Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-8   WIN (6/7/3/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $12.70 $2.70 27%
    TRI (6/7/3/9/11)-(6/7/3/9/11)-(6/7/3/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-11 $150.27 $120.27 401%
    SFT (6/7/3/9/11)-(6/7/3/9/11)-(6/7/3/9/11)-(6/7/3/9/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-6-11-9 $134.79 $122.79 1023%
CD-9   TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-7-8 $13.77 $1.77 15%
    SFT (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-7-8-2 $6.90 $4.50 188%
CD-10   PK3 (6/7/3/9/11)-(7/4/8/2)-(3/8/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-4-8 $60.06 $20.06 50%
CD-11   PK4 (6/7/3/9/11)-(7/4/8/2)-(3/8/5/1)-(9/8/7/6/12) 400 $0.50 $200  3-1/3/4/6-8-2/3/8/11 $286.73 $86.73 43%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ONCOMING TRAIN 2 2 1½ 1nk   11 1hd (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.00 27% 2.80 0.96 W
5  WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER 4 3 2½ 2nk   21 2hd (rouck l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 3.04  
6  JAHEZ 5 4 42 31½   33 34 (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 125 15.00 24.48  
3  LEGENDARY LORE 3 1 32 42   43 45½ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 36% 1.80 1.84  
1  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 1 5 510 510   510 512 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 14.13  
SCR  CHITWOOD               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00    
 
CD-2   06/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:113 1:234   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SISTER LOU ANN 5 5 53 53½ 53 4¼ 1nk (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.62  
5  FOR THE FLAG 4 3 42 42½ 31½ 3.2 2nk (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.71 P
2  NOT SO CLOSE 2 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 32½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 4.91  
3  BLING 3 1 21 21 2nk 2nk 43 (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 34% 2.00 8.32  
1  NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) 1 4 31½ 32 42½ 51¾ 53½ (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 2.42  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas ignac)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :471       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWIFTWIND 5 7 51½ 51¾   2½ 11¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 3.50 ★ 1.46  
2  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 2 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 21¾ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.58 P
3  FLASH WEAR 3 5 31 31½   31 33 (vance d)LANERIE J 119 15.00 8.03  
1  WHITELICK ROAD 1 1 1½ 1nk   42 47 (hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 ★ 15.25  
9  COMBATTANTE 7 4 41½ 41¾   54 58¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 7.03  
7  MERCY OTIS 6 6 74 73¾   65½ 68¾ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 31.52  
4  INDY'S UNIVERSE 4 2 63½ 63¼   76 711¼ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 71% 0.40 1.88  
SCR  EVIE'S EYEBROWS               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  MY LADY BAE               (atras rob)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:101 1:223   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY WALK 1 2 31½ 33 11 12½ 12¾ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.45 W
2  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 2 4 21 2nk 31 22½ 22¾ (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 5.18  
5  WINDY BAY 5 1 11 1nk 21 32½ 35¼ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.05 S
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 6 66 53¾ 67¼ 57½ 45½ (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.03  
3  THORNY 3 5 55½ 65¼ 45½ 47 512¾ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 3.82  
6  LADY MERCEDES 6 3 44½ 43½ 57 69 618½ (forster t)LANERIE J 124 12.00 12.90  
SCR  CLASSIC PERFORMER               (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
 
CD-5   06/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOSTONTONIAN 7 7 2½ 1nk   1½ 11½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.06 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
3  DEEPLY HIDDEN 3 2 33 31   2½ 21½ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 12.72  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LORETTE by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  MISSED THE TURN 2 5 56 45½   45½ 35 (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.98  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of JOE'S GIFT by SKY MESA)
8  OPTICAL 8 8 98½ 99¾   57 46¾ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9% 10.00 17.72  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ESPRESSOANDACHECK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SWEET FANTASY 5 3 1½ 2nk   33 59 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 20% 4.10 3.19  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
1  MISTER WOODFORD 1 1 44½ 55¾   78½ 611 (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119 15.00 41.58  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of RUEFULLY by BERNSTEIN)
6  COMING IN HOT 6 9 87 67¾   68½ 713 (ennis john)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.23  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
4  SERGEANT CAPPS 4 6 66½ 77¾   810½ 814½ (capps a)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 19.77  
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
10  MENDELLO 10 4 77 88¼   912 916½ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 82.10  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
9  SAND CAST 9 10 1010 1011¾   1016 1027 (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 9% 10.00 11.20  
  (by THE FACTOR out of NECK OF THE MOON by MORE THAN READY)
 
CD-6   06/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :442       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUTADORE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 12¼ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.20 62% 0.60 0.72 W
2  BUSHIDO 2 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 22¼ (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 10.68  
7  B D VALESKI 7 7 84¼ 85¼   64 33 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.95 S
1  CHISELER 1 3 31½ 42½   33 43¾ (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 48.23  
5  RITHM NIC 5 4 73¼ 52¾   54 54¼ (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 21.77  
3  ZOOMBIE 3 8 63 74¾   75 64¾ (walsh d)TORRES A 121 12.00 12.61  
4  CLEAR THE AIR 4 5 52 63¾   85½ 75 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 16% 5.40 7.88  
8  COUNTERSTRIKE 8 6 41½ 31½   43½ 86¼ (ennis john)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 ★ 3.86  
 
