Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00  6 $4.38 $2.38 119%
CD-4   WIN (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    EXA (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $46.74 $22.74 95%
    TRI (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-3-4 $24.10 $12.10 101%
    SFT (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-3-4-1 $25.40 $23.00 958%
CD-6   WIN (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.94 $3.94 49%
    EXA (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $116.14 $92.14 384%
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(3/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-2 $17.08 $1.08 7%
    PK3 (4/3/1/7)-(4/6/5/3)-(3/2/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  7-4-2 $55.23 $23.23 73%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 4 3 31½ 21½   12½ 18½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.19 W
3  HONEY RUN 2 4 44 42½   22½ 28½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 4.50 1.05  
1  COINMAKER 1 2 2nk 32   44½ 311 (heitzman e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 11.60  
5  HOPE OVER FEAR 3 1 1nk 11½   34½ 418½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 ★ 4.27  
SCR  LA TOURISTA               (pino michae)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX               (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VINEGAR HILL 3 2 1½     1½ 13¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6.56  
  (by FROSTED out of CORONADO ROSE by CORONADO'S QUEST)
6  INDIGO WIND 6 4 2½     2½ 23¾ (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 13% 6.60 4.99 P
  (by LAOBAN out of INDIGO GIN by LEMON DROP KID)
8  CHADO 8 5 32     32 35 (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70 6.50 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ORIOLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  EL DANDI 7 7 43     45 49 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 10.00 5% 19.00 5.86  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of TEST OF TIME by CAPOTE)
4  ACE IT 4 8 87½     56½ 59½ (chapman ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 5.98  
  (by CONNECT out of CLEVER BEAUTY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1  COST OF WAR 1 3 64½     66½ 69½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.96  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of COST by PULPIT)
2  SLANDEROUS 2 1 77½     89 711¼ (mccutche)SANTANA JR 116 12.00 19.07  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
5  SWEET MO B 5 6 53½     77½ 816¼ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 8.63  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of WINSLET by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
CD-3   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ONE COOL DUDE 6 2 42½ 41½   2½ 12½ (blair jord)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 7.72  
1  SPYCRAFT 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 22½ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 39% 1.60 2.31 P
5  MAN ON THE MOON 5 6 66 53   42 33½ (vance thom)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 20.97  
7  SAMURAI PRINCE 7 3 31½ 3½   3½ 45¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 30% 2.30 1.63  
4  RAM 4 7 76 75½   54½ 57½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 3.36  
3  UPSTRIKER 3 5 54½ 65   66 68¾ (santamari)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.48  
2  TROPIC STORM 2 1 2½ 2½   76½ 712 (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.94  
 
CD-4   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POUNDS IN TOWN 5 2 2nk     13 12¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
3  INDY'S UNIVERSE 2 7 65¾     44½ 22¼ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.50 2.48 P
4  GLAMOURCENTS 3 4 31½     23 33½ (lightner m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 44% 1.30 2.35 S
1  DELICATE 1 3 75¾     34½ 45¼ (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 8% 11.30 6.48  
9  SEVILLA 7 6 53¼     65½ 55½ (guti)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 11.52  
8  BAYTOWN STORM 6 5 43     55 65¾ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 12.00 10.52  
5  VONGOLE 4 1 1nk     78½ 716 (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 6.20  
SCR  EMY               (torres eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
SCR  STIRRING UP DUST               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PELICAN LANE 3 4 41½ 3½   11½ 13½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.55 W
6  GRAYTON 5 2 1½ 1½   21½ 23½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 19% 4.40 2.00 P
5  MIDWAY VOW 4 3 53 44   45½ 36½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 12% 7.50 4.93 S
1  ROCKAWAY REEF 1 5 31½ 54¼   55½ 46¾ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 8.45  
8  CLOSING PRAYER 7 1 2½ 2½   34 58½ (baker james)ROCCO S 118 12.00 13.65  
3  E B ZOOM BABY 2 6 77 67¼   611 615¼ (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.24  
7  CHIC N DA WADDA 6 7 63½ 79¼   716 727¾ (toye li)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 15.00 25.98  
