Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $13.60  
CD-2   Win (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 0.90
CD-3   Win (1/9/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.78 $7.78  
CD-4   Win (4/1/2/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
CD-5   Win (4/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.32 $8.32 0.32
CD-6   Win (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.28 $4.28  
CD-7   Win (11/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $4.06 $4.06  
CD-8   Win (9/11/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $8.24 $8.24  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:114 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST SELLER 5 1 11 1 1 11 1¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 5.80  
WINDY BAY 2 2 3 3 2 21 2¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.88 P
DIVINELY BOLT 1 6 64 6 46 34 3 (simms jr)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.27  
LADY MERCEDES 3 4 43 4 3 4 411¾ (forster gran)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 5.73  
CANT KEEP ME DOWN 4 5 54 55 510 513 523¾ (salas feli)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 25% 3.10 6.83  
ALAMO 6 3 21 2 610½ 616½ 637½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 9.82  
 
CD-2   05/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT RICHIE M 5 4 32 2nk   1½ 1 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 40% 1.50 3.45 W
SIR GREYLIND 4 2 2 31   2½ 2 (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 25% 3.00 1.96 P
B FIFTY TWO 7 6 7 5   44 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 13% 6.40 2.32 S
FOR SOME REASON 1 1 1 1nk   3 4 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 6.09  
BAYTOWN BRUISER 2 3 5 65   55 57 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 36.85  
MIDNIGHT STORMY 6 7 6 76   67 6 (minnock g)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 18.03  
BADLANDS RULER 3 5 4 43   77 719½ (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
 
CD-3   05/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:221 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSTIN CRUISE 1 5 4 3   21 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 33% 2.00 2.89 W
11  THE TONER 11 6 2nk 1   11 2 (caramori ca)TORRES A 119 12.00 7.26  
MO HAIR SAM 9 4 32 43   33 3 (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 4.50 22% 3.50 4.59 S
SERGEANT CAPPS 8 2 6 67   57 47 (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 20.84  
SACKETT 4 7 9 911   711 510¾ (mccutchen jason)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 37.18  
REB 5 12 1112¼ 1011½   811¼ 611¼ (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 21.54  
10  FINANCIAL WHIZ 10 8 7 78   6 711½ (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 56.71  
12  SWEET FANTASY 12 10 5 54   47 812½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 4.04  
TAB WALKER 7 11 1011¾ 1113   1113¼ 913¾ (lightner mar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 6.97  
AMERICAN CITY 3 9 1212½ 1214   1213¾ 1018¼ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 35.99  
REPEATINGOFCOURSE 6 3 8 8   911¾ 1121¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 13.34  
BAYTOWN SUNDANCE 2 1 1nk 2   1012¼ 1230¼ (mcentee paul)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 22% 3.60 8.86  
SCR  LOVELY REGALO               (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00    
SCR  PROBATIONER               (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00    
 
CD-4   05/09/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:133 1:374   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIN UP BETTY 1 4 52 5 3 1 15 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 11% 7.90 2.00 W
12  RACONTEUSE 10 1 3 42 4 3 25 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00 34.81  
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 2 8 95 9 8 5 36 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 10% 9.10 5.30 S
RESTLESS DREAMER 7 5 42 2½ 2nk 2 46 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 4.56  
BLAME THE GELATO 8 2 2½ 32 5 45 5 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 27.81  
HIDDEN PRESENCE 4 10 84 8 6 66 611 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 50% 1.00 3.20  
DIANTHUS 5 6 6 64 9 810½ 714¼ (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 6% 16.50 11.88  
11  SICILIAN PRINCESS 9 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 7 816¾ (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.24  
CAPO DONNA 6 7 7 7 7 911½ 918¼ (handal raymon)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 11.85  
HAMPTON YARD 3 9 10 10 10 1014 1023¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 32.38  
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  ARGENTINIDAD               (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
SCR  GUINEVERE               (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SEMANTICS               (medina robe)TORRES A 125 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABADIN 2 4 11 1½   1½ 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 16% 5.40 3.16 W
TIGER'S LEGACY 5 3 21 2½   2½ 2½ (davis chris)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 5.00 3.71  
ASMODEUS 7 1 42 42   33 3 (morey e)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 25% 3.00 2.29 S
BRAZEN BOY 3 8 3 3   4 4 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 12.34  
EPIC BATTLE 4 7 64 65   78 5 (drury thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 34% 2.00 4.72  
ICEATUDE 6 2 75 7   68 6 (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 11.13  
OVERBORE 8 6 54 5   57 712 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.95  
ONE RED CENT 1 5 86 810   813 823½ (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 20.36  
 
CD-6   05/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIPS SAY BLISS 6 3 21 2½ 1nk 13 1 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 55% 0.80 1.14 W
HAROLD'S CLOUD 1 5 3 3 41 33 2 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.79 P
MONTEVALLO 5 2 11 1½ 2nk 23 3 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 16.68  
WINSTON WOLF 7 1 42 42 3½ 4 4 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5.93  
PANDO 4 6 5 53 5 58 512½ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 12.17  
11  KNOX 9 7 8 7 8 711¼ 616¾ (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 8.00 8.84  
TAGLIATELLE 2 9 6 8 6 611 717¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 5.71  
LAUGHINALLTHEWAY 3 8 9 97 910¾ 817¼ 831¼ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 5.00 22% 3.60 11.27  
10  BOBWHITE BOBBY 8 4 73 6 7 918¾ 937½ (von donnie)ROCCO S 124 20.00 26.91  
SCR  ATHENS MOON               (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00    
SCR  WELAKA               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CHASING THE CROWN 10 6 3 4 3½ 11 1 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 66% 0.50 1.03 W
10  CAMP HOPE 9 2 2 21 2nk 21 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.81 P
JOHNY'S FIREBALL 3 9 9 9 8 7 3 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 5.30 S
SANTORINI 7 3 1 11 1nk 32 4 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 13.11  
EVAN HARLAN 4 1 4 3 42 4 5 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00 10.98  
EL KABONG 8 8 86 7 7 5 6 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15.24  
BAY STREET MONEY 6 4 75 8 6 6 7 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 16.28  
FORT WASHINGTON 1 10 10 10 10 8 810½ (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 7% 13.30 5.40  
DUBYUHNELL 2 5 6 6 9 1012¾ 919¾ (gargan danny)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 33.16  
NATIVE THUNDER 5 7 53 5 53 911¾ 1021¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 51.05  
SCR  HAYES STRIKE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
SCR  SALUTE THE STARS               (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
CD-8   05/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR TROUBLE 6 5 6 64   4 1 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 29% 2.40 3.12 W
10  HIGH FASHION KATE 7 2 1½ 11   12 2 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 16.56  
SPIRITUAL LADY 1 3 5 5   22 33 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 7.95  
KRICKLE 4 1 2½ 3   53 4 (holsapple hu)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 18.92  
BETTE DAVIS 3 8 74 7   6 54 (tomlinson mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 11% 8.10 10.66  
MILA JUNES 5 6 3 21   3 6 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
WINDY WALK 2 7 87 87   7 7 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 11% 8.40 2.11  
11  QUEEN'S NOTICE 8 4 4 4   8 814½ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 23% 3.40 5.58  
SCR  IDALOU               (schultz lin)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
SCR  SEVEN NATTY PATTY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  WAILUA               (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.