Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.92 $3.92  
CD-2   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.24  
CD-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.92  
CD-4   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
CD-5   Win (7/5/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.12 $4.12  
CD-6   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.44 $3.44  
CD-7   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.92 $2.92  
CD-8   Win (6/7/3/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $12.70 $12.70 2.70
CD-9   Win (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
CD-10   Win (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.82 $7.82  
CD-11   Win (9/8/7/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ONCOMING TRAIN 2 2 1½ 1nk   11 1hd (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.00 27% 2.80 0.96 W
5  WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER 4 3 2½ 2nk   21 2hd (rouck l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 3.04  
6  JAHEZ 5 4 42 31½   33 34 (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 125 15.00 24.48  
3  LEGENDARY LORE 3 1 32 42   43 45½ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 36% 1.80 1.84  
1  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 1 5 510 510   510 512 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 14.13  
SCR  CHITWOOD               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00    
 
CD-2   06/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:113 1:234   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SISTER LOU ANN 5 5 53 53½ 53 4¼ 1nk (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.62  
5  FOR THE FLAG 4 3 42 42½ 31½ 3.2 2nk (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.71 P
2  NOT SO CLOSE 2 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 32½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 4.91  
3  BLING 3 1 21 21 2nk 2nk 43 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 34% 2.00 8.32  
1  NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) 1 4 31½ 32 42½ 51¾ 53½ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 2.42  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas ignacio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
 
CD-3   06/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :471       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWIFTWIND 5 7 51½ 51¾   2½ 11¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 3.50 ★ 1.46  
2  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 2 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 21¾ (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.58 P
3  FLASH WEAR 3 5 31 31½   31 33 (vance d)LANERIE J 119 15.00 8.03  
1  WHITELICK ROAD 1 1 1½ 1nk   42 47 (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 ★ 15.25  
9  COMBATTANTE 7 4 41½ 41¾   54 58¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 7.03  
7  MERCY OTIS 6 6 74 73¾   65½ 68¾ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 31.52  
4  INDY'S UNIVERSE 4 2 63½ 63¼   76 711¼ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 71% 0.40 1.88  
SCR  EVIE'S EYEBROWS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  MY LADY BAE               (atras rob)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:101 1:223   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY WALK 1 2 31½ 33 11 12½ 12¾ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.45 W
2  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 2 4 21 2nk 31 22½ 22¾ (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 5.18  
5  WINDY BAY 5 1 11 1nk 21 32½ 35¼ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.05 S
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 6 66 53¾ 67¼ 57½ 45½ (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.03  
3  THORNY 3 5 55½ 65¼ 45½ 47 512¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 3.82  
6  LADY MERCEDES 6 3 44½ 43½ 57 69 618½ (forster t)LANERIE J 124 12.00 12.90  
SCR  CLASSIC PERFORMER               (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
 
CD-5   06/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOSTONTONIAN 7 7 2½ 1nk   1½ 11½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.06 W
3  DEEPLY HIDDEN 3 2 33 31   2½ 21½ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 12.72  
2  MISSED THE TURN 2 5 56 45½   45½ 35 (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.98  
8  OPTICAL 8 8 98½ 99¾   57 46¾ (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9% 10.00 17.72  
5  SWEET FANTASY 5 3 1½ 2nk   33 59 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 20% 4.10 3.19  
1  MISTER WOODFORD 1 1 44½ 55¾   78½ 611 (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 15.00 41.58  
6  COMING IN HOT 6 9 87 67¾   68½ 713 (ennis john)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.23  
4  SERGEANT CAPPS 4 6 66½ 77¾   810½ 814½ (capps a)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 19.77  
10  MENDELLO 10 4 77 88¼   912 916½ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 82.10  
9  SAND CAST 9 10 1010 1011¾   1016 1027 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 9% 10.00 11.20  
 
CD-6   06/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :442       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUTADORE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 12¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.20 62% 0.60 0.72 W
2  BUSHIDO 2 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 22¼ (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 10.68  
7  B D VALESKI 7 7 84¼ 85¼   64 33 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.95 S
1  CHISELER 1 3 31½ 42½   33 43¾ (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 48.23  
5  RITHM NIC 5 4 73¼ 52¾   54 54¼ (maker michael )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 21.77  
3  ZOOMBIE 3 8 63 74¾   75 64¾ (walsh d)TORRES A 121 12.00 12.61  
4  CLEAR THE AIR 4 5 52 63¾   85½ 75 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 16% 5.40 7.88  
8  COUNTERSTRIKE 8 6 41½ 31½   43½ 86¼ (ennis john)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 ★ 3.86  
 
