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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			WIN	(5/4/7/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$8.90			$0.90				11%
			EXA	(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-4		$27.40			$3.40				14%
			TRI	(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)						24	$0.50	$12.00	5-4-7		$18.48			$6.48				54%
CD-3			DD	(5/4/7/3)-(1/9/2/10)						16	$1.00	$16.00	5-1		$24.60			$8.60				54%
CD-4			PK3	(5/4/7/3)-(1/9/2/10)-(4/1/2/5/11)						80	$0.50	$40.00	5-1-1		$43.68			$3.68				9%
CD-6			EXA	(8/4/1)-(8/4/1/2/9)						12	$2.00	$24.00	8-1		$32.20			$8.20				34%
CD-7			EXA	(11/2/10)-(11/2/10/4/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	11-10		$39.72			$15.72				66%
			TRI	(11/2/10)-(11/2/10/4/7)-(11/2/10/4/7)						36	$0.50	$18.00	11-10-4		$54.59			$36.59				203%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/09/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	BEST SELLER									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 124						4.50						5.80
2	WINDY BAY									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124						2.50		37%		1.70		2.88	P
1	DIVINELY BOLT									(simms jr)ORTIZ L 124						3.00						1.27
3	LADY MERCEDES									(forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 124						5.00						5.73
4	CANT KEEP ME DOWN									(salas fe)SANTANA JR 124						3.50		25%		3.10		6.83
6	ALAMO									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						5.00		5%		19.00		9.82

CD-2			05/09/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3		ALL		PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	GREAT RICHIE M									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						2.50		40%		1.50		3.45	W
4	SIR GREYLIND									(forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						3.00		25%		3.00		1.96	P
7	B FIFTY TWO									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.50		13%		6.40		2.32	S
1	FOR SOME REASON									(joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120						4.00						6.09
2	BAYTOWN BRUISER									(wismer g)SANTANA JR 120						20.00						36.85
6	MIDNIGHT STORMY									(minnock g)BEJARANO R 120						20.00						18.03
3	BADLANDS RULER									(falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 120						6.00		5%		19.00		6.70

CD-3			05/09/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	AUSTIN CRUISE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						4.00		33%		2.00		2.89	W
		(by CATALINA CRUISER out of ZURLIN by CURLIN)
11	THE TONER									(caramori )TORRES A 119						12.00						7.26
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
9	MO HAIR SAM									(hancock a)LANERIE J 119						4.50		22%		3.50		4.59	S
		(by MO TOWN out of SHANGHAI LADY by JUDY'S KING)
8	SERGEANT CAPPS									(capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						5.00						20.84
		(by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
4	SACKETT									(mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						37.18
		(by GORMLEY out of CURLIN'S APPLE by CURLIN)
5	REB									(fletcher ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						20.00						21.54
		(by SHANCELOT out of WELL SPUN by HARD SPUN)
10	FINANCIAL WHIZ									(hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 119						20.00		5%		19.00		56.71
		(by IMPROBABLE out of GATORETTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12	SWEET FANTASY									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 119						5.00		★				4.04
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7	TAB WALKER									(lightner m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						10.00						6.97
		(by ENTICED out of ROSE LARUE by CAIRO PRINCE)
3	AMERICAN CITY									(desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119						20.00						35.99
		(by THE BIG BEAST out of SKY PALACE by PALACE)
6	REPEATINGOFCOURSE									(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119						12.00						13.34
		(by ALGORITHMS out of ROUGE by QUALITY ROAD)
2	BAYTOWN SUNDANCE									(mcentee paul)SAEZ LUIS 119						5.00		22%		3.60		8.86
		(by DAREDEVIL out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)
SCR	LOVELY REGALO									(hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114						12.00
		(by HIGHER POWER out of LOVELY GIFT by MINESHAFT)
SCR	PROBATIONER									(caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109						15.00
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ON PROBATION by INTO MISCHIEF)

