The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 1 $4.38 $4.38 2.38
CD-2   Win (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $15.12 -8.00
CD-3   Win (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.44 -8.00
CD-4   Win (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
CD-5   Win (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 -2.90
CD-6   Win (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.94 $11.94 3.94
CD-7   Win (4/3/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $23.44 -8.00
CD-8   Win (8/10/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.76 -8.00
CD-9   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.48 -6.00
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/19/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 4 3 31½ 21½   12½ 18½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.19 W
3  HONEY RUN 2 4 44 42½   22½ 28½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 4.50 1.05  
1  COINMAKER 1 2 2nk 32   44½ 311 (heitzman eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 11.60  
5  HOPE OVER FEAR 3 1 1nk 11½   34½ 418½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 ★ 4.27  
SCR  LA TOURISTA               (pino michael )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX               (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VINEGAR HILL 3 2 1½     1½ 13¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6.56  
6  INDIGO WIND 6 4 2½     2½ 23¾ (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 13% 6.60 4.99 P
8  CHADO 8 5 32     32 35 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70 6.50 S
7  EL DANDI 7 7 43     45 49 (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 10.00 5% 19.00 5.86  
4  ACE IT 4 8 87½     56½ 59½ (chapman jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 5.98  
1  COST OF WAR 1 3 64½     66½ 69½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.96  
2  SLANDEROUS 2 1 77½     89 711¼ (mccutchen )SANTANA JR 116 12.00 19.07  
5  SWEET MO B 5 6 53½     77½ 816¼ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 8.63  
 
CD-3   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ONE COOL DUDE 6 2 42½ 41½   2½ 12½ (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 7.72  
1  SPYCRAFT 1 4 1½ 1½   1½ 22½ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 39% 1.60 2.31 P
5  MAN ON THE MOON 5 6 66 53   42 33½ (vance thomas)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 20.97  
7  SAMURAI PRINCE 7 3 31½ 3½   3½ 45¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 30% 2.30 1.63  
4  RAM 4 7 76 75½   54½ 57½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 3.36  
3  UPSTRIKER 3 5 54½ 65   66 68¾ (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.48  
2  TROPIC STORM 2 1 2½ 2½   76½ 712 (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.94  
 
CD-4   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POUNDS IN TOWN 5 2 2nk     13 12¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
3  INDY'S UNIVERSE 2 7 65¾     44½ 22¼ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.50 2.48 P
4  GLAMOURCENTS 3 4 31½     23 33½ (lightner mar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 44% 1.30 2.35 S
1  DELICATE 1 3 75¾     34½ 45¼ (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 8% 11.30 6.48  
9  SEVILLA 7 6 53¼     65½ 55½ (gutier)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 11.52  
8  BAYTOWN STORM 6 5 43     55 65¾ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 12.00 10.52  
5  VONGOLE 4 1 1nk     78½ 716 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 6.20  
SCR  EMY               (torres erick )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
SCR  STIRRING UP DUST               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PELICAN LANE 3 4 41½ 3½   11½ 13½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.55 W
6  GRAYTON 5 2 1½ 1½   21½ 23½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 19% 4.40 2.00 P
5  MIDWAY VOW 4 3 53 44   45½ 36½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 12% 7.50 4.93 S
1  ROCKAWAY REEF 1 5 31½ 54¼   55½ 46¾ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 8.45  
8  CLOSING PRAYER 7 1 2½ 2½   34 58½ (baker james)ROCCO S 118 12.00 13.65  
3  E B ZOOM BABY 2 6 77 67¼   611 615¼ (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.24  
7  CHIC N DA WADDA 6 7 63½ 79¼   716 727¾ (toye lin)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 15.00 25.98  
SCR  VINO VERITAS               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
CD-6   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXPRESS CRUISER 2 1 21 21   1½ 14¼ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.97 W
5  LEND IT TEWMEY 5 3 42 31   2½ 24¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 18% 4.60 13.42 P
1  SPURRIER 1 4 11 11   32 35¼ (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 5.46  
3  CANAVALL 3 5 32 41½   43½ 45¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.80 27% 2.70 0.76  
4  SAINT ROCCO 4 6 52½ 53   56½ 512 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 19.30  
6  LAZARUS 6 7 64 64   67½ 613 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 10.00 9.31  
7  FIRE WIRE 7 2 75 76½   79 714 (roberson de)BEALMEAR C 113 20.00 34.78  
8  MAKE IT SPEND IT 8 8 811 810   812 825¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.31  
 
CD-7   05/19/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOUSE UNITED 6 1 21 21 21½ 22 1nk (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 10.72  
3  CARNITINE 3 2 11 11 11½ 12 2nk (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 29% 2.40 3.22 P
8  ASK ARTHUR 7 4 43 53½ 43½ 35½ 37½ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 ★ 18.24 S
5  GLENBROOK GERRY 5 9 87½ 75¼ 65½ 57½ 411¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.11  
4  REYNOLDS CHANNEL 4 3 53½ 32 32½ 45½ 512½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.66  
10  YELL COUNTY 9 7 65 63¾ 55 69 616½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 17% 4.80 10.18  
1  MR SCATTER 1 8 99½ 98¼ 99 712 716¾ (correas ig)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 41.87  
2  ACCONA 2 5 76½ 85¼ 89 814 828½ (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 53.34  
9  CODE WORD 8 6 32 42 77 916½ 929¾ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 30.40  
SCR  TAPIT FOR THE WIN               (danner kels)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:133 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 3 1 21 21½ 21 11½ 11½ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 2.38  
5  ZAWISH 5 4 42½ 43½ 43½ 32 21½ (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.33 P
8  GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) 8 6 65 65 65½ 73¾ 31½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 66% 0.50 3.71 S
6  EMBRACE ME 6 9 76 76 77 62¾ 42¾ (rutledge la)TORRES A 122 15.00 13.72  
2  SECRET STATEMENT 2 5 32 32½ 32½ 42 53½ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 6.86  
10  QUALITY STAR 10 10 109 107½ 1010½ 85¾ 64¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 7% 13.50 9.09  
4  BEST PERFORMER 4 3 54 54½ 54 52½ 74¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.38  
9  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 9 7 87 96½ 89 95¾ 85½ (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 29.01  
1  HONEY HAULER 1 2 11 11½ 11 21½ 95¾ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 13.56  
7  FLATTER ME SILLY 7 8 98½ 86½ 910½ 107¼ 1010 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 8.00 ★ 10.75  
SCR  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB)               (motion graham)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
SCR  STEEL RACER               (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  SUNNY ISLE BEACH               (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE 3 1 11½ 11   12 13 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 2.74  
2  ROCKABILLIE 2 3 42½ 52¾   22 23 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.39 P
1  LIL TOWN SIS 1 5 32½ 32½   32½ 36¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.50 2.91  
5  R QUEEN CANDY 4 6 53 42½   44 48¼ (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 33% 2.00 3.46  
6  WEST COAST HARBOR 5 2 21½ 21   55 515½ (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.50 17% 4.80 5.91  
7  VERY WEALTHY 6 4 63½ 64¾   610½ 624½ (lucas wayne)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 9.74  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL               (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  ESME               (king l)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.