Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00
SAR-5   Win (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (4/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (2/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-12   Win (10/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNOVATOR Jul13 Jun20       (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  SANDMAN Jun27         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
3  DEVIL OF RAMADI Jul13         (paragallo jennife)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00    
4  AVIATOR GUI         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  JUJUBEE Jul05         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
6  NANTZ         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
7  THUNDER ROLL         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE NELSON Jul13 Oct21 Sep16 Aug12   (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 55% 0.80    
2  MARCHE Mar16         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
3  WAJDA Nov17 Oct01 Aug25     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 7% 13.40    
4  BANNED FOR LIFE Jun30 Jun02 May04 Apr06 Feb17 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 12% 7.20    
5  HARD SCHOLAR Jun21         (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
6  TOMORROW'S WISH         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
7  READY AS EVER Jul13         (mott willi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLD AS HELL Jul12 Jun06 May02 Apr07 Mar10 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR Aug01 Feb16 Dec30 Dec07 Oct29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
3  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Mar17 Mar10 Feb23 Jan28 Jan20 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
4  SECRET RULES May19 Apr18 Mar03 Dec17 Aug13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
5  DISCO DEANO Jul12 Jun12 Mar10 Nov15 Sep01 (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  SAFFA'S DAY Jul12 May30 Apr21 Apr05 Mar03 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
7  BOURBON'S HOPE Jul28 Jul14 May05 Apr19 Mar30 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY CARA MIA MINE Jul18 May19 Jul23 Jun23 May18 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
SCR  WISH LIST Jun15 May25 Apr20 Dec14 Oct28 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
SCR  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Jul19 Jun23 May27 Nov18 Oct20 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
4  MIM Aug03 Jul18 Jun15 May25 Apr27 (ferraro ja)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
5  FAST KIMMIE Apr27 Apr19 Mar15 Jan24 Dec17 (serpe m)VAZQUEZ A 123 15.00 12% 7.30    
6  BERTRILLE Jul18 Jun23 May25 May05 Nov02 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG Jul19 Jun15 May17 Apr18 Apr07 (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  EVIE DOES IT Jul07 Jun10 May28 Apr15 Jan26 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
9  MISS FASHIONISTA Jul11 Jun14 Apr11 Mar14 Feb16 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY Jun23 May25 Apr25 Mar02 Jan26 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60    
SCR  FROM HELLO Jul19 Jun23 May25 May16 Oct12 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  ARTEMIS GIRL Jul21 May25 Apr27 Dec16 Nov17 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUCILOQUENT Aug03 Jul12 Jun27 May17 Mar22 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
2  TOOT YOUR HORN Jul17 Jun27 Jun01 Oct14 Sep22 (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
3  JAY'S LOVE May24 May03 Apr14 Mar02 Feb03 (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DASHING DELLA Jul17 Jun27 Jan19 Jan12 Dec15 (arenas marcelo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
5  DEVIL BLUE DRESS Jun05 Jan18 Nov26 Nov03 Oct07 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  GRAB THE GLORY Jul11 Apr11 Mar28 Aug16 Jul27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
7  SPIRITUAL LADY Jul18 Jun22 May09 Apr10 Mar02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
8  TIL THERE WAS YOU Jul04 May16       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
SAR-6   08/10/2024 6270ft DIRT RC14 FAST Saratoga Derby Invitational Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND OF TIME (GB) Jul06 May25 May04     (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  IZZY D'ORO Jun23 Apr26 Mar23 Feb10 Dec09 (kelly blake)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
3  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Jul06 May25 Apr13 Mar02 Jan20 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
4  CARSON'S RUN Jun23 Apr27 Nov03 Sep16 Aug31 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FULMINEO Jul13 May18 Apr19 Mar09 Feb10 (delacour arn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
6  DETERMINISTIC Jun29 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Aug12 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
7  FIRST WORLD WAR Jun29 May31 Apr05 Feb03 Jan01 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50 ★    
8  TRIKARI Jul06 May31 May04 Mar23 Feb10 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
SAR-7   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATESMAN         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  HAMMERHEAD         (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  DAVY CROCKETT         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
4  ROYAL PRESENCE         (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  ENGLISH LAW Jul20         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
6  CONCRETE CRUISER Jul12 Jun19 May26     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TENACIOUS LEADER Jul13         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  VALUATION METRIC         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
