Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (11/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-6   Win (4/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (14/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHTFUL FLAME Apr12         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 33% 2.10    
THE SUGARS         (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 4.00    
LUCKFORYOU         (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
TRIPLE SWEET         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
MOONLIGHT PROMISES         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  KATERINA RISTOVA         (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
SCR  BURNER ACCOUNT         (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLEUSE Apr07 Mar07 Feb17 Jan26 Jan12 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
PERPETUAL PRAISE Apr18 Mar28 Feb23 Jan19 Aug02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG HAZEL Apr25 Jan19 Dec03 Nov09 Oct19 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 123 20.00    
FOXY CARA Apr18 Mar16 Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50    
SCR  ASHBURN ALLEY Oct21         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50    
NEWSDLEY Apr18 Feb17 Dec29 Dec01 Nov03 (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
BAQ-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMASGOTTAGUN Apr13         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
HAPPY'S SMILE Apr14 Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEVILS ARROW         (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
FOCUS POCUS Apr06 Sep01 Jul27     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
TOP OF THE TABLE Apr14 Mar02       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
TROUBLED LUCK Apr26 Apr14 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
BETTER BE SMART Apr06 Mar02       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
PINSTRIPEPIZZO Nov05 Sep02 Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 (de horacio)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S AWESOME Apr14 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Nov18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 46% 1.20    
WILLFUL DESIRE Apr14 Nov19 Nov02 Sep24 Aug26 (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Apr14 Mar07 Feb24 Jan05 Dec22 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
EVERLYS GIRL Apr28 Mar15 Jan19 Dec03 Oct22 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 26% 2.80    
HAPPY SOPHIA Aug24 Aug03 Jul07 Jun02 Mar19 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU Apr28 Jul04 Jun02 May07 Apr06 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 15.00    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Mar24 Feb25 Jan17 Dec24 Dec09 (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
BEAUTIFUL KAREN Jan05 Dec14 Sep28 Aug20 Jul27 (rodriguez r)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAV'S DREAM GIRL Jan21 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN DEGREE Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 Jan01 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 1.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 Dec06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00    
SCR  STARTS NOW Nov17 Nov05 Oct05 Jul29 Jun17 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50    
SCR  SHADE OF PALE Aug05         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
SCR  LION'S MIRACLE MO         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Apr04 Jan11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00    
SCR  PURRFECT GIRL Mar31         (dutrow w)USKE S 118 15.00    
THAT'STHEFACTJACK Apr19 Nov04 Sep16     (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Nov06 Oct16 Sep20 Aug01   (englehart jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 Oct13 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SCR  MEXICAN SUGAR Apr21 Mar28 Mar03 Feb07 Jan19 (coletti j)RUIZ ELISEO 118 10.00    
11  CISNEY         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-6   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPUTY MISCHIEF         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ORIGINAL IDEA         (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
ARTETA Apr06 Sep01 Jul15     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
TREATY OBLIGATION Jul21 Jun22 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
DIVER         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  DIRECT CHANNEL         (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  CAGE MATCH Apr20 Mar09       (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00    
LIGHT THE WAY Apr20 Mar08 Dec09 Oct15 Mar04 (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
DONEGAL MOMENTUM         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 15% 5.60    
10  DRUNK ON SAKE         (kantarmaci mertka)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KAREN'S HONOR Apr25 Jan24 Dec28 Nov03 Jul29 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SISTER NELL Apr06 Mar17 Feb21 Jan24 Oct12 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS Apr20 Mar23 Feb07 Oct12 Aug25 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80    
SCR  LADY JASMINE Oct27 Oct12 Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
SCR  SOCA Mar13 Jul13       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
FROM HELLO Oct12 Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May12 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
NEXT ON STAGE Feb29 Feb04 Jan07 Oct29 Oct07 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 12% 7.40    
LA VITA SOFIA Jul22 Jun23 May13 Apr07 Mar04 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Mar22 Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00    
KEEP IT SEXY May03 Apr20 Mar15 Mar04 Feb07 (englehart )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  DAME CATHERINE Mar29 Feb16 Jan19 Dec28 Nov24 (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
SCR  HANDLE ON YOU Apr14 Mar14 Feb29 Jan19 Dec28 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
12  BARONESS BOURBON Apr14 Mar14 Feb18 Jan19 Dec10 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Apr25 Jan18 Dec08 Aug19 Sep30 (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
14  CALL HER BLUFF Apr14 Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 Dec17 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 6.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 Nov15   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
 
BAQ-8   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT Mar29 Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 Nov05 (ibrahim emro)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
TERESA Apr27 Apr18 Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 124 8.00    
BABI DREAMS Apr27 Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 (arriaga ant)BOCACHICA J 119 30.00    
SIX O THREE Dec16 Dec03       (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
STORMIN HEIST Apr14 Mar28 Dec29     (synnefias dimit)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 5% 18.00    
TIL THERE WAS YOU         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
BOOK OF WISDOM Apr14 Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Oct21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
HOUDINI'S BRIDE Apr14         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
SONIA'S FLAME Feb24 Feb10       (noda orlando)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA         (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.