Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(1/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(1/4/8)-(11/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/8)-(11/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(11/7)-(4/9/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (11/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/7)-(11/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (11/7)-(4/9/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (11/7)-(4/9/8/1)-(14/5/6/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (4/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/1)-(4/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/1)-(4/9/8/1)-(4/9/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/8/1)-(14/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/1)-(14/5/6/1)-(7/8/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (14/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (14/5/6/1)-(14/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (14/5/6/1)-(14/5/6/1)-(14/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (14/5/6/1)-(7/8/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/9)-(7/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/9)-(7/8/5/9)-(7/8/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL FLAME Apr12         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 33% 2.10    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DELIGHTFUL MARY by LIMEHOUSE)
2  THE SUGARS         (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  LUCKFORYOU         (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
4  TRIPLE SWEET         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SUNDAE'S A MEESE by ARTAX)
5  MOONLIGHT PROMISES         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  KATERINA RISTOVA         (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KENDALIN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BURNER ACCOUNT         (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WIN MONEY MY HONEY by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
BAQ-2   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLEUSE Apr07 Mar07 Feb17 Jan26 Jan12 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  PERPETUAL PRAISE Apr18 Mar28 Feb23 Jan19 Aug02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG HAZEL Apr25 Jan19 Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 123 20.00    
4  FOXY CARA Apr18 Mar16 Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50    
SCR  ASHBURN ALLEY Oct21         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50    
6  NEWSDLEY Apr18 Feb17 Dec29 Dec01 Nov03 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
BAQ-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMASGOTTAGUN Apr13         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DRAFT by DIALED IN)
2  HAPPY'S SMILE Apr14 Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
3  DEVILS ARROW         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of THEDEVIL WEARSNADA by UNCLE MO)
4  FOCUS POCUS Apr06 Sep01 Jul27     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of FOCUS CURIOSITY by HOLY BULL)
5  TOP OF THE TABLE Apr14 Mar02       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  TROUBLED LUCK Apr26 Apr14 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  BETTER BE SMART Apr06 Mar02       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
8  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Nov05 Sep02 Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 (de horacio)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BAQ-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S AWESOME Apr14 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Nov18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 46% 1.20    
2  WILLFUL DESIRE Apr14 Nov19 Nov02 Sep24 Aug26 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Apr14 Mar07 Feb24 Jan05 Dec22 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
4  EVERLYS GIRL Apr28 Mar15 Jan19 Dec03 Oct22 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 26% 2.80    
5  HAPPY SOPHIA Aug24 Aug03 Jul07 Jun02 Mar19 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU Apr28 Jul04 Jun02 May07 Apr06 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 15.00    
7  AWESOME ANNMARIE Mar24 Feb25 Jan17 Dec24 Dec09 (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
8  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Jan05 Dec14 Sep28 Aug20 Jul27 (rodriguez)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAV'S DREAM GIRL Jan21 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN DEGREE Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 Jan01 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 1.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 Dec06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00    
SCR  STARTS NOW Nov17 Nov05 Oct05 Jul29 Jun17 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50    
SCR  SHADE OF PALE Aug05         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
5  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Apr04 Jan11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00    
SCR  PURRFECT GIRL Mar31         (dutrow w)USKE S 118 15.00    
7  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Apr19 Nov04 Sep16     (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Nov06 Oct16 Sep20 Aug01   (englehart jeffr)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 Oct13 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  MEXICAN SUGAR Apr21 Mar28 Mar03 Feb07 Jan19 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 118 10.00    
11  CISNEY         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-6   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY MISCHIEF         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DELIGHTFUL MARY by LIMEHOUSE)
2  ORIGINAL IDEA         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHE'SCREATIVE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  ARTETA Apr06 Sep01 Jul15     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BUTTERSCOTCH ROSE by STREET SENSE)
4  TREATY OBLIGATION Jul21 Jun22 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
5  DIVER         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TAPPING PEARL by TAPIT)
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL         (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
SCR  CAGE MATCH Apr20 Mar09       (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  LIGHT THE WAY Apr20 Mar08 Dec09 Oct15 Mar04 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
9  DONEGAL MOMENTUM         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 15% 5.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
10  DRUNK ON SAKE         (kantarmaci mert)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of DRUNK PHILOSOPHY by SCAT DADDY)
 
BAQ-7   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KAREN'S HONOR Apr25 Jan24 Dec28 Nov03 Jul29 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SISTER NELL Apr06 Mar17 Feb21 Jan24 Oct12 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS Apr20 Mar23 Feb07 Oct12 Aug25 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80    
SCR  LADY JASMINE Oct27 Oct12 Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
SCR  SOCA Mar13 Jul13       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
5  FROM HELLO Oct12 Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May12 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  NEXT ON STAGE Feb29 Feb04 Jan07 Oct29 Oct07 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 12% 7.40    
7  LA VITA SOFIA Jul22 Jun23 May13 Apr07 Mar04 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Mar22 Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00    
9  KEEP IT SEXY May03 Apr20 Mar15 Mar04 Feb07 (englehar)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  DAME CATHERINE Mar29 Feb16 Jan19 Dec28 Nov24 (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
SCR  HANDLE ON YOU Apr14 Mar14 Feb29 Jan19 Dec28 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
12  BARONESS BOURBON Apr14 Mar14 Feb18 Jan19 Dec10 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Apr25 Jan18 Dec08 Aug19 Sep30 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
14  CALL HER BLUFF Apr14 Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 Dec17 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 6.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 Nov15   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
 
BAQ-8   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT Mar29 Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 Nov05 (ibrahim em)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
2  TERESA Apr27 Apr18 Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 124 8.00    
3  BABI DREAMS Apr27 Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 (arriaga a)BOCACHICA J 119 30.00    
4  SIX O THREE Dec16 Dec03       (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
5  STORMIN HEIST Apr14 Mar28 Dec29     (synnefias dim)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 5% 18.00    
6  TIL THERE WAS YOU         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
7  BOOK OF WISDOM Apr14 Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Oct21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
8  HOUDINI'S BRIDE Apr14         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
9  SONIA'S FLAME Feb24 Feb10       (noda orlando)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA         (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.