Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-4   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (7/5/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (6/7/3/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (9/8/7/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jun08 May16 Mar07 Jan25 Jan04 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ONCOMING TRAIN May18 Apr07 Jan15 Dec29 Nov25 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
LEGENDARY LORE May16 Apr21 Apr05 Mar09 Feb18 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  CHITWOOD May01 Mar08 Feb09 Jan05 Nov18 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.00    
WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER May23 Jan27 Dec27 Nov14 Oct31 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 123 6.00    
JAHEZ May23 May15 Apr26 Mar27 Mar02 (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 125 15.00    
 
CD-2   06/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ)         (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOT SO CLOSE May04 Mar23 Feb17 Oct21 Aug17 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
BLING May12 Apr13 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Apr21 Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov01 (correas ignacio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
FOR THE FLAG Mar02 Sep07 Aug06 Jun18 Apr23 (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
SISTER LOU ANN Mar23 Mar02 Jan27 Dec30 Dec03 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May24 Dec23 Nov03 Sep29 Jul08 (meah m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
 
CD-3   06/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITELICK ROAD         (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
MELITTLEFROSTGIRL         (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
FLASH WEAR         (vance d)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
INDY'S UNIVERSE May19         (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 71% 0.40    
SWIFTWIND May17         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 3.50    
SCR  EVIE'S EYEBROWS         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
MERCY OTIS         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00    
SCR  MY LADY BAE         (atras rob)TORRES A 119 6.00    
COMBATTANTE May31         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY WALK May23 May09 Apr14 Feb08 Jan03 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
OUTOFNOTHINGATALL May11 Apr17 Feb28 Mar12 Feb12 (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50    
THORNY May30 Apr26 Mar29 Mar02 Dec21 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Mar28 Jan25 Dec05 Nov24 Oct27 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WINDY BAY Jun05 May09 Apr04 Feb04 Dec29 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
LADY MERCEDES May09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 Nov12 (forster t)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
SCR  CLASSIC PERFORMER Jun05 Apr27 Apr10 Mar03 Jan07 (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
 
CD-5   06/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER WOODFORD Apr17         (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
MISSED THE TURN May26         (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
DEEPLY HIDDEN Jun08 May26       (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
SERGEANT CAPPS May30 May09 Apr26 Apr10   (capps a)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00    
SWEET FANTASY May09         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
COMING IN HOT May26         (ennis john)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
BOSTONTONIAN         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
OPTICAL         (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
SAND CAST         (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
10  MENDELLO Jun05 May14 Apr21     (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISELER May24 Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 Dec03 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
BUSHIDO May25 Apr27 Feb10 Dec23 Jun15 (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
ZOOMBIE May25 Apr27 Dec15 Oct21 Sep18 (walsh d)TORRES A 121 12.00    
CLEAR THE AIR Jun07 May25 Apr21 Mar30 Feb23 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 16% 5.40    
RITHM NIC May24 May04 Apr20 Apr06 Mar22 (maker michael )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
OUTADORE Apr27 Mar22 Dec15 Sep13 Jul22 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.20 62% 0.60    
B D VALESKI May25 Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 Oct21 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTERSTRIKE May25 Apr27 Apr05 Jan27 Dec30 (ennis john)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
 
CD-7   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chicago Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY Nov04 Aug25 Jun24 May05 Apr08 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 23% 3.30    
ROYAL SPA May27 Apr26 Mar30 Feb03 Dec26 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
VAHVA May04 Apr06 Oct21 Aug25 Jul08 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00 51% 0.90    
CHI TOWN LADY May04 Feb10 Jun16 Apr14 Nov05 (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
POSITANO SUNSET May27 Apr27 Aug13 Apr07 Mar04 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   06/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENNY ROYAL May25         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
KISS ME AGAIN Jun01 May01 Apr05 Feb28   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
CHILLED Jun01 May03 Apr07 Oct29 Oct06 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 13% 6.60    
JOELMA Jun08 Apr05       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  SAVE TIME Jun21 May09 Apr07 Feb11   (brown c)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
GENETICS May25 Nov11 Oct13 Sep03 Aug13 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
QUEEN OF PARIS May25         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
MURPHY'S GIFT Nov11 Sep30       (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SUSTANCIA May03 Feb29       (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 125 10.00 8% 11.00    
10  NOT GUILTY May25         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
11  CARARRA Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 Sep21 Aug26 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   06/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HATTIE T Apr20 Mar24 Feb23 Jan20 Dec29 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
BLUE SQUALL Apr20 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Dec31 (morse randy)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARESS May12 Apr14 Mar15 Feb11 Jan07 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
MINK'S PALACE Jun01 May03 Nov02     (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
TIPSY TAMMY May11 Apr07 Mar03 Feb01 Jan01 (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
SCR  WHAT'S CRACKIN Feb10 Dec27 May26     (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
HERE U COME AGAIN May03 Aug06 Jul07     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
SHE CALLED May25 Apr27 Mar17     (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 8% 11.90    
AMY Z Jun06 May12 Apr20 Mar09 Feb02 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
10  GEORGE'S HONEY May19         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-10   06/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADICAL RIGHT May16 Apr21 Mar14 Jan27 Dec29 (bogle fergus)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRACK MATE May30 May04 Apr05 Feb23 Jan06 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 121 4.50    
SCOTLAND May30 May02 Sep23 Aug26 Jul21 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
EYE WITNESS Apr25 Mar09 Oct07 Aug13 May20 (caramori caio)TORRES A 121 12.00    
PAYNE Jun01 May04 Apr06 Mar29 Feb19 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 12.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME Jun14 May11 Jan20 Dec23 Nov04 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
SCR  CHAMPLIN May16 Apr21 Feb29 Jan15   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00    
HAPPY IS A CHOICE Apr13 Mar03 Jan26 Jan01 Dec09 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 18% 4.40    
SURVEILLANCE May27 May02 Apr06 Mar16 Feb13 (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
 
CD-11   06/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLOCAP May17 Apr21 Mar16 Feb16 Jan06 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 12.00    
SCR  KIGALI May25 Apr27 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 (bauer a)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS Feb17 Dec22 Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
SCOOBIE QUANDO May18 Apr19 Mar23 Feb23 Jun03 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
TRES SOLES Sep30 Aug27 Jul02 Jun16 May12 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00    
LINCOLN HIGHWAY May18 Apr10 Nov26 Oct19 Sep17 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAIR DINKUM May18 Dec23 Nov02 Sep07 Aug05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
MIRANDA RIGHTS May31 May02 Dec03 Nov05 Sep07 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN May31 May18 Dec22 Nov24 Oct19 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
10  BAKWENA May31 Apr23 Mar11 Jan20 Oct26 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH May09 Apr07 Mar07 Feb22 Jan13 (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
12  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr07   (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.