Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.10  
SAR-2   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
SAR-3   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.60  
SAR-4   Win (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 7.20
SAR-5   Win (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
SAR-7   Win (4/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
SAR-8   Win (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.70  
SAR-9   Win (2/13/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
SAR-11   Win (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
SAR-12   Win (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SANDMAN 2 6 42½ 31½   1½ 11¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 2.05  
1  INNOVATOR 1 3 11½ 11   2½ 21¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.65 P
4  AVIATOR GUI 4 5 65 42   35 37½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 17% 4.80 5.70 S
7  THUNDER ROLL 7 2 31½ 21   47½ 413¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
6  NANTZ 6 7 711 78   517½ 522¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 7.90  
5  JUJUBEE 5 1 54 54½   621½ 631 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 13% 6.50 7.00  
3  DEVIL OF RAMADI 3 4 21½ 65½   746½ 7100 (paragallo jennife)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00 52.00  
 
SAR-2   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:211 :434 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BANNED FOR LIFE 4 2 2½ 2nk   11½ 14 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 12% 7.20 3.35 W
1  HURRICANE NELSON 1 1 1½ 1nk   21½ 24 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 55% 0.80 0.85 P
7  READY AS EVER 7 6 711 711   48½ 39¾ (mott willi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 23.80  
3  WAJDA 3 5 44½ 33½   36 414½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 7% 13.40 9.30  
6  TOMORROW'S WISH 6 3 65 610   611½ 516½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 8.70  
2  MARCHE 2 7 54½ 44   510 620½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★ 4.80  
5  HARD SCHOLAR 5 4 33½ 59   714½ 737 (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 44.00  
 
SAR-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLD AS HELL 1 4 21 31   1nk 12¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.30  
6  SAFFA'S DAY 5 2 31 2nk   2nk 22¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 3.70  
4  SECRET RULES 3 6 64½ 62¾   54 36¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 35% 1.90 1.60 S
5  DISCO DEANO 4 3 11 1nk   3½ 47¼ (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 5.00 20% 3.90 5.20  
3  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) 2 5 42 41¼   43 58 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 3.05  
7  BOURBON'S HOPE 6 1 52½ 52¼   67½ 68½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
SCR  ZEEBEAR               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAST KIMMIE 2 1 41½ 31 21 1nk 1½ (serpe m)VAZQUEZ A 123 15.00 12% 7.30 4.60 W
9  MISS FASHIONISTA 4 3 21 21 11 2nk 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 58% 0.70 0.40 P
6  BERTRILLE 3 2 31 42 45 47 311¾ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 8.80  
4  MIM 1 4 11 11 32 35 412½ (ferraro ja)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 3.85  
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60    
SCR  MAGIC EIGHT BALL               (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  MY CARA MIA MINE               (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  EVIE DOES IT               (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  WISH LIST               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG               (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  ARTEMIS GIRL               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SPIRITUAL LADY 7 2 41¼ 41¼   1½ 11¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.60 1.10 W
5  DEVIL BLUE DRESS 5 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 21¼ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 25% 3.00 3.05 P
3  JAY'S LOVE 3 8 88¼ 79¼   56 36½ (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
6  GRAB THE GLORY 6 1 2nk 2nk   45½ 412¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 9.40  
4  DASHING DELLA 4 4 3.2 31   35½ 513½ (arenas marcelo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5.60  
8  TIL THERE WAS YOU 8 3 72¾ 57¼   610½ 616¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 17% 4.90 9.20  
2  TOOT YOUR HORN 2 6 62¾ 89¼   714½ 716¾ (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 27.75  
1  PAUCILOQUENT 1 7 52¼ 68¼   817 826½ (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 57.00  
 
SAR-7   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TENACIOUS LEADER 4 2 21 21 2½ 11½ 14¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
11  CLOCK TOWER 6 1 11 11 1½ 21½ 24¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 19% 4.30 2.40 P
1  STATESMAN 1 4 53½ 64 34½ 37½ 310¼ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 7.30  
4  ROYAL PRESENCE 2 5 77½ 75½ 48½ 411 413¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 30% 2.40 8.30  
9  GOVERNING PARTY 5 7 65 53 69 516½ 529 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 16.60  
6  CONCRETE CRUISER 3 3 32½ 32 58½ 617 634¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
12  THE BOONDOCKER 7 6 43 42½ 712½ 729 780¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.50  
SCR  DAVY CROCKETT               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ENGLISH LAW               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  HAMMERHEAD               (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  SAM'S ROCKET               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  VALUATION METRIC               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Saratoga Special Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:214 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHOWCASE 2 5 53 51¾   31 13¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 3.35  
4  FIRST RESORT 4 4 1½ 1nk   11 23¼ (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 ★ 9.30 P
1  SMOKEN WICKED 1 3 32 31   41¼ 33½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.70 5.70 S
5  TOUCHY 5 2 43 41¼   51¼ 45¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40 1.80  
6  ACE IT 6 1 2½ 2nk   21 56 (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 52.75  
3  GLOBAL LEGEND 3 7 76 77¼   76¾ 69¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 16.00  
8  GOOD DIRECTIONS 7 6 64 64¼   66¼ 79½ (rice kevin)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 18% 4.70 29.25  
9  KEEP IT EASY 8 8 88½ 87¾   810¾ 823½ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 2.90  
SCR  NOBLE FORCE               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
 
SAR-9   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC13 FAST Troy Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SURVEILLANCE 4 5 32 31   1nk 13¼ (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.80 1.50 W
2  OUTLAW KID 1 3 1½ 1nk   3½ 23¼ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 28% 2.60 3.45 P
3  STEP FORWARD 2 2 42 2nk   2nk 33½ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 5.00  
13  DISARMED 5 1 2½ 41½   43 45¼ (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 28% 2.60 3.10  
5  THIN WHITE DUKE 3 4 52½ 54   55½ 514 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5.10  
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 30.00    
SCR  WITTY               (merryman elizabe)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL               (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS               (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  DANCING BUCK               (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  XY SPEED               (lerman michae)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
SCR  BIG INVASION               (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  COGBURN               (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
 
SAR-11   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRINTRACK 6 2 31 33   33 1¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 48% 1.10 2.00 W
2  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 2 3 2½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (synnefias pa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 5.40  
1  POPPY'S PRIDE 1 5 1½ 2½   2nk 32 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 4.50  
3  GOT THUNDER 3 6 53½ 53½   43½ 43 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 7.50  
4  DOT'S DOLLAR 4 4 63½ 43   53¾ 53 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 ★ 6.90  
5  M B'S MUNNING 5 7 74½ 75½   67¾ 66½ (englehart chris)LUZZI J 118 15.00 9% 10.20 7.80  
7  BANYAN BREEZE 7 1 43 64½   77¾ 710½ (tasso mark)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 10% 9.50 4.80  
 
SAR-12   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Galway Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HALINA'S FORTE 3 2 31½ 31½   31½ 1nk (bauer a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 50% 1.00 0.60 W
7  BARAYE 2 3 1½ 11½   11½ 2nk (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 17% 4.90 2.65 P
11  VALUE AREA 4 1 43½ 42½   21½ 3½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 4.60  
1  GOLDEN DEGREE 1 4 2½ 21½   414½ 439 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 6.70  
SCR  KAIRYU (IRE)               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)               (walden william)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)               (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.40    
SCR  GREAVETTE               (begg bentley)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAY GIRL               (duggan p)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  EL TERRENO               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  AMIDST WAVES               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
SCR  EVER SO SWEET (IRE)               (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.