CD-7   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chicago Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:081     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VAHVA 3 1 22 21   1nk 11¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00 51% 0.90 0.46 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HOLIDAY SOIREE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  POSITANO SUNSET 5 3 43½ 43½   33 21¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 17.58  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
1  SOCIETY 1 2 12 11   2nk 31½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 23% 3.30 2.10 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ETIQUETTE by TAPIT)
4  CHI TOWN LADY 4 5 58 59   57 46½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.79  
  (by VERRAZANO out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  ROYAL SPA 2 4 32 32   45½ 510¼ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 24.29  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
 
CD-8   06/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHILLED 2 7 54½ 55 41½ 13 18 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 13% 6.60 5.35 W
  (by FROSTED out of SNUCK OUT by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  GENETICS 4 3 43 42½ 2nk 23 28 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 41% 1.40 2.61 P
  (by TAPIT out of POINTS OF GRACE by POINT GIVEN)
11  CARARRA 9 5 89 811½ 87 46 39¾ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 38.82 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of SEACRETTINA by SEA OF SECRETS)
9  SUSTANCIA 7 1 2½ 21 1nk 33 412 (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 125 10.00 8% 11.00 5.95  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
2  KISS ME AGAIN 1 4 1½ 11 3½ 56¼ 513¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 13.33  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUHRIOUSLY KISSED by LANGFUHR)
10  NOT GUILTY 8 9 78 79½ 76½ 79¼ 614¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 11.42  
  (by BLAME out of CALIFORNIA SPIRIT by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  QUEEN OF PARIS 5 6 65 65½ 64 68¼ 716 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80 1.79  
  (by TAPIT out of WEDDING TOAST by PASS THE GLASS)
8  MURPHY'S GIFT 6 2 32 31½ 53 810¾ 825½ (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 12.00 14.53  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CALI THIRTY SEVEN by ESKENDEREYA)
4  JOELMA 3 8 910½ 912½ 919 925¾ 958½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 26.17  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CERCE CAY by HARD SPUN)
SCR  PENNY ROYAL               (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of GLINDA THE GOOD by HARD SPUN)
SCR  SAVE TIME               (brown chad )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
 
CD-9   06/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MINK'S PALACE 2 5 51¼ 51¾   3½ 14 (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.35 W
7  HERE U COME AGAIN 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 24 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 46% 1.20 2.39 P
8  SHE CALLED 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 34 (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 8% 11.90 4.57 S
2  BLUE SQUALL 1 7 41¼ 31½   4¾ 44¼ (morse ran)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.17  
9  AMY Z 6 1 62¾ 62¾   54¼ 59 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 33.07  
5  TIPSY TAMMY 3 6 31 41¾   65¾ 611 (bauer phil)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 7.55  
10  GEORGE'S HONEY 7 4 75¾ 75¼   77¾ 717 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5.44  
SCR  CARESS               (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  HATTIE T               (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  WHAT'S CRACKIN               (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-10   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 6 3 21 2nk   12 12¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 18% 4.40 2.91 W
3  SCOTLAND 3 4 31½ 52   22 22¼ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 35% 1.90 1.48 P
9  SURVEILLANCE 7 2 42 31   32 33¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 8.00 5.20  
2  TRACK MATE 2 6 52½ 62¼   64 44¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 3.44  
1  RADICAL RIGHT 1 7 63½ 41½   42½ 55½ (bogle ferg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.74  
4  EYE WITNESS 4 1 11 1nk   53 67 (caramori cai)TORRES A 121 12.00 21.18  
5  PAYNE 5 5 74½ 74¾   76½ 78½ (asmussen )TORRES A 121 12.00 11% 7.90 12.01  
SCR  CHAMPLIN               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   06/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:131 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MIRANDA RIGHTS 6 1 21 21 2nk 12 12 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90 2.15 W
4  SCOOBIE QUANDO 2 3 43 42½ 32 33½ 22 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 9.74  
12  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 9 5 32 32 42¼ 22 32½ (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.86 S
9  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 7 9 85¾ 85 85¾ 66 42¾ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 28% 2.60 6.06  
1  HARLOCAP 1 6 64 63 52¾ 44½ 54¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 122 12.00 3.84  
5  TRES SOLES 3 4 74¼ 73½ 64¼ 76¼ 66¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 20.09  
10  BAKWENA 8 8 96¾ 96½ 96¾ 87¾ 77½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00 37.91  
7  FAIR DINKUM 5 2 11 11 1nk 56 88¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 17% 4.90 4.62  
6  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 4 7 53 53 75¼ 98¾ 910¼ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.63  
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer philip)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH               (d'angelo )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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