Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.90 $0.90 11%
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $27.40 $3.40 14%
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-4-7 $18.48 $6.48 54%
CD-3   DD (5/4/7/3)-(1/9/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $24.60 $8.60 54%
CD-4   PK3 (5/4/7/3)-(1/9/2/10)-(4/1/2/5/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-1-1 $43.68 $3.68 9%
CD-6   EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-1 $32.20 $8.20 34%
CD-7   EXA (11/2/10)-(11/2/10/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  11-10 $39.72 $15.72 66%
    TRI (11/2/10)-(11/2/10/4/7)-(11/2/10/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  11-10-4 $54.59 $36.59 203%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:114 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEST SELLER 5 1 11 11½ 11½ 11 1¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 5.80  
2  WINDY BAY 2 2 31½ 31½ 21½ 21 2¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.88 P
1  DIVINELY BOLT 1 6 64 65¼ 46 34 36½ (simms jr)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.27  
3  LADY MERCEDES 3 4 43 43½ 35½ 46½ 411¾ (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 5.73  
4  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 4 5 54 55 510 513 523¾ (salas fe)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 25% 3.10 6.83  
6  ALAMO 6 3 21 21½ 610½ 616½ 637½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 9.82  
 
CD-2   05/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GREAT RICHIE M 5 4 32 2nk   1½ 12½ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 40% 1.50 3.45 W
4  SIR GREYLIND 4 2 21½ 31   2½ 22½ (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 25% 3.00 1.96 P
7  B FIFTY TWO 7 6 75½ 54½   44 34¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 13% 6.40 2.32 S
1  FOR SOME REASON 1 1 11½ 1nk   31½ 45¾ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 6.09  
2  BAYTOWN BRUISER 2 3 54½ 65   55 57 (wismer g)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 36.85  
6  MIDNIGHT STORMY 6 7 64½ 76   67 69¾ (minnock g)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 18.03  
3  BADLANDS RULER 3 5 42½ 43   77 719½ (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
 
CD-3   05/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:221 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTIN CRUISE 1 5 42¼ 32½   21 12½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 33% 2.00 2.89 W
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ZURLIN by CURLIN)
11  THE TONER 11 6 2nk 11½   11 22½ (caramori )TORRES A 119 12.00 7.26  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  MO HAIR SAM 9 4 32 43   33 35½ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 4.50 22% 3.50 4.59 S
  (by MO TOWN out of SHANGHAI LADY by JUDY'S KING)
8  SERGEANT CAPPS 8 2 63¾ 67   57 47 (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 20.84  
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
4  SACKETT 4 7 98¾ 911   711 510¾ (mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 37.18  
  (by GORMLEY out of CURLIN'S APPLE by CURLIN)
5  REB 5 12 1112¼ 1011½   811¼ 611¼ (fletcher ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 21.54  
  (by SHANCELOT out of WELL SPUN by HARD SPUN)
10  FINANCIAL WHIZ 10 8 75¾ 78   69½ 711½ (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 56.71  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GATORETTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  SWEET FANTASY 12 10 53¼ 54   47 812½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★ 4.04  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  TAB WALKER 7 11 1011¾ 1113   1113¼ 913¾ (lightner m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 6.97  
  (by ENTICED out of ROSE LARUE by CAIRO PRINCE)
3  AMERICAN CITY 3 9 1212½ 1214   1213¾ 1018¼ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 35.99  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SKY PALACE by PALACE)
6  REPEATINGOFCOURSE 6 3 85¾ 88½   911¾ 1121¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 13.34  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of ROUGE by QUALITY ROAD)
2  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE 2 1 1nk 21½   1012¼ 1230¼ (mcentee paul)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 22% 3.60 8.86  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)
SCR  LOVELY REGALO               (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 12.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LOVELY GIFT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  PROBATIONER               (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ON PROBATION by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CD-4   05/09/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:133 1:374   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIN UP BETTY 1 4 52 52½ 31½ 12½ 15 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 11% 7.90 2.00 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
12  RACONTEUSE 10 1 31½ 42 41¾ 34½ 25 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00 34.81  
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
2  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 2 8 95 96¼ 84¾ 55½ 36 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 10% 9.10 5.30 S
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  RESTLESS DREAMER 7 5 42 2½ 2nk 22½ 46 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 4.56  
  (by STREET SENSE out of DIVINE PRAISES by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  BLAME THE GELATO 8 2 2½ 32 51¾ 45 59½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 27.81  
  (by BLAME out of BIANCO TARTUFO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  HIDDEN PRESENCE 4 10 84 84¾ 63¼ 66 611 (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 50% 1.00 3.20  
  (by TAPWRIT out of INCREDIBLE GRACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  DIANTHUS 5 6 62½ 64 95¾ 810½ 714¼ (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 6% 16.50 11.88  
  (by ASTERN out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
11  SICILIAN PRINCESS 9 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 77½ 816¾ (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.24  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  CAPO DONNA 6 7 73½ 74¼ 73¾ 911½ 918¼ (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 11.85  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BAUBLE QUEEN by ARCH)
3  HAMPTON YARD 3 9 105¼ 108¼ 107¼ 1014 1023¼ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 32.38  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  ARGENTINIDAD               (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BELLE DE NUIT by GALILEO)
SCR  GUINEVERE               (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SEMANTICS               (medina ro)TORRES A 125 8.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of DINNER WITH D C by DIXIE UNION)
 