9  GOVERNING PARTY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SAM'S ROCKET Jul13         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
11  CLOCK TOWER May24         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
12  THE BOONDOCKER         (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Saratoga Special Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEN WICKED Jun30 Jun01       (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  SHOWCASE Jul06         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
3  GLOBAL LEGEND Jun08         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
4  FIRST RESORT Jul05         (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 ★    
5  TOUCHY Jun06         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  ACE IT Jun08 May19 May05 Apr10   (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  NOBLE FORCE Jun21         (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
8  GOOD DIRECTIONS Jul22 Jul08       (rice kevin)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 18% 4.70    
9  KEEP IT EASY Jun27 Jun06       (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
 
SAR-9   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC13 FAST Troy Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITTY Jun29 May18 Apr20 Dec16 Nov18 (merryman elizabe)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
2  OUTLAW KID Jul04 Jun28 Apr20 Sep16 Aug05 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 28% 2.60    
3  STEP FORWARD Jul28 Jun29 Jun01 Apr28 Aug13 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
SCR  COGBURN Jun08 May04 Sep09 Aug05 Jun24 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50    
5  THIN WHITE DUKE Jul28 Jul04 Jun08 May04 Nov18 (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
SCR  BIG INVASION Jul04 Jun08 May04 Mar09 Nov04 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  DANCING BUCK Jun08 May04 Mar09 Dec30 Nov18 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  XY SPEED May25 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 Jan28 (lerman michae)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
SCR  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jun16 May18 Aug13 Jun18 May28 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER Jun08 Apr06 Jan20 Dec23 Sep22 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 30.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Jun07 Apr28 Aug11 Jun17   (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
12  SURVEILLANCE Jul26 Jun22 May27 May02 Apr06 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
13  DISARMED Jun09 May17 Apr04 Mar03 Jan28 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-10   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 FanDuel Fourstardave Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG QUALITY Jun08 May04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  MAJOR DUDE Jul20 Jun23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul07 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
4  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) Jul13 Jun08 May02 Sep01 Aug11 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
5  MONEY SUPPLY Jul06 May03 Mar23 Feb17 Jan06 (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
6  OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) Jun29 Jun01 May04 Jun10 May06 (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
7  MORE THAN LOOKS Nov04 Sep30 Aug11 Jul07 Jun17 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
 
SAR-11   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S PRIDE Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 May04 Apr27 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
2  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jul14 May31 Apr14 Mar02 Jan18 (synnefias pa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
3  GOT THUNDER Jul25 Jul18 May11 Apr27 Mar21 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
4  DOT'S DOLLAR Jul25 Jun23 May05 Apr11 Apr05 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 ★    
5  M B'S MUNNING Jul05 May20 Apr28 Mar24 Mar09 (englehart chris)LUZZI J 118 15.00 9% 10.20    
6  PRINTRACK Jul25 Jun30 Apr27 Mar30 Mar03 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
7  BANYAN BREEZE Jul01 Jun12 Nov15 Oct19 Sep20 (tasso mark)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
SAR-12   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Galway Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
SCR  GREAVETTE Jul08 Jun08 Apr12 Nov04 Oct16 (begg bentley)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  PIPSY (IRE) Jun29 May12       (walden william)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) Jul12 May26 Nov04 Sep16 Jul20 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) Jul14 Jun08       (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.40    
SCR  EL TERRENO Jul13 Jun16 Mar24 Dec15 Oct25 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
7  BARAYE May26 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 Nov10 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  KAIRYU (IRE) Jul12 May12 Apr06     (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
SCR  AMIDST WAVES Jun16 May12 Nov03 Oct08 Aug20 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
10  HALINA'S FORTE Jul04 May31 May03 Apr05 Feb17 (bauer a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
11  VALUE AREA Jul17 May17 Mar28 Feb17 Jan27 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
SCR  SUNDAY GIRL Jul11 Jun09 Apr14 Feb10   (duggan p)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Jul18 Jun30 Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.