CD-7   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chicago Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:081     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VAHVA 3 1 22 21   1nk 11¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00 51% 0.90 0.46 W
5  POSITANO SUNSET 5 3 43½ 43½   33 21¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 17.58  
1  SOCIETY 1 2 12 11   2nk 31½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 23% 3.30 2.10 S
4  CHI TOWN LADY 4 5 58 59   57 46½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.79  
2  ROYAL SPA 2 4 32 32   45½ 510¼ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 24.29  
 
CD-8   06/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHILLED 2 7 54½ 55 41½ 13 18 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 13% 6.60 5.35 W
6  GENETICS 4 3 43 42½ 2nk 23 28 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 41% 1.40 2.61 P
11  CARARRA 9 5 89 811½ 87 46 39¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 38.82 S
9  SUSTANCIA 7 1 2½ 21 1nk 33 412 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 125 10.00 8% 11.00 5.95  
2  KISS ME AGAIN 1 4 1½ 11 3½ 56¼ 513¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 13.33  
10  NOT GUILTY 8 9 78 79½ 76½ 79¼ 614¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 11.42  
7  QUEEN OF PARIS 5 6 65 65½ 64 68¼ 716 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80 1.79  
8  MURPHY'S GIFT 6 2 32 31½ 53 810¾ 825½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 12.00 14.53  
4  JOELMA 3 8 910½ 912½ 919 925¾ 958½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 26.17  
SCR  PENNY ROYAL               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  SAVE TIME               (brown c)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
 
CD-9   06/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MINK'S PALACE 2 5 51¼ 51¾   3½ 14 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.35 W
7  HERE U COME AGAIN 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 24 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 46% 1.20 2.39 P
8  SHE CALLED 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 34 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 8% 11.90 4.57 S
2  BLUE SQUALL 1 7 41¼ 31½   4¾ 44¼ (morse randy)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.17  
9  AMY Z 6 1 62¾ 62¾   54¼ 59 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 33.07  
5  TIPSY TAMMY 3 6 31 41¾   65¾ 611 (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 7.55  
10  GEORGE'S HONEY 7 4 75¾ 75¼   77¾ 717 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5.44  
SCR  CARESS               (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  HATTIE T               (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  WHAT'S CRACKIN               (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-10   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 6 3 21 2nk   12 12¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 18% 4.40 2.91 W
3  SCOTLAND 3 4 31½ 52   22 22¼ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 35% 1.90 1.48 P
9  SURVEILLANCE 7 2 42 31   32 33¼ (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 5.20  
2  TRACK MATE 2 6 52½ 62¼   64 44¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 3.44  
1  RADICAL RIGHT 1 7 63½ 41½   42½ 55½ (bogle fergus)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.74  
4  EYE WITNESS 4 1 11 1nk   53 67 (caramori caio)TORRES A 121 12.00 21.18  
5  PAYNE 5 5 74½ 74¾   76½ 78½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 12.00 11% 7.90 12.01  
SCR  CHAMPLIN               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   06/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:131 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MIRANDA RIGHTS 6 1 21 21 2nk 12 12 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90 2.15 W
4  SCOOBIE QUANDO 2 3 43 42½ 32 33½ 22 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 9.74  
12  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 9 5 32 32 42¼ 22 32½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.86 S
9  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 7 9 85¾ 85 85¾ 66 42¾ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 28% 2.60 6.06  
1  HARLOCAP 1 6 64 63 52¾ 44½ 54¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 12.00 3.84  
5  TRES SOLES 3 4 74¼ 73½ 64¼ 76¼ 66¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 20.09  
10  BAKWENA 8 8 96¾ 96½ 96¾ 87¾ 77½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00 37.91  
7  FAIR DINKUM 5 2 11 11 1nk 56 88¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 17% 4.90 4.62  
6  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 4 7 53 53 75¼ 98¾ 910¼ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.63  
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer a)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH               (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.