CD-5   05/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ABADIN 2 4 11 1½   1½ 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 16% 5.40 3.16 W
5  TIGER'S LEGACY 5 3 21 2½   2½ 2½ (davis chr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 5.00 3.71  
7  ASMODEUS 7 1 42 42   33 34½ (morey william )ORTIZ L 123 2.00 25% 3.00 2.29 S
3  BRAZEN BOY 3 8 31½ 31½   44½ 47¼ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 12.34  
4  EPIC BATTLE 4 7 64 65   78 59¼ (drury thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 34% 2.00 4.72  
6  ICEATUDE 6 2 75 76½   68 69¼ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 11.13  
8  OVERBORE 8 6 54 53½   57 712 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.95  
1  ONE RED CENT 1 5 86 810   813 823½ (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 20.36  
 
CD-6   05/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LIPS SAY BLISS 6 3 21 2½ 1nk 13 14¾ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 55% 0.80 1.14 W
1  HAROLD'S CLOUD 1 5 31½ 31½ 41 33 24¾ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.79 P
6  MONTEVALLO 5 2 11 1½ 2nk 23 35¼ (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 118 15.00 16.68  
9  WINSTON WOLF 7 1 42 42 3½ 44½ 47¼ (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 ★ 5.93  
5  PANDO 4 6 52½ 53 54½ 58 512½ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 12.17  
11  KNOX 9 7 83½ 75½ 86¾ 711¼ 616¾ (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 8.00 8.84  
2  TAGLIATELLE 2 9 62½ 85½ 66½ 611 717¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 ★ 5.71  
4  LAUGHINALLTHEWAY 3 8 95½ 97 910¾ 817¼ 831¼ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 124 5.00 22% 3.60 11.27  
10  BOBWHITE BOBBY 8 4 73 63½ 76¾ 918¾ 937½ (von donn)ROCCO S 124 20.00 26.91  
SCR  ATHENS MOON               (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00    
SCR  WELAKA               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CHASING THE CROWN 10 6 32½ 42½ 3½ 11 12¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 2.50 66% 0.50 1.03 W
10  CAMP HOPE 9 2 21½ 21 2nk 21 22¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.81 P
4  JOHNY'S FIREBALL 3 9 96¼ 96¼ 86¼ 74¾ 34¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 ★ 5.30 S
8  SANTORINI 7 3 11½ 11 1nk 32 45¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 13.11  
5  EVAN HARLAN 4 1 42½ 32½ 42 43½ 55¾ (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00 10.98  
9  EL KABONG 8 8 86 74¾ 73¾ 54½ 67½ (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15.24  
7  BAY STREET MONEY 6 4 75 85¼ 63½ 64½ 78¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 ★ 16.28  
2  FORT WASHINGTON 1 10 108¼ 107¾ 108¼ 89¼ 810½ (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 7% 13.30 5.40  
3  DUBYUHNELL 2 5 64½ 64½ 96¾ 1012¾ 919¾ (gargan dan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 33.16  
6  NATIVE THUNDER 5 7 53 53½ 53 911¾ 1021¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 51.05  
SCR  HAYES STRIKE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
SCR  SALUTE THE STARS               (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
CD-8   05/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  READY FOR TROUBLE 6 5 63½ 64   42½ 11¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 29% 2.40 3.12 W
10  HIGH FASHION KATE 7 2 1½ 11   12 21¼ (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 16.56  
1  SPIRITUAL LADY 1 3 52½ 52½   22 33 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 7.95  
5  KRICKLE 4 1 2½ 31½   53 43½ (holsapple )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 18.92  
4  BETTE DAVIS 3 8 74 74½   63½ 54 (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 11% 8.10 10.66  
6  MILA JUNES 5 6 31½ 21   32½ 64½ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
2  WINDY WALK 2 7 87 87   75½ 76¼ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 11% 8.40 2.11  
11  QUEEN'S NOTICE 8 4 41½ 42½   87½ 814½ (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 23% 3.40 5.58  
SCR  IDALOU               (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
SCR  SEVEN NATTY PATTY               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  WAILUA               (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.