Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.70 $2.70 45%
SAR-4   WIN (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $11.20 $7.20 180%
    EXA (9/5)-(9/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-9 $12.30 $10.30 515%
SAR-5   TRI (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-5-3 $36.37 $24.37 203%
    DD (9/5)-(5/7/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-7 $24.00 $16.00 200%
SAR-9   EXA (2/13/12)-(2/13/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00  12-2 $8.20 $2.20 37%
SAR-12   EXA (10/7)-(10/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00  10-7 $3.05 $1.05 53%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDMAN 2 6 4 3   1½ 1 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 2.05  
  (by TAPIT out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
INNOVATOR 1 3 1 11   2½ 2 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.65 P
  (by AUTHENTIC out of INSPIRED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
AVIATOR GUI 4 5 65 42   35 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 17% 4.80 5.70 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
THUNDER ROLL 7 2 3 21   4 413¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
NANTZ 6 7 711 78   517½ 522¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 7.90  
  (by TAPIT out of DIVINE QUEEN by DIVINE PARK)
JUJUBEE 5 1 54 5   621½ 631 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 13% 6.50 7.00  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CH CH CHERRY BOMB by NOT FOR LOVE)
DEVIL OF RAMADI 3 4 2 6   746½ 7100 (paragallo jenni)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00 52.00  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FOREST FASHION by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
SAR-2   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:211 :434 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANNED FOR LIFE 4 2 2½ 2nk   1 14 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 12% 7.20 3.35 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DADDY'S DIVA by SCAT DADDY)
HURRICANE NELSON 1 1 1½ 1nk   2 24 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 55% 0.80 0.85 P
  (by KHOZAN out of FRENCH POLITICS by POLITICAL FORCE)
READY AS EVER 7 6 711 711   4 3 (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 23.80  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AL ANDALEEB by BERNARDINI)
WAJDA 3 5 4 3   36 414½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 7% 13.40 9.30  
  (by LAOBAN out of UNTAPPED SECRET by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
TOMORROW'S WISH 6 3 65 610   611½ 516½ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 8.70  
  (by HONOR CODE out of WISHFUL SPLENDOR by SMART STRIKE)
MARCHE 2 7 5 44   510 620½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 4.80  
  (by MITOLE out of MARSEILLAISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HARD SCHOLAR 5 4 3 59   714½ 737 (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 44.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of EDUCATING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
SAR-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD AS HELL 1 4 21 31   1nk 1 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.30  
SAFFA'S DAY 5 2 31 2nk   2nk 2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 3.70  
SECRET RULES 3 6 6 6   54 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 35% 1.90 1.60 S
DISCO DEANO 4 3 11 1nk   3½ 4 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 5.00 20% 3.90 5.20  
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) 2 5 42 4   43 58 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 3.05  
BOURBON'S HOPE 6 1 5 5   6 6 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
SCR  ZEEBEAR               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST KIMMIE 2 1 4 31 21 1nk 1½ (serpe m)VAZQUEZ A 123 15.00 12% 7.30 4.60 W
MISS FASHIONISTA 4 3 21 21 11 2nk 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 58% 0.70 0.40 P
BERTRILLE 3 2 31 42 45 47 311¾ (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 8.80  
MIM 1 4 11 11 32 35 412½ (ferraro )SANTANA JR 123 20.00 3.85  
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60    
SCR  MAGIC EIGHT BALL               (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  MY CARA MIA MINE               (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  EVIE DOES IT               (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  WISH LIST               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG               (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  ARTEMIS GIRL               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL LADY 7 2 4 4   1½ 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.60 1.10 W
DEVIL BLUE DRESS 5 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 2 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 25% 3.00 3.05 P
JAY'S LOVE 3 8 8 7   56 3 (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
GRAB THE GLORY 6 1 2nk 2nk   4 412¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 9.40  
DASHING DELLA 4 4 3.2 31   3 513½ (arenas marcel)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5.60  
TIL THERE WAS YOU 8 3 7 5   610½ 616¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 17% 4.90 9.20  
TOOT YOUR HORN 2 6 6 8   714½ 716¾ (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 27.75  
PAUCILOQUENT 1 7 5 6   817 826½ (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 57.00  
 
