Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00
CD-2   Win (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (4/3/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (8/10/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COINMAKER Mar21 Feb22 Jan27 Jan04 Sep09 (heitzman eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  LA TOURISTA Mar13 Jan11 Dec06 Nov18 Oct01 (pino michael )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
HONEY RUN Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 Feb11 Jan27 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 4.50    
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX Apr20 Mar02 Jan21 Jan03 Dec20 (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
HOPE OVER FEAR Mar15 Feb10 Jan17 Dec30 Nov18 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Apr26 Apr07 Feb22 Jan27 Dec30 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
CD-2   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COST OF WAR         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SLANDEROUS May02         (mccutchen )SANTANA JR 116 12.00    
VINEGAR HILL Apr05         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
ACE IT May05 Apr10       (chapman jam)CORREA L 119 4.00    
SWEET MO B         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00    
INDIGO WIND May01 Apr05       (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 13% 6.60    
EL DANDI Apr05         (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHADO Apr25 Apr05       (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 9% 9.70    
 
CD-3   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPYCRAFT Apr27 Apr12 Mar15 Feb16 Jan31 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
TROPIC STORM May03 Mar22 Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
UPSTRIKER May03 Mar22 Feb23 Nov22 Oct19 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAM Apr12 Mar17 Feb23 Jan27 Sep02 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
MAN ON THE MOON Apr20 Apr05 Mar15 Feb17 Feb02 (vance thomas)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00    
ONE COOL DUDE Mar06 Feb15 Nov05 Oct11 Sep22 (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
SAMURAI PRINCE Apr19 Mar22 Nov05 Sep29 Aug27 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
CD-4   05/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELICATE         (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  STIRRING UP DUST         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50    
INDY'S UNIVERSE         (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
GLAMOURCENTS         (lightner mar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
VONGOLE         (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
SCR  EMY May02         (torres erick )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
POUNDS IN TOWN May02 Apr07       (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN STORM May13 Apr26 Apr11     (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 12.00    
SEVILLA         (gutier)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKAWAY REEF         (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
SCR  VINO VERITAS Apr27 Apr07       (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
E B ZOOM BABY         (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
PELICAN LANE Aug01 Jun25 May20 Jan07   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
MIDWAY VOW Mar28         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
GRAYTON Apr18         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 19% 4.40    
CHIC N DA WADDA         (toye lin)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 15.00    
CLOSING PRAYER Mar28 Feb28       (baker james)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURRIER Apr13 Dec31 Dec10     (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 123 2.50    
EXPRESS CRUISER Apr27 Apr04 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
CANAVALL May11 Apr21 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
SAINT ROCCO May01 Mar20 Feb09 Jun30 Jun10 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
LEND IT TEWMEY Sep14 Aug18 Jul14 May04 Jul01 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 18% 4.60    
LAZARUS May01 Sep27 Sep07 Jun18 Jun03 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 10.00    
FIRE WIRE Apr23 Apr06 Mar23 Feb14 Feb01 (roberson de)BEALMEAR C 113 20.00    
MAKE IT SPEND IT Apr26 Feb11 Oct12 Aug29 Aug12 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   05/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR SCATTER Mar07 Jan12 Dec08     (correas ig)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
ACCONA Apr10 Feb23       (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
CARNITINE Apr06         (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 29% 2.40    
REYNOLDS CHANNEL Apr18 Mar16 Aug12     (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 30% 2.40    
GLENBROOK GERRY Apr18 Sep24 Sep02 Jul27   (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPIT FOR THE WIN May02 Mar30       (danner kels)TORRES A 118 15.00    
HOUSE UNITED May04 Mar23       (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00    
ASK ARTHUR Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 Dec22   (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
CODE WORD Feb24         (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00    
10  YELL COUNTY Apr13 Mar09 Feb24 Nov26 Oct18 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
CD-8   05/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY HAULER May06 Mar15 Feb24 Dec07 Oct25 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
SECRET STATEMENT May04 Nov24 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (baker james)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Apr07 Aug19 Jun22 Apr15 Mar11 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
BEST PERFORMER Feb22 Jan15 Dec21 Nov15 Oct01 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ZAWISH May04 Nov22 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMBRACE ME May03 Apr13 Mar09 Feb10 Nov12 (rutledge la)TORRES A 122 15.00    
FLATTER ME SILLY Apr21 Mar23 Feb22 Jul01 Apr26 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) Apr20         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
WONDERFULL LADY (FR) Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 May29 Apr14 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
10  QUALITY STAR Apr20 Dec07 Oct07 Sep10 May27 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) Mar23 Feb24 Dec30     (motion graham)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
SCR  STEEL RACER Mar27 Feb22 Feb11 Jan18 Dec22 (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  SUNNY ISLE BEACH Apr30 Mar22 Jan31 Jan01 May05 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TOWN SIS Apr19 Mar21 Mar09 Feb17 Feb04 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 3.50    
ROCKABILLIE Apr23 Feb21 Jan25 Dec22 Dec02 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL Apr27 Mar22 Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 10.00    
OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Aug11 May19 Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00    
R QUEEN CANDY Feb21 Feb03 Jan03     (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
WEST COAST HARBOR May02 Apr20 Mar07 Feb19   (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
VERY WEALTHY Apr25 Mar06 Mar13 Dec29 Dec08 (lucas wayne)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
SCR  ESME May11 Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 (king l)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.