CD-4			05/09/2024		5940ft	TURF	RC5	GOOD	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	PIN UP BETTY									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00		11%		7.90		2.00	W
		(by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
12	RACONTEUSE									(wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118						20.00						34.81
		(by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
2	MOONLIGHT GAMBLER									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.50		10%		9.10		5.30	S
		(by MALIBU MOON out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8	RESTLESS DREAMER									(brown c)ORTIZ L 118						6.00						4.56
		(by STREET SENSE out of DIVINE PRAISES by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9	BLAME THE GELATO									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						15.00						27.81
		(by BLAME out of BIANCO TARTUFO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4	HIDDEN PRESENCE									(motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		50%		1.00		3.20
		(by TAPWRIT out of INCREDIBLE GRACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5	DIANTHUS									(harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118						12.00		6%		16.50		11.88
		(by ASTERN out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
11	SICILIAN PRINCESS									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						15.00		5%		19.00		17.24
		(by JUSTIFY out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
6	CAPO DONNA									(handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						8.00						11.85
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BAUBLE QUEEN by ARCH)
3	HAMPTON YARD									(oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118						15.00						32.38
		(by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	ADRASTEIA									(bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118						30.00
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
SCR	ARGENTINIDAD									(seglin e)RIQUELME J 118						30.00
		(by DEMARCHELIER out of BELLE DE NUIT by GALILEO)
SCR	GUINEVERE									(ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 118						8.00
		(by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	SEMANTICS									(medina ro)TORRES A 125						8.00
		(by BROKEN VOW out of DINNER WITH D C by DIXIE UNION)

CD-5			05/09/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($80K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	ABADIN									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123						3.00		16%		5.40		3.16	W
5	TIGER'S LEGACY									(davis chr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123						5.00						3.71
7	ASMODEUS									(morey william )ORTIZ L 123						2.00		25%		3.00		2.29	S
3	BRAZEN BOY									(blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						10.00						12.34
4	EPIC BATTLE									(drury thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		34%		2.00		4.72
6	ICEATUDE									(navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123						20.00						11.13
8	OVERBORE									(fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123						15.00		5%		19.00		11.95
1	ONE RED CENT									(jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 118						10.00						20.36

CD-6			05/09/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	LIPS SAY BLISS									(medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						2.00		55%		0.80		1.14	W
1	HAROLD'S CLOUD									(rice adam)ORTIZ L 124						10.00		5%		19.00		8.79	P
6	MONTEVALLO									(tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 118						15.00						16.68
9	WINSTON WOLF									(amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 124						6.00		★				5.93
5	PANDO									(schultz l)LEPAROUX R 124						8.00						12.17
11	KNOX									(blair jordan)TORRES A 124						8.00						8.84
2	TAGLIATELLE									(foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118						10.00		★				5.71
4	LAUGHINALLTHEWAY									(lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 124						5.00		22%		3.60		11.27
10	BOBWHITE BOBBY									(von donn)ROCCO S 124						20.00						26.91
SCR	ATHENS MOON									(hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 124						10.00
SCR	WELAKA									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						12.00

CD-7			05/09/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC3	GOOD	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($141K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	CHASING THE CROWN									(maker michael )ORTIZ L 122						2.50		66%		0.50		1.03	W
10	CAMP HOPE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						10.00		5%		19.00		10.81	P
4	JOHNY'S FIREBALL									(casse no)SANTANA JR 122						4.00		★				5.30	S
8	SANTORINI									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122						6.00						13.11
5	EVAN HARLAN									(walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124						8.00						10.98
9	EL KABONG									(arnold r)LANERIE J 122						8.00						15.24
7	BAY STREET MONEY									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						5.00		★				16.28
2	FORT WASHINGTON									(mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122						3.00		7%		13.30		5.40
3	DUBYUHNELL									(gargan dan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						12.00						33.16
6	NATIVE THUNDER									(stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						20.00						51.05
SCR	HAYES STRIKE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						3.00
SCR	SALUTE THE STARS									(cox h)ORTIZ L 122						4.50

CD-8			05/09/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3		F		PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	READY FOR TROUBLE									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120						3.50		29%		2.40		3.12	W
10	HIGH FASHION KATE									(minnock g)GRAHAM J 120						15.00						16.56
1	SPIRITUAL LADY									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						6.00						7.95
5	KRICKLE									(holsapple )MURRILL MITCHELL 120						12.00						18.92
4	BETTE DAVIS									(tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						6.00		11%		8.10		10.66
6	MILA JUNES									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 120						15.00		5%		19.00		4.20
2	WINDY WALK									(davis christop)ORTIZ L 120						4.00		11%		8.40		2.11
11	QUEEN'S NOTICE									(drury j)MACHADO LUAN 120						5.00		23%		3.40		5.58
SCR	IDALOU									(schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 120						30.00
SCR	SEVEN NATTY PATTY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						8.00
SCR	WAILUA									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120						10.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.