SAR-7   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENACIOUS LEADER 4 2 21 21 2½ 1 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIAMONDS AND RUST by CURLIN)
11  CLOCK TOWER 6 1 11 11 1½ 2 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 19% 4.30 2.40 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
STATESMAN 1 4 5 64 3 3 310¼ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 7.30  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ICON PROJECT by EMPIRE MAKER)
ROYAL PRESENCE 2 5 7 7 4 411 413¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 30% 2.40 8.30  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHOSTLY PRESENCE by GHOSTZAPPER)
GOVERNING PARTY 5 7 65 53 69 516½ 529 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 16.60  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of OSCAR PARTY by DIXIE UNION)
CONCRETE CRUISER 3 3 3 32 5 617 634¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BRILLIANT MISSY by SMART STRIKE)
12  THE BOONDOCKER 7 6 43 4 712½ 729 780¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.50  
  (by UNIFIED out of APALACHEE SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  DAVY CROCKETT               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMERICA'S TALE by GIO PONTI)
SCR  ENGLISH LAW               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
SCR  HAMMERHEAD               (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of FIGARELLA'S QUEEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SAM'S ROCKET               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MORE ROSES by UNCLE MO)
SCR  VALUATION METRIC               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SONOMA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-8   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Saratoga Special Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:214 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWCASE 2 5 53 5   31 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 3.35  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BUY SELL HOLD by VIOLENCE)
FIRST RESORT 4 4 1½ 1nk   11 2 (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 9.30 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of FAIR MAIDEN by STREET BOSS)
SMOKEN WICKED 1 3 32 31   4 3 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.70 5.70 S
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of STREET SMOKE by STREET BOSS)
TOUCHY 5 2 43 4   5 4 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40 1.80  
  (by NYQUIST out of TOUCH THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
ACE IT 6 1 2½ 2nk   21 56 (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 52.75  
  (by CONNECT out of CLEVER BEAUTY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GLOBAL LEGEND 3 7 76 7   7 6 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 16.00  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of IM A DIXIE DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
GOOD DIRECTIONS 7 6 64 6   6 7 (rice kevin)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 18% 4.70 29.25  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS SAMMY by TALE OF EKATI)
KEEP IT EASY 8 8 8 8   810¾ 823½ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 2.90  
  (by HARD SPUN out of BOXWOOD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  NOBLE FORCE               (delgado )SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GUESS WHAT by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
SAR-9   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC13 FAST Troy Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SURVEILLANCE 4 5 32 31   1nk 1 (potts wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.80 1.50 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAJORELLE by MIZZEN MAST)
OUTLAW KID 1 3 1½ 1nk   3½ 2 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 28% 2.60 3.45 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of CALLING RHY RHY by CITY ZIP)
STEP FORWARD 2 2 42 2nk   2nk 3 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 5.00  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
13  DISARMED 5 1 2½ 4   43 4 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 28% 2.60 3.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SARAVATI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
THIN WHITE DUKE 3 4 5 54   5 514 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5.10  
  (by DOMINUS out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HONEY BADGER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  WITTY               (merryman eliza)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL               (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS               (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of BRIDE TO BE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  DANCING BUCK               (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
SCR  XY SPEED               (lerman mich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PALOMA P by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  BIG INVASION               (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
SCR  COGBURN               (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of IN A JIF by SAINTLY LOOK)
 
SAR-11   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINTRACK 6 2 31 33   33 1¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 48% 1.10 2.00 W
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 2 3 2½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (synnefias )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 5.40  
POPPY'S PRIDE 1 5 1½ 2½   2nk 32 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 4.50  
GOT THUNDER 3 6 5 5   4 43 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 7.50  
DOT'S DOLLAR 4 4 6 43   5 53 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 6.90  
M B'S MUNNING 5 7 7 7   6 6 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 118 15.00 9% 10.20 7.80  
BANYAN BREEZE 7 1 43 6   7 710½ (tasso mark)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 10% 9.50 4.80  
 
SAR-12   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Galway Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HALINA'S FORTE 3 2 3 3   3 1nk (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 50% 1.00 0.60 W
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
BARAYE 2 3 1½ 1   1 2nk (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 17% 4.90 2.65 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
11  VALUE AREA 4 1 4 4   2 3½ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 4.60  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
GOLDEN DEGREE 1 4 2½ 2   414½ 439 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 6.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  KAIRYU (IRE)               (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
  (by KUROSHIO out of VEGATINA by LOPE DE VEGA)
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)               (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HIDDEN ROSIE by SIGNATURE RED)
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)               (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.40    
  (by KODIAC out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  GREAVETTE               (begg bentle)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
SCR  SUNDAY GIRL               (duggan p)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  EL TERRENO               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  AMIDST WAVES               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TROUBLESOME by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  EVER SO SWEET (IRE)               (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by CALYX out of SHINE by JIMMY CREED)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.