.80 W
HAPPY'S SMILE 2 3 42 3 2 2½ 23 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00 16.10 P
FOCUS POCUS 4 4 21 2½ 1 1½ 3 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 43% 1.30 2.45 S
TROUBLED LUCK 6 5 74 85 7 65 47 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 36.50  
DEVILS ARROW 3 7 6 5 54 4 5 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 4.20  
TOP OF THE TABLE 5 1 3 42 6 55 6 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 19% 4.20 4.60  
BETTER BE SMART 7 2 11 1½ 3 77 718½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 5.00  
PINSTRIPEPIZZO 8 8 52 63 8 810½ 818½ (de horacio)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00 44.75  
 
BAQ-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:223 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S AWESOME 1 5 5 1½   18 111¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 46% 1.20 0.75 W
EVERLYS GIRL 3 4 2½ 3   3 211¼ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 26% 2.80 6.50 P
WILLFUL DESIRE 2 2 1½ 2½   28 312¼ (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 6.80  
AWESOME ANNMARIE 5 6 6 6   512½ 413½ (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 3.15  
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 6 3 3 45   411½ 515½ (rodriguez r)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
HAPPY SOPHIA 4 1 4 56   613 618¼ (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00 36.75  
SCR  GAV'S DREAM GIRL               (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU               (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 15.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN DEGREE 4 2 13 111 120 128 132 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 0.85  
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 1 1 410½ 422½ 328 330½ 232 (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00 5.70  
THAT'STHEFACTJACK 2 3 23 211 220 228 332¼ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00 2.55 S
11  CISNEY 3 4 3 322 430 445½ 449¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 37% 1.70 3.35  
SCR  PURRFECT GIRL               (dutrow w)USKE S 118 15.00    
SCR  SHADE OF PALE               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00    
SCR  MEXICAN SUGAR               (coletti j)RUIZ ELISEO 118 10.00    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  STARTS NOW               (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM               (englehart jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:231 :47 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL MOMENTUM 7 1 2nk 2nk   15 1 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 15% 5.60 1.40 W
TREATY OBLIGATION 4 4 4 3   37 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 50% 1.00 2.25 P
LIGHT THE WAY 6 3 1nk 1nk   25 310¼ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 14% 6.00 5.40 S
ARTETA 3 2 5 43   412½ 419 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 31.25  
ORIGINAL IDEA 2 7 811¾ 817   621 521¼ (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 20.70  
DEPUTY MISCHIEF 1 6 7 716½   721½ 621½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
DIVER 5 8 6 511   519 723¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 6.00  
10  DRUNK ON SAKE 8 5 3.2 612½   827½ 840¼ (kantarmaci mertka)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 60.50  
SCR  CAGE MATCH               (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00    
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL               (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  CALL HER BLUFF 6 6 5 5 32 31 1hd (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 46% 1.20 2.10 W
12  BARONESS BOURBON 5 7 7 6 6 42 2hd (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 7.30  
NEXT ON STAGE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 3½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 12% 7.40 2.55 S
LA VITA SOFIA 3 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 4¾ (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 4.20  
KEEP IT SEXY 4 3 31 3 55 57 5 (englehart )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 30.00 21.10  
1A  KAREN'S HONOR 7 4 42 42 45 6 615 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
FROM HELLO 1 5 6 79 713¼ 715½ 722½ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 20% 4.10 5.90  
SCR  SOCA               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
SCR  SISTER NELL               (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  LEADERSHIP ABILITY               (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
SCR  LADY JASMINE               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
SCR  HANDLE ON YOU               (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE               (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00    
SCR  DAME CATHERINE               (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS               (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
 
BAQ-8   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIL THERE WAS YOU 5 5 52 33   2½ 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 17.80  
HOUDINI'S BRIDE 7 2 21 2   1½ 2hd (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 32% 2.10 3.75 P
BOOK OF WISDOM 6 8 8 64   31 32 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 41% 1.40 1.45 S
TERESA 1 6 3 5   6 4 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 124 8.00 8.70  
STORMIN HEIST 4 1 11 1   41 5 (synnefias dimit)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 5% 18.00 2.55  
BABI DREAMS 2 7 7 43   5 67 (arriaga ant)BOCACHICA J 119 30.00 59.00  
SIX O THREE 3 4 6 76   7 720¼ (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 29.50  
SONIA'S FLAME 8 3 4 811   816¼ 838 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT               (ibrahim emro)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA               (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.