SCR  VINO VERITAS               (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
CD-6   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXPRESS CRUISER 2 1 21 21   1½ 14¼ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.97 W
5  LEND IT TEWMEY 5 3 42 31   2½ 24¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 18% 4.60 13.42 P
1  SPURRIER 1 4 11 11   32 35¼ (moquett )SANTANA JR 123 2.50 5.46  
3  CANAVALL 3 5 32 41½   43½ 45¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.80 27% 2.70 0.76  
4  SAINT ROCCO 4 6 52½ 53   56½ 512 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 19.30  
6  LAZARUS 6 7 64 64   67½ 613 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 10.00 9.31  
7  FIRE WIRE 7 2 75 76½   79 714 (roberson )BEALMEAR C 113 20.00 34.78  
8  MAKE IT SPEND IT 8 8 811 810   812 825¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.31  
 
CD-7   05/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOUSE UNITED 6 1 21 21 21½ 22 1nk (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 10.72  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLIP N' TH BYE by TALE OF EKATI)
3  CARNITINE 3 2 11 11 11½ 12 2nk (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 29% 2.40 3.22 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of TAURINE by FLATTER)
8  ASK ARTHUR 7 4 43 53½ 43½ 35½ 37½ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 ★ 18.24 S
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART OF MIDWAY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
5  GLENBROOK GERRY 5 9 87½ 75¼ 65½ 57½ 411¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.11  
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
4  REYNOLDS CHANNEL 4 3 53½ 32 32½ 45½ 512½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.66  
  (by WEST COAST out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  YELL COUNTY 9 7 65 63¾ 55 69 616½ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 17% 4.80 10.18  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FEATHERBED by SMART STRIKE)
1  MR SCATTER 1 8 99½ 98¼ 99 712 716¾ (correas )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 41.87  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALLYALLYINCOMEFREE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  ACCONA 2 5 76½ 85¼ 89 814 828½ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 53.34  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DESERT LEGACY by TAPIT)
9  CODE WORD 8 6 32 42 77 916½ 929¾ (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 30.40  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CATIGO by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TAPIT FOR THE WIN               (danner ke)TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CD-8   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:133 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 3 1 21 21½ 21 11½ 11½ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 2.38  
5  ZAWISH 5 4 42½ 43½ 43½ 32 21½ (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.33 P
8  GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) 8 6 65 65 65½ 73¾ 31½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 66% 0.50 3.71 S
6  EMBRACE ME 6 9 76 76 77 62¾ 42¾ (rutledge )TORRES A 122 15.00 13.72  
2  SECRET STATEMENT 2 5 32 32½ 32½ 42 53½ (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 6.86  
10  QUALITY STAR 10 10 109 107½ 1010½ 85¾ 64¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 7% 13.50 9.09  
4  BEST PERFORMER 4 3 54 54½ 54 52½ 74¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.38  
9  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 9 7 87 96½ 89 95¾ 85½ (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 29.01  
1  HONEY HAULER 1 2 11 11½ 11 21½ 95¾ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 13.56  
7  FLATTER ME SILLY 7 8 98½ 86½ 910½ 107¼ 1010 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 8.00 ★ 10.75  
SCR  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB)               (motion graha)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
SCR  STEEL RACER               (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  SUNNY ISLE BEACH               (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE 3 1 11½ 11   12 13 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 2.74  
2  ROCKABILLIE 2 3 42½ 52¾   22 23 (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.39 P
1  LIL TOWN SIS 1 5 32½ 32½   32½ 36¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.50 2.91  
5  R QUEEN CANDY 4 6 53 42½   44 48¼ (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 33% 2.00 3.46  
6  WEST COAST HARBOR 5 2 21½ 21   55 515½ (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.50 17% 4.80 5.91  
7  VERY WEALTHY 6 4 63½ 64¾   610½ 624½ (lucas wayne)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 9.74  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL               (shorter a)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  ESME               (king l)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.